John Rooney — OGILVIE

John Rooney P Durham Bulls

Age 29 LHP 6'5" / 215 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 28 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98106vR 115

ERA4.28

FIP4.28

K%24.5%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%13.7%

ROS IP28

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

SI (22%)

SL (61%)

FB (39%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	8	20	76	21	8	0	100%	2.5	17.3%	13.8%	3.5%	0.0%	1.80	3.39	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	8	20	76	21	8	0	100%	2.5	27.6%	10.5%	17.1%	0.0%	1.80	2.20	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	105	426	89	39	7	100%	5.2	15.8%	10.7%	5.1%	2.1%	2.84	4.28	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	20	105	426	89	39	7	100%	5.2	20.9%	9.2%	11.7%	1.6%	2.84	3.39	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	8	5	29	133	42	21	3	62%	3.6	25.6%	17.4%	8.2%	2.9%	4.08	4.73	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	8	5	29	133	42	21	3	62%	3.6	31.6%	15.8%	15.8%	2.3%	4.08	3.73	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	24	17	98	440	99	48	19	71%	4.1	18.2%	12.0%	6.2%	5.2%	6.15	5.94	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	24	17	98	440	99	48	19	71%	4.1	22.5%	10.9%	11.6%	4.3%	6.15	5.07	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	1	69	282	69	22	7	2%	1.3	20.0%	7.7%	12.4%	2.7%	2.86	3.88	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	1	69	282	69	22	7	2%	1.3	20.0%	7.7%	12.4%	2.7%	2.86	3.88	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	1	69	282	69	22	7	2%	1.3	24.5%	7.8%	16.7%	2.5%	2.86	3.37	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	53	0	60	272	71	31	7	0%	1.1	21.7%	10.3%	11.4%	3.2%	4.33	4.30	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	53	0	60	272	71	31	7	0%	1.1	21.7%	10.3%	11.4%	3.2%	4.33	4.30	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	53	0	60	272	71	31	7	0%	1.1	26.1%	11.4%	14.7%	2.6%	4.33	3.80	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	40	167	57	24	3	0%	0.9	28.4%	12.9%	15.5%	1.4%	2.70	3.11	+0.7
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	40	167	57	24	3	0%	0.9	28.4%	12.9%	15.5%	1.4%	2.70	3.11	+0.7
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	40	167	57	24	3	0%	0.9	34.1%	14.4%	19.8%	1.8%	2.70	3.02	+0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	1	6	2	1	1	0%	1.3	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	16.7%	6.75	12.10	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	24	0	27	118	32	20	3	0%	1.1	20.4%	17.0%	3.4%	3.1%	3.71	5.24	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	24	0	27	118	32	20	3	0%	1.1	20.4%	17.0%	3.4%	3.1%	3.71	5.24	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	A+ RAW	TB	3	0	3	12	6	0	0	0%	1.1	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	TB	21	0	23	106	26	20	3	0%	1.1	24.5%	18.9%	5.7%	2.8%	4.24	4.97	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	TB	25	0	26	111	27	12	3	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.0%	13.1%	2.9%	4.39	4.46	+0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	TB	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	24.1%	11.0%	13.1%	2.9%	4.39	4.46	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	47	12	6	2	0%	1.1	25.3%	11.7%	13.5%	4.7%	4.67	5.03	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		186	0	200	851	217	109	36	0%	1.1	25.3%	11.7%	13.5%	4.7%	4.67	5.03	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		234	51	448	1914	381	223	58	22%	1.9	19.9%	11.6%	8.3%	3.0%	3.84	4.56	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	23	200	855	170	100	26	22%	1.9	19.9%	11.6%	8.3%	3.0%	3.84	4.56	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
John Rooney (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.28	24.5%	10.9%	2.7%	—	4.46	24.1%	13.1%	26	+0.18	—	—	—
Edward Paredes L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.1%	13.0%	1.4%	.225	3.55	23.7%	14.0%	86	+0.08	2.36	130	74
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	72
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	72
Josh Smoker L 2018 · 3.66 FIP	29	SU	3.66	22.1%	8.4%	2.5%	.318	6.58	14.2%	3.4%	14	+2.92	2.71	230	72
Antonio Bastardo L 2015 · 3.10 FIP	29	SU	3.10	26.8%	10.0%	1.8%	.238	5.27	22.6%	11.3%	88	+2.17	3.10	145	71
Jake Diekman L 2016 · 3.23 FIP	29	SU	3.23	26.7%	11.3%	1.7%	.241	3.09	28.6%	15.8%	115	-0.14	2.36	455	71
Josh Edgin L 2016 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	22.1%	13.2%	1.3%	.359	3.81	23.2%	13.6%	80	+0.17	3.63	113	71
Sammy Solís L 2018 · 4.39 FIP	29	SU	4.39	24.9%	9.6%	4.0%	.330	4.05	26.2%	17.3%	23	-0.34	2.51	190	71
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	71
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	70
Jeff Beliveau L 2016 · 3.19 FIP	29	SU	3.19	26.2%	13.5%	1.1%	.220	4.25	24.7%	12.5%	92	+1.06	3.19	137	69
Kyle Regnault L 2018 · 3.82 FIP	29	SU	3.82	27.6%	9.7%	3.3%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	204	69
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	69
Dario Alvarez L 2018 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	20.7%	12.4%	1.0%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.47	160	68
Tommy Layne L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	30	SU	3.61	21.7%	12.1%	1.5%	.284	3.34	20.2%	11.0%	97	-0.27	1.32	182	68
Arturo Barradas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SU	3.42	18.1%	7.0%	1.8%	.288	3.24	16.1%	9.5%	34	-0.18	3.24	163	68
Felix Doubront L 2017 · 4.12 FIP	29	SU	4.12	23.7%	9.0%	3.4%	.304	3.44	17.6%	12.6%	126	-0.68	3.44	291	68
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	68
Buddy Boshers L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	29	SU	4.56	18.9%	8.0%	3.7%	.300	3.47	24.1%	15.6%	112	-1.09	2.80	223	67
Kevin Siegrist L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	25.0%	11.6%	2.7%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	2.72	176	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	24.3%	11.0%	1.09	4.33
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63