John Rooney
P
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
+0.3
WAR
Age 29
LHP
6'5" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
xFIP4.70
SIERA3.90
K%25.0%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%13.4%
IP40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†6060
SI (22%)
SL (61%)
FB (39%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | A | Great Lakes Loons | 8 | 8 | 20 | 76 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 17.3% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 1.80 | 3.39 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 20 | 20 | 105 | 426 | 89 | 39 | 7 | 15.8% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 2.84 | 4.29 | +1.2 |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 8 | 5 | 29 | 133 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 25.6% | 17.4% | 2.9% | 4.08 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 24 | 17 | 98 | 440 | 99 | 48 | 19 | 18.2% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 6.15 | 5.94 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 53 | 1 | 69 | 282 | 69 | 22 | 7 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 2.86 | 3.90 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | 53 | 0 | 60 | 272 | 71 | 31 | 7 | 23.0% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.33 | 4.43 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | 44 | 0 | 40 | 167 | 57 | 24 | 3 | 30.1% | 15.0% | 1.4% | 2.70 | 3.24 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 40 | — | 40 | 170 | 43 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 39 | — | 39 | 165 | 41 | 19 | 5 | 24.7% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 38 | — | 38 | 159 | 39 | 18 | 5 | 24.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 37 | 17 | 5 | 24.0% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 34 | — | 34 | 146 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 33 | — | 33 | 138 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 23.4% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | HOU | 31 | — | 31 | 130 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 23.0% | 12.0% | 3.3% | 4.78 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | HOU | 29 | — | 29 | 122 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 22.5% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 4.91 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 210 | 51 | 421 | 1796 | 365 | 213 | 54 | 20.3% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 3.85 | 4.55 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 100 | 24 | 200 | 853 | 173 | 101 | 26 | 20.3% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 3.85 | 4.55 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| John Rooney (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.7% | — | 4.46 | 24.4% | 12.9% | 113 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.47 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.55 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.08 | 2.37 | 130 | 80 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.07 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.37 | 2.50 | 190 | 78 |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.77 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.21 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.44 | 3.70 | 181 | 76 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.63 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.3% | .359 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.20 | 3.62 | 113 | 76 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.74 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 176 | 76 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.62 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .318 | 6.63 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +3.01 | 2.70 | 230 | 75 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.23 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.7% | .241 | 3.08 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.15 | 2.32 | 455 | 75 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.64 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.27 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.37 | 1.32 | 182 | 74 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.74 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .253 | 3.72 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 161 | -0.02 | 2.70 | 655 | 73 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.66 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | .342 | 2.89 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.77 | 2.89 | 101 | 72 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.47 | 20.7% | 12.4% | 1.0% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 160 | 72 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.19 | 26.2% | 13.5% | 1.1% | .220 | 4.27 | 24.7% | 12.5% | 92 | +1.08 | 3.19 | 137 | 72 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.51 | 3.70 | 110 | 72 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 72 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.43 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .300 | 3.46 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -0.97 | 2.83 | 223 | 71 |
| Sam Moll L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.64 | 26.5% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .310 | 2.91 | 25.1% | 16.8% | 143 | -1.73 | 2.35 | 451 | 71 |
| Dan Runzler L 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.78 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.03 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.25 | 3.78 | 127 | 71 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 71 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 70 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.42 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.24 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.18 | 3.24 | 163 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.