John Rooney
P
Durham Bulls
Age 29
LHP
6'5" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 28 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 118
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%25.0%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (22%)
SL (61%)
FB (39%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 8 | 20 | 76 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 17.3% | 13.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 1.80 | 3.39 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 8 | 20 | 76 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 27.6% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 0.0% | 1.80 | 2.20 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 105 | 426 | 89 | 39 | 7 | 100% | 5.2 | 15.8% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.84 | 4.31 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 105 | 426 | 89 | 39 | 7 | 100% | 5.2 | 20.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 1.6% | 2.84 | 3.39 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 8 | 5 | 29 | 133 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 62% | 3.6 | 25.6% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.08 | 4.85 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 8 | 5 | 29 | 133 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 62% | 3.6 | 31.6% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 2.3% | 4.08 | 3.73 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 24 | 17 | 98 | 440 | 99 | 48 | 19 | 71% | 4.1 | 18.2% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.15 | 5.96 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 24 | 17 | 98 | 440 | 99 | 48 | 19 | 71% | 4.1 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 6.15 | 5.07 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 1 | 69 | 282 | 69 | 22 | 7 | 2% | 1.3 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 2.86 | 3.86 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 1 | 69 | 282 | 69 | 22 | 7 | 2% | 1.3 | 24.5% | 7.8% | 16.7% | 2.5% | 2.86 | 3.37 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | 53 | 0 | 60 | 272 | 71 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 4.33 | 4.64 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | 53 | 0 | 60 | 272 | 71 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.1% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 3.80 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 40 | 167 | 57 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.1% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 1.5% | 2.70 | 3.27 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 40 | 167 | 57 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 34.1% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 1.8% | 2.70 | 3.02 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 19 | 0 | 23 | 99 | 27 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.2% | 19.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.57 | 5.83 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | TB | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | TB | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | TB | — | — | 51 | 218 | 57 | 30 | 6 | — | — | 26.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.01 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | TB | — | — | 3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 25.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.37 | 3.99 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TB | 25 | 0 | 26 | 111 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TB | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 4.67 | 4.88 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 850 | 217 | 101 | 43 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 4.67 | 4.88 | +1.2 | ||
| Career | — | 229 | 51 | 444 | 1895 | 386 | 232 | 60 | 22% | 1.9 | 20.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 3.83 | 4.66 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 103 | 23 | 200 | 854 | 174 | 105 | 27 | 22% | 1.9 | 20.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 3.83 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| John Rooney (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.54 | 24.5% | 12.9% | 26 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 74 |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 72 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 72 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .241 | 3.03 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.22 | 2.33 | 455 | 71 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .318 | 6.37 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +2.53 | 2.66 | 230 | 71 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 71 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .359 | 3.67 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.09 | 3.36 | 113 | 71 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 70 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 70 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 69 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 69 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 46 | -0.34 | 3.80 | 172 | 69 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .253 | 3.69 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 161 | -0.35 | 2.69 | 703 | 69 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 68 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 20.7% | 12.4% | 1.1% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 160 | 68 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 68 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 67 |
| Felix Doubront L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 4.0% | .304 | 3.39 | 17.6% | 12.6% | 126 | -1.06 | 3.39 | 291 | 67 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 67 |
| A.J. Block L 2024 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 1.12 | 4.42 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |