Kendry Rojas
P
St. Paul Saints
Age 23
LHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 43 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97106vR 115
ERA4.21
FIP4.21
K%21.5%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%10.0%
ROS IP43
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 85 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7095.9
Whiff%
p7629.4%
K%
p6825.6%
xwOBA vs
p580.304
FB (55%)
SI (14%)
SL (27%)
CH (18%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 8 | 4 | 24 | 87 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 50% | 3.0 | 30.5% | 7.2% | 23.3% | 1.6% | 2.28 | 2.32 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 8 | 4 | 24 | 87 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 50% | 3.0 | 44.8% | 5.7% | 39.1% | 1.1% | 2.28 | 0.99 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 11 | 41 | 177 | 46 | 19 | 1 | 85% | 3.1 | 18.3% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 3.98 | 3.68 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 11 | 41 | 177 | 46 | 19 | 1 | 85% | 3.1 | 26.0% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 0.6% | 3.98 | 2.56 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 20 | 15 | 84 | 351 | 82 | 33 | 8 | 75% | 4.2 | 17.3% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 3.75 | 4.09 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 20 | 15 | 84 | 351 | 82 | 33 | 8 | 75% | 4.2 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 2.3% | 3.75 | 3.56 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 12 | 63 | 256 | 69 | 14 | 4 | 92% | 4.8 | 20.8% | 6.1% | 14.7% | 2.0% | 2.59 | 3.20 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 12 | 63 | 256 | 69 | 14 | 4 | 92% | 4.8 | 27.0% | 5.5% | 21.5% | 1.6% | 2.59 | 2.40 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 19 | 18 | 69 | 312 | 90 | 32 | 7 | 95% | 3.6 | 22.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.70 | 4.22 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 19 | 18 | 69 | 312 | 90 | 32 | 7 | 95% | 3.6 | 28.8% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 2.2% | 4.70 | 3.20 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 16 | 5 | 42 | 182 | 45 | 25 | 3 | 31% | 2.6 | 23.1% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 1.8% | 3.67 | 3.85 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIN | 41 | 0 | 43 | 183 | 39 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 4.21 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIN | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 39 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 4.21 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 85 | 365 | 84 | 46 | 8 | — | — | 23.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 3.95 | 4.03 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 62 | 260 | 84 | 46 | 8 | — | — | 32.4% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 5.44 | 4.27 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 60 | 31 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 2.6% | 4.51 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 62 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 4.39 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 63 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.29 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 62 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 23.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 60 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 60 | 253 | 57 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 2.6% | 4.51 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 59 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 4.39 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 60 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.29 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 59 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 58 | 245 | 57 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 99 | 53 | 361 | 1527 | 352 | 174 | 39 | 54% | 3.6 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 2.6% | 4.29 | 4.01 | +5.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 29 | 200 | 847 | 195 | 96 | 22 | 53% | 3.6 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 2.6% | 4.29 | 4.01 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 89 | 65 | 322 | 1365 | 284 | 144 | 27 | 73% | 3.6 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 2.0% | 3.64 | 3.75 | +6.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 40 | 200 | 849 | 176 | 90 | 17 | 73% | 3.6 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 2.0% | 3.64 | 3.75 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kendry Rojas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 20.9% | 11.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.35 | 23.0% | 12.1% | 191 | -0.31 | — | — | — |
| Hunter Barco L 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.51 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.79 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 150 | +0.28 | 3.51 | 212 | 77 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 72 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.63 | 23.1% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .249 | 4.99 | 21.5% | 9.2% | 48 | +1.36 | 3.10 | 196 | 71 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 71 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.3% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .313 | 4.65 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 139 | +0.16 | 4.12 | 234 | 71 |
| Mitch Farris L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.70 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.27 | 22.8% | 11.4% | 181 | +0.57 | 3.70 | 286 | 71 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.33 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .288 | 4.01 | 25.1% | 10.7% | 150 | -0.32 | 3.72 | 239 | 70 |
| Cole Ragans L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.15 | 20.2% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.38 | 26.8% | 17.4% | 445 | -1.77 | 2.46 | 623 | 70 |
| Will Johnston L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .290 | 4.34 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 82 | +0.13 | 4.04 | 174 | 69 |
| Rio Britton L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.77 | 22.0% | 15.8% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 128 | 68 |
| Kody Funderburk L 2025 · 3.56 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.56 | 18.3% | 13.2% | 0.6% | .317 | 3.70 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 174 | +0.14 | 2.06 | 461 | 68 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 68 |
| Sam Garcia L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.74 | 18.5% | 12.7% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.62 | 25.5% | 9.2% | 24 | -1.12 | 3.62 | 125 | 68 |
| Jared Beck L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.16 | 21.1% | 15.9% | 1.5% | .338 | 6.22 | 20.1% | -8.4% | 82 | +2.06 | 4.16 | 158 | 68 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2027 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 68 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.80 | 21.8% | 14.0% | 1.4% | .335 | 3.81 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 84 | +0.01 | 3.80 | 152 | 67 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .278 | 5.53 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 65 | +1.18 | 4.35 | 128 | 67 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.80 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .360 | 5.95 | 16.3% | -2.8% | 144 | +1.15 | 4.80 | 223 | 67 |
| Trenton Wallace L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.67 | 25.8% | 15.8% | 1.3% | .224 | 4.69 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 206 | +1.02 | 2.75 | 286 | 67 |
| Larson Kindreich L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.18 | 24.3% | 18.6% | 1.4% | .275 | 5.03 | 22.3% | 6.1% | 149 | +0.85 | 4.15 | 214 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 63 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 1.04 | 4.43 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Archie Bradley ('21) | 6 | 74 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 0.85 | 3.93 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |