Mitch Farris
P
Los Angeles Angels
Age 25
LHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
MLB
2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 120 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110120vR 129
ERA4.35
FIP4.47
K%22.3%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP120
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 171 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1291.8
Whiff%
p6727.9%
K%
p5723.4%
xwOBA vs
p100.362
CT+0.7 (15%)
CH (26%)
FB (47%)
SL-0.7 (13%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 2 | 17 | 65 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 40% | 3.3 | 32.3% | 9.2% | 23.1% | 1.5% | 2.16 | 2.39 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 2 | 17 | 65 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 40% | 3.3 | 32.3% | 9.2% | 23.1% | 1.5% | 2.16 | 2.44 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 19 | 108 | 442 | 131 | 43 | 7 | 76% | 4.3 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 3.08 | 3.70 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 19 | 108 | 442 | 131 | 43 | 7 | 76% | 4.3 | 29.6% | 9.7% | 19.9% | 1.6% | 3.08 | 2.71 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 27 | 140 | 614 | 166 | 66 | 14 | 96% | 5.0 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 2.5% | 4.68 | 4.05 | +2.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 27 | 140 | 614 | 166 | 66 | 14 | 96% | 5.0 | 27.0% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 2.3% | 4.68 | 3.44 | +3.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 22 | 3 | 51 | 218 | 53 | 23 | 9 | 14% | 2.3 | 23.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 3.71 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAA | 114 | 0 | 120 | 507 | 113 | 55 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.35 | 4.47 | +1.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAA | 114 | 0 | 120 | 507 | 113 | 55 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.35 | 4.47 | +1.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 171 | 725 | 166 | 78 | 26 | — | — | 22.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 4.15 | 4.63 | +1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 160 | 677 | 166 | 78 | 26 | — | — | 24.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 4.43 | 4.62 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 160 | 677 | 152 | 71 | 23 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 4.73 | 4.77 | +1.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 158 | 667 | 149 | 69 | 23 | 100% | 6.6 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 4.73 | 4.76 | +1.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 23 | 153 | 647 | 144 | 67 | 23 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 4.78 | 4.82 | +1.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 23 | 152 | 642 | 144 | 67 | 22 | 100% | 6.6 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 4.73 | 4.77 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 23 | 150 | 633 | 142 | 65 | 22 | 100% | 6.5 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 4.73 | 4.76 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 22 | 22 | 146 | 616 | 137 | 64 | 22 | 100% | 6.6 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 4.78 | 4.82 | +1.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 206 | 73 | 632 | 2675 | 600 | 280 | 94 | 35% | 3.1 | 22.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 4.68 | 4.46 | +6.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 23 | 200 | 846 | 190 | 89 | 30 | 35% | 3.1 | 22.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 4.68 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 80 | 51 | 316 | 1339 | 314 | 148 | 37 | 64% | 4.0 | 23.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 2.7% | 3.84 | 4.01 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 32 | 200 | 847 | 199 | 93 | 23 | 64% | 4.0 | 23.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 2.7% | 3.84 | 4.01 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mitch Farris (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.78 | 22.4% | 12.0% | 471 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Norris L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 25.5% | 9.5% | 4.4% | .311 | 4.42 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 229 | -0.13 | 2.86 | 821 | 67 |
| Hunter Barco L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 20.3% | 11.7% | 2.6% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 212 | 67 |
| Nick Margevicius L 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.81 | 20.0% | 11.7% | 3.5% | .282 | 5.04 | 15.7% | 8.7% | 118 | +0.23 | 1.74 | 525 | 65 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 64 |
| Edgar Barclay L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.79 | 24.5% | 13.6% | 3.7% | .307 | 5.60 | 16.5% | 4.9% | 157 | +0.81 | 2.06 | 402 | 64 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 63 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2025 · 5.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.49 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.8% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 121 | 63 |
| Connor Oliver L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.91 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 200 | 63 |
| Zac Lowther L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.60 | 20.9% | 10.6% | 3.5% | .328 | 5.76 | 17.8% | 7.2% | 44 | +1.16 | 3.02 | 375 | 63 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.77 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 154 | 63 |
| Rio Britton L 2024 · 4.77 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.77 | 22.0% | 15.8% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 128 | 63 |
| Avery Weems L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.13 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | .323 | 5.19 | 20.5% | 12.3% | 38 | +0.06 | 2.46 | 227 | 62 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .322 | 5.90 | 28.8% | 13.9% | 13 | +2.06 | 3.84 | 249 | 62 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2028 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 62 |
| Lael Lockhart L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.22 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.47 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 271 | +1.25 | 3.71 | 484 | 62 |
| Ryan Magdic L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.64 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .314 | 3.18 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 54 | -0.46 | 3.18 | 150 | 61 |
| Nick Maronde L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 61 |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 61 |
| Hayden Frank L 2024 · 5.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.29 | 17.2% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.29 | 109 | 61 |
| Jojo Ingrassia L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.97 | 26.7% | 13.8% | 2.5% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.60 | 112 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 158 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 1.28 | 4.71 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |
| James Shields ('18) | 4 | 176 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 1.71 | 4.81 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |