Mitch Farris — OGILVIE

Mitch Farris P Los Angeles Angels

Age 25 LHP 6'2" / 195 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION72 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 122

ERA4.23

FIP4.32

K%22.0%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%10.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 79 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—35

STUF5055

CTRL4555

CMD5050

K†5055

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1191.7

Whiff%

p7128.6%

p6424.7%

xwOBA vs

p150.353

CT+0.7 (14%)

CH (25%)

FB (48%)

SL-0.7 (13%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	2	17	65	21	6	1	40%	3.3	32.3%	9.2%	23.1%	1.5%	2.16	2.39	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	2	17	65	21	6	1	40%	3.3	32.3%	9.2%	23.1%	1.5%	2.16	2.39	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	2	17	65	21	6	1	40%	3.3	32.3%	9.2%	23.1%	1.5%	2.16	2.44	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	19	108	442	131	43	7	76%	4.3	23.3%	10.7%	12.7%	1.8%	3.08	3.45	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	19	108	442	131	43	7	76%	4.3	23.3%	10.7%	12.7%	1.8%	3.08	3.45	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	19	108	442	131	43	7	76%	4.3	29.6%	9.7%	19.9%	1.6%	3.08	2.71	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	140	614	166	66	14	96%	5.0	22.6%	11.6%	11.0%	2.5%	4.68	4.06	+1.4
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	140	614	166	66	14	96%	5.0	22.6%	11.6%	11.0%	2.5%	4.68	4.06	+1.4
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	27	140	614	166	66	14	96%	5.0	27.0%	10.7%	16.3%	2.3%	4.68	3.44	+2.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			33	5	75	326	78	35	13	15%	2.3	23.9%	10.7%	13.2%	4.0%	4.94	4.68	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	37	3	72	316	75	37	13	8%	2.0	22.6%	11.3%	11.3%	4.2%	4.35	4.92	-0.3
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	37	3	72	316	75	37	13	8%	2.0	22.6%	11.3%	11.3%	4.2%	4.35	4.92	-0.3
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	LAA	9	3	22	97	21	13	4	33%	2.4	21.6%	13.4%	8.2%	4.1%	4.91	5.23	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	LAA	28	0	50	219	54	24	9	0%	1.8	24.7%	11.0%	13.7%	4.1%	4.11	4.66	-0.1
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	LAA	28	0	50	219	54	24	9	0%	1.8	24.7%	11.0%	13.7%	4.1%	4.11	4.66	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB MLE	LAA	6	0	6	27	6	3	1	0%	1.1	22.0%	11.1%	10.9%	3.1%	4.23	4.32	+0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	LAA	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.0%	11.1%	10.9%	3.1%	4.23	4.32	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	79	343	81	40	14	—	—	23.6%	11.7%	11.9%	4.0%	4.34	4.87	-0.1
FULL	25	MLB A+C	LAA	—	—	57	239	81	40	14	—	—	33.8%	16.7%	17.1%	5.8%	6.03	5.53	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAA	153	0	160	677	155	72	22	0%	1.0	22.9%	10.6%	12.3%	3.3%	4.65	4.68	-0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAA	150	0	158	667	152	70	22	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.4%	12.4%	3.3%	4.66	4.68	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	LAA	146	0	153	647	147	68	22	0%	1.0	22.7%	10.5%	12.2%	3.4%	4.70	4.74	-0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	LAA	139	0	146	618	136	66	22	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.6%	11.5%	3.5%	4.81	4.89	-0.6
2031	30	MLB MLE	LAA	131	0	138	581	124	63	22	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.9%	10.5%	3.7%	4.98	5.10	-0.8
2027	26	MLB CTX	LAA	145	0	152	642	147	68	21	0%	1.0	22.9%	10.6%	12.3%	3.3%	4.65	4.68	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAA	143	0	150	633	145	66	21	0%	1.0	22.9%	10.4%	12.4%	3.3%	4.66	4.68	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	LAA	139	0	146	616	140	64	21	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.5%	12.2%	3.4%	4.70	4.74	-0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	LAA	132	0	139	587	130	62	21	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.6%	11.5%	3.5%	4.81	4.89	-0.5
2031	30	MLB CTX	LAA	125	0	131	553	118	60	21	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.9%	10.5%	3.7%	4.98	5.10	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		722	5	798	3382	763	359	118	1%	1.1	22.6%	10.6%	11.9%	3.5%	4.77	4.45	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		181	1	200	847	191	90	30	1%	1.1	22.6%	10.6%	11.9%	3.5%	4.77	4.45	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		95	51	337	1437	335	160	38	54%	3.6	23.3%	11.2%	12.1%	2.6%	3.98	3.99	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	30	200	852	198	95	22	54%	3.6	23.3%	11.2%	12.1%	2.6%	3.98	3.99	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mitch Farris (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	21.4%	10.9%	2.9%	—	4.70	22.8%	12.3%	471	+0.03	—	—	—
Parker Mushinski L 2021 · 3.50 FIP	25	SW	3.50	24.7%	9.0%	2.5%	.357	4.06	21.3%	11.5%	143	+0.56	3.11	455	71
Nick Margevicius L 2021 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP-	4.77	20.0%	11.7%	3.4%	.282	4.85	15.4%	8.8%	118	+0.08	1.74	525	65
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.83	21.4%	10.7%	156	-0.19	2.44	171	65
Edgar Barclay L 2023 · 4.71 FIP	25	SW	4.71	23.8%	12.1%	3.8%	.307	5.59	15.7%	5.5%	157	+0.88	2.06	402	65
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	65
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	64
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	64
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	64
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.94	19.6%	8.8%	307	+0.65	3.59	520	63
Samuel Strickland L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	24	SW	4.87	19.5%	7.3%	4.5%	.337	3.53	20.1%	14.4%	148	-1.34	2.91	292	62
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	62
Kohl Drake L 2023 · 4.81 FIP	23	SW	4.81	16.3%	11.9%	2.9%	.391	4.32	21.8%	12.5%	292	-0.49	3.32	327	62
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	61
Rito Lugo L 2022 · 4.04 FIP	26	SW	4.04	18.3%	7.3%	2.8%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	176	61
Avery Weems L 2022 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	21.3%	8.6%	4.5%	.323	5.13	20.5%	12.3%	38	+0.26	2.46	227	60
Drake Owenby L 2017 · 4.13 FIP	23	SP-	4.13	23.4%	7.8%	3.7%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	140	60
Rob Zastryzny L 2017 · 4.88 FIP	25	SW	4.88	17.5%	8.2%	4.0%	.328	4.46	18.1%	8.9%	169	-0.42	3.34	634	60
Brandon Waddell L 2019 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	21.1%	11.3%	2.8%	.344	3.62	20.1%	10.5%	53	-0.68	2.67	616	60
Cameron Bishop L 2021 · 3.62 FIP	25	SW	3.62	21.7%	10.3%	1.9%	.296	2.86	29.6%	11.8%	18	-0.76	2.86	305	60
Colin Rodgers L 2018 · 4.36 FIP	24	SW	4.36	16.8%	9.7%	2.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	313	60

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.6	153	22.2%	10.7%	1.29	4.72
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Trevor Bauer ('21)	5.6	159	26.8%	8.7%	1.13	3.68
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75