Nate Fisher
P
Charlotte Knights
+0.7
WAR
Age 30
LHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.7 · 2026
ERA4.68
FIP4.68
xFIP6.91
SIERA7.56
K%21.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%11.6%
IP101
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2026
K†5050
CH+0.9
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | A | West Virginia Power | 5 | 5 | 25 | 114 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 11.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.33 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 21 | 2 | 37 | 148 | 47 | 11 | 3 | 25.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 2.89 | 1.42 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | New York Mets | 31 | 13 | 88 | 375 | 81 | 36 | 9 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.00 | 4.38 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 26 | 20 | 104 | 483 | 85 | 49 | 23 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 6.51 | 5.74 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 18 | 18 | 101 | 425 | 90 | 41 | 14 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.68 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 18 | 18 | 97 | 410 | 86 | 39 | 13 | 21.1% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.71 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 17 | 17 | 93 | 394 | 82 | 38 | 13 | 20.9% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.72 | 4.76 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 16 | 16 | 89 | 376 | 77 | 36 | 13 | 20.6% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.78 | 4.84 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 15 | 15 | 84 | 357 | 72 | 35 | 13 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 4.93 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 14 | 14 | 80 | 336 | 74 | 31 | 12 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 4.81 | 4.78 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 14 | 14 | 74 | 314 | 67 | 30 | 12 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 4.87 | 4.92 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 83 | 40 | 254 | 1120 | 195 | 100 | 38 | 17.4% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 5.00 | 4.60 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 31 | 200 | 882 | 154 | 79 | 30 | 17.4% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 5.00 | 4.60 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nate Fisher (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.68 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 3.2% | — | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.3% | 279 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Jorge Castillo L 2029 · 4.49 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.49 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 4.82 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.33 | 4.49 | 408 | 80 |
| Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.64 | 22.4% | 12.4% | 3.4% | .299 | 4.88 | 22.5% | 11.9% | 154 | +0.24 | 4.34 | 713 | 76 |
| Travis Blackley L 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.89 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .324 | 4.45 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.44 | 3.85 | 225 | 75 |
| Tomas Solis L 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | .264 | 5.13 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +0.96 | 4.17 | 327 | 75 |
| Ryan Bollinger L 2023 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.57 | 17.1% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 112 | 74 |
| Everett Teaford L 2027 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.43 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 103 | 73 |
| Orlando Lara L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.15 | 15.2% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .348 | 4.07 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 230 | -0.08 | 3.83 | 426 | 73 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.98 | 14.9% | 6.4% | 2.4% | .367 | 4.15 | 15.9% | 10.3% | 97 | +0.17 | 3.98 | 280 | 73 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2028 · 4.79 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | .301 | 4.73 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.06 | 4.33 | 445 | 72 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .300 | 5.25 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.49 | 3.44 | 360 | 72 |
| Alejandro Astorga L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 14.4% | 8.2% | 2.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 311 | 71 |
| Matt Moore L 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.66 | 18.3% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .334 | 5.48 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 92 | +0.82 | 2.83 | 845 | 71 |
| Nick Ramirez L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.97 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 3.1% | .284 | 3.42 | 20.5% | 13.1% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.93 | 478 | 70 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.11 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .318 | 4.39 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.28 | 3.52 | 282 | 69 |
| James Gillheeney L 2023 · 3.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.81 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 129 | 68 |
| Kramer Sneed L 2023 · 4.25 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.25 | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 116 | 68 |
| Hyun Jin Ryu L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.60 | 21.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .294 | 2.79 | 24.5% | 20.5% | 332 | -1.81 | 2.77 | 725 | 68 |
| Mike Montgomery L 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.39 | 17.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | .337 | 4.80 | 15.6% | 4.4% | 86 | -0.59 | 3.50 | 764 | 65 |
| Carlos Teller L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.63 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .322 | 4.86 | 13.1% | -1.1% | 60 | +0.23 | 3.74 | 333 | 65 |
| Christian Friedrich L 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.86 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 188 | 65 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.