Kent Emanuel — OGILVIE

Kent Emanuel P Louisville Bats

Age 34 LHP 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110118vR 126

ERA4.56

FIP4.90

K%11.4%

BB%7.5%

K-BB%3.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL5555

CMD4040

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.4

Whiff%

p1012.2%

p1014.6%

xwOBA vs

p100.366

SL (29%)

SI (58%)

FB-2.1 (58%)

CH-3.9 (13%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	4	2	15	66	5	5	1	50%	3.7	6.1%	8.3%	-2.2%	1.7%	3.68	4.58	—
2015	23	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	4	2	15	66	5	5	1	50%	3.7	7.6%	7.6%	0.0%	1.5%	3.68	4.33	—
2016	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	17	16	83	361	58	20	8	94%	4.9	13.0%	6.1%	6.9%	2.2%	5.23	3.99	—
2016	24	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	17	16	83	361	58	20	8	94%	4.9	16.1%	5.5%	10.5%	2.2%	5.23	3.68	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	19	116	531	91	37	14	76%	4.7	14.3%	7.5%	6.8%	3.0%	5.72	4.51	—
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	19	116	531	91	37	14	76%	4.7	17.1%	7.0%	10.2%	2.6%	5.72	4.05	—
2018	26	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	31	10	84	380	86	25	10	32%	2.7	19.9%	6.9%	13.0%	3.0%	5.59	3.96	—
2018	26	AAA RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	31	10	84	380	86	25	10	32%	2.7	22.6%	6.6%	16.1%	2.6%	5.59	3.49	—
2019	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	28	7	102	413	81	23	9	25%	3.6	17.3%	5.8%	11.4%	2.5%	3.90	3.77	—
2019	27	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	28	7	102	413	81	23	9	25%	3.6	19.6%	5.6%	14.0%	2.2%	3.90	3.34	—
2021	29	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	10	0	18	68	13	4	4	0%	1.8	19.1%	5.9%	13.2%	6.0%	2.55	5.55	-0.2
2021	29	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	10	0	18	68	13	4	4	0%	1.8	19.1%	5.9%	13.2%	5.9%	2.55	5.25	-0.1
2022	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	13	58	236	52	8	4	100%	4.5	19.6%	3.2%	16.4%	2.1%	2.64	3.03	—
2022	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	13	58	236	52	8	4	100%	4.5	22.0%	3.4%	18.6%	1.7%	2.64	2.62	—
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	13	85	381	78	22	13	62%	4.1	16.7%	5.2%	11.4%	3.5%	6.12	4.25	—
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	13	85	381	78	22	13	62%	4.1	16.7%	5.2%	11.4%	3.5%	6.12	4.25	—
2023	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	13	85	381	78	22	13	62%	4.1	20.5%	5.8%	14.7%	3.4%	6.12	4.03	—
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	7	66	303	53	22	10	26%	2.4	15.2%	6.8%	8.4%	3.7%	6.41	4.73	-0.1
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	7	66	303	53	22	10	26%	2.4	15.2%	6.8%	8.4%	3.7%	6.41	4.73	-0.1
2024	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	7	66	303	53	22	10	26%	2.4	17.5%	7.3%	10.2%	3.3%	6.41	4.46	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			23	1	40	173	29	14	8	4%	1.8	16.8%	8.1%	8.7%	4.6%	4.46	5.28	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	34	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	6	5	33	145	31	15	5	83%	5.4	18.4%	8.9%	9.5%	4.5%	4.13	5.14	—
YTD	34	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	6	5	33	145	31	15	5	83%	5.4	18.4%	8.9%	9.5%	4.5%	4.13	5.14	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	34	AAA RAW	CIN	5	4	28	122	27	12	5	80%	5.5	22.1%	9.8%	12.3%	4.1%	4.23	4.73	—
2026	34	MLB RAW	CIN	1	1	5	23	4	3	0	100%	5.0	17.4%	13.0%	4.3%	0.0%	3.60	3.28	—
SO FAR	34	MLB RAW	CIN	1	1	5	23	4	3	0	100%	5.0	17.4%	13.0%	4.3%	0.0%	3.60	3.28	—
ROS	34	MLB MLE	CIN	1	1	5	23	3	2	1	100%	5.4	11.4%	7.5%	3.9%	3.3%	4.56	4.90	-0.0
ROS	34	MLB CTX	CIN	1	1	5	21	2	2	1	100%	5.0	11.4%	7.5%	3.9%	3.3%	4.56	4.90	-0.0
2026 TOT	34	MLB MLE	CIN	—	—	38	168	34	17	6	—	—	20.0%	10.0%	10.1%	3.4%	4.19	5.11	-0.2
FULL	34	MLB A+C	CIN	—	—	10	44	34	17	6	—	—	76.7%	38.2%	38.6%	13.1%	15.38	8.66	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	CIN	7	7	53	224	26	19	8	100%	7.6	11.4%	8.5%	2.9%	3.5%	5.22	5.49	-0.3
2028	36	MLB MLE	CIN	7	7	47	198	22	18	8	100%	6.7	11.3%	9.1%	2.2%	3.8%	5.52	5.77	-0.4
2029	37	MLB MLE	CIN	6	6	41	173	19	17	7	100%	6.8	10.8%	9.8%	1.0%	4.2%	5.84	6.10	-0.5
2027	35	MLB CTX	CIN	7	7	50	211	24	18	7	100%	7.1	11.4%	8.5%	2.9%	3.5%	5.22	5.49	-0.3
2028	36	MLB CTX	CIN	6	6	41	173	20	16	7	100%	6.8	11.3%	9.1%	2.2%	3.8%	5.52	5.77	-0.4
2029	37	MLB CTX	CIN	4	4	32	135	15	13	6	100%	8.0	10.8%	9.8%	1.0%	4.2%	5.84	6.10	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		41	19	169	714	90	63	28	46%	4.1	12.6%	8.8%	3.8%	4.0%	5.21	5.32	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		49	23	200	848	107	75	33	46%	4.1	12.6%	8.8%	3.8%	4.0%	5.21	5.32	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		182	92	659	2884	469	182	87	51%	3.6	16.3%	6.3%	9.9%	3.0%	5.00	4.19	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	28	200	876	142	55	27	51%	3.6	16.3%	6.3%	9.9%	3.0%	5.00	4.19	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kent Emanuel (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.33	10.7%	7.5%	3.3%	—	5.76	11.2%	2.1%	141	+0.43	—	—	—
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	70
Vidal Nuño L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	34	SW	4.88	16.0%	4.9%	4.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	424	68
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	66
Chris Narveson L 2016 · 4.59 FIP	34	SP-	4.59	16.2%	8.5%	3.2%	.253	4.59	12.2%	1.8%	103	+0.00	4.59	249	64
David Huff L 2021 · 6.26 FIP	36	SP-	6.26	14.5%	4.5%	7.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	158	63
Cesár Ramos L 2017 · 4.23 FIP	33	SW	4.23	16.7%	8.3%	2.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	225	62
Tomas Solis L 2017 · 5.48 FIP	34	SP	5.48	11.3%	7.9%	4.2%	.322	6.44	8.9%	1.4%	57	+0.96	4.20	327	61
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	33	SP-	4.21	17.7%	8.2%	2.9%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	146	60
Yohan Flande L 2019 · 4.21 FIP	33	SP-	4.21	10.0%	11.9%	0.8%	.386	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	335	59
Paul Oseguera L 2016 · 5.62 FIP	32	SP	5.62	5.6%	12.5%	2.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	162	54
Jonathon Niese L 2019 · 5.67 FIP	32	SP	5.67	10.9%	8.2%	4.5%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	368	54
Jonathan Sánchez L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	36	SP	4.73	18.1%	8.3%	3.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	109	51
Eric Stults L 2015 · 4.27 FIP	35	SP	4.27	14.5%	5.9%	3.0%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	138	51
Arturo Lopez L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	34	SP	4.34	10.3%	5.4%	2.6%	.342	5.46	12.2%	5.4%	117	+1.12	4.34	445	51
Blaine Hardy L 2021 · 5.14 FIP	34	SW	5.14	19.5%	10.5%	4.3%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	417	50
Scott Kazmir L 2017 · 6.40 FIP	33	SP-	6.40	8.7%	13.0%	4.3%	.256	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	395	48
Dana Eveland L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	33	SW	4.67	14.7%	4.7%	4.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.42	129	47
James Jones L 2023 · 4.71 FIP	34	SU	4.71	13.2%	11.5%	2.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	127	45
James Russell L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	33	SP	4.28	16.2%	3.2%	3.9%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	2.66	233	44
Barry Zito L 2015 · 4.52 FIP	37	SP	4.52	13.6%	10.7%	2.2%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	4.52	138	44

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	50	11.1%	8.6%	1.41	5.35
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Ty Blach ('24)	2.5	84	12.8%	6.9%	1.23	5.56
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43