Kent Emanuel
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.0
WAR
Age 34
LHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AAA
ERA5.42
FIP4.62
xFIP4.96
SIERA4.30
K%19.6%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%11.5%
IP62
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF2525
CTRL5555
CMD4040
K†3030
FB Velo
p1089.4
Whiff%
p1012.2%
K%
p1014.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.366
SL (29%)
SI (58%)
FB-2.1 (58%)
CH-3.9 (13%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 4 | 2 | 15 | 66 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6.1% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 3.68 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 17 | 16 | 83 | 361 | 58 | 20 | 8 | 13.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 5.23 | 3.97 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | 25 | 19 | 116 | 531 | 91 | 37 | 14 | 14.3% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 5.72 | 4.52 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | 31 | 10 | 84 | 380 | 86 | 25 | 10 | 19.9% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 5.59 | 3.95 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 28 | 7 | 102 | 413 | 81 | 23 | 9 | 17.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 3.90 | 3.77 | +1.8 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | 10 | 0 | 18 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 19.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.55 | 5.35 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 13 | 13 | 58 | 236 | 52 | 8 | 4 | 19.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.64 | 3.03 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 21 | 13 | 85 | 381 | 78 | 22 | 13 | 17.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 6.12 | 4.25 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 27 | 7 | 66 | 303 | 53 | 22 | 10 | 15.9% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 6.41 | 4.73 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 62 | 264 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 5.78 | 5.33 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 59 | — | 59 | 249 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 12.7% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 5.50 | 5.38 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 12.7% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 5.44 | 5.46 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 176 | 87 | 626 | 2739 | 448 | 175 | 80 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 4.14 | +8.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 28 | 200 | 875 | 143 | 56 | 26 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 4.14 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kent Emanuel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.33 | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | — | 5.42 | 12.7% | 3.7% | 114 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.04 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.48 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.56 | 4.28 | 159 | 78 |
| Jonathon Niese L 2024 · 5.66 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.66 | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.4% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 368 | 73 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.89 | 16.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 424 | 72 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.59 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 5.0% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.32 | 182 | 71 |
| Tomas Solis L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.52 | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.3% | .322 | 6.33 | 8.9% | 1.4% | 57 | +0.81 | 4.17 | 327 | 70 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.83 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.6% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 127 | 68 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.89 | 14.0% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 127 | 67 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.57 | 17.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | .276 | 3.54 | 19.8% | 13.1% | 75 | -1.03 | 2.22 | 405 | 67 |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 66 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.48 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 3.98 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 32 | -0.50 | 2.66 | 166 | 65 |
| Blaine Hardy L 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.10 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 4.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 417 | 65 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.97 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 181 | 65 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 154 | 63 |
| Dana Eveland L 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.68 | 14.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.42 | 129 | 63 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2025 · 6.46 FIP | 33 | SU | 6.46 | 8.7% | 13.0% | 4.5% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 395 | 62 |
| David Huff L 2028 · 6.27 FIP | 36 | SU | 6.27 | 14.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 158 | 62 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.24 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.7% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 225 | 61 |
| Paul Oseguera L 2024 · 5.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.60 | 5.6% | 12.5% | 2.5% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 162 | 61 |
| J.P. Howell L 2026 · 5.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.97 | 11.5% | 13.5% | 3.9% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 106 | 60 |
| Everett Teaford L 2023 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.43 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 103 | 60 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.