Kent Emanuel
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 34
LHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122131vR 140
ERA5.02
FIP5.39
K%11.1%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%3.0%
ROS IP59
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.4
Whiff%
p1012.2%
K%
p1014.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.366
SL (29%)
SI (58%)
FB-2.1 (58%)
CH-3.9 (13%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 4 | 2 | 15 | 66 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 50% | 3.7 | 6.1% | 8.3% | -2.2% | 1.6% | 3.68 | 4.53 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 4 | 2 | 15 | 66 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 50% | 3.7 | 7.6% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 3.68 | 4.33 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 17 | 16 | 83 | 361 | 58 | 20 | 8 | 94% | 4.9 | 13.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 5.23 | 3.82 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 17 | 16 | 83 | 361 | 58 | 20 | 8 | 94% | 4.9 | 16.1% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 5.23 | 3.68 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 19 | 116 | 531 | 91 | 37 | 14 | 76% | 4.7 | 14.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 5.72 | 4.51 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 19 | 116 | 531 | 91 | 37 | 14 | 76% | 4.7 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 5.72 | 4.05 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | 31 | 10 | 84 | 380 | 86 | 25 | 10 | 32% | 2.7 | 19.9% | 6.9% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 5.59 | 4.06 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | 31 | 10 | 84 | 380 | 86 | 25 | 10 | 32% | 2.7 | 22.6% | 6.6% | 16.1% | 2.6% | 5.59 | 3.49 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 28 | 7 | 102 | 413 | 81 | 23 | 9 | 25% | 3.6 | 17.3% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 3.90 | 3.85 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 28 | 7 | 102 | 413 | 81 | 23 | 9 | 25% | 3.6 | 19.6% | 5.6% | 14.0% | 2.2% | 3.90 | 3.34 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | 10 | 0 | 18 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 19.1% | 5.9% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 2.55 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | 10 | 0 | 18 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 19.1% | 5.9% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.55 | 5.25 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 58 | 236 | 52 | 8 | 4 | 100% | 4.5 | 19.6% | 3.2% | 16.4% | 2.1% | 2.64 | 2.98 | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 58 | 236 | 52 | 8 | 4 | 100% | 4.5 | 22.0% | 3.4% | 18.6% | 1.7% | 2.64 | 2.62 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 13 | 85 | 381 | 78 | 22 | 13 | 62% | 4.1 | 17.7% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 6.12 | 4.13 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 13 | 85 | 381 | 78 | 22 | 13 | 62% | 4.1 | 20.5% | 5.8% | 14.7% | 3.4% | 6.12 | 4.03 | — |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 7 | 66 | 303 | 53 | 22 | 10 | 26% | 2.4 | 15.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 6.41 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 7 | 66 | 303 | 53 | 22 | 10 | 26% | 2.4 | 17.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 6.41 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 56 | 0 | 59 | 250 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.02 | 5.39 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 51 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.4% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.33 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.2% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.63 | 5.88 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | MIA | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 19 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.8% | 10.0% | 0.8% | 4.3% | 5.95 | 6.21 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.4% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.33 | 5.61 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.2% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.63 | 5.88 | — |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.8% | 10.0% | 0.8% | 4.3% | 5.95 | 6.21 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 25 | 0 | 38 | 162 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.64 | 5.52 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 130 | 0 | 200 | 849 | 136 | 63 | 42 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.64 | 5.52 | -0.3 | ||
| Career | — | 176 | 87 | 626 | 2739 | 448 | 175 | 80 | 49% | 3.6 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 4.13 | +9.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 28 | 200 | 875 | 143 | 56 | 26 | 49% | 3.6 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kent Emanuel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.39 | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% | — | 5.87 | 11.2% | 1.8% | 141 | +0.48 | — | — | — |
| Everett Teaford L 2023 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 69 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.85 | 16.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 424 | 69 |
| Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.76 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .253 | 4.40 | 12.2% | 1.8% | 103 | -0.36 | 4.40 | 249 | 63 |
| David Huff L 2028 · 6.38 FIP | 36 | SP- | 6.38 | 14.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 158 | 62 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2025 · 6.22 FIP | 33 | SP- | 6.22 | 8.7% | 13.0% | 4.0% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 395 | 60 |
| Yohan Flande L 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.20 | 10.0% | 11.9% | 0.8% | .386 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 335 | 59 |
| Tomas Solis L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.86 | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | .322 | 7.02 | 8.9% | 1.4% | 57 | +1.16 | 4.35 | 327 | 58 |
| Blaine Hardy L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.38 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 4.7% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.76 | 417 | 54 |
| Paul Oseguera L 2024 · 5.58 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.58 | 5.6% | 12.5% | 2.5% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 162 | 53 |
| Jonathon Niese L 2024 · 5.56 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.56 | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.2% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 368 | 53 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 49 |
| Wade LeBlanc L 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.39 | 17.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | .306 | 4.87 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 106 | -0.52 | 3.53 | 609 | 49 |
| Dana Eveland L 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.91 | 14.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.42 | 129 | 49 |
| Eric Stults L 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 48 |
| Gio Gonzalez L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.88 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 3.8% | .362 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 864 | 48 |
| Josh Outman L 2026 · 6.40 FIP | 34 | SP | 6.40 | 12.9% | 18.5% | 3.7% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.70 | 106 | 48 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.24 | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | .342 | 5.22 | 12.2% | 5.4% | 117 | +0.98 | 4.24 | 445 | 47 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.88 | 14.0% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 127 | 47 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 47 |
| Barry Zito L 2029 · 4.80 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.80 | 13.6% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 138 | 42 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 50 | 11.1% | 9.0% | 1.45 | 5.44 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Josh Fleming ('24) | 5 | 51 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 1.17 | 4.77 |