Nomar Medina
P
San Jose Giants
Age 23
LHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.0 · 2029
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102112vR 121
ERA4.48
FIP4.48
K%22.5%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 14 | 3 | 35 | 148 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 21% | 2.5 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 0.8% | 2.57 | 3.41 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 14 | 3 | 35 | 148 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 21% | 2.5 | 25.0% | 8.1% | 16.9% | 0.7% | 2.57 | 2.39 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 14 | 12 | 65 | 263 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 86% | 4.6 | 18.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 0.5% | 2.22 | 2.79 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 14 | 12 | 65 | 263 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 86% | 4.6 | 26.6% | 6.1% | 20.5% | 0.4% | 2.22 | 1.88 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | San Jose Giants | 25 | 14 | 95 | 427 | 77 | 46 | 13 | 56% | 3.8 | 13.3% | 12.7% | 0.6% | 5.1% | 5.19 | 6.37 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | San Jose Giants | 25 | 14 | 95 | 427 | 77 | 46 | 13 | 56% | 3.8 | 18.0% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 5.19 | 4.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 67 | 282 | 63 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.5% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 68 | 289 | 67 | 26 | 9 | 100% | 6.8 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.35 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 69 | 293 | 69 | 26 | 9 | 100% | 6.9 | 23.6% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.27 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 69 | 293 | 69 | 26 | 9 | 100% | 6.9 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.25 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 68 | 288 | 68 | 26 | 9 | 100% | 6.8 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SF | 4 | 4 | 29 | 122 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 7.2 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SF | 7 | 7 | 46 | 194 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 6.6 | 23.6% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | SF | 8 | 8 | 55 | 232 | 55 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 6.9 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | SF | 9 | 9 | 58 | 245 | 58 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 28 | 28 | 188 | 795 | 188 | 71 | 23 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.6% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 3.84 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 30 | 30 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 75 | 24 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.6% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 3.84 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 53 | 29 | 195 | 838 | 130 | 89 | 24 | 55% | 3.7 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.73 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 30 | 200 | 858 | 133 | 91 | 25 | 55% | 3.7 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.73 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nomar Medina (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 22.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.29 | 23.5% | 14.6% | 207 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Will Johnston L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .290 | 4.34 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 82 | +0.13 | 4.04 | 174 | 88 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 85 |
| James Reeves L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.50 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.20 | 2.02 | 280 | 85 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2027 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 85 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 84 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 82 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 82 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.33 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .288 | 4.01 | 25.1% | 10.7% | 150 | -0.32 | 3.72 | 239 | 79 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.63 | 23.1% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .249 | 4.99 | 21.5% | 9.2% | 48 | +1.36 | 3.10 | 196 | 79 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 3.5% | .349 | 4.18 | 22.0% | 8.2% | 175 | -0.31 | 3.65 | 308 | 79 |
| Ryan Magdic L 2028 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.64 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .314 | 3.18 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 54 | -0.46 | 3.18 | 150 | 79 |
| Brady Basso L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 269 | 78 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.97 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .382 | 3.85 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 311 | -0.12 | 3.10 | 381 | 78 |
| Charlie McDaniel L 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.78 | 17.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% | .305 | 4.26 | 16.9% | 10.6% | 73 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 174 | 78 |
| Jordan Woods L 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 78 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .278 | 5.53 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 65 | +1.18 | 4.35 | 128 | 78 |
| A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.68 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .262 | 5.86 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 51 | +2.18 | 3.64 | 203 | 77 |
| Sam Garcia L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.74 | 18.5% | 12.7% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.62 | 25.5% | 9.2% | 24 | -1.12 | 3.62 | 125 | 77 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2029 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 77 |
| Brian Holmes L 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.25 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.75 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 104 | +0.50 | 3.42 | 205 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 68 | 23.4% | 9.0% | 1.18 | 4.35 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |