Pierce Coppola P Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 23 LHP 6'8" / 245 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 126
ERA4.74
FIP4.74
K%24.8%
BB%13.7%
K-BB%11.1%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
K: +5.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+5KBB: -7.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-8BBCONTACT: +2.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+3CONTACTSTAM: +13.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +1.46 (100 IP)+1.5WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP—45
STUF3050
CTRL3040
CMD2030
K†6060
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202522AMyrtle Beach Pelicans32838149067%2.736.8%23.7%13.2%0.0%2.252.99—
202522AMyrtle Beach Pelicans32838149067%2.736.8%23.7%13.2%0.0%2.252.98—
▸ 2026 Season
202623A+South Bend Cubs11114318159262100%3.925.7%15.8%9.9%0.8%4.603.37+0.6
ROS23MLBCHC10105724160337100%5.724.8%13.7%11.1%3.0%4.744.74-0.1
ROS23MLBCHC——0——————24.8%13.7%11.1%3.0%4.764.76—
2026 TOT23MLBCHC——100422119599——28.1%14.0%14.2%2.2%4.684.15+1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724MLBCHC10105824762317100%5.825.2%12.7%12.5%2.9%4.624.57-0.0
202825MLBCHC10105925064307100%5.925.4%12.1%13.3%2.9%4.534.48+0.0
202926MLBCHC10105925064307100%5.925.6%11.9%13.6%2.9%4.474.45+0.1
203027MLBCHC10105824663297100%5.825.5%11.9%13.5%3.0%4.474.48+0.0
203128MLBCHC995623960297100%6.325.4%12.1%13.3%3.1%4.534.56-0.0
203229MLBCHC995422857287100%6.025.1%12.3%12.8%3.2%4.634.70-0.1
203330MLBCHC885121453277100%6.324.8%12.6%12.2%3.4%4.784.87-0.2
202724MLBCHC442510627133100%6.225.2%12.7%12.5%3.0%4.644.59-0.0
202825MLBCHC773916542205100%5.625.4%12.1%13.3%3.0%4.554.50+0.0
202926MLBCHC884719851246100%5.925.6%11.9%13.6%3.0%4.494.47+0.0
203027MLBCHC885021154256100%6.225.5%11.9%13.5%3.0%4.494.50+0.0
203128MLBCHC885021154267100%6.225.4%12.1%13.3%3.1%4.554.58-0.0
203229MLBCHC884920752257100%6.125.1%12.3%12.8%3.3%4.654.72-0.1
203330MLBCHC884719849257100%5.924.8%12.6%12.2%3.5%4.804.89-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career—5252307129532715841100%5.925.3%12.2%13.1%3.1%4.594.23+4.2
/ 200 IP—343420084421310327100%5.925.3%12.2%13.1%3.1%4.594.23+2.7
Career—1413512196138193%3.627.6%17.2%10.5%0.7%4.243.30+0.7
/ 200 IP—5551200859237148693%3.627.6%17.2%10.5%0.7%4.243.30+4.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Pierce Coppola (OGILVIE) —— 4.74 24.8%13.7%3.0%— 4.50 25.4%13.2%177 -0.24 ———
Brent Killam L 2026 · 4.35 FIP 23 SP 4.35 29.1%14.5%3.4%.284 7.12 18.4%9.6%80 +2.77 4.35 121 85
Caden Grice L 2025 · 4.23 FIP 22 SP 4.23 23.1%15.7%2.0%.282 5.28 17.3%1.8%55 +1.05 4.23 105 85
Samy Natera Jr. L 2026 · 5.17 FIP 23 SP 5.17 22.9%13.3%4.2%.294 3.68 29.8%14.8%108 -1.49 1.94 191 84
Sam Weatherly L 2025 · 3.86 FIP 22 SP 3.86 24.0%12.8%2.1%.323 4.14 21.9%8.9%41 +0.28 3.86 189 83
Hayden Mullins L 2026 · 4.33 FIP 23 SP- 4.33 23.4%12.4%3.0%.288 4.01 25.1%10.7%150 -0.32 3.72 239 83
Brent Headrick L 2026 · 4.52 FIP 23 SP 4.52 22.9%14.0%2.9%.383 4.63 24.2%16.7%227 +0.11 2.40 382 83
Sebastian Gongora L 2026 · 3.80 FIP 23 SP 3.80 21.8%14.0%1.4%.335 3.81 18.5%11.0%84 +0.01 3.80 152 82
Evan Lee L 2027 · 4.00 FIP 24 SP 4.00 24.2%11.1%2.8%.333 4.48 21.0%2.7%52 +0.48 3.84 129 82
Kash Mayfield L 2024 · 4.36 FIP 21 SP 4.36 23.3%11.4%3.3%.273 — ——— — 3.23 109 81
Anthony Veneziano L 2026 · 4.24 FIP 23 SP 4.24 24.9%10.8%3.4%.298 5.19 18.7%8.0%358 +0.95 4.24 501 81
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2025 · 4.67 FIP 22 SP 4.67 19.6%14.6%2.5%.266 3.89 20.3%3.7%33 -0.78 2.81 146 81
Jimmy Robbins L 2027 · 3.89 FIP 24 SP- 3.89 23.3%11.3%2.4%.286 4.89 18.1%2.5%99 +1.00 3.89 176 80
Luis De León L 2026 · 4.88 FIP 23 SP 4.88 22.6%13.9%3.5%.287 — ——— — 2.65 316 80
T.J. Sikkema L 2027 · 4.71 FIP 24 SP 4.71 21.9%9.0%4.2%.298 4.64 16.9%7.4%231 -0.07 3.39 300 79
Xavier Rivas L 2026 · 4.87 FIP 23 SP 4.87 23.2%16.4%3.0%.229 5.34 28.7%15.4%64 +0.47 4.87 150 79
Brandon Knarr L 2026 · 4.83 FIP 23 SP 4.83 22.6%13.6%3.5%.299 4.21 19.9%10.8%158 -0.62 4.15 256 79
Cole Ragans L 2026 · 5.15 FIP 23 SP 5.15 20.2%11.2%4.2%.296 3.38 26.8%17.4%445 -1.77 2.46 623 78
Josh Trentadue L 2026 · 3.63 FIP 23 SP- 3.63 23.1%12.0%1.7%.249 4.99 21.5%9.2%48 +1.36 3.10 196 78
Hunter Owen L 2026 · 4.06 FIP 23 SP 4.06 21.0%10.7%2.5%.297 6.60 15.1%4.8%51 +2.54 4.06 248 78
Hogan Harris L 2025 · 3.73 FIP 22 SP 3.73 20.5%10.6%1.9%.235 3.64 27.4%12.7%74 -0.09 3.14 473 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION85725.2%12.4%1.184.59
Brad Boxberger ('23)84327.1%11.7%1.173.86
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
Greg Holland ('21)64525.4%12.3%0.874.03
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Buck Farmer ('24)105021.6%10.5%1.234.59