Cooper Hjerpe — OGILVIE

Cooper Hjerpe P Memphis Redbirds

Age 25 LHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 0.5 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97105vR 113

ERA4.22

FIP4.22

K%27.1%

BB%14.3%

K-BB%12.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD4550

K†6065

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	10	8	41	171	51	25	8	80%	4.1	23.0%	16.8%	6.2%	5.4%	3.51	6.23	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	10	8	41	171	51	25	8	80%	4.1	23.0%	16.8%	6.2%	5.4%	3.51	6.23	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	10	8	41	171	51	25	8	80%	4.1	29.8%	14.6%	15.2%	4.7%	3.51	4.98	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	15	52	216	76	28	3	100%	3.5	27.5%	14.7%	12.7%	1.7%	3.27	3.61	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	15	52	216	76	28	3	100%	3.5	27.5%	14.7%	12.7%	1.7%	3.27	3.61	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	15	52	216	76	28	3	100%	3.5	35.2%	13.0%	22.2%	1.4%	3.27	2.55	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			2	0	5	23	9	4	0	0%	2.5	39.1%	17.4%	21.7%	0.0%	7.20	1.90	+0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	17	15	47	197	70	36	3	88%	2.8	30.0%	20.1%	10.0%	1.7%	3.45	4.03	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	17	15	47	197	70	36	3	88%	2.8	30.0%	20.1%	10.0%	1.7%	3.45	4.03	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	STL	2	2	4	13	5	1	0	100%	2.0	38.5%	7.7%	30.8%	0.0%	0.00	0.83	—
2026	25	A RAW	STL	3	3	5	19	4	2	1	100%	1.6	21.1%	10.5%	10.5%	5.3%	7.71	5.54	—
2026	25	AA RAW	STL	5	5	14	63	25	12	2	100%	2.9	39.7%	19.0%	20.6%	3.2%	5.02	3.90	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	STL	5	5	19	79	27	17	0	100%	3.8	34.2%	21.5%	12.7%	0.0%	0.95	2.94	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	STL	2	0	5	23	9	4	0	0%	2.5	39.1%	17.4%	21.7%	0.0%	7.20	2.00	—
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	STL	2	0	5	23	9	4	0	0%	2.5	39.1%	17.4%	21.7%	0.0%	7.20	2.00	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	STL	1	1	6	25	7	4	1	100%	5.9	27.1%	14.3%	12.8%	2.9%	4.22	4.22	+0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	STL	1	1	6	25	7	4	1	100%	6.0	27.1%	14.3%	12.8%	2.7%	4.10	4.10	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	STL	—	—	53	222	77	40	4	—	—	34.6%	17.8%	16.8%	1.7%	3.53	4.05	+0.3
FULL	25	MLB A+C	STL	—	—	11	46	77	40	4	—	—	166.8%	86.0%	80.8%	8.0%	17.09	4.29	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	STL	12	12	70	296	81	40	8	100%	5.8	27.4%	13.6%	13.8%	2.8%	4.44	4.43	+0.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	STL	12	12	69	291	79	39	8	100%	5.8	27.1%	13.4%	13.8%	2.9%	4.45	4.46	+0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	STL	11	11	67	282	76	38	8	100%	6.1	26.8%	13.3%	13.5%	3.0%	4.50	4.54	+0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	STL	11	11	64	270	71	36	8	100%	5.8	26.5%	13.4%	13.1%	3.1%	4.59	4.66	+0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	STL	11	11	66	279	76	38	7	100%	6.0	27.4%	13.6%	13.8%	2.6%	4.33	4.32	+0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	STL	11	11	66	279	76	37	7	100%	6.0	27.1%	13.4%	13.8%	2.7%	4.34	4.35	+0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	STL	11	11	64	270	72	36	7	100%	5.8	26.8%	13.3%	13.5%	2.8%	4.39	4.43	+0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	STL	10	10	61	258	68	35	7	100%	6.1	26.5%	13.4%	13.1%	2.9%	4.47	4.54	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		46	44	267	1130	308	153	30	96%	5.8	27.2%	13.5%	13.7%	2.7%	4.43	3.98	+2.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	33	200	846	231	115	22	96%	5.8	27.2%	13.5%	13.7%	2.7%	4.43	3.98	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		42	38	140	584	158	100	16	90%	3.3	27.0%	17.1%	9.9%	2.8%	3.40	4.52	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	54	200	832	225	143	23	90%	3.3	27.0%	17.1%	9.9%	2.8%	3.40	4.52	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cooper Hjerpe (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	26.8%	13.9%	2.9%	—	4.48	27.1%	13.7%	206	-0.10	—	—	—
Samy Natera Jr. L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	22.9%	13.3%	4.2%	.294	3.29	30.4%	16.9%	124	-1.85	1.94	208	75
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	73
Hogan Harris L 2022 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP	3.71	27.4%	14.7%	1.9%	.274	4.49	20.6%	9.4%	328	+0.78	3.11	495	73
Dalton Rogers L 2023 · 4.31 FIP	22	SP	4.31	25.3%	16.7%	2.2%	.327	4.58	19.6%	4.1%	268	+0.27	3.47	364	72
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	72
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.83	21.4%	10.7%	156	-0.19	2.44	171	71
Sam Weatherly L 2021 · 4.07 FIP	22	SP	4.07	24.0%	12.8%	2.5%	.323	4.14	21.9%	8.9%	41	+0.07	4.07	209	71
A.J. Block L 2021 · 3.72 FIP	23	SP-	3.72	22.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.262	5.74	20.1%	8.4%	51	+2.02	3.65	203	70
Doug Nikhazy L 2023 · 5.39 FIP	23	SP	5.39	21.9%	16.9%	3.6%	.304	4.73	19.6%	8.6%	256	-0.66	4.16	461	69
Ethan Small L 2022 · 4.07 FIP	25	SP-	4.07	22.5%	13.7%	2.1%	.278	3.94	23.7%	13.6%	51	-0.13	1.13	248	68
Adam Scott L 2021 · 4.53 FIP	25	SP	4.53	22.8%	11.7%	3.4%	.289	5.05	19.0%	4.1%	122	+0.52	4.17	315	67
David Peterson L 2021 · 4.46 FIP	25	SP	4.46	24.0%	10.1%	3.8%	.298	3.63	24.1%	14.2%	401	-0.83	2.81	1,061	66
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	66
Damon Jones L 2019 · 3.71 FIP	24	SP	3.71	25.9%	13.8%	1.9%	.266	4.21	25.5%	7.4%	41	+0.50	3.71	269	66
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	65
Jacob Latz L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	25	SP	4.57	23.6%	11.4%	3.7%	.299	4.50	23.5%	11.8%	160	-0.07	2.26	473	65
Jimmy Robbins L 2023 · 4.69 FIP	25	SP-	4.69	17.8%	15.2%	2.1%	.290	5.79	18.9%	3.1%	13	+1.10	3.85	176	65
Avery Weems L 2022 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	21.3%	8.6%	4.5%	.323	5.13	20.5%	12.3%	38	+0.26	2.46	227	65
Justin Steele L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	24	SP	4.07	20.0%	12.9%	1.8%	.400	3.71	24.2%	14.1%	203	-0.36	2.74	785	64
Jake Bennett L 2023 · 3.41 FIP	22	SP	3.41	21.2%	7.2%	2.2%	.339	3.36	19.1%	13.6%	214	-0.05	3.32	277	64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	26.9%	13.5%	1.14	4.51
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99