Cooper Hjerpe — OGILVIE

Cooper Hjerpe P Springfield Cardinals

Age 25 LHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 0.4 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION13 act + 47 ip · rates below = ROS only

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102111vR 120

ERA4.47

FIP4.47

K%26.8%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%13.7%

ROS IP47

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD4550

K†6060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2023	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	10	8	41	171	51	25	8	80%	4.1	23.0%	16.8%	6.2%	4.9%	3.51	6.00	—
2023	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	10	8	41	171	51	25	8	80%	4.1	29.8%	14.6%	15.2%	4.7%	3.51	4.98	—
2024	23	MIX	2 levels	15	15	52	216	76	28	3	100%	3.5	27.5%	14.7%	12.7%	1.8%	3.27	3.61	—
2024	23	MIX	2 levels	15	15	52	216	76	28	3	100%	3.5	35.2%	13.0%	22.2%	1.4%	3.27	2.55	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	AA	Springfield Cardinals	7	7	13	54	18	9	2	100%	1.8	—	—	—	—	7.11	—	—
ROS	25	MLB	STL	8	8	47	198	53	26	6	100%	5.9	26.8%	13.0%	13.7%	2.9%	4.47	4.47	+0.0
ROS	25	MLB	STL	3	3	19	80	21	10	2	100%	6.3	26.8%	13.0%	13.7%	2.9%	4.47	4.47	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB	STL	—	—	60	252	71	35	8	—	—	28.2%	13.8%	14.4%	3.1%	5.03	3.52	+0.7
2026 FULL	25	MLB	STL	—	—	19	79	21	10	2	—	—	26.8%	13.0%	13.7%	2.9%	4.47	4.08	+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	STL	12	12	70	296	79	37	9	100%	5.8	26.7%	12.6%	14.0%	2.9%	4.44	4.43	+0.3
2028	27	MLB	STL	12	12	69	291	77	36	9	100%	5.8	26.4%	12.4%	14.0%	3.0%	4.45	4.46	+0.2
2029	28	MLB	STL	11	11	67	282	74	35	9	100%	6.1	26.1%	12.4%	13.7%	3.1%	4.50	4.54	+0.1
2030	29	MLB	STL	11	11	64	270	70	34	9	100%	5.8	25.8%	12.6%	13.2%	3.2%	4.59	4.66	-0.0
2031	30	MLB	STL	10	10	60	254	65	33	9	100%	6.0	25.5%	12.9%	12.6%	3.4%	4.74	4.84	-0.2
2032	31	MLB	STL	9	9	56	236	59	31	9	100%	6.2	25.1%	13.2%	11.8%	3.6%	4.92	5.04	-0.3
2027	26	MLB	STL	8	8	45	190	51	24	6	100%	5.6	26.7%	12.6%	14.0%	2.9%	4.44	4.43	+0.1
2028	27	MLB	STL	9	9	53	224	59	28	7	100%	5.9	26.4%	12.4%	14.0%	3.0%	4.45	4.46	+0.1
2029	28	MLB	STL	9	9	56	236	62	29	7	100%	6.2	26.1%	12.4%	13.7%	3.1%	4.50	4.54	+0.0
2030	29	MLB	STL	9	9	56	236	61	30	8	100%	6.2	25.8%	12.6%	13.2%	3.2%	4.59	4.66	-0.1
2031	30	MLB	STL	9	9	54	228	58	29	8	100%	6.0	25.5%	12.9%	12.6%	3.4%	4.74	4.84	-0.2
2032	31	MLB	STL	8	8	51	215	54	28	8	100%	6.4	25.1%	13.2%	11.8%	3.6%	4.91	5.03	-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career	—			57	57	333	1407	365	179	45	100%	5.8	26.0%	12.7%	13.3%	3.2%	4.60	4.27	+4.4
/ 200 IP	—			34	34	200	844	219	107	27	100%	5.8	26.0%	12.7%	13.3%	3.2%	4.60	4.27	+2.7
Career	—			32	30	106	441	117	70	14	94%	3.3	26.4%	15.8%	10.7%	3.2%	3.82	4.64	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—			60	57	200	832	220	131	27	94%	3.3	26.4%	15.8%	10.7%	3.2%	3.82	4.64	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cooper Hjerpe (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.47	26.8%	13.0%	2.9%	—	4.48	26.4%	13.9%	206	+0.01	—	—	—
Jojo Ingrassia L 2025 · 3.97 FIP	24	SP-	3.97	26.7%	13.8%	2.5%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	2.60	112	77
Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.24 FIP	25	SP-	4.24	24.8%	14.2%	2.6%	.382	4.08	21.7%	10.6%	156	-0.16	2.44	171	73
Hayden Mullins L 2026 · 4.62 FIP	25	SP	4.62	27.5%	15.9%	3.4%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	239	71
Hogan Harris L 2026 · 3.64 FIP	25	SP	3.64	27.4%	14.7%	1.8%	.274	4.52	21.1%	9.0%	328	+0.88	3.14	473	71
Kohl Drake L 2026 · 4.34 FIP	25	SP	4.34	23.5%	10.3%	3.5%	.295	5.13	17.0%	6.5%	66	+0.79	3.28	297	67
David Peterson L 2026 · 4.46 FIP	25	SP	4.46	24.0%	10.1%	3.9%	.298	3.65	24.2%	14.0%	401	-0.81	2.80	1,080	66
Adam Scott L 2026 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP	4.71	22.8%	11.7%	3.7%	.289	5.15	19.3%	3.3%	122	+0.44	4.53	315	65
Evan Lee L 2026 · 3.84 FIP	25	SP	3.84	23.8%	13.1%	2.0%	.319	5.33	17.2%	-8.1%	22	+1.49	3.84	129	65
Justin Steele L 2025 · 3.95 FIP	24	SP	3.95	20.0%	12.9%	1.7%	.400	3.63	24.2%	14.1%	203	-0.32	2.71	785	65
Andrew Sears L 2024 · 3.45 FIP	23	SP	3.45	21.5%	9.3%	1.8%	.298	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	232	65
Xavier Rivas L 2025 · 5.34 FIP	24	SP-	5.34	28.7%	13.3%	5.4%	.236	—	—	—	—	—	4.87	150	65
Quinn Mathews L 2026 · 5.07 FIP	25	SP	5.07	26.2%	15.5%	4.0%	.207	—	—	—	—	—	2.73	316	64
Ethan Small L 2026 · 4.14 FIP	25	SP-	4.14	22.5%	13.7%	2.2%	.278	4.22	25.1%	13.3%	51	+0.08	1.13	248	63
Zac Lowther L 2026 · 4.60 FIP	25	SP-	4.60	20.9%	10.6%	3.5%	.328	5.76	17.8%	7.2%	44	+1.16	3.02	375	63
Rio Britton L 2024 · 4.77 FIP	23	SP-	4.77	22.0%	15.8%	2.8%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	128	62
Zach Thornton L 2025 · 4.22 FIP	24	SP	4.22	20.9%	10.1%	2.9%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	221	62
DL Hall L 2026 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	19.9%	12.6%	3.1%	.307	3.78	21.0%	6.4%	70	-0.93	3.21	518	62
Tommy Shirley L 2027 · 3.30 FIP	26	SP-	3.30	19.6%	7.0%	1.8%	.252	4.86	13.0%	4.2%	106	+1.56	3.30	147	61
Jacob Latz L 2026 · 4.49 FIP	25	SP	4.49	23.6%	11.4%	3.5%	.299	4.58	24.2%	11.8%	160	+0.09	2.43	453	61
Connor Oliver L 2026 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP-	4.91	19.6%	13.9%	3.1%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	200	61

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	Yrs	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	7	62	26.0%	12.7%	1.22	4.58
Lucas Sims ('24)	6	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Amir Garrett ('23)	6	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Brad Boxberger ('23)	8	43	27.1%	11.7%	1.17	3.86
Greg Holland ('21)	6	45	25.4%	12.3%	0.87	4.03
Fernando Rodney ('19)	5	59	24.6%	11.8%	0.88	4.21
Miguel Castro ('23)	7	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99