Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Salem Red Sox | 21 | 12 | 58 | 235 | 93 | 20 | 2 | 57% | 2.8 | 29.3% | 10.0% | 19.2% | 1.3% | 1.85 | 2.60 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Salem Red Sox | 21 | 12 | 58 | 235 | 93 | 20 | 2 | 57% | 2.8 | 39.6% | 8.5% | 31.1% | 0.9% | 1.85 | 1.39 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 4 | 0 | 17 | 62 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 4.2 | 26.1% | 7.4% | 18.7% | 4.9% | 3.18 | 4.53 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 4 | 0 | 17 | 62 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 4.2 | 33.9% | 6.5% | 27.4% | 4.8% | 3.18 | 3.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 11 | 9 | 37 | 150 | 52 | 18 | 3 | 82% | 3.3 | 26.7% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 2.5% | 3.44 | 3.97 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BOS | 3 | 3 | 18 | 77 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.4% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.4% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 4.22 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 55 | 227 | 71 | 25 | 5 | — | — | 31.2% | 11.0% | 20.1% | 2.3% | 3.70 | 4.05 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 24.4% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 3.84 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 24.7% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 4.16 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 24.7% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 4.16 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.7 | 24.7% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 3.78 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 207 | 69 | 23 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.7% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 36 | 21 | 112 | 447 | 125 | 49 | 10 | 58% | 3.1 | 28.0% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 2.2% | 2.57 | 3.33 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 38 | 200 | 798 | 223 | 87 | 17 | 58% | 3.1 | 28.0% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 2.2% | 2.57 | 3.33 | +4.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jojo Ingrassia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.22 | 24.4% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.16 | 24.7% | 15.8% | 20 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Brady Basso L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 269 | 82 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 78 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 76 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 74 |
| Drake Owenby L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.88 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 140 | 72 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 72 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 72 |
| Jordan Woods L 2024 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 71 |
| Tyler Holton L 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.18 | 22.0% | 6.6% | 2.0% | .393 | 3.47 | 22.0% | 16.1% | 224 | +0.29 | 3.02 | 409 | 69 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 69 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 69 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 3.54 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 62 | -1.69 | 3.54 | 186 | 68 |
| Angel Perdomo L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.47 | 22.6% | 11.8% | 1.4% | .315 | 4.10 | 32.7% | 17.7% | 100 | +0.63 | 2.79 | 540 | 68 |
| Ben Shields L 2027 · 3.20 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.20 | 25.3% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .273 | 2.91 | 23.5% | 13.3% | 43 | -0.29 | 2.91 | 147 | 66 |
| Ryan Magdic L 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.64 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .314 | 3.18 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 54 | -0.46 | 3.18 | 150 | 66 |
| JP Sears L 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.90 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.0% | .268 | 3.25 | 24.7% | 17.8% | 222 | -0.65 | 2.18 | 927 | 66 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 66 |
| Ismael Guillón L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.28 | 24.9% | 12.5% | 3.1% | .206 | 4.45 | 20.1% | 6.0% | 100 | +0.17 | 4.28 | 193 | 66 |
| Evan Lee L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .333 | 4.48 | 21.0% | 2.7% | 52 | +0.48 | 3.84 | 129 | 65 |
| Nick Maronde L 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 65 |