Jojo Ingrassia

P West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.4 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034

OGV OFP35OGV rank#913ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	A+BOS	4	0	17	3.18	3.63	33.9%	6.5%	—	K 26.1% · BB 7.4% · FIP 4.81
2026	24	A+DET	18	15	55	4.91	3.35	29.1%	12.2%	—	K 22.4% · BB 14.1% · FIP 4.44
2027PROJ	25	MLBDET	—	—	0	4.76	4.76	24.1%	13.4%	—
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBDET	5	5	30	4.63	4.63	24.2%	12.9%	0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBDET	7	7	41	4.61	4.63	24.0%	12.6%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$1M2032Ext$1M2033Ext$7M

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 2.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsWill Johnston (age 23) · Mark Manfredi Sr. (age 24) · Hayden Mullins (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 124

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%24.1%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%10.7%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	21	12	58	235	93	20	2	57%	2.8	29.3%	10.0%	19.2%	1.2%	1.85	2.55	—
2024	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	21	12	58	235	93	20	2	57%	2.8	29.3%	10.0%	19.2%	1.2%	1.85	2.55	—
2024	22	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	21	12	58	235	93	20	2	57%	2.8	39.6%	8.5%	31.1%	0.9%	1.85	1.39	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	4	0	17	62	21	4	3	0%	4.2	26.1%	7.4%	18.7%	5.4%	3.18	4.81	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	4	0	17	62	21	4	3	0%	4.2	26.1%	7.4%	18.7%	5.4%	3.18	4.81	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	4	0	17	62	21	4	3	0%	4.2	33.9%	6.5%	27.4%	4.8%	3.18	3.63	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	18	15	55	237	69	29	5	83%	3.1	22.4%	14.1%	8.3%	2.6%	4.91	4.44	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	18	15	55	237	69	29	5	83%	3.1	22.4%	14.1%	8.3%	2.6%	4.91	4.44	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	18	15	55	237	69	29	5	83%	3.1	29.1%	12.2%	16.9%	2.1%	4.91	3.35	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	DET	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	24.1%	13.4%	10.7%	3.0%	4.76	4.76	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	DET	12	12	71	299	72	39	9	100%	5.9	24.2%	12.9%	11.3%	3.0%	4.70	4.70	+0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	DET	11	11	65	276	66	35	8	100%	5.9	24.0%	12.6%	11.4%	3.0%	4.68	4.70	+0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	DET	11	11	67	284	73	33	9	100%	6.1	25.8%	11.7%	14.1%	3.1%	4.56	4.49	+0.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	DET	10	10	62	263	67	31	9	100%	6.2	25.5%	11.9%	13.7%	3.3%	4.59	4.62	+0.6
2032	30	MLB MLE	DET	9	9	56	237	60	29	8	100%	6.2	25.2%	12.2%	13.0%	3.5%	4.71	4.80	+0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	DET	5	5	30	127	31	16	4	100%	6.0	24.2%	12.9%	11.3%	2.8%	4.63	4.63	+0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	DET	7	7	41	173	42	22	5	100%	5.9	24.0%	12.6%	11.4%	2.9%	4.61	4.63	+0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	DET	8	8	51	215	56	25	6	100%	6.4	25.8%	11.7%	14.1%	3.0%	4.49	4.42	+0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	DET	8	8	51	215	55	26	7	100%	6.4	25.5%	11.9%	13.7%	3.1%	4.51	4.54	+0.5
2032	30	MLB CTX	DET	8	8	48	203	51	25	7	100%	6.0	25.2%	12.2%	13.0%	3.3%	4.63	4.72	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		37	37	221	933	234	114	28	100%	6.0	25.1%	12.2%	12.9%	3.1%	4.57	4.20	+3.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	212	103	25	100%	6.0	25.1%	12.2%	12.9%	3.1%	4.57	4.20	+2.8
Career	—	MLE		43	27	130	534	138	62	12	63%	3.0	25.9%	11.5%	14.3%	2.3%	3.31	3.65	+2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	41	200	819	212	94	19	63%	3.0	25.9%	11.5%	14.3%	2.3%	3.31	3.65	+1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 55 IPFIP 3.35 → 4.44 (+1.09)K% 29.1% → 22.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	29.11%	—	×0.770	22.42%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.24%	—	×1.150	14.07%
HR / BF /BF	2.11%	÷1.000	×1.250	2.64%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.35 → 4.44, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Greenville Drive · 17 IPFIP 3.71 → 4.81 (+1.10)K% 33.9% → 26.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	33.87%	—	×0.770	26.08%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.45%	—	×1.150	7.42%
HR / BF /BF	4.84%	÷1.117	×1.250	5.41%

Result: FIP 3.71 → 4.81, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ASalem Red Sox · 58 IPFIP 1.30 → 2.55 (+1.25)K% 39.6% → 29.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	39.57%	—	×0.740	29.29%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.51%	—	×1.180	10.04%
HR / BF /BF	0.85%	÷0.933	×1.300	1.19%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 87).

Result: FIP 1.30 → 2.55, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jojo Ingrassia (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	3.0%	—	4.63	24.7%	12.3%	203	-0.13	—	—	—
Will Johnston L 2024 · 3.94 FIP	23	SP-	3.94	24.8%	11.6%	2.7%	.290	4.56	22.9%	7.5%	104	+0.62	3.94	195	81
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	80
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	23.4%	12.4%	3.1%	.288	3.69	25.5%	11.8%	194	-0.70	3.54	283	79
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.81	21.6%	10.9%	156	-0.21	2.44	171	76
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.58	20.9%	12.1%	174	-1.80	2.32	362	75
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.90	20.1%	9.3%	307	+0.61	3.59	520	74
Zack Thompson L 2023 · 4.48 FIP	25	SP-	4.48	23.0%	12.9%	3.1%	.355	4.64	23.7%	11.5%	107	+0.16	2.03	402	74
Edgar Barclay L 2023 · 4.67 FIP	25	SW	4.67	24.2%	12.1%	3.8%	.307	5.54	16.2%	6.1%	157	+0.87	2.06	402	73
Tommy Vail L 2024 · 3.65 FIP	25	SW	3.65	27.5%	15.3%	1.7%	.237	5.19	19.5%	2.9%	99	+1.54	3.65	168	73
Avery Weems L 2022 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	21.3%	8.6%	4.5%	.323	5.13	20.5%	12.3%	38	+0.26	2.46	227	73
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	72
Nate Peterson L 2024 · 5.51 FIP	24	SP-	5.51	19.2%	11.4%	4.7%	.296	4.75	16.0%	3.7%	148	-0.76	4.27	315	72
Hunter Barco L 2024 · 3.61 FIP	23	SP	3.61	23.4%	10.0%	2.2%	.275	3.72	21.1%	10.0%	195	+0.11	3.29	257	72
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	71
Noah Dean L 2024 · 4.41 FIP	23	SP-	4.41	25.4%	18.4%	2.0%	.216	5.93	21.1%	1.3%	74	+1.52	4.41	217	71
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	71
Ethan Small L 2022 · 4.07 FIP	25	SP-	4.07	22.5%	13.7%	2.1%	.278	3.87	24.5%	14.4%	51	-0.20	1.13	248	70
Jimmy Robbins L 2023 · 4.69 FIP	25	SP-	4.69	17.8%	15.2%	2.1%	.290	5.73	19.6%	3.8%	13	+1.04	3.85	176	69
Caden Grice L 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP	4.33	23.1%	15.7%	2.2%	.282	5.05	17.9%	2.3%	83	+0.72	4.33	133	69
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	65	24.8%	12.5%	1.21	4.67
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
J.J. Hoover ('18)	1.4	57	23.8%	11.4%	1.42	4.17
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35