Jojo Ingrassia — OGILVIE

Jojo Ingrassia P West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 24 LHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 0.9 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 94103vR 111

ERA4.08

FIP4.08

K%26.2%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%17.1%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	21	12	58	235	93	20	2	57%	2.8	29.3%	10.0%	19.2%	1.2%	1.85	2.55	—
2024	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	21	12	58	235	93	20	2	57%	2.8	29.3%	10.0%	19.2%	1.2%	1.85	2.55	—
2024	22	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	21	12	58	235	93	20	2	57%	2.8	39.6%	8.5%	31.1%	0.9%	1.85	1.39	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	4	0	17	62	21	4	3	0%	4.2	26.1%	7.4%	18.7%	5.4%	3.18	4.81	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	4	0	17	62	21	4	3	0%	4.2	26.1%	7.4%	18.7%	5.4%	3.18	4.81	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	4	0	17	62	21	4	3	0%	4.2	33.9%	6.5%	27.4%	4.8%	3.18	3.63	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	18	15	55	237	69	29	5	83%	3.1	22.4%	14.1%	8.3%	2.6%	4.91	4.44	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	18	15	55	237	69	29	5	83%	3.1	22.4%	14.1%	8.3%	2.6%	4.91	4.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	DET	18	15	55	237	69	29	5	83%	3.1	29.1%	12.2%	16.9%	2.1%	4.91	3.35	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	DET	9	9	55	231	61	21	7	100%	6.1	26.3%	8.9%	17.4%	3.0%	4.06	4.03	+0.6
2028	26	MLB MLE	DET	9	9	55	231	61	20	7	100%	6.1	26.3%	8.9%	17.4%	3.0%	4.05	4.03	+0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	DET	9	9	54	227	59	20	7	100%	6.0	26.1%	9.0%	17.1%	3.0%	4.07	4.08	+0.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	DET	4	4	23	97	26	9	3	100%	5.8	26.3%	8.9%	17.4%	2.9%	3.99	3.96	+0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	DET	6	6	36	152	40	14	4	100%	6.0	26.3%	8.9%	17.4%	2.9%	3.98	3.96	+0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	DET	7	7	42	177	46	16	5	100%	6.0	26.1%	9.0%	17.1%	2.9%	4.00	4.01	+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	17	101	428	112	38	12	100%	6.0	26.2%	8.9%	17.3%	2.9%	3.99	3.60	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	221	75	24	100%	6.0	26.2%	8.9%	17.3%	2.9%	3.99	3.60	+3.2
Career	—	MLE		43	27	130	534	138	62	12	63%	3.0	25.9%	11.5%	14.3%	2.3%	3.31	3.65	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	41	200	819	212	94	19	63%	3.0	25.9%	11.5%	14.3%	2.3%	3.31	3.65	+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jojo Ingrassia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.08	26.2%	9.2%	3.0%	—	4.05	26.2%	17.3%	163	-0.03	—	—	—
Brady Basso L 2021 · 3.93 FIP	23	SP-	3.93	21.8%	8.7%	2.8%	.333	4.20	21.6%	15.5%	179	+0.27	2.24	306	79
Jimmy Robbins L 2022 · 3.85 FIP	24	SP-	3.85	23.3%	11.3%	2.3%	.286	4.83	17.9%	2.7%	99	+0.98	3.85	176	75
Tommy Shirley L 2015 · 3.35 FIP	26	SP-	3.35	19.6%	7.0%	1.9%	.252	4.93	13.0%	4.2%	106	+1.58	3.35	147	74
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.83	21.4%	10.7%	156	-0.19	2.44	171	73
Hunter Patteson L 2023 · 3.16 FIP	23	SP	3.16	21.0%	5.5%	2.1%	.372	5.09	16.9%	7.7%	328	+1.93	3.16	344	71
Drake Owenby L 2017 · 4.13 FIP	23	SP-	4.13	23.4%	7.8%	3.7%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	140	70
T.J. Sikkema L 2022 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	21.9%	9.0%	3.9%	.298	4.54	16.8%	7.5%	231	-0.01	3.57	300	70
Liarvis Breto L 2018 · 2.89 FIP	25	SW	2.89	22.0%	7.8%	1.2%	.329	3.72	20.0%	4.8%	30	+0.83	2.83	148	69
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.26	20.8%	9.6%	219	-0.34	2.32	359	68
Tyler Holton L 2021 · 3.35 FIP	25	SW	3.35	22.0%	6.6%	2.3%	.393	3.41	22.0%	16.1%	224	+0.06	2.97	436	67
Riley Frey L 2023 · 4.00 FIP	21	SP	4.00	22.5%	7.5%	3.4%	.417	4.47	18.0%	10.8%	184	+0.47	3.87	202	66
Evan Lee L 2021 · 3.84 FIP	24	SP	3.84	24.2%	11.1%	2.5%	.333	4.49	21.0%	2.7%	52	+0.65	3.82	129	66
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	65
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.80	17.3%	7.9%	201	-0.84	2.95	245	65
Angel Perdomo L 2018 · 3.57 FIP	24	SW	3.57	22.6%	11.8%	1.6%	.315	4.01	32.7%	17.7%	100	+0.44	2.82	540	65
Ian Seymour L 2023 · 3.15 FIP	24	SP	3.15	21.1%	7.7%	1.6%	.224	3.32	25.7%	19.3%	411	+0.17	2.92	485	64
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	64
Aaron Rozek L 2021 · 3.93 FIP	25	SP-	3.93	24.2%	3.1%	4.5%	.263	4.72	16.3%	8.7%	298	+0.79	3.70	569	64
Carson Whisenhunt L 2023 · 3.11 FIP	22	SP	3.11	27.4%	11.1%	1.7%	.270	4.28	19.7%	10.4%	353	+1.17	3.11	411	64
Max Fried L 2018 · 3.49 FIP	24	SP-	3.49	24.6%	11.9%	1.7%	.326	3.21	23.9%	17.4%	387	-0.28	2.56	1,435	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	45	26.2%	8.9%	1.16	4.06
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Diego Castillo ('22)	1.3	52	28.1%	8.9%	1.07	3.12
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47