Cole Carrigg — OGILVIE

Cole CarriggOF Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 24 S/R 6'2" / 204 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION376 act + 250 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†98

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .310 / .391

PA250

HR5

SB19

K%24

BB%7

BABIP312

ISO145

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT43

xwOBA

650.326

POWER48

Barrel%

467.7

Avg EV

1085.9

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.0

DEFENSE58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+1.2	$9M	+$9M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$15M	+$14M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.2	$15M	+$14M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+2.2	$14M	+$11M
2030	Arb-2	$8M	+2.0	$12M	+$7M
2031	Arb-3	$10M	+1.7	$9M	+$4M
Totals		$24M		$74M	+$58M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	158	144	38	7	4	3	9	46	2	13	3	264	316	431	747	167	361	29	6	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	158	140	49	10	5	5	13	33	2	13	3	350	413	600	1.013	250	423	21	8	431	188	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	528	480	106	10	13	12	27	141	8	53	12	221	274	371	645	150	281	27	5	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	528	456	129	16	14	17	51	100	8	53	12	283	365	491	856	208	323	19	10	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	537	488	95	18	4	9	34	178	11	46	10	195	263	303	566	109	285	33	6	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	537	477	113	18	6	15	45	145	11	46	10	237	317	394	711	157	308	27	8	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	COL	—	376	332	94	18	7	9	32	76	5	32	9	283	355	461	816	178	337	20	9	346	123	+10	+3	+0	-2	+11	2.1
YTD	24	AAA	COL	—	376	324	103	21	8	10	40	65	5	32	9	318	401	525	926	207	366	17	11	399	164	+27	+3	+0	-2	+11	3.9
ROS	24	AAA	COL	100%	250	227	56	10	4	5	18	60	3	19	5	246	310	391	701	145	308	24	7	313	98	-1	+2	+1	-2	+7	0.8
ROS	24	MLB	COL	100%	251	228	60	11	4	6	18	60	3	19	5	263	325	425	751	162	332	24	7	325	107	+2	+2	+1	-2	+7	1.0
FULL	24	AAA	COL	—	627	560	154	29	11	15	50	136	8	51	14	275	343	446	789	171	335	22	8	338	117	+12	+5	+1	-4	+18	3.2
TOT	24	AAA	COL	—	626	559	150	28	11	14	50	136	8	51	14	268	337	432	769	164	327	22	8	333	113	+9	+5	+1	-4	+18	2.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	COL	65%	648	586	143	25	9	14	48	155	9	46	11	244	311	389	700	145	305	24	7	311	96	-3	+5	+2	-4	+18	1.9
2028	26	MLB	COL	65%	635	574	140	25	8	15	48	151	8	45	11	244	311	394	705	150	304	24	8	315	99	-0	+5	+2	-4	+18	2.0
2029	27	MLB	COL	65%	622	561	137	24	8	15	48	148	8	44	11	244	313	396	709	152	304	24	8	316	100	-0	+4	+2	-4	+18	2.0
2030	28	MLB	COL	65%	610	549	135	24	8	15	48	146	8	41	10	246	316	401	716	155	303	24	8	315	99	-1	+4	+1	-4	+17	1.8
2031	29	MLB	COL	65%	597	537	130	23	7	14	47	144	8	38	9	242	312	389	702	147	302	24	8	313	98	-2	+4	+0	-4	+17	1.6
2032	30	MLB	COL	65%	585	526	126	22	7	13	46	142	8	33	8	240	310	382	692	143	301	24	8	310	95	-3	+3	-1	-4	+17	1.3
2033	31	MLB	COL	65%	574	517	122	21	7	13	45	141	7	28	7	236	306	379	685	143	298	25	8	306	92	-5	+3	-1	-3	+16	0.9
2027	25	MLB	COL	65%	421	381	100	18	6	11	31	101	6	30	7	262	328	428	756	165	328	24	7	324	106	+3	+3	+1	-3	+12	1.7
2028	26	MLB	COL	65%	413	373	99	18	6	11	31	98	6	29	7	265	332	434	766	169	328	24	8	328	109	+4	+3	+1	-2	+12	1.8
2029	27	MLB	COL	65%	404	365	97	18	6	11	31	96	5	29	7	266	332	438	770	173	327	24	8	329	110	+4	+3	+1	-2	+11	1.8
2030	28	MLB	COL	65%	396	357	93	17	5	11	31	95	5	27	6	261	328	429	757	168	326	24	8	328	109	+4	+3	+1	-2	+11	1.7
2031	29	MLB	COL	65%	388	349	92	17	5	11	31	93	5	24	6	264	332	436	768	172	325	24	8	326	108	+3	+2	+0	-2	+11	1.5
2032	30	MLB	COL	65%	380	342	88	16	5	10	30	92	5	21	5	257	326	421	747	164	324	24	8	323	105	+2	+2	-0	-2	+11	1.3
2033	31	MLB	COL	65%	373	335	86	15	5	10	30	92	5	18	4	257	327	421	748	164	321	25	8	318	102	+1	+2	-1	-2	+11	1.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3026	2730	715	130	42	81	233	727	40	197	47	262	329	429	758	167	327	24	8	325	107	+24	+21	+3	-18	+86	11.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	153	28	9	17	50	156	9	42	10	261	329	427	755	166	327	24	8	325	107	+5	+4	+1	-4	+18	2.5
Career	—			—	5744	5189	1228	209	79	128	418	1452	80	406	97	237	303	381	685	145	302	25	7	303	90	-66	+42	+5	-34	+163	11.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	139	24	9	14	47	164	9	46	11	237	303	380	683	143	303	25	7	303	90	-7	+5	+1	-4	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	101	92	30	4	4	3	7	20	1	6	1	326	380	554	934	228	386	20	7	402	166	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	57	48	19	6	1	2	6	13	1	7	2	396	473	688	1.160	292	500	23	11	482	227	+8	+1	—	—	+2	1.1
2024	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	510	440	123	16	11	16	50	97	8	51	11	280	363	475	838	195	320	19	10	362	135	+20	+6	—	—	+14	4.1
2024	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	18	16	6	0	3	1	1	3	0	2	1	375	412	938	1.349	562	385	17	6	524	259	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	537	477	113	18	6	15	45	145	11	46	10	237	317	394	711	157	308	27	8	317	101	+1	+5	—	—	+15	2.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Corey Pattersonlast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,422 PA	10	4,422	116	215	254	292	403	-2	+56	15.8	16.6
	/162	664	17	32	254	292	403	-0.3	+8.4	2.4	pk7: 17
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
	/162	664	12	20	254	307	380	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,175	74	200	242	308	391	-19	+24	7.7	7.4
	/162	664	15	42	242	308	391	-4.0	+5.0	1.6	pk7: 7
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cole Carrigg (OGILVIE)	24	30→43	40→48	60	47	268/337/432	164	327	14	51	22%	8%	113	+2.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	44	206/273/330	124	274	12	36	29%	8%	67	-0.5	214/277/336	122	294	13	34	30%	7%	70	-0.3	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2012 · AA	24	42→52	43→55	59→60	41	202/269/316	113	307	10	34	36%	8%	61	-1.0	217/263/331	114	313	12	31	33%	5%	63	-0.9	237/298/404	167	340	15	21	33%	7%	90	+0.6
✕Jared Oliva 2020 · AA	24	46→45	43→50	57→65	42	221/284/333	112	302	10	27	29%	6%	72	-0.2	215/268/322	107	303	8	24	30%	5%	62	-0.9	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
●Esteury Ruiz 2022 · AA	23	43→53	49→50	59→70	38	218/273/363	145	295	16	35	31%	6%	76	+0.0	260/330/406	146	323	15	60	23%	6%	111	+2.5	268/342/410	142	331	14	74	22%	7%	114	+1.8
✕Vidal Bruján 2022 · MLB	24	46→56	44→45	61→65	48	226/280/344	117	264	11	41	19%	7%	72	-0.2	222/284/336	114	269	11	30	21%	7%	72	-0.2	214/288/314	100	265	7	24	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Alen Hanson 2017 · MLB	24	48→51	44→50	60	41	238/270/359	121	284	11	31	20%	4%	72	-0.2	236/272/367	131	289	12	24	22%	4%	75	-0.0	239/276/379	141	297	12	18	23%	4%	76	+0.0
●Jonathan Villar 2015 · MLB	24	45→55	42→50	62→65	43	217/279/322	105	311	9	39	32%	8%	66	-0.6	251/317/385	134	345	13	43	28%	9%	98	+1.6	266/336/411	146	353	16	44	27%	9%	111	+2.3
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	42→41	42→50	65→70	46	207/269/319	112	274	8	36	27%	8%	62	-0.9	208/276/333	125	274	13	50	28%	8%	69	-0.4	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Sam Haggerty 2019 · AAA	25	47→44	41→50	59→65	49	219/299/334	115	306	6	28	28%	10%	79	+0.3	228/305/345	117	321	8	27	29%	9%	83	+0.6	257/335/401	144	323	11	42	22%	9%	107	+1.2
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	44→47	40→45	59→60	44	212/288/308	96	283	8	32	26%	7%	68	-0.5	223/314/344	121	303	12	25	28%	9%	89	+0.9	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕José Caballero 2022 · AA	25	44→45	46→45	55→70	46	221/294/354	133	287	14	29	27%	8%	82	+0.5	225/330/346	121	289	12	41	24%	11%	96	+1.5	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
●Jake McCarthy 2022 · MLB	25	41→51	49→50	63→60	42	207/272/361	154	294	15	30	34%	8%	75	-0.0	258/320/395	137	318	13	34	22%	7%	103	+1.9	272/336/397	125	324	11	37	18%	7%	107	+1.9
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	43→42	49→50	58→60	47	220/294/377	156	286	16	28	28%	8%	88	+0.9	208/278/359	151	291	16	25	32%	8%	76	+0.1	191/261/336	146	274	15	24	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Michael Siani 2023 · MLB	24	41→44	43→45	60	46	205/272/319	114	263	11	32	26%	8%	63	-0.8	204/276/304	100	278	9	28	28%	8%	61	-1.0	193/270/284	91	271	9	30	30%	9%	52	-1.1
✕Phillip Ervin 2017 · AA	25	42→50	46→50	55	48	211/289/341	130	257	13	25	23%	8%	77	+0.1	227/293/361	134	285	14	22	24%	7%	83	+0.6	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Steward Berroa 2022 · A	23	46→47	43→45	64→65	52	222/306/340	118	304	10	40	28%	11%	83	+0.6	209/279/328	119	311	11	46	33%	8%	69	-0.4	223/304/322	99	313	9	48	29%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Adalberto Mondesi 2018 · MLB	23	45→54	49→60	64→65	35	229/260/385	156	305	16	31	30%	4%	75	-0.0	251/283/428	177	333	18	46	29%	4%	96	+1.5	257/290/439	182	341	18	58	29%	4%	100	+1.1
✕Tito Polo 2019 · AA	24	46→50	43→45	58→60	40	224/279/336	112	299	10	29	28%	5%	70	-0.3	217/266/319	102	288	8	20	26%	5%	59	-1.1	203/230/287	84	267	3	25	25%	2%	32	-0.6
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2017 · MLB	25	42→48	48→60	59→55	37	213/253/363	150	293	15	26	32%	5%	66	-0.6	212/255/352	140	301	13	20	33%	5%	63	-0.8	218/266/399	181	293	20	14	32%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Leo German 2017 · AAA	24	49→58	43→45	61→55	39	238/281/356	118	304	10	28	25%	4%	76	+0.1	265/300/351	86	350	7	22	25%	4%	82	+0.5	285/319/366	81	368	7	19	24%	4%	90	+0.7