Cole Carrigg
CF Colorado Rockies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+/ROKCOL | 528 | .283/.365/.491 | 17 | 53 | 85 | — | .237/.299/.395 |
| 2025 | 23 | AACOL | 537 | .237/.317/.394 | 15 | 46 | 61 | — | .207/.274/.318 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAACOL | 257 | .338/.416/.529 | 6 | 30 | 135 | — | .315/.376/.470 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBCOL | 372 | .279/.344/.477 | 12 | 11 | 112 | 1.6 | |
| 2027PROJ | 25 | MLBCOL | 272 | .263/.327/.435 | 8 | 16 | 100 | 1.1 | |
| 2028PROJ92% MLB | 26 | MLBCOL | 548 | .263/.327/.438 | 16 | 32 | 101 | 2.3 | |
| 2029PROJ92% MLB | 27 | MLBCOL | 527 | .262/.326/.435 | 15 | 30 | 100 | 2.1 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 101 | 92 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 326 | 380 | 554 | 934 | 228 | 386 | 20 | 7 | 402 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 57 | 48 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 396 | 473 | 688 | 1.160 | 292 | 500 | 23 | 11 | 482 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 510 | 440 | 123 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 97 | 8 | 51 | 11 | 280 | 363 | 475 | 838 | 195 | 320 | 19 | 10 | 362 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 18 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 375 | 412 | 938 | 1.349 | 562 | 385 | 17 | 6 | 524 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 537 | 477 | 113 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 145 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 237 | 317 | 394 | 711 | 157 | 308 | 27 | 8 | 317 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 372 | 333 | 93 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 89 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 279 | 344 | 477 | 822 | 198 | 343 | 24 | 8 | 357 | 112 | +6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 257 | 225 | 76 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 39 | 3 | 30 | 7 | 338 | 416 | 529 | 945 | 191 | 387 | 15 | 11 | 413 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 372 | 333 | 93 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 89 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 279 | 344 | 477 | 822 | 198 | 343 | 24 | 8 | 357 | 127 | +12 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +8 | 2.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 101 | 94 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 266 | 310 | 447 | 757 | 181 | 350 | 28 | 5 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 57 | 50 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 280 | 345 | 460 | 805 | 180 | 380 | 33 | 7 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 510 | 457 | 107 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 132 | 8 | 51 | 11 | 234 | 297 | 383 | 680 | 149 | 283 | 26 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 18 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 312 | 353 | 750 | 1.103 | 438 | 258 | 22 | 6 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 537 | 488 | 101 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 172 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 207 | 274 | 318 | 592 | 111 | 291 | 32 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 372 | 335 | 88 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 89 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 263 | 325 | 442 | 767 | 179 | 343 | 24 | 7 | 334 | 112 | +6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 257 | 232 | 73 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 47 | 3 | 30 | 7 | 315 | 376 | 470 | 846 | 155 | 376 | 18 | 8 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 158 | 144 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 264 | 316 | 431 | 747 | 167 | 361 | 29 | 6 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 158 | 140 | 49 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 350 | 413 | 600 | 1.013 | 250 | 423 | 21 | 8 | 431 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 528 | 474 | 111 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 33 | 136 | 8 | 53 | 12 | 234 | 295 | 392 | 688 | 158 | 294 | 26 | 6 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 528 | 456 | 129 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 100 | 8 | 53 | 12 | 283 | 365 | 491 | 856 | 208 | 323 | 19 | 10 | 368 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 537 | 488 | 101 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 172 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 207 | 274 | 318 | 592 | 111 | 299 | 32 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 537 | 477 | 113 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 145 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 237 | 317 | 394 | 711 | 157 | 308 | 27 | 8 | 317 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 629 | 567 | 162 | 35 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 136 | 8 | 41 | 12 | 286 | 348 | 455 | 803 | 169 | 349 | 22 | 7 | 348 | 121 | +16 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 3.6 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 629 | 558 | 169 | 37 | 9 | 18 | 55 | 128 | 8 | 41 | 12 | 303 | 374 | 498 | 872 | 195 | 362 | 20 | 9 | 380 | 121 | +16 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 3.6 |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 158 | 146 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 260 | 316 | 425 | 741 | 164 | 361 | 29 | 6 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 528 | 482 | 111 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 33 | 136 | 8 | 53 | 12 | 230 | 295 | 386 | 681 | 156 | 282 | 26 | 6 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 537 | 487 | 101 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 172 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 207 | 274 | 318 | 592 | 111 | 291 | 32 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 629 | 570 | 162 | 35 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 136 | 8 | 41 | 12 | 284 | 348 | 453 | 800 | 168 | 357 | 22 | 7 | 348 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 528 | 482 | 111 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 33 | 136 | 8 | 53 | 12 | 230 | 295 | 386 | 681 | 156 | 282 | 26 | 6 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 537 | 487 | 101 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 172 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 207 | 274 | 318 | 592 | 111 | 291 | 32 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 629 | 570 | 162 | 35 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 136 | 8 | 41 | 12 | 284 | 348 | 453 | 800 | 168 | 357 | 22 | 7 | 348 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | COL | 100% | 380 | 344 | 85 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 87 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 247 | 313 | 399 | 711 | 151 | 302 | 23 | 7 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +2 | +3 | +1 | +8 | 0.9 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | COL | 100% | 272 | 247 | 65 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 63 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 263 | 327 | 435 | 762 | 173 | 320 | 23 | 7 | 336 | 100 | -0 | +2 | +2 | +1 | +6 | 1.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | COL | 92% | 596 | 539 | 134 | 26 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 137 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 248 | 313 | 401 | 714 | 153 | 302 | 23 | 7 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +4 | +5 | +2 | +13 | 2.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 92% | 573 | 519 | 128 | 25 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 133 | 7 | 33 | 7 | 247 | 312 | 398 | 710 | 152 | 302 | 23 | 7 | 315 | 100 | -0 | +4 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 2.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 92% | 555 | 502 | 124 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 130 | 7 | 29 | 6 | 245 | 310 | 393 | 703 | 149 | 301 | 23 | 7 | 313 | 98 | -2 | +3 | +4 | +2 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | COL | 92% | 539 | 488 | 119 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 127 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 242 | 307 | 387 | 694 | 145 | 299 | 24 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -3 | +3 | +3 | +2 | +12 | 1.7 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | COL | 92% | 525 | 476 | 115 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 126 | 6 | 20 | 5 | 239 | 303 | 379 | 683 | 140 | 297 | 24 | 7 | 304 | 92 | -5 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB MLE | COL | 92% | 286 | 261 | 62 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 70 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 235 | 298 | 369 | 668 | 135 | 294 | 24 | 7 | 298 | 88 | -4 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | COL | 92% | 548 | 496 | 131 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 126 | 7 | 32 | 7 | 263 | 327 | 438 | 765 | 175 | 320 | 23 | 7 | 337 | 101 | +0 | +4 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 92% | 527 | 476 | 124 | 23 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 122 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 262 | 326 | 435 | 761 | 173 | 319 | 23 | 7 | 335 | 100 | -0 | +4 | +4 | +2 | +11 | 2.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 92% | 511 | 462 | 121 | 23 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 119 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 260 | 324 | 429 | 753 | 170 | 318 | 23 | 7 | 332 | 98 | -1 | +3 | +4 | +2 | +11 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | COL | 92% | 496 | 451 | 116 | 22 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 117 | 6 | 23 | 5 | 257 | 321 | 422 | 743 | 165 | 316 | 24 | 7 | 328 | 95 | -3 | +3 | +3 | +2 | +11 | 1.5 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | COL | 92% | 483 | 439 | 111 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 116 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 253 | 317 | 413 | 730 | 160 | 314 | 24 | 7 | 323 | 92 | -5 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB CTX | COL | 92% | 263 | 239 | 59 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 64 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 249 | 311 | 402 | 713 | 154 | 311 | 24 | 7 | 316 | 88 | -4 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3200 | 2896 | 755 | 146 | 42 | 88 | 235 | 753 | 40 | 149 | 35 | 261 | 325 | 431 | 756 | 171 | 322 | 24 | 7 | 333 | 95 | -1 | +16 | +17 | +12 | +69 | 11.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 154 | 30 | 9 | 18 | 48 | 153 | 8 | 30 | 7 | 262 | 326 | 435 | 761 | 173 | 323 | 24 | 7 | 333 | 95 | -0 | +3 | +3 | +3 | +14 | 2.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5198 | 4705 | 1156 | 215 | 62 | 121 | 367 | 1276 | 69 | 319 | 72 | 246 | 310 | 395 | 705 | 149 | 310 | 25 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -2 | +19 | +21 | +14 | +81 | 13.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 145 | 27 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 160 | 9 | 40 | 9 | 247 | 311 | 396 | 707 | 150 | 312 | 25 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -0 | +3 | +4 | +2 | +14 | 2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 257 PAwOBA .404 → .367 (−36)K% 15.2% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.027 | ×1.048 | 26.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.048 | 7.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.027 | ×1.048 | 2.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.37% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .404 → .367; ISO .191 → .166; BABIP .387 → .376. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAHartford Yard Goats · 537 PAwOBA .309 → .258 (−51)K% 27.0% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.00% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.19% | ÷0.940 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.29% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 21.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.42% | ÷0.913 | ×0.860 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 5.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 1.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.52% | ÷1.255 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.88% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .309 → .258; ISO .157 → .113; BABIP .308 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Spokane Indians · 510 PAwOBA .358 → .291 (−67)K% 19.0% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.02% | ÷0.996 | ×1.350 | — | — | 25.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.80% | ÷1.106 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 6.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.32% | ÷0.999 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 21.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.66% | ÷1.098 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 3.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.21% | ÷0.907 | ×0.820 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 2.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.66% | ÷1.086 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 3.61% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 100, 2B 120, 3B 81, K 99, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .358 → .291; ISO .195 → .156; BABIP .320 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Rockies · 18 PAwOBA .539 → .363 (−176)K% 16.7% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.991 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.035 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 3.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 12.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 14.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.044 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 5.60% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .539 → .363; ISO .562 → .367; BABIP .385 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AFresno Grizzlies · 101 PAwOBA .395 → .322 (−74)K% 19.8% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.80% | ÷0.987 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.93% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.39% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.977 | ×1.015 | 24.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.946 | ×0.830 | ×0.977 | ×1.015 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.941 | ×0.910 | ×0.977 | ×1.015 | 5.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.186 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.85% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 88, K 97, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .395 → .322; ISO .228 → .176; BABIP .386 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Rockies · 57 PAwOBA .477 → .339 (−138)K% 22.8% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.81% | ÷0.996 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.999 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 6.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 23.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.14% | ÷1.006 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 12.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.137 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 4.26% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 95, 2B 101, 3B 127, K 99, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .477 → .339; ISO .292 → .200; BABIP .500 → .380. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).