Miguel Bleis — OGILVIE

Miguel BleisRF Portland Sea Dogs

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs AA H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION272 act + 181 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .234 / .291

PA181

HR4

SB7

K%31

BB%5

BABIP247

ISO107

MLB%6%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-18M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	136	124	21	4	1	1	7	36	3	7	4	169	231	242	473	73	225	26	5	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	136	119	30	6	1	4	12	25	3	7	4	252	336	420	756	168	283	18	9	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	167	158	28	6	3	4	5	65	3	18	3	177	217	329	546	152	267	39	3	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	167	153	46	14	4	5	10	45	3	18	3	301	355	542	898	242	394	27	6	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	142	130	22	2	2	1	6	56	1	11	4	169	212	238	450	69	269	39	4	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	142	126	29	3	3	1	10	38	1	11	4	230	292	325	617	95	304	27	7	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	2 teams	—	429	393	64	10	1	8	27	139	7	38	10	163	230	254	484	92	226	32	6	217	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	2 teams	—	429	381	84	16	1	11	39	92	7	38	10	220	304	354	659	134	261	21	9	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	443	413	64	12	1	8	25	157	4	27	6	155	210	247	457	92	225	35	6	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	443	397	88	21	1	14	41	106	4	27	6	222	301	385	686	164	266	24	9	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	BOS	—	272	257	49	9	0	8	11	84	4	11	3	191	235	319	554	128	248	31	4	238	40	-18	+1	+0	-3	+8	-1.3
YTD	22	AA	BOS	—	272	252	58	11	0	9	16	65	4	11	3	230	287	381	668	151	275	24	6	299	87	-4	+1	+0	-3	+8	0.2
ROS	22	AA	BOS	6%	181	168	31	6	0	4	9	56	2	7	2	184	234	291	525	107	249	31	5	242	43	-12	+1	+0	-2	+5	-0.8
ROS	22	MLB	BOS	6%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		255	27	9	237	40	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
FULL	22	AA	BOS	—	283	267	50	9	0	8	12	87	4	11	3	187	233	311	544	124	244	31	4	238	40	-19	+1	+0	-3	+8	-1.3
TOT	22	AA	BOS	—	453	425	80	15	0	12	20	140	6	18	5	188	235	308	543	120	248	31	4	239	41	-30	+2	+0	-5	+13	-2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	BOS	37%	507	469	92	17	1	13	28	150	5	17	4	196	249	320	569	124	254	30	6	256	54	-26	+2	+1	-5	+14	-1.5
2028	24	MLB	BOS	47%	543	500	102	18	1	16	32	157	6	17	4	204	260	340	600	136	258	29	6	266	62	-24	+2	+1	-6	+15	-1.2
2029	25	MLB	BOS	52%	564	519	107	19	1	17	34	160	6	18	4	206	263	345	608	139	260	28	6	272	66	-22	+2	+1	-6	+16	-0.9
2030	26	MLB	BOS	54%	574	527	109	20	1	17	36	162	6	17	4	207	265	345	611	139	261	28	6	274	68	-21	+2	+1	-6	+16	-0.9
2031	27	MLB	BOS	54%	576	529	109	20	1	17	36	163	6	17	4	206	264	344	608	138	261	28	6	274	68	-21	+2	+1	-6	+16	-0.9
2027	23	MLB	BOS	37%	187	173	35	7	0	5	10	55	2	6	2	202	254	329	584	127	260	29	5	252	51	-10	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.7
2028	24	MLB	BOS	47%	257	237	49	9	1	7	15	74	3	8	2	207	263	342	605	135	264	29	6	262	59	-12	+1	+0	-3	+7	-0.6
2029	25	MLB	BOS	52%	294	271	58	11	1	9	18	83	3	9	2	214	271	362	632	148	266	28	6	268	63	-12	+1	+0	-3	+8	-0.6
2030	26	MLB	BOS	54%	313	288	60	11	1	9	19	88	3	9	2	208	265	347	612	139	267	28	6	270	65	-12	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.6
2031	27	MLB	BOS	54%	313	287	60	11	1	9	20	88	3	9	2	209	268	348	616	139	267	28	6	270	65	-12	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1375	1266	263	49	4	39	83	391	14	41	10	208	264	345	609	137	266	28	6	266	61	-60	+4	+1	-15	+39	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	124	23	2	18	39	185	7	19	5	207	264	343	606	135	266	28	6	266	61	-28	+2	+1	-7	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	4262	3930	749	134	13	106	245	1301	49	194	49	191	247	312	559	122	252	31	6	250	50	-243	+19	+3	-46	+121	-14.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	114	20	2	16	37	198	7	30	7	190	245	311	556	120	252	30	6	250	50	-37	+3	+0	-7	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	136	119	30	6	1	4	12	25	3	7	4	252	336	420	756	168	283	18	9	334	114	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.6
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	167	153	46	14	4	5	10	45	3	18	3	301	355	542	898	242	394	27	6	388	155	+10	+2	—	—	+5	1.8
2023	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	142	126	29	3	3	1	10	38	1	11	4	230	292	325	617	95	304	27	7	270	65	-6	+1	—	—	+4	-0.1
2024	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	234	210	40	6	0	7	18	54	4	22	3	190	267	319	586	129	219	23	8	266	62	-10	+3	—	—	+7	-0.0
2024	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	195	171	44	10	1	4	21	38	3	16	7	257	349	398	746	140	310	19	11	338	117	+4	+0	—	—	+6	1.0
2025	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	118	110	23	6	0	1	6	31	2	7	2	209	263	291	554	82	282	26	5	254	52	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	325	287	65	15	1	13	35	75	2	20	4	226	315	422	736	195	260	23	11	327	109	+3	+2	—	—	+9	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,383	40	43	205	259	342	-15	+0	-2.7	-1.4
	/162	664	19	21	205	259	342	-7.1	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Bleis (OGILVIE)	22	35→30	50	55	45	188/235/308	120	248	12	18	31%	4%	41	-2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2018 · AA	22	41→38	45→50	53→55	44	207/273/334	127	264	12	20	26%	7%	68	-0.5	194/271/323	129	281	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	173/260/293	120	252	12	18	34%	8%	50	-1.1
✕Sergio Garcia 2012 · AAA	21	38	42→45	54→60	41	193/248/290	97	267	11	22	31%	6%	45	-2.1	213/253/326	113	295	12	27	31%	4%	56	-1.3	231/255/354	123	300	13	17	28%	2%	62	-0.4
✕Jeffrey Baez 2016 · A	22	42→43	42→50	55→60	37	209/243/311	102	277	9	22	28%	4%	48	-1.9	202/252/315	113	270	12	22	29%	6%	53	-1.5	196/251/342	146	261	19	15	32%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→40	39→45	52→55	39	205/259/290	85	285	6	20	29%	5%	50	-1.8	206/268/333	127	294	13	23	33%	7%	66	-0.6	198/265/322	124	280	13	27	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→38	43→50	55	35	192/249/294	102	300	11	14	38%	5%	47	-1.9	197/249/320	123	286	14	19	35%	5%	54	-1.4	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	35→34	49→50	54→50	36	188/246/332	144	269	17	14	36%	6%	56	-1.3	199/257/342	143	302	18	13	38%	6%	63	-0.8	180/243/309	129	278	16	12	39%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→50	38	201/251/299	98	265	10	15	28%	5%	49	-1.8	209/254/332	123	305	13	11	34%	5%	59	-1.1	181/215/331	150	258	17	11	37%	3%	42	-0.5
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	40	43→45	51→55	40	193/267/298	105	296	11	13	36%	7%	56	-1.3	203/272/299	96	311	8	12	35%	8%	58	-1.2	170/253/239	69	277	4	11	36%	9%	33	-0.6
✕Jeudy Valdez 2011 · A	22	38→43	41→50	50→55	39	189/235/288	99	259	8	17	30%	5%	39	-2.5	209/246/345	136	281	14	17	30%	4%	59	-1.1	211/245/356	146	279	16	17	30%	3%	58	-1.0
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	46	-2.0	198/248/295	97	289	8	8	32%	6%	46	-2.0	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	23	-1.0
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Trey Amburgey 2018 · A	23	38→44	43→50	51→50	36	193/240/300	106	271	10	12	32%	4%	44	-2.1	214/254/347	133	278	15	9	28%	4%	63	-0.9	221/261/363	142	287	15	7	28%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Michael Crouse 2013 · A	22	35→37	46→50	52→55	36	176/243/300	124	293	14	19	43%	7%	46	-2.0	194/256/309	115	309	10	18	38%	7%	54	-1.4	191/257/319	128	297	12	19	38%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	45	52→65	39	191/248/311	120	257	14	21	31%	6%	51	-1.7	219/287/347	128	293	11	39	27%	8%	77	+0.1	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Kevonte Mitchell 2018 · A	22	41→38	46→45	53→50	39	208/259/340	132	280	14	14	31%	6%	63	-0.8	189/243/310	121	278	14	9	36%	6%	49	-1.8	164/222/278	114	242	14	6	37%	6%	30	-1.8
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	35→40	46→50	50→55	39	186/245/315	128	247	14	13	30%	6%	51	-1.7	189/251/309	120	275	12	18	34%	7%	52	-1.6	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3