DJ Gladney

OF Somerset Patriots

Age 26 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	AA/A+/INTL2 orgs	446	.240/.298/.423	17	9	58	—	.199/.240/.364
2025	24	AACWS	405	.235/.281/.368	10	8	61	—	.220/.253/.343
2026	25	AANYY	487	.263/.328/.485	23	21	76	—	.218/.268/.382
2027PROJMLE	26	MLBNYY	3	.198/.242/.349	0	0	60	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBNYY	45	.199/.245/.350	1	1	61	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO81

Speed75

wRC+70

wOBA62

BB%21

Z-Con%21

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJordan Nwogu (age 25) · Jon Nelson (age 26) · Casey Golden (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .242 / .349

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP294

ISO151

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	220	201	53	5	2	8	10	82	5	1	0	264	315	428	743	164	391	37	5	324	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	294	256	49	11	1	7	31	124	6	1	0	191	294	324	618	133	333	42	11	284	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	58	57	11	2	0	1	1	23	0	1	0	193	207	281	488	88	303	40	2	217	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	460	407	99	17	4	18	44	150	5	10	1	243	325	437	762	194	333	33	10	336	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	409	366	89	16	6	19	27	114	8	12	2	243	305	475	780	232	298	28	7	337	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	105	97	27	4	0	6	4	23	2	1	0	278	320	505	826	227	300	22	4	355	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	281	256	60	16	2	10	23	87	1	7	0	234	300	430	730	195	312	31	8	321	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	60	56	11	0	0	1	4	19	0	1	0	196	250	250	500	54	278	32	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	405	375	88	14	3	10	21	126	3	8	6	235	281	368	649	133	320	31	5	286	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	487	437	115	24	2	23	37	168	6	21	3	263	328	485	814	222	365	34	8	353	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	220	205	32	3	1	5	6	118	5	1	0	156	199	254	453	98	299	54	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	294	267	32	6	1	5	20	171	6	1	0	120	198	206	404	86	285	58	7	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	58	57	10	2	0	1	1	28	0	1	0	175	190	263	453	88	294	48	2	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	460	421	69	12	3	10	30	210	5	10	1	164	228	278	506	114	280	46	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	409	381	69	11	5	15	18	157	8	12	2	181	233	354	588	173	251	38	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	105	98	26	4	0	5	3	29	2	1	0	265	301	459	760	194	295	28	3	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	281	265	46	10	2	9	14	120	1	7	0	174	218	328	546	155	266	43	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	405	382	84	13	2	10	14	151	3	8	6	220	253	343	596	123	320	37	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	487	450	98	19	2	17	25	205	6	21	3	218	268	382	650	164	336	42	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	220	205	32	3	1	5	6	118	5	1	0	156	199	254	453	98	314	54	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	220	201	53	5	2	8	10	82	5	1	0	264	315	428	743	164	391	37	5	324	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	294	267	32	6	1	5	20	171	6	1	0	120	198	206	404	86	293	58	7	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	294	256	49	11	1	7	31	124	6	1	0	191	294	324	618	133	333	42	11	284	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	518	478	78	14	3	11	31	238	5	11	1	163	222	274	496	111	288	46	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	518	464	110	19	4	19	45	173	5	11	1	237	311	418	729	181	330	33	9	322	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	409	381	69	11	5	15	18	157	8	12	2	181	233	354	588	173	256	38	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	409	366	89	16	6	19	27	114	8	12	2	243	305	475	780	232	298	28	7	337	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	446	421	83	16	2	17	19	171	3	9	0	197	237	366	603	169	280	38	4	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	446	409	98	20	2	17	31	129	3	9	0	240	298	423	721	183	305	29	7	317	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	405	382	84	13	2	10	14	151	3	8	6	220	253	343	596	123	327	37	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	—	405	375	88	14	3	10	21	126	3	8	6	235	281	368	649	133	320	31	5	286	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	487	450	98	19	2	17	25	205	6	21	3	218	268	382	650	164	346	42	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	—	487	437	115	24	2	23	37	168	6	21	3	263	328	485	814	222	365	34	8	353	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	220	207	32	3	1	5	6	118	5	1	0	155	199	251	450	97	299	54	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	294	266	32	6	1	5	20	171	6	1	0	120	198	207	405	86	285	58	7	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	518	477	78	14	3	11	31	238	5	11	1	164	222	275	496	111	282	46	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	409	380	69	11	5	15	18	157	8	12	2	182	233	355	589	174	251	38	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	446	421	83	16	2	17	19	171	3	9	0	197	237	366	603	169	274	38	4	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	405	385	84	13	2	10	14	151	3	8	6	218	253	340	593	122	320	37	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	487	453	98	19	2	17	25	205	6	21	3	216	268	380	648	163	336	42	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	446	421	83	16	2	17	19	171	3	9	0	197	237	366	603	169	274	38	4	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	405	385	84	13	2	10	14	151	3	8	6	218	253	340	593	122	320	37	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	487	453	98	19	2	17	25	205	6	21	3	216	268	380	648	163	336	42	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYY	2%	380	357	71	13	2	12	17	150	3	10	2	196	240	341	581	145	294	39	4	257	60	-18	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYY	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	198	242	349	591	151	294	33	0	261	60	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYY	27%	167	156	31	6	1	5	8	65	1	4	1	197	243	341	585	144	293	39	5	259	61	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYY	27%	45	43	8	2	0	1	2	17	0	1	0	199	245	350	595	150	293	38	4	263	61	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	45	43	8	2	0	1	2	17	0	1	0	186	222	302	525	116	280	38	4	263	50	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	621	115	29	0	14	29	246	0	14	0	185	222	300	521	114	280	38	4	263	50	-30	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3101	2886	536	93	18	90	148	1337	38	71	14	186	235	324	559	138	300	43	5	242	50	-15	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	112	19	4	19	31	280	8	15	3	185	234	324	558	139	298	43	5	242	50	-30	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AASomerset Patriots · 487 PAwOBA .347 → .280 (−67)K% 34.5% → 42.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.50%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	42.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.39%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.998	5.16%
HBP% /PA	1.23%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	1.05%
Singles /BIP	24.54%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.002	×0.998	23.79%
Doubles /BIP	8.92%	÷1.000	×0.860	×1.002	×0.998	7.67%
Triples /BIP	0.74%	÷1.000	×0.950	×1.002	×0.998	0.71%
Home runs /BIP	8.55%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.998	6.66%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .347 → .280; ISO .222 → .167; BABIP .365 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AABirmingham Barons · 405 PAwOBA .281 → .258 (−23)K% 31.1% → 37.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.11%	÷1.020	×1.220	—	—	37.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.19%	÷1.020	×0.680	—	×1.012	3.50%
HBP% /PA	0.74%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	0.63%
Singles /BIP	24.50%	÷0.954	×0.920	×1.043	×1.012	24.93%
Doubles /BIP	5.62%	÷0.984	×0.910	×1.043	×1.012	5.49%
Triples /BIP	1.20%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.043	×1.012	0.97%
Home runs /BIP	4.02%	÷0.784	×0.800	—	×1.012	4.15%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .281 → .258; ISO .133 → .126; BABIP .320 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 281 PAwOBA .314 → .235 (−78)K% 31.0% → 42.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.96%	÷0.952	×1.310	—	—	42.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.19%	÷1.006	×0.600	—	×0.998	4.87%
HBP% /PA	0.36%	—	×0.770	—	×0.998	0.27%
Singles /BIP	18.93%	÷0.972	×0.870	×1.007	×0.998	17.02%
Doubles /BIP	9.47%	÷1.070	×0.780	×1.007	×0.998	6.94%
Triples /BIP	1.18%	÷0.929	×0.850	×1.007	×0.998	1.09%
Home runs /BIP	5.92%	÷0.817	×0.880	—	×0.998	6.36%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 86, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .314 → .235; ISO .195 → .162; BABIP .312 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AABirmingham Barons · 105 PAwOBA .351 → .316 (−35)K% 21.9% → 27.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.90%	÷0.980	×1.220	—	—	27.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.81%	÷1.081	×0.680	—	×1.027	2.46%
HBP% /PA	1.90%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	1.64%
Singles /BIP	22.97%	÷0.979	×0.920	×1.033	×1.027	22.91%
Doubles /BIP	5.41%	÷0.990	×0.910	×1.033	×1.027	5.27%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.044	×0.880	×1.033	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.11%	÷0.935	×0.800	—	×1.027	7.12%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .351 → .316; ISO .227 → .198; BABIP .300 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 409 PAwOBA .329 → .249 (−81)K% 27.9% → 38.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.87%	÷0.948	×1.310	—	—	38.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.60%	÷0.943	×0.600	—	×1.012	4.25%
HBP% /PA	1.96%	—	×0.770	—	×1.012	1.52%
Singles /BIP	19.05%	÷1.011	×0.870	×1.005	×1.012	16.68%
Doubles /BIP	6.35%	÷1.030	×0.780	×1.005	×1.012	4.89%
Triples /BIP	2.38%	÷1.008	×0.850	×1.005	×1.012	2.04%
Home runs /BIP	7.54%	÷1.017	×0.880	—	×1.012	6.60%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 102, K 90, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .329 → .249; ISO .232 → .179; BABIP .298 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 460 PAwOBA .330 → .225 (−105)K% 32.6% → 45.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.61%	÷0.972	×1.360	—	—	45.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.57%	÷1.021	×0.690	—	×1.015	6.56%
HBP% /PA	1.09%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	0.86%
Singles /BIP	23.35%	÷1.050	×0.920	×0.979	×1.015	20.33%
Doubles /BIP	6.61%	÷0.976	×0.830	×0.979	×1.015	5.59%
Triples /BIP	1.56%	÷1.150	×0.910	×0.979	×1.015	1.22%
Home runs /BIP	7.00%	÷1.172	×0.800	—	×1.015	4.85%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 110, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .330 → .225; ISO .194 → .120; BABIP .333 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AABirmingham Barons · 58 PAwOBA .211 → .168 (−42)K% 39.7% → 49.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	39.66%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	48.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	1.72%	÷0.993	×0.680	—	×1.050	1.24%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.53%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.050	22.74%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷0.947	×0.910	—	×1.050	5.93%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.987	×0.880	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.94%	÷1.056	×0.800	—	×1.050	2.34%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 89, 3B 97, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .211 → .168; ISO .088 → .066; BABIP .303 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 294 PAwOBA .278 → .181 (−97)K% 42.2% → 58.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	42.18%	÷0.984	×1.360	—	—	58.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.54%	÷1.085	×0.690	—	×1.030	6.91%
HBP% /PA	2.04%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	1.64%
Singles /BIP	22.73%	÷1.003	×0.920	×0.950	×1.030	20.39%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷1.049	×0.830	×0.950	×1.030	6.45%
Triples /BIP	0.76%	÷1.122	×0.910	×0.950	×1.030	0.60%
Home runs /BIP	5.30%	÷0.925	×0.800	—	×1.030	4.72%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 110, 3B 124, K 97, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .278 → .181; ISO .133 → .083; BABIP .333 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
DJ Gladney (OGILVIE)	26	35	40	45	25	194/238/338	143	294	5	4	40%	5%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Nwogu 2024 · AA	25	36	48→50	51→55	36	188/253/324	136	286	17	17	39%	6%	62	-1.4	206/267/304	98	294	10	22	31%	6%	62	-1.4	212/276/293	80	294	7	25	28%	6%	61	-0.8
✕Jon Nelson 2006 · AA	26	39→45	48→50	47→45	30	203/233/343	140	305	16	12	39%	3%	58	-1.7	208/243/347	139	308	15	8	36%	3%	63	-1.3	206/240/341	135	299	14	6	35%	2%	58	-1.1
✕Casey Golden 2021 · A	26	38→34	50→55	48→50	33	184/258/329	145	331	18	10	47%	7%	66	-1.1	209/273/349	140	395	15	7	47%	7%	75	-0.5	183/248/345	161	373	20	2	52%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Taylor Snyder 2021 · A	26	39→33	45→50	50	33	196/244/318	122	308	13	12	40%	5%	57	-1.8	189/240/339	150	276	19	12	37%	6%	60	-1.6	165/221/310	144	234	19	14	38%	6%	44	-1.4
✕Jesus Valdez 2024 · AA	26	37	47→45	49→50	31	198/225/332	134	276	16	9	34%	3%	53	-2.1	205/253/310	105	291	11	6	32%	5%	58	-1.7	193/252/279	86	271	10	3	31%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Brock Kjeldgaard 2012 · AA	26	41→42	50	49→45	35	203/266/353	151	320	18	8	40%	6%	74	-0.6	190/265/331	141	286	17	5	38%	8%	69	-0.9	164/248/298	134	237	18	1	38%	9%	53	-1.5
✕Adam Brett Walker 2018 · AAA	26	34→43	53→55	47→45	31	187/232/354	167	294	22	8	44%	5%	61	-1.5	199/260/344	145	322	16	8	41%	7%	69	-0.9	151/241/285	134	259	13	3	44%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Dusty Coleman 2013 · AAA	26	35→42	45→50	46→50	32	175/233/292	117	308	13	11	45%	6%	47	-2.5	189/247/296	107	312	9	13	40%	6%	53	-2.1	193/245/323	131	288	14	15	36%	5%	57	-1.1
✕Jeremy Eierman 2023 · AA	26	34→26	52→50	44→45	32	187/235/345	159	282	21	9	41%	5%	61	-1.5	183/238/317	134	275	18	8	39%	5%	55	-1.9	150/210/261	112	218	17	7	39%	5%	31	-1.3
✕Jimmy Kerrigan 2021 · AAA	27	38→39	47→50	46→50	34	201/244/333	132	276	16	12	33%	4%	61	-1.5	212/265/347	135	333	16	13	39%	6%	72	-0.7	195/250/330	134	314	17	13	41%	5%	61	-1.0
✕Bryan Arias 2022 · AA	25	38	47→45	48→50	39	195/262/324	129	297	16	13	38%	7%	65	-1.2	193/269/293	100	292	10	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	179/266/269	90	269	8	17	34%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Tyler Marincov 2018 · AA	26	41	45→50	44→50	39	207/261/331	125	288	13	9	32%	6%	66	-1.1	197/254/334	137	295	17	11	37%	6%	65	-1.2	166/221/292	126	240	18	14	39%	6%	42	-1.8
✕Burt Reynolds 2015 · A	26	42	48→45	49→50	32	201/257/345	143	332	16	15	42%	5%	68	-1.0	193/250/320	127	311	14	9	40%	6%	60	-1.6	154/213/275	120	241	15	5	41%	6%	34	-1.8
✕Matthew Allegra 2007 · AA	26	38	48→50	43→40	37	197/255/339	142	292	16	5	37%	6%	66	-1.1	208/261/348	140	282	14	6	30%	6%	70	-0.8	194/244/340	146	249	14	2	28%	5%	59	-1.1
✕Scott Schreiber 2022 · AA	26	42	49→45	46→45	37	217/265/359	142	295	17	10	32%	5%	74	-0.5	223/279/349	126	308	14	10	31%	6%	78	-0.3	221/275/312	91	322	9	11	32%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	47→45	52→50	42	196/260/323	127	273	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	197/275/307	110	300	10	14	35%	9%	66	-1.1	186/271/290	104	286	8	12	35%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	42	46→40	48→55	42	209/269/335	126	284	13	14	30%	7%	70	-0.8	228/297/333	105	298	8	27	25%	8%	80	-0.2	233/309/320	88	303	5	48	23%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Dylan Rosa 2022 · AAA	26	40→30	46→45	45	33	201/250/331	131	307	14	7	38%	4%	62	-1.4	197/257/330	133	371	16	10	48%	7%	65	-1.2	134/206/255	121	280	20	10	56%	8%	28	-1.2
✕Kody Kirkland 2009 · AAA	26	38→42	46→50	48→45	38	194/255/326	132	278	14	10	34%	6%	63	-1.3	203/260/314	111	280	10	10	30%	6%	61	-1.5	173/225/258	86	234	6	7	28%	5%	34	-2.0
✕Jake Gatewood 2022 · AAA	26	33→40	52→50	48→45	30	184/226/342	158	280	22	7	42%	4%	56	-1.9	191/234/349	158	284	20	7	39%	4%	61	-1.5	157/206/295	138	235	16	5	40%	5%	35	-2.0