Carlos Colmenarez

Carlos ColmenarezSS Durham Bulls

Age 22 L/R 5'9" / 172 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†32

AVG/OBP/SLG.154 / .245 / .232

PA320

HR5

SB10

K%45

BB%9

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25→25

PWR

35→35

SPD

45→45

EYE

51↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.0peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-1M		$-4M	-$3M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Rays 1	114	101	17	1	1	0	5	45	4	7	6	.168	.236	.198	.434	.030	.283	39	4	.190	4	-12	-1	+0	+1	+3	-0.9
2022	18	ROK	FCL Rays	153	131	25	6	2	1	12	58	9	13	2	.191	.303	.290	.593	.099	.329	38	8	.251	50	-9	+2	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2023	19	A	2 teams	370	326	42	7	1	4	33	199	10	10	11	.129	.230	.193	.424	.064	.306	54	9	.199	11	-37	-2	+0	+4	+10	-2.6
2024	20	A	2 teams	506	443	65	7	3	1	45	215	11	16	9	.147	.242	.183	.425	.036	.275	42	9	.204	14	-49	-0	+0	+5	+14	-3.0
2025	21	A+	2 teams	307	272	45	5	1	6	24	132	9	3	3	.165	.256	.257	.513	.092	.291	43	8	.232	35	-22	-1	+0	+3	+9	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	AAA	Durham Bulls	51	46	8	1	0	1	4	31	1	4	0	.174	.255	.261	.516	.087	.500	61	8	.218	25	-4	+1	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
ROS	22	MLB	TB	269	238	37	5	1	4	23	125	6	6	2	.155	.247	.235	.482	.080	.303	46	9	.229	33	-20	+0	+0	+3	+8	-1.0
TOT	22	MLB	TB	320	284	45	6	1	5	27	156	7	10	2	.158	.248	.239	.488	.081	.323	49	8	.227	32	-25	+1	+0	+3	+9	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 27%	TB	413	364	63	9	1	8	38	158	8	9	3	.173	.266	.269	.535	.096	.278	38	9	.250	50	-23	+1	+0	+4	+12	-0.7
2028	24	MLB 45%	TB	462	406	74	11	2	9	44	169	9	10	4	.182	.277	.286	.562	.103	.280	37	10	.260	57	-22	+0	+0	+5	+13	-0.4
2029	25	MLB 59%	TB	484	425	79	12	2	10	47	173	9	10	4	.186	.281	.294	.575	.108	.282	36	10	.267	62	-21	+0	+0	+5	+14	-0.1
2030	26	MLB 77%	TB	496	436	82	12	2	11	48	176	9	10	3	.188	.282	.300	.582	.112	.283	35	10	.270	65	-20	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.0
2031	27	MLB 92%	TB	497	436	82	12	2	11	49	177	9	9	3	.188	.283	.300	.584	.112	.282	36	10	.270	65	-20	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.0
2032	28	MLB	TB	493	432	81	12	2	11	49	176	9	8	3	.188	.284	.301	.585	.113	.282	36	10	.269	64	-20	+0	-1	+5	+14	-0.1
2033	29	MLB	TB	484	424	79	12	2	10	48	174	9	7	2	.186	.283	.295	.578	.108	.281	36	10	.267	62	-21	+1	-1	+5	+14	-0.3
2034	30	MLB	TB	474	414	75	11	1	10	48	172	9	6	2	.181	.280	.285	.565	.104	.279	36	10	.264	60	-21	+0	-2	+5	+13	-0.5
2035	31	MLB	TB	460	402	72	11	1	9	46	169	9	5	1	.179	.278	.279	.557	.100	.277	37	10	.260	57	-22	+1	-3	+5	+13	-0.7
2036	32	MLB	TB	442	387	67	10	1	8	44	165	8	3	1	.173	.271	.266	.537	.093	.276	37	10	.255	54	-23	+0	-4	+5	+13	-0.9
2037	33	MLB	TB	412	361	62	9	1	7	41	157	7	2	0	.172	.269	.260	.529	.089	.274	38	10	.250	50	-23	+0	-4	+4	+12	-1.1
2038	34	MLB	TB	368	322	54	8	1	6	36	143	7	2	0	.168	.266	.255	.520	.087	.272	39	10	.244	45	-23	+0	-5	+4	+10	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7204	6320	1101	160	27	126	680	2783	151	136	59	.174	.270	.268	.538	.094	.283	39	9	.250	50	-410	+4	-20	+77	+204	-14.7
/ 162G	—			650	570	98	14	2	11	61	251	14	12	5	.172	.268	.261	.529	.089	.280	39	9	.250	50	-37	+0	-2	+7	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Rays 1	114	97	24	2	1	0	8	30	4	7	6	.247	.327	.289	.616	.041	.338	26	7	.278	71	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2022	18	ROK	FCL Rays	153	126	32	7	3	1	17	41	9	13	2	.254	.382	.381	.763	.127	.365	27	11	.349	125	+4	+2	—	—	+4	1.1
2023	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	346	283	57	9	1	6	52	132	10	10	11	.201	.345	.304	.649	.102	.349	38	15	.307	93	-3	-2	—	—	+10	0.5
2023	19	ROK	FCL Rays	24	21	7	2	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	.333	.417	.429	.845	.095	.467	25	12	.383	151	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	368	297	60	7	3	1	54	108	9	15	8	.202	.340	.256	.596	.054	.306	29	15	.284	76	-10	-0	—	—	+10	0.0
2024	20	INTL	Perth Heat	138	117	31	2	1	6	17	48	2	1	1	.265	.365	.453	.818	.188	.391	35	12	.362	135	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	280	231	48	6	1	6	38	94	8	3	3	.208	.338	.320	.658	.113	.321	34	14	.307	93	-2	-1	—	—	+8	0.5
2025	21	ROK	FCL Rays	27	25	8	1	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	.320	.370	.480	.850	.160	.438	30	4	.379	148	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Colmenarez (OGILVIE)	22	25	35	45	55	.154/.245/.232	.078	.287	5	5	45%	9%	32	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron Bracho 2023 · A	22	30→38	42→45	44→40	38	.161/.227/.260	.099	.254	10	4	39%	7%	30	-3.1	.194/.258/.324	.130	.261	16	5	31%	7%	59	-1.1	.192/.255/.327	.134	.243	18	4	29%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Andry Arias 2022 · A	22	38	42→40	46→40	39	.187/.254/.288	.101	.287	10	7	36%	7%	48	-1.9	.193/.256/.289	.096	.301	8	5	36%	7%	49	-1.8	.160/.230/.252	.091	.253	7	3	37%	7%	25	-1.2
✕Brenden Webb 2012 · A	22	38→37	38→45	47→50	42	.179/.255/.256	.077	.296	6	9	39%	9%	40	-2.4	.182/.261/.296	.114	.300	11	10	40%	9%	54	-1.4	.168/.246/.293	.124	.274	13	10	41%	8%	44	-1.5
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→38	39→45	47→45	42	.173/.251/.266	.093	.273	5	7	36%	8%	42	-2.3	.196/.261/.313	.117	.273	11	6	31%	7%	58	-1.2	.196/.262/.319	.124	.258	14	6	29%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Stephen Paolini 2023 · A	22	36	38→40	48→50	36	.165/.235/.242	.077	.309	6	12	45%	8%	28	-3.2	.174/.241/.260	.086	.320	8	16	44%	7%	35	-2.8	.157/.224/.241	.083	.287	9	23	45%	7%	21	-1.7
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	44→65	37	.193/.250/.274	.080	.298	7	7	36%	6%	42	-2.3	.205/.278/.298	.093	.301	7	29	32%	7%	61	-1.0	.200/.277/.293	.093	.287	7	42	30%	7%	55	-0.6
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	.177/.225/.258	.082	.279	7	4	38%	5%	27	-3.3	.181/.235/.260	.079	.301	7	5	40%	6%	32	-3.0	.113/.162/.125	.012	.213	0	0	44%	5%	-37	-1.5
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	40→33	41→45	50	44	.196/.269/.293	.097	.285	8	12	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.202/.266/.324	.122	.299	13	11	35%	7%	63	-0.9	.179/.252/.298	.118	.265	14	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Shane Matheny 2019 · A	23	37→42	39→45	41→50	35	.184/.237/.261	.077	.294	8	5	39%	6%	33	-2.9	.183/.239/.277	.094	.288	10	4	38%	6%	38	-2.6	.191/.281/.316	.125	.300	14	9	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Jared Walker 2017 · A	21	37→33	40→55	45	37	.179/.242/.265	.087	.303	8	7	41%	7%	37	-2.7	.189/.259/.344	.155	.304	18	5	42%	7%	66	-0.6	.172/.256/.340	.168	.271	21	5	42%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Hudson Head 2023 · A	22	39→37	42→45	45	37	.180/.260/.283	.103	.317	10	8	43%	8%	50	-1.7	.177/.240/.288	.111	.290	11	9	40%	6%	42	-2.3	.160/.218/.285	.126	.244	13	8	39%	6%	30	-1.6
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	35	38→50	49→40	36	.175/.228/.252	.077	.268	5	7	35%	5%	27	-3.3	.186/.270/.336	.150	.264	19	6	36%	9%	69	-0.4	.166/.253/.309	.143	.233	20	4	37%	9%	52	-0.8
✕Shawn Griffin 2009 · A	22	41	40→45	50	38	.193/.254/.284	.090	.319	7	11	39%	7%	46	-2.0	.216/.266/.309	.093	.335	6	7	35%	6%	57	-1.2	.240/.280/.338	.098	.354	7	2	33%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Kevin Clark 2008 · A	22	41→38	41→50	47→50	38	.193/.253/.290	.097	.308	8	7	38%	7%	47	-1.9	.206/.263/.336	.130	.320	15	13	38%	7%	64	-0.8	.195/.255/.339	.144	.293	19	16	38%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Randy Florentino 2022 · A	22	35	40→50	42→45	40	.174/.240/.257	.083	.272	8	5	37%	8%	33	-2.9	.189/.243/.277	.088	.263	9	6	30%	6%	40	-2.4	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	39	38→40	47→50	37	.185/.248/.266	.081	.290	6	5	36%	6%	40	-2.4	.211/.273/.305	.094	.302	9	13	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.203/.265/.285	.083	.283	8	16	30%	7%	48	-0.8
✕Luis Toribio 2023 · A	22	36→39	45→50	45→40	38	.178/.247/.297	.119	.301	13	3	43%	8%	47	-1.9	.181/.249/.311	.130	.297	16	3	42%	8%	53	-1.5	.165/.238/.298	.133	.259	17	1	41%	8%	41	-1.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→39	41→45	44→55	45	.195/.271/.299	.104	.290	8	6	34%	9%	58	-1.2	.192/.292/.304	.112	.255	10	14	26%	12%	69	-0.4	.200/.299/.321	.122	.247	12	27	23%	12%	74	-0.1
✕Jose Dilone 2023 · A	22	38	37→30	51→55	41	.177/.254/.244	.067	.289	4	12	37%	8%	37	-2.6	.205/.283/.291	.086	.360	6	11	41%	9%	61	-1.0	.214/.304/.305	.091	.422	8	12	46%	10%	69	-0.1
✕Nick Plummer 2018 · A	22	39→49	38→45	43→50	46	.180/.284/.259	.080	.296	5	9	37%	10%	55	-1.4	.167/.271/.260	.093	.292	8	7	41%	10%	50	-1.8	.182/.281/.306	.123	.298	13	10	39%	9%	63	-0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)