Daniel Cabrera — OGILVIE

Daniel CabreraOF Erie SeaWolves

Age 27 L/L 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .284 / .336

PA12

HR0

K%25

BB%8

ISO125

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	71	69	12	2	0	4	1	18	1	1	0	174	197	377	574	203	170	25	1	250	55	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2021	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	422	380	92	19	6	9	34	95	0	7	4	242	303	395	698	153	294	23	8	306	93	-3	-0	—	—	+9	0.6
2022	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	400	355	73	14	3	5	40	80	2	6	0	206	290	304	594	99	249	20	10	272	70	-14	+1	—	—	+9	-0.4
2022	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	114	104	36	6	1	3	8	16	0	1	0	346	393	510	902	163	379	14	7	392	151	+7	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2023	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	237	199	47	10	1	1	32	36	1	3	1	236	342	312	653	75	279	15	14	301	90	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.2
2023	24	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	32	19	5	1	0	0	12	4	1	2	0	263	562	316	878	53	333	12	38	438	182	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	27	25	5	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	200	231	360	591	160	200	19	4	251	56	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	71	69	10	2	0	3	1	21	1	1	0	145	169	304	473	159	157	30	1	192	16	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	22	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	422	392	79	16	5	8	24	134	0	7	4	202	248	329	577	128	270	32	6	251	56	-22	-0	—	—	+9	-1.3
2022	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	400	368	67	12	3	4	27	98	2	6	0	182	242	264	505	82	231	24	7	228	40	-28	+1	—	—	+9	-1.9
2022	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	114	106	31	5	1	3	6	23	0	1	0	292	330	443	774	151	331	20	5	328	108	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	237	212	47	10	1	1	21	46	1	3	1	222	295	292	587	71	268	19	9	261	63	-10	+0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2023	24	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	32	23	6	1	0	0	8	6	1	2	0	261	469	304	773	43	317	19	25	362	131	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	27	25	5	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	200	231	360	591	160	183	22	4	220	35	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	493	462	89	18	5	11	24	155	1	8	4	193	234	325	559	132	258	31	5	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	493	449	104	21	6	13	35	113	1	8	4	232	287	392	679	160	277	23	7	298	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	514	474	99	18	4	7	33	121	2	7	0	209	263	308	571	99	262	24	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	514	459	109	20	4	8	48	96	2	7	0	237	312	351	663	113	281	19	9	298	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	269	236	53	11	1	1	28	52	2	5	1	225	312	292	604	68	280	19	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	269	218	52	11	1	1	44	40	2	5	1	239	368	312	680	73	283	15	16	317	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	27	25	5	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	200	231	360	591	160	211	22	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	27	25	5	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	200	231	360	591	160	200	19	4	251	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	493	465	89	18	5	11	24	155	1	8	4	191	234	323	557	131	254	31	5	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	514	474	99	18	4	7	33	121	2	7	0	209	263	308	571	99	253	24	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	269	237	53	11	1	1	28	52	2	5	1	224	312	291	603	68	274	19	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	27	26	5	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	192	231	346	577	154	183	22	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	269	237	53	11	1	1	28	52	2	5	1	224	312	291	603	68	274	19	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	27	26	5	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	192	231	346	577	154	183	22	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	DET	2%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		269	25	8	281	77	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	DET	27%	207	186	41	8	1	5	17	52	2	4	1	220	293	355	648	134	271	25	8	285	79	-5	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	29	MLB MLE	DET	37%	262	236	51	10	1	6	22	66	2	4	1	216	288	343	632	127	272	25	8	286	80	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	DET	27%	56	50	10	2	0	1	5	14	1	1	0	200	286	300	586	100	267	25	9	273	79	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	DET	37%	97	88	18	4	0	2	8	24	1	2	0	205	278	318	597	114	267	25	8	274	80	-2	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	153	138	28	6	0	3	13	38	2	3	0	203	281	312	593	109	258	25	8	274	62	-4	+1	-1	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	119	25	0	13	55	161	8	13	0	203	280	312	592	109	257	25	8	274	62	-16	+3	-3	-4	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1784	1630	340	66	12	31	126	455	9	28	7	209	269	321	590	112	266	26	7	261	62	-12	+1	-2	-3	+10	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	123	24	4	11	46	166	3	10	3	207	267	316	584	109	265	26	7	261	62	-16	+1	-3	-4	+14	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Cabrera (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	212/284/336	124	269	3	2	25%	8%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	47→55	52→50	45	206/276/349	144	272	14	12	29%	8%	76	-0.4	214/274/384	170	291	20	15	32%	7%	84	+0.1	200/265/376	176	270	21	17	33%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Stephen Scott 2023 · AA	26	41→45	48→50	49→50	51	211/292/354	143	260	15	8	25%	10%	84	+0.1	210/281/354	144	265	16	10	26%	8%	80	-0.2	208/279/363	155	257	18	10	26%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	220/290/348	129	269	13	7	23%	8%	81	-0.1	228/294/351	123	282	11	8	22%	8%	83	+0.1	228/295/343	115	278	10	5	21%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Moncrief 2016 · AAA	27	45→51	44→50	49→50	45	224/283/345	121	286	12	11	25%	7%	77	-0.3	224/285/334	110	301	10	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	227/286/330	103	309	8	11	27%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA	27	42→38	47→50	51→45	43	210/271/357	147	279	13	9	29%	7%	76	-0.4	211/281/340	129	269	10	8	24%	8%	76	-0.4	205/288/337	132	247	11	3	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Luis Liberato 2023 · AAA	27	42→49	49→50	52→50	43	214/277/367	153	293	16	8	32%	8%	80	-0.1	219/283/349	130	311	12	12	31%	8%	78	-0.3	218/283/331	113	310	10	13	31%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Scott Cousins 2012 · MLB	27	46→50	46→50	53→55	43	230/278/364	134	289	13	15	25%	6%	80	-0.2	220/274/328	108	296	10	17	28%	6%	70	-0.9	214/267/310	96	291	8	20	28%	5%	60	-0.8
✕Peter Maris 2021 · AAA	27	43→50	45	50	44	213/275/342	128	274	12	9	26%	7%	74	-0.6	228/280/367	139	310	15	9	30%	6%	81	-0.1	229/275/383	154	304	20	5	31%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→45	48→55	45→50	44	207/283/349	141	260	15	8	26%	7%	80	-0.2	210/276/339	129	270	14	11	27%	7%	74	-0.5	201/267/326	125	260	14	11	27%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Charles Thomas 2006 · MLB	27	45→50	43→45	52→50	50	222/299/338	116	266	10	16	20%	8%	82	+0.0	222/281/312	90	283	9	13	24%	7%	69	-0.9	221/276/292	70	286	8	11	24%	6%	58	-1.0
✕Anthony Norman 2011 · AA	26	42	46→50	54→55	48	211/291/344	132	264	13	14	24%	8%	81	-0.1	212/271/313	101	296	6	10	29%	6%	65	-1.2	228/269/342	114	334	0	12	30%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Deik Scram 2011 · AAA	27	40→50	46→50	53→50	44	203/272/339	136	279	13	13	31%	8%	72	-0.7	213/292/342	129	305	11	10	31%	9%	80	-0.1	208/300/341	134	297	10	4	31%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Alex Glenn 2017 · AA	26	43→42	46→55	50	40	219/260/357	138	277	13	8	26%	5%	72	-0.7	196/242/296	100	290	8	7	34%	6%	51	-2.3	136/180/211	75	220	5	4	39%	5%	5	-2.0
✕Austin Davidson 2019 · AA	26	47→43	44→45	48→45	47	232/292/358	125	281	11	7	21%	7%	84	+0.1	215/278/320	105	278	8	6	24%	7%	70	-0.9	188/256/270	82	252	5	1	26%	7%	48	-1.4
✕Joe McCarthy 2021 · AAA	27	38→48	46→45	49→50	44	191/275/317	127	288	13	7	36%	9%	69	-0.9	242/306/403	161	300	18	9	25%	7%	100	+1.3	253/317/428	176	300	20	6	22%	7%	107	+1.0
✕Jaycob Brugman 2019 · MLB	27	48→49	43→50	48→45	44	232/287/339	107	305	10	9	27%	7%	77	-0.3	223/282/396	173	301	22	7	32%	7%	89	+0.5	201/263/415	214	257	29	0	34%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Tyler Collins 2017 · MLB	27	44→50	44→45	49→50	43	218/272/332	113	275	13	10	25%	6%	70	-0.8	215/279/335	120	291	13	11	29%	8%	74	-0.6	220/287/350	130	302	14	12	30%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Taylor Featherston 2017 · MLB	27	41→47	45→50	49→50	38	206/252/330	124	264	12	11	27%	4%	62	-1.4	189/246/302	113	289	12	11	37%	5%	54	-2.0	168/229/276	108	282	13	10	43%	5%	40	-1.9
✕Jeff Duncan 2006 · MLB	27	46→47	41→45	53→60	46	221/284/322	101	287	8	15	25%	8%	72	-0.7	233/299/319	86	302	8	21	24%	7%	77	-0.3	238/309/298	60	308	6	28	23%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	45→44	42→45	52→50	42	217/267/324	106	281	8	13	25%	6%	66	-1.1	225/272/362	137	292	15	18	27%	5%	77	-0.3	222/266/365	143	283	17	22	27%	5%	73	-0.3