Daniel Cabrera — OGILVIE

Daniel CabreraOF Erie SeaWolves

Age 27 L/L 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .279 / .335

PA136

HR3

K%26

BB%8

ISO125

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	493	462	90	19	4	13	24	162	1	8	4	195	236	338	574	143	263	33	5	250	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	493	449	104	21	6	13	35	113	1	8	4	232	287	392	679	160	277	23	7	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	2 teams	—	514	474	97	18	4	9	33	128	2	7	0	205	259	316	576	112	257	25	6	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	2 teams	—	514	459	109	20	4	8	48	96	2	7	0	237	312	351	663	113	281	19	9	298	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	269	237	53	12	1	1	27	58	2	5	1	224	308	295	604	72	287	22	10	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	269	218	52	11	1	1	44	40	2	5	1	239	368	312	680	73	283	15	16	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	27	25	5	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	200	231	360	591	160	211	22	4	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	27	25	5	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	200	231	360	591	160	200	19	4	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	DET	—	136	124	27	5	1	3	10	35	1	2	1	218	281	347	628	129	269	26	7	279	71	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	DET	27%	207	187	41	8	1	5	16	53	2	4	1	219	288	353	641	134	271	26	8	282	74	-6	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.2
2028	29	MLB	DET	37%	262	237	51	10	1	6	21	67	2	4	1	215	285	342	626	127	272	26	8	283	75	-7	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.3
2027	28	MLB	DET	27%	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	196	268	294	562	98	267	25	7	271	65	-2	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	29	MLB	DET	37%	97	88	18	4	0	2	8	25	1	2	0	205	278	318	597	114	268	26	8	272	66	-4	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	153	139	28	6	0	3	12	39	2	3	0	201	275	309	584	108	258	25	8	271	66	-6	+1	-1	-1	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	119	25	0	13	51	166	8	13	0	201	274	310	583	108	257	26	8	271	66	-25	+3	-3	-4	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	1908	1746	364	73	12	38	132	509	10	30	8	208	268	329	597	121	268	27	7	263	59	-88	+3	-2	-11	+54	-4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	124	25	4	13	45	173	3	10	3	208	267	329	597	121	267	27	7	263	59	-30	+1	-1	-4	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	71	69	12	2	0	4	1	18	1	1	0	174	197	377	574	203	170	25	1	250	50	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2021	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	422	380	92	19	6	9	34	95	0	7	4	242	303	395	698	153	294	23	8	306	92	-4	-0	—	—	+12	0.8
2022	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	400	355	73	14	3	5	40	80	2	6	0	206	290	304	594	99	249	20	10	272	66	-15	+1	—	—	+11	-0.3
2022	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	114	104	36	6	1	3	8	16	0	1	0	346	393	510	902	163	379	14	7	392	158	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	237	199	47	10	1	1	32	36	1	3	1	236	342	312	653	75	279	15	14	301	88	-3	+0	—	—	+7	0.4
2023	24	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	32	19	5	1	0	0	12	4	1	2	0	263	562	316	878	53	333	12	38	438	193	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	27	25	5	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	200	231	360	591	160	200	19	4	251	50	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Cabrera (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	211/279/335	124	269	3	2	26%	8%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA	27	42→38	49→55	51→45	43	213/273/372	159	280	16	9	29%	7%	78	+0.2	213/281/351	138	268	12	8	24%	7%	76	+0.0	209/292/352	144	249	13	3	21%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	219/289/348	129	269	13	7	23%	8%	78	+0.2	228/294/355	127	284	12	8	23%	8%	82	+0.5	228/294/350	122	280	11	5	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Carlos Moncrief 2016 · AAA	27	45→49	46→55	49→50	45	225/284/358	133	284	14	11	26%	7%	78	+0.2	225/284/342	117	302	11	11	28%	7%	74	-0.1	227/283/338	111	311	9	11	28%	7%	69	-0.1
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→37	49→60	52→50	45	205/274/357	151	272	16	12	30%	8%	75	-0.0	214/272/399	185	289	23	15	33%	7%	85	+0.7	198/260/387	189	265	25	17	35%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Tyler Collins 2017 · MLB	27	44→50	47→50	49→50	43	224/275/350	126	277	15	10	25%	6%	72	-0.2	217/279/344	127	291	14	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	221/288/362	141	300	16	12	30%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	44→43	43→50	52→50	42	219/268/334	115	281	10	13	26%	6%	65	-0.7	228/274/378	150	297	18	18	29%	5%	79	+0.3	223/268/384	160	285	20	22	29%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Peter Maris 2021 · AAA	27	42→48	47→50	50	44	215/276/351	136	277	14	9	27%	7%	73	-0.1	233/285/386	153	310	18	9	29%	7%	86	+0.8	237/285/421	183	304	24	5	30%	6%	93	+0.4
✕Charles Thomas 2006 · MLB	27	45→50	43→45	52→50	49	222/298/338	116	266	10	16	20%	8%	79	+0.3	222/280/311	89	283	9	13	24%	6%	64	-0.8	221/276/292	70	286	8	11	24%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Alex Glenn 2017 · AA	26	43	46→55	50	39	217/257/353	135	279	13	8	27%	5%	65	-0.7	192/237/290	98	295	8	7	36%	5%	40	-2.4	126/169/196	70	215	5	4	42%	5%	-15	-2.3
✕Jaycob Brugman 2019 · MLB	27	48→49	44→50	47→45	44	234/288/346	112	307	11	9	27%	7%	76	+0.1	222/278/391	169	301	21	7	32%	7%	85	+0.7	199/258/405	206	258	28	0	34%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Steele Walker 2023 · MLB	27	43→46	47→45	47→50	44	220/270/350	130	259	15	12	22%	6%	71	-0.3	216/272/339	123	271	13	10	25%	6%	69	-0.4	162/227/254	92	204	10	0	26%	7%	26	-0.7
✕Matt Cepicky 2005 · MLB	27	46→43	48→50	50→30	41	232/277/378	145	295	16	10	27%	6%	80	+0.4	220/273/360	140	288	14	4	28%	7%	74	-0.1	208/262/348	140	273	15	2	29%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Taylor Featherston 2017 · MLB	27	40→45	47→55	49→50	38	209/252/347	138	263	15	11	27%	4%	63	-0.9	188/244/311	123	286	14	11	38%	5%	50	-1.7	162/223/280	118	275	15	10	45%	5%	31	-1.9
✕Jeff Duncan 2006 · MLB	27	45→46	42→45	53→60	46	219/283/325	106	289	9	15	26%	8%	69	-0.4	233/299/319	86	303	8	21	24%	7%	74	-0.1	238/309/298	60	308	6	28	23%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	41→45	48→55	45→50	45	209/287/354	145	260	16	8	26%	7%	80	+0.4	213/279/357	144	273	17	11	28%	7%	77	+0.1	204/270/349	145	263	18	11	29%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Dillon Paulson 2023 · AA	26	44→37	46→50	45→30	50	222/295/348	126	277	14	6	24%	9%	81	+0.4	222/286/335	113	294	10	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	218/282/326	107	289	9	0	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Deik Scram 2011 · AAA	27	39→49	48→50	53→50	44	200/271/344	144	279	14	13	33%	8%	70	-0.3	209/288/340	131	307	11	10	33%	9%	76	+0.0	201/293/332	132	297	10	4	33%	11%	74	-0.0
✕Austin Davidson 2019 · AA	26	47→40	45	48→45	47	230/289/360	130	280	12	7	22%	7%	81	+0.4	215/276/324	109	281	9	6	25%	7%	66	-0.6	188/254/272	84	256	5	1	27%	7%	40	-1.4
✕Stephen Scott 2023 · AA	26	41→44	49→55	49→50	51	212/292/364	151	259	17	8	25%	10%	84	+0.6	213/283/374	161	263	19	10	26%	8%	82	+0.5	210/280/388	177	252	23	10	26%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Donald Lutz 2016 · MLB	27	42→49	47→50	52→45	37	214/264/349	135	296	14	8	32%	5%	68	-0.5	203/249/291	88	325	8	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	167/207/219	52	286	5	2	42%	4%	7	-1.8