Brock Jones — OGILVIE

Brock JonesOF Durham Bulls

Age 25 L/L 6'0" / 197 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.159 / .251 / .308

PA320

HR10

SB14

K%47

BB%10

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25→25

PWR

50→50

SPD

60→60

EYE

53↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.4peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-8M		$-19M	-$11M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	86	74	14	3	1	3	11	39	0	11	5	.189	.294	.378	.672	.189	.333	45	13	.292	82	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.0
2023	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	372	339	45	9	3	11	27	171	3	10	7	.133	.203	.274	.478	.142	.212	46	7	.207	17	-35	-1	+0	-2	+11	-2.8
2024	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	377	342	49	14	0	12	28	199	6	32	4	.143	.221	.289	.510	.146	.280	53	7	.222	28	-31	+5	+0	-2	+11	-1.8
2025	24	AA	2 teams	324	274	39	9	1	11	37	157	7	24	7	.142	.261	.303	.564	.161	.257	48	11	.247	47	-19	+2	+0	-2	+9	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	AAA	2 teams	56	50	11	2	1	3	3	22	0	3	1	.220	.264	.480	.744	.260	.320	39	5	.278	71	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB	TB	264	235	38	8	1	9	24	122	3	11	3	.162	.248	.319	.567	.157	.283	46	9	.261	58	-13	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
TOT	25	MLB	TB	320	285	49	10	2	12	27	144	3	14	4	.172	.251	.347	.598	.175	.285	45	8	.264	60	-15	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 25%	TB	358	317	55	11	2	12	34	141	4	13	4	.174	.262	.334	.596	.161	.261	39	9	.271	66	-14	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.5
2028	27	MLB 43%	TB	383	338	61	12	2	13	37	147	5	13	4	.180	.271	.343	.614	.163	.264	38	10	.275	69	-13	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.4
2029	28	MLB 52%	TB	397	351	64	13	2	13	38	150	5	12	3	.182	.272	.342	.613	.160	.265	38	10	.277	70	-13	+1	-1	-2	+11	-0.4
2030	29	MLB 63%	TB	397	351	64	13	2	13	38	149	5	11	3	.182	.272	.342	.613	.160	.265	38	10	.276	69	-14	+1	-1	-2	+11	-0.5
2031	30	MLB 73%	TB	397	351	64	13	2	13	38	151	5	10	2	.182	.272	.342	.613	.160	.263	38	10	.273	67	-15	+1	-2	-2	+11	-0.7
2032	31	MLB 81%	TB	385	341	60	12	2	12	37	148	4	8	2	.176	.264	.328	.593	.152	.261	38	10	.269	64	-16	+1	-3	-2	+11	-0.9
2033	32	MLB	TB	368	326	56	11	2	11	35	143	4	7	1	.172	.260	.319	.579	.147	.259	39	10	.264	60	-16	+1	-4	-2	+10	-1.1
2034	33	MLB	TB	340	300	50	10	1	10	33	135	4	6	1	.167	.258	.307	.565	.140	.257	40	10	.259	56	-17	+1	-4	-2	+10	-1.3
2035	34	MLB	TB	297	264	43	9	1	8	28	120	3	5	0	.163	.251	.295	.546	.133	.254	40	9	.252	51	-16	+1	-5	-2	+8	-1.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4745	4203	702	147	22	151	445	1972	58	173	46	.167	.256	.320	.576	.153	.262	42	9	.259	56	-234	+16	-20	-28	+134	-13.4
/ 162G	—			650	576	96	20	3	21	61	270	8	24	6	.167	.256	.321	.577	.155	.260	42	9	.259	56	-32	+2	-3	-4	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	62	49	14	4	1	4	12	21	0	9	3	.286	.426	.653	1.079	.367	.400	34	19	.451	203	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	24	19	4	0	0	0	5	6	0	2	2	.211	.375	.211	.586	.000	.308	25	21	.296	85	-0	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	372	318	64	14	4	15	48	123	3	10	7	.201	.312	.412	.724	.211	.268	33	13	.321	104	+2	-1	—	—	+11	1.2
2024	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	377	326	73	19	1	17	44	142	6	32	4	.224	.327	.445	.772	.221	.333	38	12	.342	120	+9	+5	—	—	+11	2.5
2025	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	77	73	11	3	0	5	4	42	0	5	1	.151	.195	.397	.592	.247	.231	55	5	.257	55	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	247	185	35	7	2	8	49	85	7	19	6	.189	.378	.378	.756	.189	.284	34	20	.342	120	+6	+1	—	—	+7	1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brock Jones (OGILVIE)	25	25	50	60	60	.159/.251/.308	.149	.284	10	12	47%	10%	54	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Izzy Wilson 2022 · AA	24	40→32	49→50	54→55	39	.202/.268/.341	.140	.315	18	24	40%	8%	68	-0.5	.205/.268/.356	.151	.299	19	18	36%	8%	72	-0.2	.177/.245/.327	.149	.249	19	17	36%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA	25	38→34	52→60	55	36	.201/.255/.362	.161	.296	21	19	39%	6%	68	-0.5	.202/.249/.372	.170	.277	22	19	35%	6%	68	-0.5	.192/.237/.369	.177	.251	24	19	34%	5%	61	-0.6
✕John Rave 2023 · AAA	25	43	49→50	54→50	43	.216/.286/.357	.142	.309	18	17	35%	8%	79	+0.3	.217/.284/.358	.141	.299	15	15	31%	8%	79	+0.3	.214/.283/.361	.147	.282	16	17	29%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Drew Robinson 2017 · AAA	25	36→41	51→55	51→50	43	.193/.267/.354	.161	.275	19	14	36%	9%	71	-0.3	.212/.286/.373	.161	.316	18	12	36%	9%	84	+0.6	.207/.288/.362	.155	.320	17	12	37%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Jeter Downs 2023 · MLB	25	31→41	49→50	53→55	38	.175/.246/.310	.136	.249	18	21	37%	7%	51	-1.7	.198/.279/.340	.142	.275	16	23	32%	8%	73	-0.1	.197/.289/.341	.144	.269	13	27	30%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Kameron Misner 2023 · AA	25	43→42	47→50	55	44	.205/.290/.346	.141	.322	15	23	38%	10%	79	+0.3	.199/.286/.348	.149	.313	16	23	38%	10%	78	+0.2	.189/.277/.340	.150	.286	16	25	37%	10%	69	-0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	46→50	54→55	43	.195/.275/.328	.133	.280	14	16	34%	8%	68	-0.5	.196/.270/.305	.109	.263	10	17	28%	8%	59	-1.1	.156/.241/.247	.091	.208	8	20	27%	8%	30	-1.4
✕CJ Alexander 2022 · AA	26	33→43	48→60	56→50	35	.178/.227/.321	.143	.269	16	15	40%	6%	45	-2.1	.210/.251/.389	.179	.273	24	13	32%	5%	73	-0.1	.212/.256/.396	.184	.261	25	9	30%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Corey Ray 2021 · AAA	26	38→36	48→50	54→55	34	.191/.247/.337	.146	.315	16	19	43%	6%	58	-1.2	.204/.247/.353	.149	.310	18	12	38%	5%	62	-0.9	.186/.225/.350	.164	.267	20	13	38%	4%	49	-0.7
✕Josh Stowers 2022 · AA	25	38→41	49→50	53→55	40	.197/.264/.341	.144	.286	18	23	36%	7%	66	-0.6	.182/.252/.318	.136	.265	16	20	36%	7%	56	-1.3	.157/.232/.277	.120	.228	13	21	36%	7%	34	-1.7
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2022 · AAA	26	43	45	55→60	41	.205/.276/.321	.115	.320	13	25	38%	8%	66	-0.6	.220/.296/.341	.121	.326	14	24	34%	9%	79	+0.3	.216/.284/.321	.105	.297	11	48	29%	8%	65	-0.3
✕Pedro León 2023 · AAA	25	39→45	47→50	53→55	44	.190/.291/.330	.140	.299	15	30	38%	10%	76	+0.1	.208/.284/.359	.151	.307	18	24	36%	7%	80	+0.4	.210/.280/.364	.153	.306	19	24	36%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→50	54→60	37	.202/.257/.328	.126	.297	13	21	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.205/.281/.332	.127	.308	11	27	35%	7%	71	-0.3	.190/.283/.327	.137	.290	12	39	35%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Joseph Dunigan 2011 · AA	25	41→44	52→55	52→50	35	.210/.257/.374	.164	.314	20	16	39%	6%	72	-0.2	.192/.245/.357	.165	.355	22	12	49%	6%	63	-0.9	.170/.224/.341	.170	.326	24	11	53%	6%	46	-1.0
✕Collin DeLome 2011 · AAA	25	35→37	50→55	52→50	33	.191/.238/.346	.155	.269	19	13	36%	4%	56	-1.3	.198/.249/.325	.127	.297	13	14	36%	5%	55	-1.4	.200/.253/.323	.123	.306	11	16	36%	4%	53	-0.7
✕Jeren Kendall 2021 · A	25	33→26	47→50	54→60	37	.170/.240/.303	.133	.296	16	22	46%	8%	46	-2.0	.166/.243/.293	.127	.323	15	26	49%	8%	46	-2.0	.123/.208/.237	.114	.236	14	36	51%	8%	13	-1.8
✕Kalian Sams 2013 · AA	26	33→28	53→55	55	33	.185/.232/.350	.165	.279	22	16	42%	5%	56	-1.3	.210/.269/.382	.172	.298	23	16	36%	7%	79	+0.3	.188/.263/.383	.195	.242	29	18	36%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	45	.206/.275/.333	.127	.274	13	35	29%	8%	69	-0.4	.213/.276/.339	.126	.288	13	35	29%	7%	70	-0.3	.215/.278/.338	.123	.290	14	35	30%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Zac Cook 2023 · AA	25	39	49→55	50	33	.186/.279/.331	.145	.324	17	15	44%	6%	72	-0.2	.191/.273/.321	.130	.335	15	17	45%	5%	66	-0.6	.139/.224/.249	.110	.261	17	29	50%	4%	25	-0.8
✕Brett Jackson 2014 · MLB	25	40→50	47→50	53→55	39	.193/.264/.330	.137	.315	14	18	41%	8%	63	-0.8	.179/.248/.279	.100	.313	9	13	42%	8%	43	-2.2	.151/.226/.228	.076	.269	8	12	43%	8%	19	-1.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)