Brock Jones — OGILVIE

Brock JonesOF Durham Bulls

Age 25 L/L 6'0" / 197 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION203 act + 135 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.158 / .246 / .299

PA135

HR4

SB7

K%47

BB%9

BABIP276

ISO141

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	86	74	13	2	1	3	11	39	0	11	5	176	282	351	634	176	303	45	13	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	86	68	18	4	1	4	17	27	0	11	5	265	412	529	941	265	368	31	20	408	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	372	338	41	8	2	9	28	183	3	10	7	121	195	237	432	115	215	49	8	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	372	318	64	14	4	15	48	123	3	10	7	201	312	412	724	211	268	33	13	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	377	339	47	14	1	10	31	208	6	32	4	139	223	274	498	136	303	55	8	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	377	326	73	19	1	17	44	142	6	32	4	224	327	445	772	221	333	38	12	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	324	274	39	9	1	11	37	153	7	24	7	142	261	303	564	161	248	47	11	253	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	324	258	46	10	2	13	53	127	7	24	7	178	333	384	717	205	273	39	16	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	TB	—	203	176	30	3	3	4	14	101	4	15	5	170	247	290	537	119	366	50	7	234	37	-14	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.9
YTD	25	AAA	TB	—	203	169	34	4	3	5	21	84	4	15	5	201	304	349	653	148	362	41	10	285	76	-5	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.0
ROS	25	AAA	TB	10%	135	120	19	3	1	4	12	63	2	7	2	158	246	299	545	141	287	47	9	250	49	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
ROS	25	MLB	TB	10%	14	13	1	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	77	143	77	220		291	43	7	238	40	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AAA	TB	—	217	189	31	3	3	4	15	107	4	16	5	164	240	275	516	111	346	49	7	234	37	-15	+1	+0	-1	+6	-1.0
TOT	25	AAA	TB	—	338	296	49	6	4	8	26	164	6	22	7	165	247	294	540	128	327	48	8	240	42	-22	+2	+0	-2	+10	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	TB	35%	359	317	55	10	3	10	33	158	6	18	5	174	264	319	583	145	291	44	9	260	57	-17	+2	+0	-2	+10	-0.8
2028	27	MLB	TB	44%	383	339	61	11	3	11	35	163	6	20	6	180	268	327	596	147	291	43	9	265	61	-17	+2	+0	-2	+11	-0.7
2029	28	MLB	TB	49%	397	351	63	11	3	11	37	165	6	19	6	179	269	322	591	142	290	42	9	267	63	-17	+1	-1	-2	+11	-0.7
2027	26	MLB	TB	35%	125	111	18	3	1	3	11	55	2	6	2	162	250	288	538	126	294	44	9	249	49	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
2028	27	MLB	TB	44%	169	149	27	5	1	5	15	72	3	9	3	181	269	329	598	148	294	43	9	254	52	-9	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
2029	28	MLB	TB	49%	194	171	30	5	1	5	18	81	3	9	3	175	266	304	570	129	294	42	9	256	54	-10	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	502	444	76	13	3	13	45	214	8	25	8	171	260	302	561	131	286	43	9	253	52	-27	+2	-0	-3	+14	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	99	17	4	17	58	277	10	32	10	172	260	304	564	132	288	43	9	253	52	-35	+2	-0	-4	+18	-1.9
Career	—			—	2433	2152	338	68	15	69	224	1132	36	141	42	157	248	299	547	142	278	47	9	245	45	-150	+11	-1	-15	+69	-8.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	90	18	4	18	60	302	10	38	11	157	248	296	544	139	278	46	9	245	45	-40	+3	-0	-4	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	62	49	14	4	1	4	12	21	0	9	3	286	426	653	1.079	367	400	34	19	451	203	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	24	19	4	0	0	0	5	6	0	2	2	211	375	211	586		308	25	21	296	85	-0	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	372	318	64	14	4	15	48	123	3	10	7	201	312	412	724	211	268	33	13	321	104	+2	-1	—	—	+11	1.2
2024	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	377	326	73	19	1	17	44	142	6	32	4	224	327	445	772	221	333	38	12	342	120	+9	+5	—	—	+11	2.5
2025	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	77	73	11	3	0	5	4	42	0	5	1	151	195	397	592	247	231	55	5	257	55	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	247	185	35	7	2	8	49	85	7	19	6	189	378	378	756	189	284	34	20	342	120	+6	+1	—	—	+7	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	520	15	26	176	263	318	-3	+0	-1.0	-0.5
	/162	664	19	33	176	263	318	-4.0	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brock Jones (OGILVIE)	25	25	50	60	60	165/247/294	128	327	8	22	48%	8%	42	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA	25	38→33	50→55	56→55	36	199/252/348	149	299	18	20	39%	6%	63	-0.9	198/244/367	169	274	22	18	36%	5%	65	-0.7	186/231/364	178	245	24	19	35%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Izzy Wilson 2022 · AA	24	41→33	48→45	54→55	40	205/269/339	134	314	17	25	39%	8%	68	-0.5	205/266/350	145	301	18	18	36%	7%	69	-0.4	174/239/323	149	244	19	17	36%	7%	47	-1.1
✕Josh Stowers 2022 · AA	25	37→43	51→50	54→55	39	198/262/353	154	282	19	23	36%	7%	69	-0.4	186/253/322	136	267	16	20	35%	7%	57	-1.2	163/237/289	126	233	14	21	35%	7%	38	-1.6
✕Travis Swaggerty 2023 · AAA	25	42→44	45	58→55	43	210/270/336	126	291	11	20	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/269/323	114	308	9	17	33%	7%	63	-0.9	188/264/249	61	327	0	9	38%	8%	40	-0.4
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→50	54→60	37	201/257/327	126	300	13	21	36%	6%	59	-1.1	206/282/327	121	313	11	26	35%	7%	70	-0.3	189/280/319	130	291	11	39	35%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	36	41→45	55→65	34	180/234/278	97	296	9	24	41%	6%	37	-2.7	218/296/338	120	331	14	25	35%	9%	79	+0.3	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Jeren Kendall 2021 · A	25	34→23	48→50	54→60	37	170/242/307	137	303	16	21	47%	8%	49	-1.8	165/242/290	125	330	14	27	50%	8%	44	-2.1	123/206/237	114	244	15	36	52%	8%	14	-1.8
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	42	195/273/320	125	283	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	201/277/315	114	267	11	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	164/253/261	97	214	9	20	27%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Corey Ray 2019 · AA	24	39→36	46→50	55	35	188/246/323	135	315	13	22	42%	6%	53	-1.5	194/247/327	133	329	14	15	43%	6%	55	-1.4	171/215/309	138	271	17	12	43%	5%	34	-1.2
✕Kameron Misner 2023 · AA	25	43	47→50	55	46	206/293/346	140	317	15	24	37%	10%	80	+0.4	199/286/344	145	310	15	23	37%	10%	76	+0.1	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Jeter Downs 2023 · MLB	25	30→40	49→50	53→55	39	174/246/309	136	243	19	22	36%	7%	52	-1.6	199/281/339	140	276	15	22	32%	8%	73	-0.1	191/286/326	134	264	12	27	30%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	44	206/273/330	124	274	12	36	29%	8%	67	-0.5	214/277/336	122	294	13	34	30%	7%	70	-0.3	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	37→34	44→45	56→60	39	177/263/294	117	312	12	24	43%	9%	55	-1.4	190/273/300	110	292	10	29	36%	8%	59	-1.1	177/263/281	104	261	10	34	33%	8%	49	-0.7
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	33→28	45	49→50	42	177/246/290	113	244	14	18	33%	7%	46	-2.0	206/279/324	118	280	13	12	29%	9%	68	-0.5	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Jared Mitchell 2014 · AAA	25	36→46	43→50	54→55	38	170/249/286	117	316	10	17	46%	9%	46	-2.0	196/268/312	116	333	12	17	41%	8%	60	-1.0	192/266/309	117	318	13	17	41%	8%	56	-0.9
✕Collin DeLome 2011 · AAA	25	35→38	49→55	52→50	32	188/233/337	149	273	18	13	38%	4%	52	-1.6	201/251/329	128	308	13	14	37%	4%	57	-1.2	207/258/343	136	323	12	16	38%	4%	61	-0.5
✕Andrés Alvarez 2023 · AA	26	39→30	49→45	56→50	44	199/276/344	145	290	18	20	36%	9%	72	-0.2	196/259/311	115	283	12	12	33%	7%	56	-1.3	183/243/282	99	262	10	8	33%	6%	39	-1.4
✕Connor Hoover 2022 · A	26	36→29	48→50	54→50	42	189/262/337	148	279	16	15	36%	8%	65	-0.7	186/261/324	138	263	16	12	34%	8%	61	-1.0	163/245/296	133	218	18	10	34%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	37→31	44→40	54→55	51	183/290/296	114	287	13	20	37%	13%	67	-0.5	187/265/280	93	314	9	18	39%	9%	51	-1.7	159/226/223	64	280	6	22	42%	7%	17	-2.2
✕Kalian Sams 2013 · AA	26	33→27	53→55	56→55	32	187/232/351	164	283	22	17	42%	5%	56	-1.3	213/270/378	165	308	22	16	36%	7%	78	+0.2	191/258/375	184	256	28	18	37%	8%	69	-0.2