Aaron Bracho2B
Tulsa Drillers
Age 25
L/R
5'9" / 193 lbs
AA
HR +15%K -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.1 · 2028
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .267 / .337
PA149
HR4
K%28
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
42→42
SPD
46→46
EYE
42→42
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $0.8M | $-9M | -$10M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians Blue | 137 | 117 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .205 | .301 | .410 | .711 | .205 | .221 | 22 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 279 | 251 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 117 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .127 | .201 | .215 | .416 | .088 | .201 | 42 | 8 | .187 | 1 | -31 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -2.3 |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 299 | 270 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 114 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .141 | .211 | .248 | .459 | .107 | .208 | 38 | 6 | .203 | 14 | -29 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -2.0 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 424 | 381 | 80 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 128 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .210 | .285 | .386 | .671 | .176 | .264 | 30 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -10 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | 2 teams | 466 | 425 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 121 | 5 | 4 | 2 | .191 | .251 | .289 | .540 | .099 | .241 | 26 | 6 | .242 | 43 | -30 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -1.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 148 | 138 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 2 | .167 | .212 | .304 | .517 | .138 | .202 | 31 | 5 | .217 | 24 | -13 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 149 | 137 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .212 | .270 | .350 | .621 | .139 | .263 | 28 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | LAD | 253 | 231 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 70 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .212 | .275 | .351 | .626 | .139 | .267 | 28 | 7 | .280 | 72 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | LAD | 307 | 278 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 84 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .216 | .283 | .360 | .643 | .144 | .269 | 27 | 7 | .283 | 75 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | LAD | 343 | 311 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .215 | .282 | .357 | .639 | .141 | .270 | 27 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | LAD | 357 | 324 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 98 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .210 | .277 | .346 | .623 | .136 | .269 | 27 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | LAD | 367 | 333 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 102 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .207 | .275 | .339 | .614 | .132 | .268 | 28 | 8 | .280 | 72 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | LAD | 358 | 325 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 101 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .206 | .273 | .332 | .606 | .126 | .266 | 28 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -12 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 84% | LAD | 343 | 311 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 99 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .203 | .271 | .331 | .602 | .129 | .265 | 29 | 8 | .271 | 66 | -13 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 316 | 286 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 93 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .203 | .272 | .329 | .600 | .126 | .263 | 29 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -14 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.8 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 274 | 249 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .193 | .261 | .305 | .566 | .112 | .261 | 30 | 8 | .259 | 57 | -13 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4820 | 4367 | 856 | 155 | 16 | 128 | 356 | 1422 | 45 | 34 | 16 | .196 | .264 | .327 | .590 | .131 | .255 | 30 | 7 | .264 | 60 | -219 | +0 | -20 | +17 | +137 | -8.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 589 | 115 | 21 | 2 | 17 | 48 | 192 | 6 | 5 | 2 | .195 | .263 | .324 | .587 | .129 | .254 | 30 | 7 | .264 | 60 | -29 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +18 | -1.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians Blue | 137 | 108 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .296 | .429 | .593 | 1.021 | .296 | .306 | 15 | 17 | .429 | 186 | +13 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 1.8 |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 279 | 241 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 89 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .174 | .274 | .299 | .572 | .124 | .233 | 32 | 11 | .261 | 58 | -13 | -1 | — | — | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 299 | 261 | 48 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 91 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .184 | .276 | .333 | .609 | .149 | .241 | 30 | 9 | .273 | 67 | -11 | +0 | — | — | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 424 | 367 | 90 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 49 | 97 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .245 | .342 | .441 | .783 | .196 | .282 | 23 | 12 | .347 | 124 | +11 | -0 | — | — | +12 | 2.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 405 | 358 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 80 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .221 | .301 | .338 | .639 | .117 | .257 | 20 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -10 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | 61 | 49 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .224 | .367 | .510 | .877 | .286 | .205 | 13 | 18 | .377 | 147 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 148 | 134 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 2 | .194 | .260 | .343 | .604 | .149 | .219 | 24 | 7 | .268 | 64 | -6 | -0 | — | — | +4 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Aaron Bracho (OGILVIE) | 25 | 40 | 42 | 46 | 42 | .205/.267/.337 | .133 | .263 | 4 | 2 | 28% | 7% | 67 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕LJ Talley 2022 · AA |
25 | 41→47 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 45 | .207/.264/.323 | .115 | .260 | 12 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .223/.283/.343 | .120 | .282 | 13 | 11 | 24% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .218/.283/.334 | .116 | .272 | 13 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕César Salazar 2022 · AA |
26 | 41→40 | 46→45 | 47→45 | 41 | .210/.270/.338 | .128 | .259 | 15 | 8 | 25% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .209/.287/.342 | .133 | .251 | 16 | 8 | 23% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .201/.292/.321 | .120 | .236 | 14 | 6 | 21% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Matt Wallach 2011 · AA |
25 | 42 | 46→45 | 42→40 | 43 | .214/.265/.342 | .127 | .258 | 13 | 3 | 23% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.284/.314 | .102 | .259 | 10 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .191/.276/.262 | .071 | .245 | 8 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 51 | -0.7 |
|
✕Conner Capel 2022 · AAA |
25 | 42→45 | 47→45 | 47→55 | 42 | .214/.265/.348 | .133 | .268 | 16 | 10 | 26% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .218/.289/.347 | .129 | .274 | 14 | 19 | 24% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .207/.288/.330 | .122 | .263 | 13 | 22 | 25% | 9% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Luis Liberato 2021 · AA |
25 | 43→51 | 47→50 | 44→50 | 42 | .221/.267/.353 | .132 | .279 | 15 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.278/.358 | .139 | .305 | 15 | 8 | 31% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .210/.278/.360 | .150 | .290 | 16 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA |
25 | 43→45 | 44→50 | 45 | 41 | .213/.275/.332 | .119 | .291 | 12 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .205/.273/.320 | .115 | .355 | 12 | 7 | 42% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .150/.234/.245 | .096 | .295 | 15 | 0 | 50% | 8% | 30 | -0.7 |
|
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA |
25 | 40→37 | 46→45 | 48→45 | 44 | .205/.275/.336 | .132 | .274 | 14 | 11 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.284/.329 | .117 | .274 | 12 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .192/.282/.265 | .072 | .245 | 6 | 0 | 22% | 10% | 51 | -0.6 |
|
✕Tyler Marlette 2018 · AA |
25 | 42→43 | 47→50 | 44→45 | 40 | .216/.261/.349 | .133 | .281 | 15 | 4 | 29% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .218/.270/.346 | .128 | .292 | 15 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .213/.267/.335 | .123 | .281 | 16 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 61 | -0.8 |
|
✕John Whittleman 2012 · AA |
25 | 35→43 | 48→50 | 43→45 | 48 | .186/.264/.324 | .138 | .245 | 16 | 3 | 30% | 10% | 62 | -0.9 | .194/.282/.349 | .155 | .283 | 18 | 4 | 35% | 11% | 76 | +0.1 | .166/.277/.328 | .162 | .248 | 19 | 1 | 38% | 13% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jason Vosler 2019 · AAA |
25 | 38→44 | 50→55 | 44→40 | 40 | .204/.266/.356 | .152 | .269 | 18 | 2 | 31% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .215/.278/.385 | .170 | .281 | 21 | 3 | 31% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .210/.276/.375 | .165 | .261 | 22 | 3 | 28% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Fernando Perez 2019 · AA |
25 | 39→44 | 49→50 | 42→30 | 36 | .208/.250/.349 | .141 | .277 | 18 | 4 | 32% | 4% | 62 | -0.9 | .241/.284/.393 | .152 | .300 | 19 | 5 | 26% | 5% | 88 | +0.9 | .252/.292/.417 | .165 | .303 | 22 | 1 | 25% | 4% | 97 | +1.0 |
|
✕Nathan Panther 2006 · AA |
25 | 45→43 | 45 | 47→45 | 48 | .222/.288/.339 | .117 | .275 | 13 | 10 | 24% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .220/.286/.338 | .118 | .277 | 11 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .220/.290/.343 | .124 | .273 | 11 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA |
25 | 45→42 | 42→40 | 42→40 | 50 | .217/.304/.324 | .107 | .280 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .236/.327/.346 | .110 | .320 | 11 | 6 | 27% | 11% | 94 | +1.3 | .236/.337/.336 | .100 | .321 | 11 | 5 | 27% | 11% | 93 | +0.5 |
|
✕Aaron Antonini 2023 · AA |
25 | 37 | 43→40 | 46→45 | 45 | .187/.275/.291 | .104 | .246 | 12 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .207/.287/.330 | .123 | .286 | 14 | 8 | 31% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .188/.281/.331 | .143 | .279 | 18 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ben Rortvedt 2023 · MLB |
25 | 39 | 47→45 | 46→40 | 39 | .200/.260/.332 | .132 | .284 | 16 | 4 | 34% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .207/.285/.323 | .116 | .284 | 13 | 5 | 30% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .195/.283/.286 | .092 | .264 | 10 | 2 | 28% | 10% | 58 | -0.5 |
|
✕Kyle Reynolds 2009 · AA |
25 | 40→42 | 49→50 | 44→45 | 37 | .211/.247/.357 | .147 | .271 | 18 | 7 | 30% | 4% | 63 | -0.9 | .201/.243/.325 | .124 | .276 | 13 | 7 | 31% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .118/.150/.196 | .079 | .163 | 8 | 4 | 34% | 4% | -25 | -1.3 |
|
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A |
25 | 42→45 | 45 | 49→40 | 41 | .211/.275/.335 | .124 | .295 | 13 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .225/.281/.350 | .125 | .306 | 13 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .232/.286/.359 | .127 | .311 | 13 | 3 | 29% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Orlando Martinez 2023 · AAA |
25 | 43→44 | 45→50 | 44→45 | 38 | .214/.258/.334 | .120 | .292 | 12 | 9 | 31% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .222/.274/.341 | .119 | .283 | 11 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.282/.338 | .114 | .277 | 10 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA |
25 | 41 | 42→45 | 48→55 | 46 | .197/.276/.303 | .106 | .284 | 9 | 9 | 32% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.297/.325 | .110 | .300 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.305/.326 | .104 | .296 | 11 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Dusty Brown 2007 · AA |
25 | 42 | 43→45 | 44→30 | 43 | .208/.262/.315 | .107 | .268 | 11 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .224/.282/.343 | .119 | .299 | 12 | 3 | 28% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .229/.292/.341 | .112 | .309 | 12 | 0 | 28% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 |