Aaron Bracho — OGILVIE

Aaron Bracho2B Tulsa Drillers

Age 25 L/R 5'9" / 193 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 149 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .257 / .335

PA149

HR4

K%29

BB%6

ISO137

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Blue	—	137	117	24	7	1	5	14	30	2	4	1	205	301	410	711	205	221	22	10	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Blue	—	137	108	32	10	2	6	23	21	2	4	1	296	429	593	1.021	296	306	15	17	429	186	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	279	252	31	8	0	4	21	114	1	1	2	123	193	202	396	79	194	41	8	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	279	241	42	9	0	7	32	89	1	1	2	174	274	299	572	124	233	32	11	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	299	269	36	9	1	5	20	119	5	1	0	134	207	230	438	97	208	40	7	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	299	261	48	13	1	8	28	91	5	1	0	184	276	333	609	149	241	30	9	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	424	381	81	13	1	19	35	131	5	3	2	213	287	402	689	189	265	31	8	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	424	367	90	14	2	18	49	97	5	3	2	245	342	441	783	196	282	23	12	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	466	426	80	14	2	9	28	124	5	4	2	188	246	293	540	106	237	27	6	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	466	407	90	17	3	11	47	88	5	4	2	221	309	359	668	138	251	19	10	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	148	138	24	4	0	5	7	47	1	3	2	174	219	312	531	138	216	32	5	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	148	134	26	5	0	5	11	35	1	3	2	194	260	343	604	149	219	24	7	268	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	LAD	—	149	138	28	5	1	4	9	43	1	2	1	203	257	341	597	138	257	29	6	267	62	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	LAD	31%	253	232	48	9	1	7	17	72	2	3	1	207	267	345	612	138	261	28	7	274	68	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	LAD	42%	307	280	59	11	1	9	21	86	3	4	2	211	273	354	627	143	263	28	7	277	71	-10	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.0
2029	28	MLB	LAD	48%	343	313	65	12	1	10	24	96	3	4	2	208	271	348	619	141	264	28	7	279	72	-11	+0	-1	+1	+10	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	LAD	31%	78	72	14	3	0	2	5	22	1	1	0	194	256	319	576	125	257	28	6	263	59	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	LAD	42%	129	118	24	4	0	4	9	36	1	2	1	203	266	339	605	136	260	28	7	267	62	-6	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
2029	28	MLB	LAD	48%	164	149	32	6	1	5	12	46	2	2	1	215	282	369	651	154	261	28	7	268	63	-7	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	371	339	70	13	1	11	26	104	4	5	2	206	271	348	619	142	261	28	7	266	62	-16	+0	-0	+1	+11	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	123	23	2	19	46	182	7	9	4	207	272	348	621	141	262	28	7	266	62	-28	+0	-1	+2	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2805	2546	476	92	9	77	196	862	28	29	15	187	253	321	574	134	244	31	7	254	53	-149	-0	-1	+10	+79	-6.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	110	21	2	18	45	200	6	7	3	186	251	320	571	134	243	31	7	254	53	-35	+0	-0	+2	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Blue	—	137	108	32	10	2	6	23	21	2	4	1	296	429	593	1.021	296	306	15	17	429	186	+13	+0	—	—	+4	1.8
2021	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	279	241	42	9	0	7	32	89	1	1	2	174	274	299	572	124	233	32	11	261	58	-13	-1	—	—	+8	-0.6
2022	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	299	261	48	13	1	8	28	91	5	1	0	184	276	333	609	149	241	30	9	273	67	-11	+0	—	—	+8	-0.2
2023	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	424	367	90	14	2	18	49	97	5	3	2	245	342	441	783	196	282	23	12	347	124	+11	-0	—	—	+12	2.4
2024	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	405	358	79	14	2	8	36	80	5	3	1	221	301	338	639	117	257	20	9	287	78	-10	+0	—	—	+11	0.2
2024	23	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	61	49	11	3	1	3	11	8	0	1	1	224	367	510	877	286	205	13	18	377	147	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	148	134	26	5	0	5	11	35	1	3	2	194	260	343	604	149	219	24	7	268	64	-6	-0	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	375	11	4	209	268	351	+1	+1	-0.0	-0.0
	/162	664	19	8	209	268	351	+2.4	+1.8	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron Bracho (OGILVIE)	25	39	43	46	42	199/257/335	136	257	4	2	29%	6%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ben Rortvedt 2023 · MLB	25	38	47→45	46→40	38	196/255/325	129	280	16	4	35%	6%	58	-1.2	208/286/325	117	284	13	5	29%	9%	72	-0.2	198/285/294	97	267	10	2	28%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Fernando Perez 2019 · AA	25	40	50	43→30	36	212/253/357	145	280	18	4	32%	4%	66	-0.6	244/287/392	148	303	18	5	25%	5%	89	+0.9	257/296/415	158	310	21	1	24%	4%	98	+1.0
✕LJ Talley 2022 · AA	25	41→48	44→45	48→50	45	208/267/323	115	265	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.9	224/286/345	121	283	13	11	24%	8%	76	+0.0	221/287/339	118	276	13	13	24%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Conner Capel 2022 · AAA	25	41→46	48→50	46→55	42	214/264/354	140	266	17	10	27%	6%	69	-0.4	215/286/340	125	271	13	19	25%	8%	75	-0.0	206/285/324	118	260	12	22	25%	9%	67	-0.4
✕John Whittleman 2012 · AA	25	34→43	49→50	43→45	47	186/261/332	146	246	17	3	32%	9%	63	-0.8	198/288/354	156	295	17	5	36%	11%	80	+0.4	170/286/335	165	260	18	1	38%	14%	73	-0.1
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	46→45	41	207/269/325	118	287	12	7	31%	7%	64	-0.8	206/275/323	117	358	13	8	42%	8%	66	-0.6	146/233/242	95	291	15	0	51%	8%	30	-0.7
✕Kyle Reynolds 2009 · AA	25	40→42	49→50	44→45	37	211/248/356	145	273	17	6	30%	4%	63	-0.9	202/245/322	120	279	13	8	31%	5%	52	-1.6	117/149/194	77	162	8	4	34%	4%	-25	-1.3
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	39→36	50→45	48→45	43	206/272/358	152	269	18	10	30%	7%	74	-0.1	214/285/341	127	273	14	7	26%	8%	75	-0.0	193/283/277	84	242	8	0	22%	10%	55	-0.5
✕César Salazar 2022 · AA	26	40	47→45	48→45	40	207/269/342	135	261	16	9	27%	5%	69	-0.4	209/287/340	131	253	15	8	23%	6%	76	+0.1	202/308/314	111	241	11	6	20%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Michael Burgess 2014 · AA	25	37→41	46→50	43→45	42	193/248/320	128	249	14	2	29%	6%	53	-1.5	215/258/362	147	280	14	6	28%	5%	68	-0.5	246/280/436	190	301	18	6	24%	4%	97	+1.0
✕Wendell Rijo 2021 · AAA	25	42→41	46→55	44→50	41	211/263/337	126	275	14	7	28%	6%	64	-0.8	218/273/382	164	281	20	15	29%	6%	81	+0.4	213/270/389	176	264	23	19	28%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Ryan Mount 2011 · AA	24	43	48→50	46→50	37	223/258/366	143	279	16	10	27%	4%	69	-0.4	238/279/391	153	299	18	10	26%	5%	85	+0.7	251/293/410	160	306	19	8	24%	5%	95	+0.5
✕Ryan Fitzgerald 2019 · A	25	44→42	44→55	47→45	41	222/265/335	113	282	13	6	26%	5%	64	-0.8	212/266/322	110	290	10	7	29%	6%	61	-1.0	226/290/351	125	289	12	8	25%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Braden Shewmake 2023 · AAA	25	42	49→50	53→55	40	220/258/366	146	267	17	11	25%	4%	69	-0.4	211/255/338	127	256	13	21	23%	5%	61	-1.0	199/238/298	99	235	9	18	19%	4%	40	-0.9
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2016 · AAA	25	43	46→50	46→45	38	217/260/347	129	301	14	9	32%	5%	65	-0.7	221/268/355	134	306	15	9	32%	6%	70	-0.3	222/269/361	139	311	17	7	33%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Orlando Martinez 2022 · AA	24	42→45	46→50	44→50	37	213/256/341	128	292	14	7	32%	5%	62	-0.9	221/268/342	121	290	11	8	27%	6%	67	-0.5	231/297/326	95	291	7	9	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Roger Kieschnick 2012 · AA	25	40→46	47→55	47→45	36	208/245/344	136	281	15	9	32%	4%	58	-1.2	213/262/369	156	299	17	6	33%	6%	72	-0.2	204/258/362	158	283	17	4	33%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Anderson Miller 2019 · AA	25	42→45	45	48→50	39	214/254/333	119	278	13	11	28%	5%	59	-1.1	197/242/312	115	272	13	13	32%	5%	49	-1.8	169/220/275	106	237	15	16	35%	5%	27	-1.6
✕Chad Spanberger 2021 · AA	25	40→41	51→55	47→45	40	211/262/366	155	273	19	8	30%	6%	72	-0.2	195/252/339	144	313	18	7	41%	6%	61	-1.0	154/213/298	144	245	20	3	45%	6%	32	-1.6
✕Rodolfo Durán 2023 · AAA	25	37	49→55	47→40	36	201/238/345	145	258	17	4	30%	4%	56	-1.3	222/264/378	156	280	18	5	27%	5%	76	+0.0	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0