Drew Lugbauer — OGILVIE

Drew Lugbauer1B Las Vegas Aviators

Age 29 L/R 6'4" / 220 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%5

BABIP278

ISO211

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	20	A	Rome Braves	—	130	119	33	11	1	3	8	38	3	0	0	277	338	462	801	185	385	29	6	354	126	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2017	20	ROK	Danville Braves	—	124	103	25	4	0	10	19	30	1	0	0	243	363	573	936	330	238	24	15	402	158	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2018	21	A	Rome Braves	—	461	409	95	22	0	12	43	153	8	3	1	232	317	374	691	142	339	33	9	313	98	-1	+0	—	—	+10	0.9
2019	22	A+	Florida Fire Frogs	—	493	454	88	26	1	16	36	169	1	0	0	194	255	361	616	167	266	34	7	274	71	-17	+0	—	—	+11	-0.6
2021	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	350	300	67	15	0	18	42	131	7	0	1	223	332	453	786	230	322	37	12	348	122	+9	-0	—	—	+8	1.7
2021	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	64	52	18	0	0	6	10	20	1	0	0	346	460	692	1.153	346	444	31	16	485	215	+9	+0	—	—	+1	1.0
2022	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	555	474	101	25	0	28	75	212	6	0	0	213	328	443	771	230	312	38	14	343	118	+12	+0	—	—	+12	2.5
2023	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	98	89	20	2	0	3	6	44	1	0	0	225	281	348	630	124	386	45	6	279	75	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	26	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	273	233	65	13	2	22	37	94	3	2	0	279	385	635	1.020	356	368	34	14	436	181	+26	+0	—	—	+6	3.3
2024	27	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	322	287	59	13	0	15	31	131	1	0	0	206	285	408	693	202	306	41	10	305	93	-3	+0	—	—	+7	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	20	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	130	122	25	7	1	3	5	54	3	0	0	205	254	352	606	148	332	42	4	253	57	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2017	20	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	124	112	20	3	0	8	11	43	1	0	0	179	258	420	678	241	191	35	9	286	80	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2018	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	461	424	70	14	0	9	28	215	8	3	1	165	230	262	492	97	302	47	6	221	36	-35	+0	—	—	+10	-2.6
2019	22	A+ MLE	Florida Fire Frogs	—	493	464	64	18	1	13	26	232	1	0	0	138	185	265	450	127	225	47	5	193	17	-49	+0	—	—	+11	-3.9
2021	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	350	317	55	12	0	15	25	160	7	0	1	174	249	353	603	180	274	46	7	263	64	-15	-0	—	—	+8	-0.8
2022	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	555	500	81	19	0	22	49	259	6	0	0	162	245	332	577	170	265	47	9	254	58	-28	+0	—	—	+12	-1.6
2023	26	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	98	91	17	2	0	2	4	53	1	0	0	187	229	275	504	88	359	54	4	216	32	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	26	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	273	243	59	11	2	21	27	111	3	2	0	243	326	564	890	321	339	41	10	369	136	+12	+0	—	—	+6	1.8
2024	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	322	295	43	8	0	10	23	166	1	0	0	146	210	275	485	129	261	52	7	215	32	-26	+0	—	—	+7	-2.0
2017	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	254	234	44	10	1	10	16	97	4	0	0	188	252	368	619	179	268	38	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	254	222	58	15	1	13	27	68	4	0	0	261	350	514	864	252	319	27	11	378	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	461	424	70	14	0	9	28	215	8	3	1	165	230	262	492	97	303	47	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A RAW	Rome Braves	—	461	409	95	22	0	12	43	153	8	3	1	232	317	374	691	142	339	33	9	313	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Florida Fire Frogs	—	493	464	64	18	1	13	26	232	1	0	0	138	185	265	450	127	231	47	5	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Florida Fire Frogs	—	493	454	88	26	1	16	36	169	1	0	0	194	255	361	616	167	266	34	7	274	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	414	375	65	14	0	18	29	190	8	0	1	173	248	355	602	181	278	46	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	414	352	85	15	0	24	52	151	8	0	1	241	352	489	841	247	341	36	13	370	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	555	500	81	19	0	22	49	259	6	0	0	162	245	332	577	170	269	47	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	—	555	474	101	25	0	28	75	212	6	0	0	213	328	443	771	230	312	38	14	343	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	371	334	76	13	2	23	31	163	4	2	0	228	301	485	786	257	353	44	8	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	371	322	85	15	2	25	43	138	4	2	0	264	358	556	914	292	373	37	12	395	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	322	295	43	8	0	10	23	166	1	0	0	146	210	275	485	129	270	52	7	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	—	322	287	59	13	0	15	31	131	1	0	0	206	285	408	693	202	306	41	10	305	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	254	232	44	10	1	10	16	97	4	0	0	190	252	371	623	181	263	38	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	461	422	70	14	0	9	28	215	8	3	1	166	230	263	493	97	302	47	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Florida Fire Frogs	—	493	463	64	18	1	13	26	232	1	0	0	138	185	266	451	127	225	47	5	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	414	374	65	14	0	18	29	190	8	0	1	174	248	356	603	182	274	46	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	555	495	81	19	0	22	49	259	6	0	0	164	245	335	580	172	265	47	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	371	333	76	13	2	23	31	163	4	2	0	228	301	486	787	258	344	44	8	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	322	295	43	8	0	10	23	166	1	0	0	146	210	275	485	129	261	52	7	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	371	333	76	13	2	23	31	163	4	2	0	228	301	486	787	258	344	44	8	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	322	295	43	8	0	10	23	166	1	0	0	146	210	275	485	129	261	52	7	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	29	MLB MLE	OAK	10%	20	19	4	1	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	211	250	421	671	211	273	40	5	269	68	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.7
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	29	MLB CTX	OAK	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						278	50	0	266	68	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	OAK	27%	319	290	56	10	1	11	24	116	2	3	1	193	259	348	608	155	273	36	8	271	70	-11	+0	-2	-6	+7	-1.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	OAK	27%	87	79	15	3	0	3	7	32	1	1	0	190	264	342	606	152	279	37	8	268	70	-3	+0	-1	-2	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	87	79	15	3	0	3	7	32	1	1	0	190	264	342	606	152	273	37	8	268	55	-3	+0	-1	-2	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	111	22	0	22	52	239	7	7	0	188	262	337	599	149	271	37	8	268	55	-23	+1	-4	-12	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3209	2935	503	107	5	117	227	1446	34	8	3	171	239	331	570	159	279	45	7	249	55	-12	+0	-2	-6	+7	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	103	22	1	24	46	293	7	2	1	173	241	335	576	162	283	45	7	249	55	-23	+0	-4	-12	+14	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Lugbauer (OGILVIE)	29	20	49	42	47	188/254/344	155	273	9	3	38%	7%	68	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Lester 2023 · AAA	29	37→42	54→55	46→40	40	206/255/385	179	254	22	6	29%	6%	77	-0.3	210/256/366	156	264	19	5	28%	5%	73	-0.6	203/248/353	149	253	20	2	28%	5%	65	-1.0
✕Tim Pahuta 2012 · AA	29	39→41	52→55	45→40	36	212/247/374	162	273	21	5	31%	4%	71	-0.8	209/255/352	143	271	16	5	28%	5%	69	-0.9	189/237/327	138	238	15	2	28%	5%	55	-1.5
✕Matt Skole 2018 · AAA	29	36→41	49→50	46→40	44	196/258/339	143	243	18	3	28%	7%	68	-1.0	194/267/317	123	268	14	4	31%	9%	66	-1.1	181/262/293	112	252	12	2	32%	9%	57	-1.4
✕Stewart Ijames 2017 · AA	28	39	52→60	43→45	40	207/268/375	168	286	20	5	35%	7%	80	-0.2	208/271/345	137	309	15	8	35%	7%	74	-0.6	175/243/314	139	265	17	6	39%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Mike Hessman 2007 · MLB	29	25→35	52→60	44→45	40	161/232/317	155	213	22	6	36%	7%	53	-2.1	194/269/387	193	264	26	5	36%	8%	83	+0.1	189/269/386	197	255	26	4	36%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Robel García 2022 · MLB	29	35→37	50	44→40	40	188/256/337	150	274	19	5	38%	8%	66	-1.1	220/287/388	168	318	21	6	35%	8%	90	+0.6	225/296/442	217	318	31	0	38%	9%	104	+0.4
✕Daniel Palka 2021 · MLB	29	38→43	53→55	44→50	45	208/275/378	169	269	22	5	31%	8%	83	+0.1	217/282/371	154	277	20	5	28%	8%	84	+0.1	210/273/358	148	265	20	3	28%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Tristan Gray 2023 · AAA	27	34→35	51→50	45→40	34	190/236/345	155	264	21	5	37%	5%	61	-1.5	190/246/340	150	265	18	4	35%	6%	63	-1.3	198/254/329	130	265	15	3	30%	6%	62	-0.9
✕Michael Pérez 2022 · MLB	29	35	49→50	40	46	188/262/334	147	237	17	4	29%	8%	68	-1.0	187/261/319	132	239	17	4	29%	8%	64	-1.3	170/248/285	115	218	16	1	30%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Cody Decker 2016 · AAA	29	36→39	54→65	42→30	40	197/262/373	175	270	23	3	36%	7%	77	-0.3	191/249/346	155	285	19	3	38%	6%	65	-1.2	182/253/337	156	264	21	0	38%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Darick Hall 2023 · MLB	28	39→38	54→55	45→40	42	213/269/389	176	259	22	5	28%	6%	84	+0.1	215/274/354	139	273	18	4	27%	7%	76	-0.4	204/268/315	111	263	15	1	28%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB	29	36→40	49→50	46→50	42	189/267/338	149	282	18	7	38%	9%	71	-0.8	189/261/304	115	312	13	8	40%	8%	61	-1.5	166/235/251	85	293	9	8	44%	8%	36	-1.3
✕Matt Fields 2014 · AA	29	37→42	56→55	42→45	35	197/261/382	185	310	26	6	44%	7%	79	-0.2	198/251/351	153	322	19	4	42%	5%	68	-1.0	185/235/334	148	300	18	1	43%	5%	55	-1.2
✕Brandon Waring 2014 · AAA	28	35→39	52→55	45→40	38	191/258/354	164	271	21	2	37%	7%	72	-0.7	191/257/335	144	320	16	5	43%	6%	66	-1.1	159/227/298	138	285	15	2	47%	6%	45	-1.8
✕Roman Pena 2016 · AAA	29	37→47	47→50	43→45	41	188/262/322	134	296	16	7	40%	9%	65	-1.2	204/260/320	116	337	12	10	40%	7%	63	-1.3	234/268/341	107	361	6	16	35%	4%	68	-0.2
✕Joe Koshansky 2011 · MLB	29	37→46	53→55	44→40	39	197/269/367	170	293	23	5	39%	8%	78	-0.3	205/273/344	139	308	16	9	37%	8%	74	-0.5	149/215/242	93	230	9	6	37%	7%	27	-1.0
✕Carlos Peguero 2016 · MLB	29	40→45	55→60	48→50	37	209/270/391	182	319	24	11	41%	7%	84	+0.1	226/286/377	151	330	18	11	35%	7%	86	+0.3	223/271/338	115	323	15	10	34%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Peter O'Brien 2019 · MLB	29	30→40	55→60	48→30	38	180/242/359	179	255	25	3	40%	7%	67	-1.1	191/257/349	158	311	21	5	43%	8%	70	-0.9	146/215/274	128	254	20	2	49%	8%	34	-1.9
✕Travis Taijeron 2018 · MLB	29	40	48→55	42→40	42	196/283/343	148	308	16	3	39%	9%	78	-0.3	193/280/347	154	320	17	6	42%	9%	78	-0.3	172/265/329	156	294	19	5	44%	9%	66	-0.7
✕John-Ford Griffin 2008 · AAA	28	39→38	50	49→40	42	205/262/359	153	267	18	5	30%	7%	73	-0.6	222/281/361	139	289	14	6	27%	7%	80	-0.1	225/285/357	132	289	12	4	25%	6%	79	-0.1