Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021
18
ROKMLE
DSL BOS Blue
13
13
40
172
41
25
0
100%
3.1
16.2%
18.2%
-2.0%
0.0%
3.63
4.03
—
2021
18
ROKRAW
DSL BOS Blue
13
13
40
172
41
25
0
100%
3.1
23.8%
14.5%
9.3%
0.0%
3.63
2.92
—
2022
19
ROKMLE
FCL Red Sox
9
6
26
122
24
14
7
67%
2.9
13.4%
14.3%
-1.0%
8.5%
7.36
8.46
—
2022
19
ROKRAW
FCL Red Sox
9
6
26
122
24
14
7
67%
2.9
19.7%
11.5%
8.2%
5.7%
7.36
6.41
—
2023
20
MIXMLE
3 levels
14
13
66
269
93
26
1
93%
4.7
25.4%
11.0%
14.4%
0.0%
2.06
2.34
—
2023
20
MIXRAW
3 levels
14
13
66
269
93
26
1
93%
4.7
34.6%
9.7%
24.9%
0.4%
2.06
1.65
—
2024
21
MIXMLE
2 levels
18
17
76
306
94
29
7
94%
4.2
23.7%
11.2%
12.5%
3.2%
2.84
4.25
—
2024
21
MIXMLE
2 levels
18
17
76
306
94
29
7
94%
4.2
23.7%
11.2%
12.5%
3.2%
2.84
4.25
—
2024
21
MIXRAW
2 levels
18
17
76
306
94
29
7
94%
4.2
30.7%
9.5%
21.2%
2.3%
2.84
2.97
—
2025
22
AAMLE
Portland Sea Dogs
9
8
34
137
49
8
3
89%
3.7
29.0%
6.4%
22.5%
2.3%
2.67
2.76
—
2025
22
AAMLE
Portland Sea Dogs
9
8
34
137
49
8
3
89%
3.7
29.0%
6.4%
22.5%
2.3%
2.67
2.76
—
2025
22
AARAW
Portland Sea Dogs
9
8
34
137
49
8
3
89%
3.7
35.8%
5.8%
29.9%
2.2%
2.67
2.06
—
2026
23
MIXMLE
2 levels
3
3
7
30
8
6
2
100%
2.2
26.7%
20.0%
6.7%
6.7%
4.05
7.04
—
2026
23
MIXMLE
2 levels
3
3
7
30
8
6
2
100%
2.2
26.7%
20.0%
6.7%
6.7%
4.05
7.04
—
2026
23
MIXRAW
2 levels
3
3
7
30
8
6
2
100%
2.2
26.7%
20.0%
6.7%
6.7%
4.05
7.30
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
24
MLB
BOS
10
10
57
241
65
21
7
100%
5.7
27.1%
8.9%
18.2%
3.0%
3.94
3.94
+0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
25
MLBMLE
BOS
10
10
58
244
66
21
7
100%
5.8
27.1%
8.8%
18.3%
2.9%
3.94
3.92
+0.7
2029
26
MLBMLE
BOS
10
10
58
244
66
21
7
100%
5.8
27.0%
8.8%
18.2%
2.9%
3.95
3.93
+0.7
2028
25
MLBCTX
BOS
4
4
25
106
29
9
3
100%
6.2
27.1%
8.8%
18.3%
2.9%
3.90
3.88
+0.3
2029
26
MLBCTX
BOS
6
6
38
160
43
14
5
100%
6.3
27.0%
8.8%
18.2%
2.9%
3.91
3.89
+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
11
11
63
267
72
23
8
100%
5.8
27.1%
8.8%
18.3%
2.9%
3.91
3.50
+1.1
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
34
34
200
844
228
73
25
100%
5.9
27.1%
8.8%
18.3%
2.9%
3.91
3.50
+3.4
Career
—
MLE
66
60
247
1036
233
128
25
91%
3.7
22.5%
12.3%
10.2%
2.4%
3.24
4.10
+1.3
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
53
49
200
838
188
103
20
91%
3.7
22.5%
12.3%
10.2%
2.4%
3.24
4.10
+2.3
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.