Core Jackson — OGILVIE

Core JacksonSS Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION296 act + 197 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .292 / .357

PA197

HR5

SB10

K%27

BB%8

BABIP277

ISO142

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$11M	+$10M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$6M	+$4M
2035	Arb-3	$5M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$15M		$45M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	108	97	14	5	1	0	7	43	3	1	1	144	224	216	441	72	255	40	6	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	108	93	17	7	1	0	11	31	3	1	1	183	290	280	569	97	270	29	10	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	NYY	—	296	260	56	12	2	9	23	83	9	27	7	215	301	381	682	165	273	28	8	291	81	-6	+3	+0	+3	+8	0.8
YTD	22	A+	NYY	—	296	248	62	14	2	11	35	62	9	27	7	250	363	456	819	206	285	21	12	361	134	+11	+3	+0	+3	+8	2.6
ROS	22	A+	NYY	0%	197	176	38	8	1	5	15	53	4	10	3	216	292	357	649	142	278	27	8	291	81	-4	+1	+1	+2	+6	0.5
ROS	22	MLB	NYY	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						279	0	0	278	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	A+	NYY	—	297	261	56	12	2	9	23	83	9	27	7	215	300	379	680	165	272	28	8	291	81	-6	+3	+0	+3	+8	0.8
TOT	22	A+	NYY	—	493	436	94	20	3	14	38	136	13	37	10	215	298	371	669	156	275	28	8	291	81	-11	+3	+1	+5	+14	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	NYY	31%	519	465	101	21	3	13	40	138	9	16	4	217	292	359	651	142	277	27	8	292	82	-11	+2	+2	+6	+15	1.4
2028	24	MLB	NYY	45%	533	477	106	22	3	14	42	139	9	14	4	222	297	369	666	147	279	26	8	297	86	-9	+1	+2	+6	+15	1.6
2029	25	MLB	NYY	54%	538	481	107	22	3	14	43	139	9	12	3	222	298	368	666	146	280	26	8	300	88	-7	+1	+2	+6	+15	1.8
2030	26	MLB	NYY	58%	537	480	107	22	3	14	43	138	9	12	3	223	299	369	668	146	281	26	8	301	89	-7	+1	+2	+6	+15	1.8
2031	27	MLB	NYY	59%	532	475	106	22	3	14	43	137	9	11	3	223	300	371	670	147	280	26	8	302	89	-7	+1	+2	+6	+15	1.8
2032	28	MLB	NYY	60%	526	469	104	21	3	14	43	136	9	10	3	222	299	369	668	147	280	26	8	301	88	-7	+1	+2	+6	+15	1.6
2033	29	MLB	NYY	59%	518	461	103	21	3	14	43	135	9	10	3	223	302	373	675	150	279	26	8	299	87	-8	+1	+1	+6	+15	1.5
2034	30	MLB	NYY	59%	509	453	99	20	3	13	42	134	9	9	2	219	298	362	660	143	278	26	8	296	85	-9	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.3
2035	31	MLB	NYY	58%	500	446	97	20	3	12	42	133	8	8	2	217	296	357	653	139	276	27	8	293	82	-10	+1	-0	+5	+14	1.0
2036	32	MLB	NYY	64%	491	439	93	19	2	12	41	133	8	8	2	212	291	346	637	134	273	27	8	287	78	-12	+1	-1	+5	+14	0.7
2037	33	MLB	NYY	61%	423	378	78	15	2	10	35	117	7	6	2	206	286	336	622	130	269	28	8	281	73	-13	+0	-2	+5	+12	0.2
2038	34	MLB	NYY	57%	358	320	65	12	2	8	29	101	6	5	1	203	282	328	610	125	263	28	8	272	66	-14	+1	-3	+4	+10	-0.2
2027	23	MLB	NYY	31%	163	146	32	7	1	4	13	43	3	5	1	219	296	363	659	144	279	26	8	282	74	-5	+1	+1	+2	+5	0.3
2028	24	MLB	NYY	45%	242	217	47	10	1	6	19	63	4	6	2	217	292	355	647	138	281	26	8	287	78	-6	+0	+1	+3	+7	0.5
2029	25	MLB	NYY	54%	288	258	58	12	2	8	23	74	5	7	2	225	301	380	681	155	282	26	8	290	80	-6	+1	+1	+3	+8	0.7
2030	26	MLB	NYY	58%	312	279	63	13	2	9	25	80	5	7	2	226	301	384	684	158	282	26	8	292	81	-7	+1	+1	+3	+9	0.8
2031	27	MLB	NYY	59%	316	281	64	13	2	9	26	81	6	6	2	228	307	384	691	157	282	26	8	292	82	-7	+0	+1	+3	+9	0.8
2032	28	MLB	NYY	60%	316	282	64	13	2	9	26	82	5	6	2	227	304	383	686	156	282	26	8	291	81	-7	+0	+1	+3	+9	0.7
2033	29	MLB	NYY	59%	307	273	61	13	2	8	26	80	5	6	2	223	303	374	676	150	281	26	8	289	80	-7	+0	+1	+3	+9	0.6
2034	30	MLB	NYY	59%	298	266	59	12	2	8	25	79	5	5	1	222	301	372	673	150	280	27	8	287	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2035	31	MLB	NYY	58%	291	260	56	12	1	7	24	78	5	5	1	215	294	350	644	135	278	27	8	283	75	-8	+1	-0	+3	+8	0.3
2036	32	MLB	NYY	64%	312	278	60	12	2	8	26	84	5	5	1	216	294	360	654	144	275	27	8	278	71	-10	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.2
2037	33	MLB	NYY	61%	260	233	48	10	1	6	21	72	4	4	1	206	283	335	618	129	271	28	8	271	66	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
2038	34	MLB	NYY	57%	204	182	37	7	1	5	17	58	3	3	1	203	282	335	617	132	265	28	8	263	59	-9	+0	-2	+2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3310	2956	649	134	19	87	271	874	55	65	18	220	297	366	663	146	279	26	8	285	76	-90	+6	+4	+35	+94	5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	127	26	4	17	53	172	11	13	4	219	296	366	662	147	279	26	8	285	76	-18	+1	+1	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	6289	5617	1218	250	35	157	508	1676	108	132	36	217	294	358	652	141	278	27	8	293	82	-127	+12	+9	+67	+178	14.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	126	26	4	16	53	173	11	14	4	217	295	358	653	141	278	27	8	293	82	-13	+1	+1	+7	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	108	93	17	7	1	0	11	31	3	1	1	183	290	280	569	97	270	29	10	265	61	-5	-0	—	—	+3	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,310	84	65	219	293	361	+34	+14	6.7	6.1
	/162	664	17	13	219	293	361	+6.8	+2.8	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Core Jackson (OGILVIE)	22	42	45	50	53	215/298/371	156	275	14	37	28%	8%	81	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	47	47→50	49→50	42	232/288/370	138	315	14	10	30%	7%	83	+0.6	231/292/374	143	314	15	12	29%	7%	85	+0.7	226/290/370	144	302	16	12	29%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	48→49	45	50→55	46	233/298/359	126	318	12	10	29%	8%	84	+0.6	226/296/346	120	335	10	17	32%	9%	80	+0.4	222/291/344	122	331	10	21	33%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	83	+0.6	232/278/326	94	303	6	7	24%	5%	66	-0.6	237/281/332	95	308	5	6	24%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	49→51	45→50	52→55	47	239/299/361	122	305	12	14	25%	8%	85	+0.7	235/292/364	129	293	13	23	23%	7%	83	+0.6	228/280/351	122	287	13	26	24%	6%	72	-0.1
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	41→40	44→55	49→50	45	201/281/320	119	294	11	8	33%	9%	68	-0.5	192/266/342	150	282	16	11	36%	9%	67	-0.5	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/298/376	137	272	15	16	19%	7%	89	+1.0	226/295/379	153	275	18	9	24%	8%	89	+1.0	216/291/376	160	255	19	8	23%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43→44	44→50	44→45	48	213/288/328	115	279	11	8	27%	9%	73	-0.1	232/294/362	130	291	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.6	211/282/355	144	277	15	6	28%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	87	+0.8	209/284/358	149	274	16	19	29%	9%	79	+0.3	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	44→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	118	278	10	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	221/292/340	119	284	12	26	25%	7%	78	+0.2	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	47	44→45	55	46	225/302/347	122	301	11	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	226/284/337	111	307	10	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	44→41	46→50	46→50	44	217/282/344	127	285	13	8	28%	7%	75	-0.0	214/278/320	106	313	10	11	32%	8%	66	-0.6	179/251/225	46	304	4	15	39%	9%	26	-0.7
✕Jakob Dalfonso 2012 · A	22	47	45→50	50→45	41	237/283/355	118	279	14	9	21%	4%	77	+0.1	214/263/316	102	288	10	8	28%	5%	58	-1.2	148/195/188	41	225	0	3	33%	4%	-8	-1.1
✕Matthew Sweeney 2010 · A	22	46→40	48→50	46→45	44	232/288/382	150	289	15	5	25%	7%	86	+0.8	187/249/295	108	277	10	4	34%	7%	48	-1.9	157/221/254	97	235	9	1	35%	7%	23	-1.5
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	48	45→55	56→55	43	235/298/363	128	318	13	19	29%	7%	85	+0.7	217/270/366	149	357	16	25	41%	6%	75	-0.0	210/278/395	185	354	23	23	44%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Alek Thomas 2021 · A	21	50→51	43→50	48→50	42	239/289/356	118	318	10	10	27%	6%	79	+0.3	241/295/386	145	303	13	11	24%	6%	90	+1.0	240/293/384	145	293	13	11	22%	6%	85	+0.6
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0