Core Jackson — OGILVIE

Core JacksonSS Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A+ HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION450 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP285

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$43M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.3M
2034	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$7M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$23M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	108	93	17	7	1	0	11	31	3	1	1	183	290	280	569	97	270	29	10	265	66	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	108	97	14	5	1	0	7	42	3	1	1	144	224	216	441	72	246	39	6	203	24	-10	-0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2025	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	108	97	14	5	1	0	7	42	3	1	1	144	224	216	441	72	250	39	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	108	93	17	7	1	0	11	31	3	1	1	183	290	280	569	97	270	29	10	265	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	108	97	14	5	1	0	7	42	3	1	1	144	224	216	441	72	246	39	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	108	97	14	5	1	0	7	42	3	1	1	144	224	216	441	72	246	39	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	NYY	—	450	399	91	18	6	11	35	114	10	41	9	228	306	386	692	158	286	25	8	300	89	-6	+5	+0	+5	+10	1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	NYY	—	352	293	76	17	5	12	45	72	9	32	7	259	375	474	849	215	299	20	13	372	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	NYY	—	98	88	24	4	1	2	8	14	1	9	2	273	340	409	749	136	301	14	8	333	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	NYY	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		283	20	10	299	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	NYY	—	460	408	92	18	6	11	36	116	10	42	9	225	304	380	684	154	282	25	8	300	89	-6	+5	+0	+5	+10	1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	NYY	31%	486	437	99	20	5	11	38	120	8	17	4	227	300	371	671	144	284	25	8	301	90	-6	+2	+2	+5	+11	1.4
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYY	45%	523	468	109	22	5	13	42	127	8	15	3	233	307	385	692	152	285	24	8	306	93	-4	+2	+2	+6	+11	1.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	528	472	110	22	5	14	43	127	8	13	3	233	308	390	698	157	285	24	8	309	95	-3	+1	+2	+6	+11	1.8
2030	26	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	527	471	110	22	5	14	43	126	8	12	3	234	308	391	699	157	286	24	8	310	96	-3	+1	+2	+6	+11	1.8
2031	27	MLB MLE	NYY	59%	523	467	109	22	4	14	43	125	8	11	3	233	309	388	696	154	285	24	8	310	96	-3	+1	+2	+6	+11	1.8
2032	28	MLB MLE	NYY	60%	516	460	106	21	4	13	43	125	8	10	2	230	307	378	686	148	285	24	8	309	95	-3	+1	+2	+6	+11	1.7
2033	29	MLB MLE	NYY	59%	508	452	104	21	4	13	43	124	8	10	2	230	308	381	689	150	285	24	8	307	94	-4	+1	+1	+5	+11	1.5
2034	30	MLB MLE	NYY	59%	500	446	101	20	4	12	42	123	8	9	2	226	304	370	674	143	284	25	8	305	92	-5	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.3
2035	31	MLB MLE	NYY	64%	491	440	99	20	4	12	41	122	7	8	2	225	301	370	672	145	281	25	8	301	90	-6	+1	-1	+5	+11	1.0
2036	32	MLB MLE	NYY	68%	408	365	80	16	3	9	34	103	6	6	1	219	296	353	650	134	278	25	8	296	86	-7	+1	-2	+4	+9	0.6
2037	33	MLB MLE	NYY	71%	378	337	73	14	3	8	32	98	6	6	1	217	296	347	643	131	275	26	8	289	82	-8	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.2
2038	34	MLB MLE	NYY	67%	334	298	63	12	3	7	28	88	5	5	1	211	290	342	632	131	269	26	8	280	76	-10	+1	-3	+4	+7	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	NYY	31%	153	138	31	6	1	4	12	38	2	5	1	225	296	370	666	145	285	25	8	293	90	-2	+1	+1	+2	+3	0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYY	45%	237	212	49	10	2	6	19	57	4	7	2	231	306	382	688	151	287	24	8	299	93	-2	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.8
2029	25	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	283	254	59	12	2	8	23	68	4	7	2	232	306	390	696	157	287	24	8	302	95	-2	+1	+1	+3	+6	1.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	307	274	65	13	3	9	25	73	5	7	2	237	312	405	718	168	288	24	8	303	96	-2	+1	+1	+3	+7	1.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	NYY	59%	311	277	66	13	3	9	26	75	5	7	2	238	315	404	719	166	287	24	8	303	96	-2	+1	+1	+3	+7	1.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	NYY	60%	310	276	66	13	3	9	26	75	5	6	1	239	316	406	722	167	287	24	8	302	95	-2	+1	+1	+3	+7	1.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	NYY	59%	301	268	62	13	2	8	25	73	5	6	1	231	309	384	693	153	286	24	8	301	94	-2	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.9
2034	30	MLB CTX	NYY	59%	293	262	60	12	2	8	25	72	4	5	1	229	306	382	688	153	285	25	9	298	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.8
2035	31	MLB CTX	NYY	64%	313	279	63	13	2	8	26	78	5	5	1	226	303	373	676	147	283	25	8	294	90	-4	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.7
2036	32	MLB CTX	NYY	68%	277	248	55	11	2	7	23	70	4	4	1	222	298	367	665	145	280	25	8	289	86	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2037	33	MLB CTX	NYY	71%	269	240	52	10	2	6	23	69	4	4	1	217	296	350	646	133	276	26	9	282	82	-6	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.2
2038	34	MLB CTX	NYY	67%	222	199	43	8	2	5	18	59	3	3	1	216	291	352	643	136	270	27	8	273	76	-6	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3276	2927	671	134	26	87	271	807	50	66	16	229	305	382	687	153	285	25	8	296	90	-36	+7	+2	+35	+71	8.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	133	27	5	17	54	160	10	13	3	229	305	380	686	151	285	25	8	296	90	-7	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5840	5219	1178	237	50	140	480	1452	91	124	28	226	302	371	673	145	284	25	8	301	90	-60	+14	+7	+61	+124	14.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	132	26	6	16	53	162	10	14	3	227	302	375	678	148	286	25	8	301	90	-7	+2	+1	+7	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.9	3,276	81	67	228	301	374	+34	+14	9.4	8.2
/162	664	16	14	+6.8	+2.8	1.9	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Core Jackson (OGILVIE)	22	42	45	50	53	222/298/364	141	283	4	11	25%	8%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/297/376	137	271	15	16	18%	7%	90	+0.6	224/293/368	144	273	16	9	23%	7%	87	+0.4	210/294/357	148	242	16	5	20%	8%	82	+0.0
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	85	+0.2	231/279/321	90	301	5	7	24%	6%	70	-0.9	236/282/326	90	306	4	6	23%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	49→51	44→50	52→55	47	239/299/356	117	304	11	14	25%	8%	86	+0.3	236/293/360	124	294	12	23	23%	7%	84	+0.2	230/283/348	118	290	11	26	24%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	49→50	44→45	50→55	46	235/299/356	121	318	11	10	28%	8%	86	+0.3	230/301/343	113	337	9	17	31%	9%	84	+0.1	227/299/342	115	335	9	21	32%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	47→49	47→50	50	43	234/291/373	139	314	14	10	30%	7%	86	+0.3	231/292/368	137	313	14	12	29%	7%	86	+0.3	226/290/362	136	303	14	12	29%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	38→41	47→45	50→45	48	196/307/325	129	265	16	7	30%	10%	84	+0.2	187/296/284	97	258	8	5	29%	10%	71	-0.8	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→43	49→55	54→50	48	203/290/352	149	278	16	16	32%	10%	82	+0.0	214/299/386	172	268	20	10	27%	10%	93	+0.8	205/292/383	178	245	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.3
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43→44	44→50	44→45	48	213/288/328	115	279	11	8	27%	9%	76	-0.4	232/294/362	130	290	12	8	23%	7%	85	+0.2	226/287/350	124	285	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A	23	46→44	44→60	50→45	45	227/284/346	119	293	11	8	26%	7%	78	-0.3	201/260/331	130	273	12	8	30%	7%	65	-1.2	227/284/435	209	256	27	8	24%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	46	44→45	55	46	225/303/346	121	300	11	14	27%	8%	86	+0.3	225/283/333	108	304	9	9	28%	5%	75	-0.5	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→45	51→50	42	215/281/322	107	301	9	11	30%	7%	72	-0.7	206/277/331	125	321	14	12	37%	7%	73	-0.6	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	50→48	46→55	56→55	44	241/305/370	129	323	13	19	28%	7%	91	+0.7	218/272/362	144	354	15	25	40%	6%	78	-0.3	216/285/389	174	351	21	24	42%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	88	+0.5	208/282/344	136	276	15	19	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	46→49	40→45	48→45	49	216/322/312	96	283	8	9	24%	9%	86	+0.3	226/314/335	109	285	10	7	23%	7%	88	+0.4	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→52	46→60	48→50	49	230/304/365	135	294	13	13	26%	9%	90	+0.6	213/284/325	112	292	9	13	28%	8%	73	-0.6	243/310/437	193	313	22	11	28%	8%	105	+1.0
✕Wuilfredo Antunez 2023 · A	21	46→39	47→55	52→50	50	227/309/366	139	292	14	16	26%	10%	92	+0.7	215/268/349	134	288	12	13	28%	6%	72	-0.7	209/258/360	151	275	14	14	29%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→45	58→60	54	211/315/327	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	86	+0.3	215/313/338	123	273	13	33	24%	11%	88	+0.5	211/310/338	127	264	13	40	24%	11%	84	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps