Jose Acuna — OGILVIE

Jose Acuna P Chattanooga Lookouts

+0.0 WAR

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2028

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%20.5%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%9.6%

IP64

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2028

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4550

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Mets	4	3	7	27	7	3	2	—	—	—	3.86	—	—
2022	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	15	10	65	257	83	22	3	23.1%	10.3%	1.6%	2.91	3.34	+1.2
2023	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	22	19	101	427	100	44	14	18.0%	11.9%	4.4%	3.93	5.50	-0.2
2024	21	AAA	Louisville Bats	15	12	39	178	40	13	3	18.4%	6.7%	1.9%	3.69	3.42	+0.7
2025	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	18	18	72	301	69	38	8	18.6%	13.9%	3.1%	3.64	5.02	+0.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	3	3	12	48	11	8	0	—	—	—	3.86	—	—
ROS	23	MLB	CIN	12	12	64	269	53	33	8	19.9%	12.4%	3.0%	5.03	5.03	-0.0
2026 Total	23	MLB	CIN	—	—	75	317	64	41	8	20.3%	13.1%	2.6%	4.85	4.25	+0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	24	MLB	CIN	12	12	65	275	57	32	8	20.8%	11.5%	3.0%	4.88	4.82	+0.1
2028	25	MLB	CIN	12	12	66	279	59	31	8	21.3%	11.0%	3.0%	4.76	4.70	+0.2
2029	26	MLB	CIN	12	12	66	279	60	30	8	21.6%	10.8%	3.0%	4.69	4.66	+0.3
2030	27	MLB	CIN	12	12	66	277	60	30	8	21.7%	10.8%	3.0%	4.67	4.66	+0.3
2031	28	MLB	CIN	12	12	64	272	59	30	8	21.7%	10.9%	3.0%	4.68	4.68	+0.2
2032	29	MLB	CIN	11	11	63	266	57	29	8	21.5%	10.9%	3.1%	4.71	4.73	+0.2
2033	30	MLB	CIN	11	11	61	258	55	29	8	21.3%	11.1%	3.1%	4.76	4.79	+0.1
2034	31	MLB	CIN	59	—	59	249	53	28	8	21.1%	11.2%	3.2%	4.82	4.87	+0.1
2035	32	MLB	CIN	57	—	57	239	50	27	8	20.8%	11.3%	3.3%	4.90	4.95	0.0
2036	33	MLB	CIN	54	—	54	228	47	26	8	20.5%	11.5%	3.4%	4.99	5.05	-0.1
2037	34	MLB	CIN	51	—	51	217	44	25	8	20.2%	11.7%	3.5%	5.09	5.16	-0.1
2038	35	MLB	CIN	48	—	48	204	40	24	7	19.8%	11.9%	3.6%	5.21	5.28	-0.2
2039	36	MLB	CIN	45	—	45	191	37	23	7	19.3%	12.2%	3.7%	5.33	5.42	-0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			77	65	295	1238	243	142	38	19.6%	11.4%	3.1%	3.60	4.57	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—			52	44	200	839	165	96	26	19.6%	11.4%	3.1%	3.60	4.57	+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Acuna (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	19.9%	12.4%	3.0%	—	4.73	21.3%	10.1%	197	-0.30	—	—	—
Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	23	SW	4.56	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.78	16.2%	5.7%	316	+0.22	3.98	371	94
Max Alba R 2027 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	20.6%	12.6%	2.8%	.290	4.91	17.8%	11.6%	162	+0.41	4.50	217	94
Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.50 FIP	23	SW	4.50	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.24	25.9%	14.9%	121	-0.26	3.32	181	94
Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.51 FIP	23	SW	4.51	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.34	3.86	242	94
Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP	23	SW	4.74	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.09	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.65	4.09	116	92
Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.49	24.9%	14.5%	98	-0.93	2.46	228	92
Cade Winquest R 2026 · 4.37 FIP	23	SW	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.94	18.5%	7.4%	135	-0.43	3.84	213	92
Brett Standlee R 2026 · 4.11 FIP	23	SW	4.11	19.7%	11.1%	2.3%	.322	4.48	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.37	4.11	128	91
Alaska Abney R 2026 · 4.94 FIP	23	SW	4.94	18.8%	13.8%	3.1%	.301	3.44	18.6%	10.2%	76	-1.50	3.36	178	91
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2027 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.72	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.14	4.04	404	91
Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.24 FIP	23	SW	5.24	18.5%	13.5%	3.6%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.49	5.24	107	91
Colby Blueberg R 2026 · 4.44 FIP	23	SW	4.44	17.7%	11.0%	2.6%	.310	3.81	21.6%	10.6%	110	-0.63	2.36	229	91
Ralston Cash R 2026 · 4.86 FIP	23	SW	4.86	19.4%	11.8%	3.5%	.240	3.89	23.0%	11.0%	185	-0.97	3.02	242	91
Kieran Lovegrove R 2026 · 5.00 FIP	23	SW	5.00	17.9%	12.6%	3.3%	.273	4.48	19.3%	4.5%	76	-0.52	3.80	215	91
Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	17.1%	12.2%	2.6%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-1.97	2.66	145	91
William Kempner R 2025 · 4.04 FIP	22	SW	4.04	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.24	27.3%	11.8%	68	-0.80	3.24	129	91
Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.24 FIP	23	SW	4.24	19.5%	10.0%	2.8%	.308	4.43	16.0%	9.0%	156	+0.19	4.24	225	91
Bailey Dees R 2026 · 4.27 FIP	23	SW	4.27	21.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.248	4.37	21.4%	9.6%	278	+0.10	3.41	330	90
Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.74	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.64	4.10	105	90
David Griffin R 2028 · 4.42 FIP	25	SW	4.42	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.32	15.6%	5.5%	168	+0.90	4.42	239	90

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.