Jose Acuna
P
Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 23
RHP
6'2" / 175 lbs
AA
peak 0.5 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 120
ERA5.30
FIP5.30
K%17.9%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%4.6%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 156 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Mets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 75% | 1.8 | 25.9% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 3.86 | 6.38 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Mets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 75% | 1.8 | 25.9% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 3.86 | 6.10 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 10 | 65 | 257 | 83 | 22 | 3 | 67% | 4.3 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 1.6% | 2.91 | 3.34 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 10 | 65 | 257 | 83 | 22 | 3 | 67% | 4.3 | 32.3% | 8.6% | 23.7% | 1.2% | 2.91 | 2.16 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 22 | 19 | 101 | 427 | 100 | 44 | 14 | 86% | 4.6 | 18.0% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.93 | 5.57 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 22 | 19 | 101 | 427 | 100 | 44 | 14 | 86% | 4.6 | 23.4% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 3.93 | 4.23 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 12 | 39 | 178 | 40 | 13 | 3 | 80% | 2.6 | 18.4% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 1.7% | 3.69 | 3.34 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 12 | 39 | 178 | 40 | 13 | 3 | 80% | 2.6 | 22.5% | 7.3% | 15.2% | 1.7% | 3.69 | 3.05 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 18 | 18 | 72 | 301 | 69 | 38 | 8 | 100% | 4.0 | 18.6% | 13.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.64 | 4.97 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 18 | 18 | 72 | 301 | 69 | 38 | 8 | 100% | 4.0 | 22.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 3.64 | 4.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 17 | 17 | 94 | 377 | 96 | 41 | 12 | 100% | 5.5 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 3.73 | 4.80 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 62 | 260 | 47 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.9% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.30 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CIN | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.30 | 5.30 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 156 | 637 | 143 | 76 | 20 | — | — | 22.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 5.00 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 17.9% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.30 | 4.92 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 51 | 32 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.1% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 5.10 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 53 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.95 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 54 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 54 | 30 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.86 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 52 | 30 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CIN | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 23 | 14 | 3 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.1% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 5.10 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.95 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 46 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.86 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 46 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 39 | 39 | 231 | 973 | 194 | 112 | 29 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.0% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 4.92 | 4.52 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 168 | 97 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.0% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 4.92 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 79 | 377 | 1567 | 314 | 175 | 53 | 87% | 4.1 | 20.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 3.63 | 4.66 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 42 | 200 | 831 | 166 | 93 | 28 | 87% | 4.1 | 20.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 3.63 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Acuna (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.30 | 17.9% | 13.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.92 | 19.7% | 8.0% | 191 | -0.38 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Skulina R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 18.3% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .242 | 5.24 | 13.0% | -1.0% | 147 | +0.78 | 4.46 | 222 | 88 |
| Reid Schaller R 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.22 | 16.3% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .241 | 4.48 | 19.9% | 7.9% | 87 | -0.74 | 3.49 | 186 | 88 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.82 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.12 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 296 | +0.30 | 3.36 | 432 | 86 |
| Tommy Mace R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.24 | 16.0% | 12.1% | 3.6% | .261 | 5.13 | 14.7% | 2.7% | 376 | -0.11 | 4.93 | 501 | 86 |
| J.P. Massey R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.91 | 18.2% | 16.0% | 2.4% | .259 | 5.03 | 15.9% | 0.6% | 115 | +0.12 | 4.62 | 195 | 86 |
| Connor Staine R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.66 | 20.3% | 12.6% | 3.1% | .266 | 5.22 | 16.1% | 2.8% | 185 | +0.56 | 3.71 | 370 | 86 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 86 |
| Jack Noble R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.45 | 16.5% | 13.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 6.15 | 20.3% | 8.2% | 58 | +1.70 | 4.45 | 125 | 86 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.94 | 20.2% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .269 | 4.98 | 17.4% | 3.3% | 197 | +0.04 | 4.60 | 529 | 85 |
| Max Bain R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.37 | 20.5% | 15.2% | 3.8% | .291 | 6.65 | 16.7% | -3.9% | 81 | +1.28 | 5.16 | 174 | 85 |
| Cade Kuehler R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.21 | 15.5% | 11.2% | 1.8% | .266 | 6.79 | 14.5% | 2.4% | 73 | +2.58 | 4.21 | 123 | 84 |
| Cameron Foster R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 84 |
| Michael YaSenka R 2026 · 5.84 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.84 | 18.1% | 15.0% | 4.3% | .288 | 5.74 | 18.8% | 6.1% | 58 | -0.10 | 5.74 | 154 | 84 |
| Jason Savacool R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.43 | 16.6% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .285 | 7.34 | 19.6% | 3.2% | 26 | +2.91 | 4.43 | 225 | 84 |
| CJ Van Eyk R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.01 | 21.8% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.47 | 15.2% | 5.3% | 127 | -0.54 | 3.95 | 411 | 83 |
| Hayden Merda R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.06 | 16.1% | 15.3% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.42 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.50 | 182 | 83 |
| Michael Ross R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.05 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .275 | 5.83 | 12.5% | 3.6% | 64 | +0.78 | 5.05 | 146 | 83 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 83 |
| David Griffin R 2028 · 4.52 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.52 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 5.47 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.95 | 4.52 | 239 | 83 |
| Zach McCambley R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.89 | 19.4% | 13.6% | 3.1% | .277 | 3.30 | 25.0% | 12.6% | 123 | -1.59 | 2.61 | 383 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 63 | 19.6% | 11.9% | 1.16 | 5.00 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |