Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022
19
ROKMLE
DSL Colorado
11
6
41
158
47
7
3
55%
3.7
20.2%
5.5%
14.7%
2.1%
3.32
3.24
—
2022
19
ROKRAW
DSL Colorado
11
6
41
158
47
7
3
55%
3.7
29.7%
4.4%
25.3%
1.9%
3.32
2.26
—
2023
20
ROKMLE
ACL Rockies
10
9
38
146
50
6
3
90%
3.8
23.3%
5.1%
18.2%
2.8%
3.08
3.31
—
2023
20
ROKRAW
ACL Rockies
10
9
38
146
50
6
3
90%
3.8
34.2%
4.1%
30.1%
2.1%
3.08
1.97
—
2025
22
MIXMLE
2 levels
17
17
61
261
73
25
2
100%
3.6
20.1%
11.4%
8.7%
1.1%
4.01
3.48
—
2025
22
MIXMLE
2 levels
17
17
61
261
73
25
2
100%
3.6
20.1%
11.4%
8.7%
1.1%
4.01
3.48
—
2025
22
MIXRAW
2 levels
17
17
61
261
73
25
2
100%
3.6
28.0%
9.6%
18.4%
0.8%
4.01
2.36
—
2026
23
MIXMLE
3 levels
23
22
89
383
114
35
13
96%
3.9
21.9%
10.9%
11.0%
4.5%
5.58
5.12
—
2026
23
MIXMLE
3 levels
23
22
89
383
114
35
13
96%
3.9
21.9%
10.9%
11.0%
4.5%
5.58
5.12
—
2026
23
MIXRAW
3 levels
23
22
89
383
114
35
13
96%
3.9
29.8%
9.1%
20.6%
3.4%
5.58
3.62
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
24
MLB
COL
12
12
67
283
62
32
9
100%
5.6
22.0%
11.3%
10.6%
3.3%
4.89
4.89
+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
25
MLBMLE
COL
14
14
81
341
77
36
11
100%
5.8
22.5%
10.7%
11.8%
3.3%
4.77
4.73
+0.2
2029
26
MLBMLE
COL
13
13
81
341
77
35
11
100%
6.2
22.6%
10.4%
12.2%
3.3%
4.70
4.67
+0.2
2030
27
MLBMLE
COL
13
13
80
336
83
32
11
100%
6.1
24.6%
9.5%
15.1%
3.3%
4.52
4.42
+0.4
2031
28
MLBMLE
COL
13
13
77
326
80
32
11
100%
5.9
24.4%
9.7%
14.8%
3.4%
4.51
4.50
+0.4
2032
29
MLBMLE
COL
12
12
74
311
75
31
11
100%
6.1
24.2%
9.9%
14.3%
3.5%
4.58
4.63
+0.2
2033
30
MLBMLE
COL
12
12
69
293
70
30
11
100%
5.8
23.8%
10.2%
13.7%
3.7%
4.72
4.81
+0.1
2028
25
MLBCTX
COL
6
6
35
148
33
16
6
100%
5.8
22.5%
10.7%
11.8%
3.8%
5.04
5.00
+0.1
2029
26
MLBCTX
COL
9
9
54
228
52
24
9
100%
6.0
22.6%
10.4%
12.2%
3.8%
4.97
4.94
+0.1
2030
27
MLBCTX
COL
10
10
61
258
63
25
10
100%
6.1
24.6%
9.5%
15.1%
3.8%
4.80
4.70
+0.3
2031
28
MLBCTX
COL
11
11
65
274
67
27
11
100%
5.9
24.4%
9.7%
14.8%
3.9%
4.79
4.78
+0.3
2032
29
MLBCTX
COL
11
11
64
270
65
27
11
100%
5.8
24.2%
9.9%
14.3%
4.1%
4.88
4.93
+0.2
2033
30
MLBCTX
COL
10
10
62
262
62
27
11
100%
6.2
23.8%
10.2%
13.7%
4.3%
5.03
5.12
+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
57
57
341
1441
343
144
57
100%
6.0
23.8%
10.0%
13.8%
4.0%
4.91
4.52
+1.5
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
33
33
200
844
201
84
33
100%
6.0
23.8%
10.0%
13.8%
4.0%
4.91
4.52
+0.9
Career
—
MLE
61
54
228
948
202
88
28
89%
3.7
21.4%
9.3%
12.1%
2.9%
4.34
4.08
+1.5
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
54
47
200
832
178
77
24
89%
3.7
21.4%
9.3%
12.1%
2.9%
4.34
4.08
+0.6
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.