Kyle Teel — OGILVIE

Kyle TeelC Chicago White Sox

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.669 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION151 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 80102vR 110

AVG/OBP/SLG.294 / .368 / .529

PA19

HR1

K%32

BB%11

BABIP321

ISO235

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$48M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

689.1%

xAVG

300.235

POWER50

Barrel%

6410.3

Avg EV

2687.3

Bat Spd

3269.5

EYE60

Chase%

9019.9%

SPEED50

Sprint

3626.8

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%32%▼▼41% over 32 PA (60d) · proj 28%

BB%10%·9% over 32 PA (60d) · proj 10%

ISO.160▲.241 over 29 AB (60d) · proj .146xISO .171 vs .179 prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck

BABIP.310·.286 over 14 BIP (60d) · proj .311xAVG .227 vs .286 prior

SLASH.226/.311/.386·proj .237/.323/.383

Platoon Splits2025 · 297 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

245

—

wRC+

137

▶▶R

wOBA

263

371

▶▶R

ISO

046

157

▶▶R

BABIP

348

363

▶R

38.5%

23.3%

▶▶R

BB%

13.5%

12.2%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.669 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$13M	+$13M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$13M	+$12M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+1.9	$12M	+$9M
2030	Arb-2	$8M	+1.8	$11M	+$6M
2031	Arb-3	$10M	+1.6	$9M	+$3M
Totals		$24M		$58M	+$42M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	39	31	10	2	0	1	8	11	0	2	0	323	462	484	945	161	474	28	21	425	174	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	66	53	20	4	0	0	11	11	1	1	0	377	492	453	945	75	465	17	17	425	173	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2024	22	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	123	102	26	3	0	2	20	29	0	3	0	255	377	343	720	88	333	24	16	333	112	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	382	325	97	20	0	11	48	87	4	9	5	298	395	462	857	163	371	23	13	379	143	+19	-0	—	—	+8	2.8
2025	23	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	297	253	69	11	0	8	37	77	5	3	1	273	376	411	787	138	361	26	12	355	127	+9	+0	+2	+9	+6	2.8
2025	23	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	213	183	54	10	1	8	30	54	0	7	1	295	394	492	886	197	380	25	14	393	152	+13	+1	—	—	+5	1.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	297	253	69	11	0	8	37	77	5	3	1	273	376	411	787	138	361	26	12	355	127	+9	+0	+2	+9	+6	2.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	39	34	10	2	0	1	5	13	0	2	0	294	385	441	826	147	431	33	13	337	114	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	66	57	17	3	0	0	7	15	1	1	0	298	385	351	735	53	399	23	11	340	116	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	22	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	123	109	24	3	0	1	13	35	0	3	0	220	303	275	579	55	311	28	11	274	72	-4	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	382	341	86	15	0	9	32	103	4	9	5	252	324	375	699	123	319	27	8	305	93	-3	-0	—	—	+8	0.5
2025	23	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	297	253	69	11	0	8	37	77	5	3	1	273	376	411	787	138	361	26	12	350	123	+8	+0	+2	+9	+6	2.7
2025	23	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	213	192	47	9	1	4	21	65	0	7	1	245	319	365	684	120	348	31	10	302	91	-2	+1	—	—	+5	0.3
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	105	91	27	5	0	1	12	28	1	3	0	297	385	385	769	88	413	27	11	339	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	105	84	30	6	0	1	19	22	1	3	0	357	481	464	945	107	468	21	18	425	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	505	449	110	18	0	10	46	137	4	12	5	245	321	352	673	107	325	27	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	505	427	123	23	0	13	68	116	4	12	5	288	391	433	824	145	362	23	13	368	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	510	445	116	20	1	12	58	142	5	10	2	261	352	391	743	130	356	28	11	330	109	+6	+1	+2	+9	+11	3.0
2025	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	510	436	123	21	1	16	67	131	5	10	2	282	384	445	829	163	369	26	13	371	109	+6	+1	+2	+9	+11	3.0
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	105	91	27	5	0	1	12	28	1	3	0	297	385	385	769	88	411	27	11	339	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	505	450	110	18	0	10	46	137	4	12	5	244	321	351	672	107	317	27	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	510	442	116	20	1	12	58	142	5	10	2	262	352	394	746	131	356	28	11	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	105	91	27	5	0	1	12	28	1	3	0	297	385	385	769	88	411	27	11	339	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	505	450	110	18	0	10	46	137	4	12	5	244	321	351	672	107	317	27	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	510	442	116	20	1	12	58	142	5	10	2	262	352	394	746	131	356	28	11	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	MLB MLE	CWS	—	151	137	34	4	0	6	12	51	2	0	0	248	318	409	727	161	350	34	8	312	97	-0	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.6
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	CWS	—	93	83	17	2	0	4	9	35	1	0	0	205	290	373	664	169	295	38	10	300	97	-0	+0	+0	+3	+2	0.4
YTD	24	AAA RAW	CWS	—	58	53	19	2	0	3	4	13	1	0	0	358	414	566	980	208	432	22	7	431	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	MLB RAW	CWS	—	93	83	17	2	0	4	9	35	1	0	0	205	290	373	664	169	295	38	10	300	89	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
ROS	24	MLB MLE	CWS	100%	19	17	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	294	368	529	898	235	320	32	11	320	102	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
ROS	24	MLB CTX	CWS	100%	19	17	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	294	368	529	898	235	321	32	11	313	102	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
FULL	24	MLB A+C	CWS	—	112	100	22	3	0	5	11	41	1	0	0	220	304	400	704	180	315	37	10	302	98	-0	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.4
TOT	24	MLB MLE	CWS	—	170	154	39	5	0	7	14	57	2	0	0	253	324	422	746	169	356	34	8	313	98	-0	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CWS	92%	520	458	109	17	1	16	51	152	6	7	2	238	322	384	707	146	318	29	10	319	102	+1	+1	-3	+9	+11	2.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	92%	520	458	110	17	1	17	51	152	6	7	2	240	324	393	717	153	318	29	10	320	103	+2	+1	-3	+9	+11	2.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	CWS	92%	520	457	110	17	1	17	52	152	6	7	2	241	326	394	720	153	318	29	10	320	103	+2	+1	-3	+9	+11	2.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	CWS	92%	520	457	109	17	1	16	52	153	6	6	2	239	324	385	709	147	317	29	10	319	102	+1	+0	-3	+9	+11	1.9
2031	29	MLB MLE	CWS	92%	520	456	108	17	1	16	53	154	6	6	2	237	324	384	708	147	315	30	10	316	100	+0	+0	-4	+9	+11	1.7
2032	30	MLB MLE	CWS	92%	510	448	105	16	1	16	52	152	5	5	1	234	321	382	702	147	313	30	10	313	98	-1	+1	-5	+9	+11	1.5
2033	31	MLB MLE	CWS	92%	485	428	98	15	1	14	49	146	5	4	1	229	315	367	682	138	311	30	10	309	95	-3	+0	-5	+9	+11	1.2
2034	32	MLB MLE	CWS	92%	461	406	92	14	1	13	47	141	5	3	1	227	314	362	676	135	307	31	10	303	92	-5	+0	-6	+8	+10	0.8
2035	33	MLB MLE	CWS	92%	317	279	62	9	0	9	32	99	3	2	0	222	309	351	660	129	303	31	10	296	87	-5	+0	-6	+6	+7	0.2
2036	34	MLB MLE	CWS	88%	268	236	50	7	0	7	27	85	3	1	0	212	301	331	631	119	297	32	10	288	81	-6	+0	-6	+5	+6	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	CWS	92%	478	423	101	16	1	15	47	140	5	6	2	239	322	388	710	149	319	29	10	313	102	+1	+0	-3	+9	+10	1.8
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	92%	478	423	101	16	1	15	47	140	5	6	2	239	322	388	710	149	319	29	10	314	103	+2	+0	-3	+9	+10	1.9
2029	27	MLB CTX	CWS	92%	478	422	101	16	1	15	48	140	5	6	2	239	324	389	713	149	319	29	10	314	103	+2	+0	-3	+9	+10	1.9
2030	28	MLB CTX	CWS	92%	478	422	101	16	1	15	48	141	5	6	2	239	324	389	713	149	318	29	10	313	102	+1	+0	-3	+9	+10	1.8
2031	29	MLB CTX	CWS	92%	478	422	99	15	1	15	48	142	5	6	1	235	320	382	702	147	316	30	10	310	100	+0	+1	-4	+9	+10	1.6
2032	30	MLB CTX	CWS	92%	469	413	98	15	1	15	48	140	5	5	1	237	324	387	711	150	314	30	10	307	98	-1	+1	-4	+8	+10	1.4
2033	31	MLB CTX	CWS	92%	446	393	91	14	1	13	45	135	5	4	1	232	318	372	690	140	312	30	10	303	95	-2	+0	-5	+8	+10	1.1
2034	32	MLB CTX	CWS	92%	424	374	85	13	1	12	43	130	4	3	1	227	314	364	677	136	308	31	10	297	92	-4	+0	-5	+8	+9	0.7
2035	33	MLB CTX	CWS	92%	292	258	56	8	0	8	29	91	3	2	0	217	303	341	645	124	304	31	10	291	87	-5	+0	-5	+5	+6	0.2
2036	34	MLB CTX	CWS	88%	234	207	44	6	0	6	23	74	2	1	0	213	297	329	626	116	298	32	10	282	81	-5	+0	-6	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4571	4027	951	147	8	138	465	1356	49	48	13	236	323	379	702	143	319	30	10	310	98	-2	+4	-38	+85	+99	15.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	136	21	1	20	66	193	7	7	2	237	324	382	706	145	320	30	10	310	98	-0	+1	-5	+12	+14	2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5780	5085	1211	190	9	165	584	1699	61	73	20	238	324	376	700	138	321	29	10	313	98	-4	+5	-42	+92	+107	16.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	136	21	1	19	66	191	7	8	2	238	325	378	702	140	320	29	10	313	98	-0	+1	-6	+12	+14	2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	7.3	4,860	147	52	236	320	380	+87	+29	22.1	19.2
/162	664	20	7	+11.9	+3.9	3.0	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Teel (OGILVIE)	24	45	50	50	60	239/321/386	147	320	7	3	29%	10%	102	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan India 2022 · MLB	25	51→53	50	49→50	53	250/350/411	161	312	17	11	24%	10%	118	+2.7	246/340/392	146	297	16	11	21%	10%	110	+2.1	237/339/372	134	283	14	9	20%	11%	103	+1.5
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→55	45	50	232/308/392	160	264	21	7	21%	8%	98	+1.2	235/298/411	176	286	24	5	26%	7%	99	+1.3	229/284/404	175	286	26	2	29%	6%	91	+0.4
✕Chance Sisco 2021 · MLB	26	44→54	50→45	43→40	47	220/323/372	152	301	18	3	31%	9%	101	+1.4	203/288/335	132	274	14	5	29%	9%	78	-0.3	158/243/265	107	213	9	0	29%	8%	44	-1.2
✕Luis Urías 2022 · MLB	25	48→58	52→55	47→45	53	244/331/415	171	286	20	7	22%	10%	112	+2.2	225/322/372	147	271	17	5	23%	10%	99	+1.3	209/313/340	131	256	15	4	23%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Max Ramirez 2009 · MLB	24	52	52→50	44→40	50	259/340/429	171	333	20	3	27%	10%	118	+2.7	224/296/345	121	306	13	3	29%	8%	83	+0.1	247/320/382	135	288	14	2	19%	9%	98	+0.7
●Edouard Julien 2023 · AA	24	51→55	49→50	52→50	54	234/342/384	150	351	16	18	34%	13%	109	+2.0	234/336/377	143	346	16	10	33%	13%	105	+1.7	227/332/363	135	334	15	8	33%	13%	99	+1.1
✕Robert Kral 2013 · AAA	24	49→41	45→55	43→40	56	234/330/363	129	303	12	5	25%	12%	99	+1.3	207/299/349	142	259	15	4	25%	11%	85	+0.2	192/292/338	146	228	17	2	24%	12%	79	-0.1
●Stephen Drew 2007 · MLB	24	51→57	51→55	47→45	47	258/307/427	169	297	17	6	20%	7%	105	+1.7	258/315/422	164	293	15	6	17%	8%	107	+1.8	271/331/452	181	305	15	6	16%	8%	114	+2.5
●Khalil Greene 2004 · MLB	24	47→54	51→60	45	45	237/300/403	166	294	18	8	26%	7%	97	+1.1	257/325/430	173	294	18	6	18%	8%	113	+2.3	255/324/430	175	290	18	6	18%	8%	107	+1.5
✕Blake Sabol 2023 · AAA	25	49→48	49→55	52→50	42	237/298/389	152	340	15	9	33%	8%	93	+0.8	222/289/356	134	313	15	10	32%	8%	83	+0.1	203/277/321	118	285	15	11	32%	8%	68	-0.6
✕Ian Stewart 2009 · MLB	24	48→52	52→60	49→45	45	243/310/420	177	312	19	8	28%	8%	105	+1.7	230/312/421	191	291	23	8	28%	10%	106	+1.8	218/305/403	186	271	24	8	28%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Francisco Mejía 2020 · MLB	24	48→58	50→55	46→40	42	246/292/406	160	291	18	4	22%	5%	95	+1.0	240/291/394	154	285	15	4	21%	5%	92	+0.7	244/284/399	155	290	15	0	21%	4%	89	+0.2
✕Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2009 · MLB	24	50→55	48→60	40	49	245/317/388	143	317	15	3	26%	9%	100	+1.3	230/293/386	156	305	18	3	29%	8%	91	+0.7	239/302/451	213	309	26	2	30%	8%	107	+1.3
●Alex Avila 2011 · MLB	24	48→58	47→55	42→40	52	239/315/376	136	293	15	4	23%	10%	97	+1.1	259/352/428	169	331	17	4	24%	12%	122	+2.9	258/357/430	172	334	18	2	26%	13%	119	+2.1
✕Ryan McMahon 2020 · MLB	25	48→58	51→55	48→45	46	241/306/405	164	315	19	7	29%	8%	100	+1.3	232/309/401	169	300	21	6	28%	10%	101	+1.4	230/313/394	163	297	19	6	28%	10%	99	+1.3
●Colby Rasmus 2012 · MLB	25	48→55	53→65	47→50	52	246/319/429	183	294	20	8	23%	10%	110	+2.1	239/305/432	193	295	23	5	27%	8%	106	+1.8	243/311/468	224	317	29	3	32%	8%	115	+1.8
●Willy Adames 2021 · MLB	25	51→53	52→60	44→50	46	254/318/423	169	335	20	7	29%	8%	109	+2.0	246/317/449	203	310	25	7	28%	9%	115	+2.4	238/319/443	205	285	27	12	26%	10%	111	+2.2
●Pedro Álvarez 2011 · MLB	24	47	55→65	42→45	45	241/304/433	192	317	23	4	31%	8%	105	+1.7	234/303/428	194	307	25	3	31%	9%	105	+1.7	241/313/470	229	291	33	4	29%	9%	111	+2.0
✕Gerald Laird 2004 · MLB	24	51→47	49→50	51→50	51	251/329/407	156	303	16	9	22%	9%	109	+2.0	243/302/384	141	294	15	9	22%	7%	93	+0.8	252/303/405	153	303	16	10	22%	6%	97	+0.5
✕James Darnell 2012 · MLB	25	49→52	51→55	46→40	51	249/317/415	166	285	19	4	20%	8%	107	+1.8	231/293/382	151	278	17	6	23%	7%	90	+0.6	211/290/383	172	236	24	3	22%	8%	88	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps