Kyle Teel — OGILVIE

Kyle TeelC Chicago White Sox

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.669 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION95 act + 118 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 60120vR 143

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .333 / .404

PA118

HR4

K%27

BB%10

BABIP319

ISO154

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

6010.0%

xwOBA

720.333

POWER50

Barrel%

6310.1

Avg EV

3287.8

Bat Spd

3269.5

EYE60

Chase%

9021.7%

SPEED50

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2025 · 297 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

245

—

wRC+

142

▶▶R

wOBA

263

371

▶▶R

ISO

046

157

▶▶R

BABIP

348

363

▶R

38.5%

23.3%

▶▶R

BB%

13.5%

12.2%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.669 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$20M	+$19M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$19M	+$18M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+2.7	$17M	+$13M
2030	Arb-2	$9M	+2.6	$15M	+$10M
2031	Arb-3	$12M	+2.4	$13M	+$6M
Totals		$28M		$86M	+$67M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	105	91	25	4	0	1	12	30	1	3	0	275	365	352	717	77	393	29	11	328	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	105	84	30	6	0	1	19	22	1	3	0	357	481	464	945	107	468	21	18	425	183	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	505	451	109	16	0	12	44	140	4	12	5	242	315	357	672	115	318	28	9	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	505	427	123	23	0	13	68	116	4	12	5	288	391	433	824	145	362	23	13	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB	2 teams	—	510	445	116	20	1	12	58	142	5	10	2	261	352	391	743	130	356	28	11	329	110	+6	+1	+2	+9	+14	3.4
2025	23	MLB	2 teams	—	510	436	123	21	1	16	67	131	5	10	2	282	384	445	829	163	369	26	13	371	142	+24	+1	+2	+9	+14	5.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	MLB	CWS	—	95	86	22	2	0	4	8	30	1	0	0	256	326	419	745	163	346	32	8	320	103	+0	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.5
YTD	24	MLB	CWS	—	95	85	23	2	0	4	9	29	1	0	0	271	347	435	783	165	365	31	9	350	126	+3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.7
ROS	24	MLB	CWS	100%	118	104	26	4	0	4	12	32	1	2	0	250	333	404	737	154	317	27	10	326	107	+1	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.6
ROS	24	MLB	CWS	100%	118	104	26	4	0	4	12	32	1	2	0	250	333	404	737	154	318	27	10	320	103	+0	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.6
FULL	24	MLB	CWS	—	213	190	48	6	0	8	20	62	2	2	0	253	330	411	741	158	331	29	9	320	103	+1	+0	-1	+4	+6	1.1
TOT	24	MLB	CWS	—	213	190	48	6	0	8	20	62	2	2	0	253	330	411	741	158	331	29	9	323	105	+1	+0	-1	+4	+6	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CWS	92%	520	457	114	18	1	16	53	140	5	8	2	249	334	398	732	149	319	27	10	326	108	+5	+1	-3	+9	+15	2.7
2028	26	MLB	CWS	92%	520	457	113	18	1	16	53	139	5	8	2	247	332	396	728	149	319	27	10	327	109	+5	+1	-3	+9	+15	2.8
2029	27	MLB	CWS	92%	520	456	113	18	1	16	54	140	5	8	2	248	334	397	731	149	319	27	10	327	109	+5	+1	-3	+9	+15	2.8
2030	28	MLB	CWS	92%	520	456	113	18	1	16	54	140	5	7	2	248	334	397	731	149	318	27	10	326	108	+5	+1	-3	+9	+15	2.6
2031	29	MLB	CWS	92%	520	456	112	17	1	16	54	142	5	7	2	246	332	393	725	147	317	27	10	324	106	+4	+1	-4	+9	+15	2.5
2032	30	MLB	CWS	92%	510	447	109	17	1	15	53	140	5	6	2	244	331	387	718	143	316	27	10	321	104	+2	+0	-5	+9	+14	2.2
2033	31	MLB	CWS	92%	485	426	103	16	1	14	51	135	5	5	1	242	330	383	713	141	313	28	11	317	101	+1	+1	-5	+9	+14	1.8
2034	32	MLB	CWS	92%	461	406	95	14	1	13	48	130	4	4	1	234	321	369	690	135	310	28	10	311	96	-2	+0	-6	+8	+13	1.4
2035	33	MLB	CWS	92%	385	338	78	11	1	10	40	110	4	3	1	231	319	358	677	127	305	29	10	304	91	-4	+0	-6	+7	+11	0.8
2036	34	MLB	CWS	88%	268	236	52	7	0	7	28	79	2	1	0	220	308	339	647	119	300	29	10	296	84	-5	+0	-6	+5	+8	0.2
2027	25	MLB	CWS	92%	478	422	105	17	1	15	48	128	5	7	2	249	333	400	733	152	320	27	10	320	103	+2	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.2
2028	26	MLB	CWS	92%	478	421	105	17	1	15	49	128	5	7	2	249	335	401	736	152	320	27	10	321	104	+2	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.3
2029	27	MLB	CWS	92%	478	421	105	17	1	15	49	128	5	7	2	249	335	401	736	152	320	27	10	321	104	+2	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.3
2030	28	MLB	CWS	92%	478	420	104	16	1	15	50	129	5	7	2	248	335	398	732	150	319	27	10	320	103	+2	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.2
2031	29	MLB	CWS	92%	478	420	103	16	1	15	50	130	5	6	2	245	333	395	728	150	318	27	10	318	102	+1	+0	-4	+9	+14	2.0
2032	30	MLB	CWS	92%	469	412	101	16	1	14	49	129	5	6	1	245	333	391	723	146	317	28	10	316	100	-0	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.8
2033	31	MLB	CWS	92%	446	392	95	15	1	13	47	124	4	5	1	242	330	385	715	143	314	28	11	312	97	-2	+1	-5	+8	+13	1.5
2034	32	MLB	CWS	92%	424	373	88	13	1	12	44	119	4	4	1	236	323	373	696	137	311	28	10	306	92	-4	+0	-5	+8	+12	1.1
2035	33	MLB	CWS	92%	354	311	71	10	1	9	37	102	3	2	1	228	316	354	670	125	306	29	10	299	87	-5	+0	-6	+6	+10	0.5
2036	34	MLB	CWS	88%	234	206	45	6	0	6	24	69	2	1	0	218	306	335	641	117	300	29	10	290	80	-5	+0	-6	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4732	4155	1017	158	9	141	496	1295	49	57	15	245	332	389	721	144	320	27	10	317	101	+3	+5	-39	+88	+134	19.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	139	22	1	19	68	178	7	8	2	243	332	385	717	142	318	27	10	317	101	+0	+1	-5	+12	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	5947	5226	1278	198	10	168	614	1639	56	84	22	245	330	383	713	138	321	28	10	319	102	+14	+8	-43	+106	+168	25.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	140	22	1	18	67	179	6	9	2	245	331	382	713	137	323	28	10	319	102	+2	+1	-5	+12	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	39	31	10	2	0	1	8	11	0	2	0	323	462	484	945	161	474	28	21	425	183	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	66	53	20	4	0	0	11	11	1	1	0	377	492	453	945	75	465	17	17	425	183	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	22	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	123	102	26	3	0	2	20	29	0	3	0	255	377	343	720	88	333	24	16	333	113	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	382	325	97	20	0	11	48	87	4	9	5	298	395	462	857	163	371	23	13	379	148	+21	-0	—	—	+11	3.2
2025	23	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	297	253	69	11	0	8	37	77	5	3	1	273	376	411	787	138	361	26	12	355	130	+10	+0	+2	+9	+8	3.1
2025	23	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	213	183	54	10	1	8	30	54	0	7	1	295	394	492	886	197	380	25	14	393	159	+14	+1	—	—	+6	2.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	297	253	69	11	0	8	37	77	5	3	1	273	376	411	787	138	361	26	12	355	130	+10	+0	+2	+9	+8	3.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
#2Ramon Hernandezlast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 5,543 PA	14	5,543	166	8	263	326	418	+65	+57	33.7	30.7
	/162	664	20	1	263	326	418	+7.7	+6.9	4.0	pk7: 28
#3Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#4Carlos Ruizlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,069 PA	12	4,069	71	25	264	350	391	+73	+6	25.2	24.6
	/162	664	12	4	264	350	391	+11.9	+1.0	4.1	pk7: 24
#5Alex Avilalast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA	13	3,638	105	8	233	348	393	+65	+46	26.7	24.5
	/162	664	19	1	233	348	393	+11.9	+8.5	4.9	pk7: 22
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	4,891	142	58	244	329	386	+87	+29	24.8	21.5
	/162	664	19	8	244	329	386	+11.9	+3.9	3.4	pk7: 18
#6John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#6John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Teel (OGILVIE)	24	45	50	50	60	253/330/411	158	331	8	2	29%	9%	105	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jonathan India 2022 · MLB	25	51→53	50	49→50	53	249/350/410	161	312	17	11	24%	10%	121	+3.2	245/339/392	147	295	16	11	21%	10%	111	+2.5	238/339/373	135	282	14	9	20%	11%	104	+2.0
●Stephen Drew 2007 · MLB	24	51→57	51→55	47→45	47	258/307/428	170	298	18	6	20%	7%	106	+2.2	258/315/422	164	293	15	6	17%	8%	108	+2.3	272/332/455	183	307	15	6	16%	8%	117	+3.0
✕Robert Kral 2013 · AAA	24	49→42	46→55	43→40	55	235/329/366	131	305	13	5	26%	12%	100	+1.7	209/301/355	146	265	16	4	26%	11%	85	+0.7	194/294/345	151	234	18	2	25%	12%	78	+0.1
●Colby Rasmus 2012 · MLB	25	48→55	53→60	47→50	52	245/318/424	180	293	20	8	23%	10%	110	+2.4	239/304/430	191	296	23	5	27%	8%	106	+2.2	241/308/459	219	314	28	3	32%	8%	113	+2.0
✕Luis Urías 2022 · MLB	25	48→58	54→55	47→45	53	248/334/428	180	288	21	7	22%	10%	118	+3.0	228/325/382	154	274	18	5	23%	10%	103	+1.9	211/314/346	136	257	16	4	23%	10%	88	+0.7
●Elijah Dukes 2008 · MLB	24	47→52	53→55	47→50	54	241/323/415	174	271	20	12	20%	10%	110	+2.4	244/342/414	170	292	17	14	21%	12%	118	+3.0	247/350/417	170	297	16	14	21%	12%	117	+2.2
●Khalil Greene 2004 · MLB	24	47→54	51→60	45	45	237/300/403	166	294	18	8	26%	7%	97	+1.5	257/325/430	173	294	18	6	18%	8%	115	+2.7	255/324/430	175	290	18	6	18%	8%	108	+1.9
★Alex Avila 2011 · MLB	24	48→58	48→55	42→40	52	241/317/383	142	296	16	4	23%	10%	98	+1.6	264/356/439	175	337	18	4	25%	12%	129	+3.7	264/362/443	179	341	19	2	26%	13%	126	+2.8
✕Michael Massey 2023 · MLB	25	46→51	53→55	52→50	42	239/292/412	173	291	21	12	26%	6%	97	+1.5	244/287/405	161	282	19	8	21%	5%	92	+1.2	250/287/398	149	277	17	3	17%	4%	87	+0.5
✕Chance Sisco 2021 · MLB	26	44→54	52→50	43→40	47	223/324/388	165	300	20	3	31%	9%	105	+2.1	204/288/345	141	275	15	5	30%	8%	78	+0.2	160/245/277	117	216	10	0	30%	7%	40	-1.0
●Ian Stewart 2009 · MLB	24	48→52	52→60	49→45	45	242/309/420	178	312	19	8	28%	8%	105	+2.1	223/306/407	184	283	23	8	28%	10%	101	+1.8	207/296/382	176	259	23	8	29%	10%	84	+0.4
✕Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2009 · MLB	24	50→53	48→60	40	49	246/318/392	147	318	16	3	27%	9%	102	+1.8	231/293/394	163	304	19	3	29%	8%	92	+1.2	232/311/417	185	312	22	2	31%	10%	101	+1.4
●Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→44	52→55	54→50	48	206/295/372	166	284	19	16	33%	10%	88	+0.9	216/301/395	179	269	22	10	27%	10%	96	+1.5	207/293/388	181	246	23	6	26%	10%	89	+0.7
●Jackie Bradley Jr. 2014 · MLB	24	49→54	45→55	47→50	48	239/314/371	133	301	11	13	24%	8%	95	+1.4	235/304/376	141	301	13	10	25%	8%	92	+1.2	254/332/441	188	303	20	8	23%	9%	115	+2.7
✕Shed Long Jr. 2020 · MLB	24	47	49→50	47→50	44	235/295/384	149	313	16	10	30%	7%	89	+1.0	221/283/359	138	302	14	10	30%	8%	79	+0.3	199/268/324	125	275	13	10	31%	8%	61	-0.2
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→60	45	49	231/306/395	163	263	22	7	22%	8%	98	+1.6	237/300/420	183	287	26	5	27%	7%	102	+1.9	232/287/415	183	287	28	2	29%	6%	94	+0.9
●Gleyber Torres 2022 · MLB	25	51→53	48→60	46→50	53	256/329/396	140	300	16	12	20%	10%	107	+2.2	256/324/409	153	296	18	11	19%	9%	108	+2.3	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	113	+2.9
●Brad Miller 2015 · MLB	25	50→56	48→60	49→50	49	249/308/394	146	295	15	9	21%	8%	98	+1.6	241/314/420	179	289	20	10	23%	9%	107	+2.2	235/318/420	186	282	21	10	24%	10%	106	+1.8
✕Max Ramirez 2009 · MLB	24	52	53→55	44→40	49	260/341/437	178	335	21	3	28%	10%	123	+3.3	223/295/347	124	305	14	3	30%	8%	81	+0.4	247/320/393	145	287	16	2	19%	9%	101	+1.0
●Mark Teahen 2007 · MLB	25	55→60	51→55	57→50	52	271/338/452	181	320	17	10	20%	9%	124	+3.4	271/333/420	149	332	13	9	21%	8%	115	+2.7	268/329/404	136	331	11	8	21%	8%	102	+1.9