Blake Money
P
Chesapeake Baysox
+1.5
WAR
Age 24
RHP
6'7" / 240 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.7 · 2028
ERA4.31
FIP4.31
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.3%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%14.2%
IP115
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.7peak
2028
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 6 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.72 | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 25 | 14 | 103 | 425 | 119 | 25 | 7 | 20.7% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 3.15 | 3.53 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 26 | 18 | 121 | 510 | 152 | 43 | 16 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 3.93 | 4.05 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | BAL | 21 | 21 | 115 | 486 | 113 | 44 | 15 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 23 | 23 | 129 | 543 | 128 | 47 | 16 | 23.6% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.24 | +1.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 25 | 25 | 136 | 573 | 135 | 49 | 17 | 23.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.22 | +1.7 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 25 | 25 | 139 | 585 | 138 | 50 | 18 | 23.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +1.7 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 25 | 25 | 138 | 585 | 137 | 50 | 18 | 23.5% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.26 | +1.6 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 25 | 25 | 135 | 572 | 134 | 50 | 18 | 23.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.28 | 4.30 | +1.5 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 24 | 24 | 131 | 554 | 128 | 49 | 17 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.33 | 4.36 | +1.4 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 23 | 23 | 127 | 535 | 123 | 48 | 17 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.40 | 4.44 | +1.2 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 22 | 22 | 122 | 513 | 116 | 47 | 17 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 4.47 | 4.52 | +1.1 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 21 | 21 | 116 | 490 | 110 | 45 | 17 | 22.4% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.62 | +0.9 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 20 | 20 | 110 | 466 | 102 | 44 | 16 | 22.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 4.66 | 4.73 | +0.7 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 19 | 104 | 439 | 95 | 43 | 16 | 21.6% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 4.78 | 4.85 | +0.5 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | BAL | 18 | 18 | 97 | 410 | 87 | 41 | 15 | 21.2% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 4.90 | 4.99 | +0.3 |
| 2039 | 37 | MLB | BAL | 16 | 16 | 90 | 381 | 79 | 39 | 15 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 5.04 | 5.13 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 57 | 33 | 234 | 976 | 220 | 78 | 26 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 3.58 | 3.68 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 28 | 200 | 834 | 188 | 67 | 22 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 3.58 | 3.68 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blake Money (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.31 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.23 | 23.6% | 15.0% | 403 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Ben Gross R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.02 | 23.0% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .359 | 4.85 | 17.6% | 2.0% | 22 | +0.83 | 4.02 | 118 | 88 |
| R.J. Gordon R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 3.3% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 129 | 88 |
| Brett Sears R 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.63 | 21.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .244 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 111 | 88 |
| Kyle Brnovich R 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.01 | 25.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | .256 | 5.52 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 89 | +1.51 | 4.01 | 277 | 88 |
| Riley Gowens R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.63 | 22.6% | 10.3% | 3.9% | .279 | 4.35 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.28 | 4.35 | 254 | 88 |
| Tyler Stuart R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.55 | 21.2% | 7.7% | 2.3% | .319 | 6.02 | 15.6% | 0.6% | 19 | +2.47 | 3.55 | 252 | 86 |
| Martin Agosta R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.29 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | .340 | 4.59 | 12.3% | 5.7% | 40 | +0.30 | 4.29 | 146 | 86 |
| Carson Ragsdale R 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.22 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .349 | 4.35 | 25.2% | 14.2% | 148 | +0.13 | 2.01 | 352 | 86 |
| Brian Edgington R 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.97 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | .321 | 5.23 | 19.3% | 7.0% | 58 | +1.26 | 3.97 | 171 | 86 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .300 | 4.44 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 78 | +0.55 | 3.89 | 183 | 86 |
| Shumpei Yoshikawa R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.87 | 21.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | .336 | 6.35 | 25.7% | 15.1% | 20 | +2.48 | 3.87 | 124 | 85 |
| Roman Angelo R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.02 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .291 | 5.45 | 17.7% | 4.3% | 141 | +1.43 | 4.02 | 262 | 85 |
| Alex FaGalde R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.79 | 19.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% | .266 | 4.98 | 16.1% | 6.4% | 162 | +1.19 | 3.79 | 279 | 85 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.67 | 24.3% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .280 | 6.90 | 17.1% | 1.8% | 38 | +3.23 | 3.67 | 270 | 85 |
| Raisel Iglesias R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.57 | 23.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .271 | 3.07 | 27.7% | 19.6% | 226 | -0.50 | 1.32 | 765 | 85 |
| Will Warren R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.19 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .287 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 15.7% | 313 | -0.17 | 3.31 | 571 | 85 |
| Kaleb Fontenot R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 3.7% | .264 | 3.71 | 14.7% | 5.2% | 69 | -0.78 | 3.71 | 155 | 85 |
| Davis Daniel R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.90 | 25.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% | .313 | 4.20 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 283 | +0.30 | 3.02 | 519 | 85 |
| Kyle Bradish R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.60 | 26.4% | 10.6% | 2.5% | .333 | 3.28 | 24.9% | 17.2% | 345 | -0.32 | 2.16 | 615 | 84 |
| Chase Hampton R 2023 · 4.05 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.05 | 26.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.05 | 107 | 84 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.7 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.6 | $14M | +$14M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.4 | $13M | +$10M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.2 | $12M | +$7M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +1.1 | $11M | +$5M |
| Totals | $17M | $80M | +$63M | ||