Blake Money

P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 25 RHP 6'7" / 240 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.3 · 2028

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

OGV OFP40OGV rank#193ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	21	MIX2 levels	6	1	10	3.72	0.82	26.8%	0.0%	—	K 26.8% · BB 0.0% · FIP 0.83
2024	22	ABAL	25	14	103	3.15	2.40	28.0%	5.9%	—	K 20.7% · BB 6.9% · FIP 3.46
2025	23	MIX2 levels	26	18	121	3.93	3.37	29.8%	8.4%	—	K 23.6% · BB 9.5% · FIP 4.00
2026	24	No MLB games played
2027PROJ	25	MLBBAL	1	1	3	4.11	4.11	24.1%	8.1%	0.0
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBBAL	9	9	62	4.18	4.17	24.1%	8.0%	1.0
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBBAL	11	11	78	4.22	4.23	23.9%	8.0%	1.2

Next 3 projected WAR 2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$1M2034Arb-2$1M+1

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Control50Command60

CompsBuck Farmer (age 25) · Deck McGuire (age 26) · Michael Darrell-Hicks (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111103vR 95

ERA4.11

FIP4.11

K%24.1%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%16.0%

Proj IP141

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 141 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$45M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD6060

K†6060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.8M
2034	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.1M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$19M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	1	10	41	11	0	0	17%	1.6	26.8%	0.0%	26.8%	0.0%	3.72	0.83	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	1	10	41	11	0	0	17%	1.6	26.8%	0.0%	26.8%	0.0%	3.72	0.82	—
2024	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	25	14	103	425	119	25	7	56%	4.1	20.7%	6.9%	13.8%	2.2%	3.15	3.46	—
2024	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	25	14	103	425	119	25	7	56%	4.1	20.7%	6.9%	13.8%	2.2%	3.15	3.46	—
2024	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	25	14	103	425	119	25	7	56%	4.1	28.0%	5.9%	22.1%	1.6%	3.15	2.40	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	18	121	510	152	43	16	69%	4.7	23.6%	9.5%	14.2%	3.1%	3.93	4.00	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	18	121	510	152	43	16	69%	4.7	23.6%	9.5%	14.2%	3.1%	3.93	4.00	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	18	121	510	152	43	16	69%	4.7	29.8%	8.4%	21.4%	3.1%	3.93	3.37	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	BAL	1	1	3	13	3	1	0	100%	3.0	24.1%	8.1%	16.0%	3.0%	4.11	4.11	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	BAL	20	20	141	597	144	48	18	100%	7.1	24.1%	8.0%	16.1%	3.0%	4.11	4.10	+2.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	BAL	17	17	123	521	125	42	16	100%	7.3	23.9%	8.0%	15.9%	3.0%	4.14	4.15	+1.8
2030	28	MLB MLE	BAL	16	16	116	491	116	40	15	100%	7.3	23.7%	8.2%	15.5%	3.1%	4.20	4.24	+1.6
2031	29	MLB MLE	BAL	15	15	108	457	107	38	15	100%	7.2	23.4%	8.4%	15.0%	3.3%	4.30	4.37	+1.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	BAL	14	14	99	417	96	36	15	100%	7.0	23.1%	8.7%	14.4%	3.5%	4.45	4.54	+1.0
2033	31	MLB MLE	BAL	12	12	88	373	85	34	14	100%	7.4	22.7%	9.0%	13.7%	3.7%	4.63	4.75	+0.7
2034	32	MLB MLE	BAL	11	11	78	327	73	31	13	100%	7.0	22.2%	9.4%	12.8%	4.0%	4.84	4.97	+0.4
2035	33	MLB MLE	BAL	9	9	67	282	61	28	12	100%	7.4	21.7%	9.9%	11.9%	4.2%	5.07	5.22	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	BAL	9	9	62	262	63	21	8	100%	6.9	24.1%	8.0%	16.1%	3.1%	4.18	4.17	+1.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	BAL	11	11	78	329	79	26	10	100%	7.1	23.9%	8.0%	15.9%	3.2%	4.22	4.23	+1.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	BAL	12	12	88	372	88	30	12	100%	7.3	23.7%	8.2%	15.5%	3.3%	4.28	4.32	+1.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	BAL	12	12	88	372	87	31	13	100%	7.3	23.4%	8.4%	15.0%	3.4%	4.38	4.45	+1.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	BAL	12	12	85	359	83	31	13	100%	7.1	23.1%	8.7%	14.4%	3.6%	4.54	4.63	+0.8
2033	31	MLB CTX	BAL	11	11	78	329	75	30	13	100%	7.1	22.7%	9.0%	13.7%	3.9%	4.72	4.84	+0.6
2034	32	MLB CTX	BAL	10	10	70	296	66	28	12	100%	7.0	22.2%	9.4%	12.8%	4.1%	4.94	5.07	+0.3
2035	33	MLB CTX	BAL	9	9	62	262	57	26	12	100%	6.9	21.7%	9.9%	11.9%	4.4%	5.17	5.32	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		86	86	611	2582	597	223	93	100%	7.1	23.1%	8.7%	14.5%	3.6%	4.53	4.23	+8.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		28	28	200	844	195	73	30	100%	7.1	23.1%	8.7%	14.5%	3.6%	4.53	4.23	+2.8
Career	—	MLE		57	33	234	976	220	78	25	58%	4.1	22.5%	8.0%	14.5%	2.6%	3.58	3.63	+9.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	28	200	834	188	66	22	58%	4.1	22.5%	8.0%	14.5%	2.6%	3.58	3.63	+2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAChesapeake Baysox · 68 IPFIP 3.36 → 3.89 (+0.53)K% 30.3% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	30.31%	—	×0.810	24.55%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.71%	—	×1.100	9.58%
HR / BF /BF	3.14%	÷1.248	×1.200	3.01%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 150).

Result: FIP 3.36 → 3.89, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 53 IPFIP 3.38 → 4.13 (+0.75)K% 29.1% → 22.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	29.15%	—	×0.770	22.44%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.07%	—	×1.150	9.28%
HR / BF /BF	3.14%	÷1.229	×1.250	3.19%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 146).

Result: FIP 3.38 → 4.13, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 103 IPFIP 2.38 → 3.46 (+1.08)K% 28.0% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	28.00%	—	×0.740	20.72%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	5.88%	—	×1.180	6.94%
HR / BF /BF	1.65%	÷0.952	×1.300	2.25%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).

Result: FIP 2.38 → 3.46, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 8 IPFIP 0.99 → 1.54 (+0.55)K% 25.0% → 18.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.00%	—	×0.740	18.50%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	0.00%	—	×1.180	0.00%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.020	×1.300	0.00%

Result: FIP 0.99 → 1.54, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blake Money (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.11	24.1%	8.1%	3.0%	—	4.16	23.9%	15.9%	381	+0.05	—	—	—
Buck Farmer R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	25	SP-	4.29	19.5%	8.7%	3.2%	.309	3.78	20.9%	12.5%	309	-0.51	3.16	907	83
Deck McGuire R 2015 · 3.69 FIP	26	SP-	3.69	18.2%	6.2%	2.4%	.301	4.44	18.9%	9.2%	411	+0.75	3.41	622	81
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	20.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.309	3.40	21.6%	13.7%	145	-0.31	1.85	254	80
Garrett Stallings R 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SP-	4.29	20.4%	7.9%	3.5%	.327	3.93	17.6%	10.5%	275	-0.36	3.19	627	80
Chris Ellis R 2018 · 3.84 FIP	25	SP-	3.84	19.3%	7.3%	2.6%	.284	5.30	19.2%	7.2%	165	+1.46	3.84	780	79
James Hicks R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	23	SW	4.23	19.6%	7.2%	3.4%	.338	4.60	17.1%	9.7%	166	+0.37	4.23	272	79
Jackson Nezuh R 2024 · 3.89 FIP	22	SP-	3.89	22.5%	11.2%	2.3%	.290	4.40	21.3%	10.9%	176	+0.51	3.89	296	78
Matt Andriese R 2015 · 3.08 FIP	25	SP-	3.08	20.1%	5.0%	1.9%	.316	4.01	21.8%	16.2%	327	+0.93	3.08	744	77
Brian Lawrence R 2001 · 3.53 FIP	25	SP-	3.53	17.4%	6.0%	2.1%	.269	3.98	14.6%	9.2%	624	+0.45	3.33	963	77
Aaron Brown R 2024 · 4.59 FIP	25	SP-	4.59	20.9%	7.3%	4.2%	.339	7.89	11.0%	1.7%	72	+3.30	3.98	418	77
Ryan Lobus R 2024 · 3.68 FIP	23	SP-	3.68	27.0%	7.2%	3.5%	.277	3.65	22.1%	13.2%	128	-0.03	3.59	216	77
Patrick Johnson R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP-	3.82	17.3%	6.9%	2.4%	.286	4.14	15.7%	6.4%	120	+0.32	3.82	248	76
Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 3.91 FIP	24	SP-	3.91	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.40	18.6%	9.4%	193	+0.49	3.91	298	76
Jack Wenninger R 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP-	4.33	20.9%	9.3%	3.3%	.309	4.29	21.1%	11.1%	251	-0.04	3.90	366	75
Andy Ferguson R 2015 · 3.68 FIP	26	SP-	3.68	22.3%	5.7%	3.2%	.262	3.10	18.6%	10.6%	33	-0.58	3.10	137	75
Kenten Egbert R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.34	10.8%	3.5%	133	+0.08	4.04	231	75
TJ Shook R 2023 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	21.0%	9.6%	3.6%	.273	4.02	21.6%	12.8%	192	-0.49	3.35	452	75
Louis Varland R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SP-	4.09	23.1%	6.4%	3.9%	.309	3.30	25.3%	18.2%	284	-0.79	1.70	689	74
Braxton Bragg R 2024 · 3.70 FIP	23	SP	3.70	22.3%	6.4%	3.0%	.325	2.58	26.2%	18.1%	59	-1.12	2.58	155	74
Mike Clevinger R 2016 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	22.1%	10.7%	2.6%	.290	3.19	28.1%	19.0%	482	-0.83	2.28	1,236	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 2,161 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 910 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.8	107	23.4%	8.5%	1.29	4.35
Bud Norris ('18)	6.1	122	21.7%	9.1%	1.15	4.45
Mark Leiter ('90-'01, 5 WAR*)	5.9	118	20.7%*	7.8%*	1.36*	4.61*
Bob Johnson ('69-'77, 6 WAR*)	3.5	115	23.4%*	8.9%*	1.49*	4.12*
Frankie Montas ('25)	3.9	98	23.6%	8.2%	1.20	4.20
Scott Sanders ('99)	3.4	97	21.2%	9.3%	1.23	4.86
Chuck Cary ('85-'93, 3 WAR*)	2.1	68	24.6%*	8.7%*	1.45*	4.41*