Blake Money
P
Chesapeake Baysox
Age 24
RHP
6'7" / 240 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.4 · 2030
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 97 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111102vR 93
ERA4.04
FIP4.04
K%23.9%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%15.8%
ROS IP98
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 97 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 17% | 1.6 | 26.8% | 0.0% | 26.8% | 0.0% | 3.72 | 0.83 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 17% | 1.6 | 26.8% | 0.0% | 26.8% | 0.0% | 3.72 | 0.82 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 25 | 14 | 103 | 425 | 119 | 25 | 7 | 56% | 4.1 | 20.7% | 6.9% | 13.8% | 2.4% | 3.15 | 3.53 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 25 | 14 | 103 | 425 | 119 | 25 | 7 | 56% | 4.1 | 28.0% | 5.9% | 22.1% | 1.6% | 3.15 | 2.40 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 18 | 121 | 510 | 152 | 43 | 16 | 69% | 4.7 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 2.6% | 3.93 | 3.72 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 18 | 121 | 510 | 152 | 43 | 16 | 69% | 4.7 | 29.8% | 8.4% | 21.4% | 3.1% | 3.93 | 3.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | BAL | 14 | 14 | 98 | 413 | 99 | 34 | 12 | 100% | 7.0 | 23.9% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 2.8% | 4.04 | 4.04 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 17 | 17 | 117 | 494 | 119 | 38 | 14 | 100% | 6.9 | 24.1% | 7.8% | 16.3% | 2.8% | 4.01 | 3.98 | +1.9 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 18 | 18 | 129 | 545 | 132 | 42 | 15 | 100% | 7.2 | 24.1% | 7.7% | 16.4% | 2.8% | 3.99 | 3.97 | +2.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 18 | 18 | 127 | 537 | 129 | 42 | 16 | 100% | 7.1 | 24.0% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 2.9% | 4.02 | 4.02 | +2.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 18 | 18 | 123 | 521 | 124 | 41 | 16 | 100% | 6.9 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 4.11 | +1.9 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 17 | 17 | 118 | 497 | 117 | 41 | 16 | 100% | 6.9 | 23.6% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 4.18 | 4.24 | +1.6 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 16 | 16 | 111 | 467 | 109 | 40 | 16 | 100% | 6.9 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 3.3% | 4.33 | 4.42 | +1.3 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 15 | 15 | 103 | 436 | 100 | 38 | 16 | 100% | 6.9 | 22.9% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 3.6% | 4.51 | 4.62 | +0.9 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 14 | 14 | 96 | 403 | 90 | 37 | 15 | 100% | 6.8 | 22.4% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 3.8% | 4.71 | 4.85 | +0.5 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 13 | 13 | 88 | 370 | 81 | 36 | 15 | 100% | 6.7 | 21.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 4.1% | 4.94 | 5.10 | +0.0 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 11 | 11 | 80 | 337 | 79 | 32 | 15 | 100% | 7.2 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 4.4% | 5.04 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 7 | 7 | 51 | 215 | 52 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 7.3 | 24.1% | 7.8% | 16.3% | 2.9% | 4.07 | 4.04 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 12 | 12 | 86 | 363 | 88 | 28 | 11 | 100% | 7.2 | 24.1% | 7.7% | 16.4% | 2.9% | 4.05 | 4.03 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 14 | 14 | 99 | 418 | 100 | 33 | 13 | 100% | 7.1 | 24.0% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 4.08 | +1.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 15 | 15 | 104 | 439 | 105 | 35 | 14 | 100% | 6.9 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 3.1% | 4.14 | 4.17 | +1.5 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 15 | 15 | 103 | 435 | 103 | 36 | 14 | 100% | 6.9 | 23.6% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 3.3% | 4.24 | 4.30 | +1.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 14 | 14 | 100 | 422 | 98 | 36 | 15 | 100% | 7.1 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 3.5% | 4.40 | 4.49 | +1.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 13 | 13 | 94 | 397 | 91 | 35 | 15 | 100% | 7.2 | 22.9% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 3.7% | 4.58 | 4.69 | +0.6 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 13 | 13 | 88 | 372 | 83 | 34 | 15 | 100% | 6.8 | 22.4% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 4.79 | 4.93 | +0.2 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 12 | 12 | 82 | 346 | 76 | 33 | 15 | 100% | 6.8 | 21.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 5.02 | 5.18 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 10 | 10 | 71 | 300 | 70 | 28 | 14 | 100% | 7.1 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 4.6% | 5.13 | 5.19 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 126 | 126 | 879 | 3711 | 866 | 315 | 130 | 100% | 7.0 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 3.5% | 4.44 | 4.12 | +13.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 29 | 29 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 72 | 30 | 100% | 7.0 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 3.5% | 4.44 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 57 | 33 | 234 | 976 | 220 | 78 | 23 | 58% | 4.1 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 2.4% | 3.58 | 3.52 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 28 | 200 | 834 | 188 | 66 | 20 | 58% | 4.1 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 2.4% | 3.58 | 3.52 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blake Money (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.04 | 23.9% | 8.2% | 2.8% | — | 3.99 | 24.1% | 16.3% | 373 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Martin Agosta R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.24 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | .340 | 4.51 | 12.3% | 5.7% | 40 | +0.27 | 4.24 | 146 | 86 |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 84 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 83 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.77 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .309 | 3.63 | 21.4% | 13.2% | 123 | -0.14 | 1.87 | 232 | 83 |
| Kyle Brnovich R 2025 · 3.69 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.69 | 25.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .256 | 5.06 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 89 | +1.37 | 3.69 | 333 | 82 |
| Ben Gross R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.20 | 23.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .359 | 4.87 | 17.6% | 2.0% | 22 | +0.67 | 4.20 | 118 | 82 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.87 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 143 | +0.50 | 3.87 | 247 | 81 |
| Aaron Brown R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.70 | 19.8% | 8.8% | 2.1% | .337 | 6.11 | 17.2% | 8.4% | 186 | +2.41 | 3.70 | 418 | 81 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.64 | 20.2% | 8.6% | 3.9% | .261 | 4.28 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 173 | -0.36 | 3.41 | 368 | 80 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 80 |
| Brett Sears R 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.79 | 21.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .244 | 3.56 | 23.9% | 18.1% | 56 | -0.23 | 3.56 | 167 | 79 |
| Hayden Minton R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.53 | 19.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | .278 | 5.41 | 19.6% | 8.0% | 66 | +0.88 | 3.96 | 260 | 79 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 79 |
| Blade Tidwell R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.07 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 2.9% | .295 | 4.29 | 22.9% | 11.6% | 57 | +0.22 | 4.07 | 408 | 78 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 78 |
| Andy Ferguson R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.57 | 22.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | .262 | 3.13 | 18.6% | 10.6% | 33 | -0.44 | 3.13 | 137 | 78 |
| Braydon Tucker R 2027 · 3.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.24 | 18.3% | 7.1% | 1.4% | .291 | 4.21 | 15.1% | 5.6% | 183 | +0.97 | 3.24 | 289 | 78 |
| Kevin Gausman R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.92 | 22.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | .282 | 4.04 | 21.3% | 14.3% | 550 | +0.12 | 2.34 | 1,876 | 78 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 18.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .327 | 3.81 | 17.3% | 8.9% | 324 | -0.69 | 3.46 | 572 | 78 |
| Jason Forjet R 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.33 | 17.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | .290 | 4.39 | 15.9% | 10.4% | 102 | +1.06 | 3.33 | 197 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 11 | 108 | 23.5% | 8.4% | 1.27 | 4.30 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Chase Anderson ('24) | 10 | 99 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 1.50 | 4.45 |
| Rich Hill ('23) | 9 | 104 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 1.12 | 3.65 |
| Vince Velasquez ('23) | 9 | 85 | 24.9% | 9.3% | 1.48 | 4.88 |
| Kenta Maeda ('24) | 8 | 122 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 1.30 | 4.17 |
| Alex Wood ('24) | 9 | 111 | 21.6% | 7.0% | 0.96 | 3.98 |