Blake Money — OGILVIE

Blake Money P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 24 RHP 6'7" / 240 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.7 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111103vR 95

ERA4.09

FIP4.09

K%23.9%

BB%7.9%

K-BB%16.0%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$31M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD6060

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$7M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$3M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$17M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	1	10	41	11	0	0	17%	1.6	26.8%	0.0%	26.8%	0.0%	3.72	0.83	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	1	10	41	11	0	0	17%	1.6	26.8%	0.0%	26.8%	0.0%	3.72	0.83	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	1	10	41	11	0	0	17%	1.6	26.8%	0.0%	26.8%	0.0%	3.72	0.82	—
2024	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	25	14	103	425	119	25	7	56%	4.1	20.7%	6.9%	13.8%	2.2%	3.15	3.46	—
2024	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	25	14	103	425	119	25	7	56%	4.1	20.7%	6.9%	13.8%	2.2%	3.15	3.46	—
2024	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	25	14	103	425	119	25	7	56%	4.1	28.0%	5.9%	22.1%	1.6%	3.15	2.40	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	18	121	510	152	43	16	69%	4.7	23.6%	9.5%	14.2%	3.1%	3.93	4.00	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	18	121	510	152	43	16	69%	4.7	23.6%	9.5%	14.2%	3.1%	3.93	4.00	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	18	121	510	152	43	16	69%	4.7	29.8%	8.4%	21.4%	3.1%	3.93	3.37	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	BAL	1	1	8	34	8	3	1	100%	8.0	23.9%	7.9%	16.0%	3.0%	4.09	4.09	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BAL	18	18	129	543	131	41	16	100%	7.1	24.1%	7.6%	16.5%	3.0%	4.06	4.03	+1.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	BAL	20	20	141	594	143	45	18	100%	7.0	24.1%	7.5%	16.6%	3.0%	4.04	4.02	+1.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	BAL	20	20	138	585	141	45	18	100%	6.9	24.0%	7.6%	16.4%	3.0%	4.06	4.07	+1.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	BAL	19	19	134	567	135	44	18	100%	7.1	23.8%	7.8%	16.1%	3.1%	4.12	4.16	+1.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	BAL	18	18	128	542	128	43	18	100%	7.1	23.6%	8.0%	15.6%	3.3%	4.22	4.29	+0.9
2032	30	MLB MLE	BAL	17	17	121	509	118	42	18	100%	7.1	23.3%	8.3%	15.0%	3.5%	4.37	4.47	+0.6
2033	31	MLB MLE	BAL	16	16	112	475	109	41	18	100%	7.0	22.9%	8.6%	14.2%	3.7%	4.55	4.67	+0.3
2034	32	MLB MLE	BAL	15	15	104	440	98	40	17	100%	6.9	22.4%	9.0%	13.4%	3.9%	4.76	4.90	0.0
2035	33	MLB MLE	BAL	14	14	96	403	88	38	17	100%	6.8	21.9%	9.5%	12.4%	4.2%	4.99	5.15	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	BAL	8	8	56	236	57	18	7	100%	7.0	24.1%	7.6%	16.5%	3.1%	4.13	4.10	+0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	BAL	13	13	94	397	96	30	12	100%	7.2	24.1%	7.5%	16.6%	3.1%	4.11	4.09	+1.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	BAL	15	15	108	456	110	35	14	100%	7.2	24.0%	7.6%	16.4%	3.1%	4.13	4.14	+1.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	BAL	16	16	113	477	114	37	16	100%	7.1	23.8%	7.8%	16.1%	3.3%	4.20	4.24	+1.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	BAL	16	16	112	473	112	38	16	100%	7.0	23.6%	8.0%	15.6%	3.4%	4.30	4.37	+0.8
2032	30	MLB CTX	BAL	15	15	108	456	106	38	17	100%	7.2	23.3%	8.3%	15.0%	3.6%	4.46	4.56	+0.5
2033	31	MLB CTX	BAL	15	15	103	435	99	38	17	100%	6.9	22.9%	8.6%	14.2%	3.9%	4.64	4.76	+0.3
2034	32	MLB CTX	BAL	14	14	96	405	91	37	17	100%	6.9	22.4%	9.0%	13.4%	4.1%	4.86	5.00	0.0
2035	33	MLB CTX	BAL	13	13	89	376	82	36	17	100%	6.8	21.9%	9.5%	12.4%	4.4%	5.09	5.25	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		126	126	881	3718	868	306	132	100%	7.0	23.3%	8.2%	15.1%	3.6%	4.44	4.13	+8.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		29	29	200	844	197	69	30	100%	7.0	23.3%	8.2%	15.1%	3.6%	4.44	4.13	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		57	33	234	976	220	78	25	58%	4.1	22.5%	8.0%	14.5%	2.6%	3.58	3.63	+6.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	28	200	834	188	66	22	58%	4.1	22.5%	8.0%	14.5%	2.6%	3.58	3.63	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blake Money (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.09	23.9%	7.9%	3.0%	—	4.04	24.1%	16.5%	408	-0.05	—	—	—
Martin Agosta R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	24	SP-	4.30	21.6%	6.2%	4.1%	.340	4.58	12.3%	5.7%	40	+0.28	4.30	146	86
Mason Adams R 2023 · 3.67 FIP	23	SP-	3.67	20.4%	7.3%	2.5%	.315	3.81	19.8%	12.5%	188	+0.14	3.67	297	85
Sam Benschoter R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SP-	3.71	26.3%	9.2%	3.0%	.344	4.98	18.5%	8.4%	306	+1.27	3.62	441	84
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	20.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.309	3.50	21.1%	13.0%	142	-0.21	1.87	251	82
Ben Gross R 2021 · 4.05 FIP	24	SP-	4.05	23.0%	8.8%	3.2%	.359	4.85	17.6%	2.0%	22	+0.80	4.05	118	82
Kyle Brnovich R 2021 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP	3.95	25.1%	7.5%	3.7%	.256	5.54	20.7%	11.0%	89	+1.59	3.95	338	82
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	81
Aaron Brown R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	24	SP-	3.98	19.8%	8.8%	2.6%	.337	5.89	16.8%	8.8%	186	+1.91	3.98	418	81
Wil Jensen R 2022 · 4.69 FIP	24	SP-	4.69	20.2%	8.6%	4.0%	.261	4.20	21.4%	11.1%	173	-0.49	3.48	368	80
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	80
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.59	18.4%	8.7%	178	+1.86	3.73	274	79
Hunter Dollander R 2022 · 3.92 FIP	25	SP-	3.92	19.2%	5.7%	3.1%	.311	6.77	17.6%	-0.7%	51	+2.85	3.92	106	79
Andy Ferguson R 2015 · 3.68 FIP	26	SP-	3.68	22.3%	5.7%	3.2%	.262	3.10	18.6%	10.6%	33	-0.58	3.10	137	79
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	79
Kevin Gausman R 2015 · 3.89 FIP	24	SP-	3.89	22.0%	6.5%	3.3%	.282	4.00	21.3%	14.3%	550	+0.11	2.34	1,930	78
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	78
Kyle Lloyd R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	24	SP-	4.03	18.3%	8.1%	2.7%	.327	3.80	17.3%	8.9%	324	-0.23	3.50	572	78
Jason Forjet R 2015 · 3.36 FIP	25	SP-	3.36	17.0%	5.3%	1.9%	.290	4.48	15.9%	10.4%	102	+1.12	3.36	197	77
Peter Solomon R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	24	SP-	4.71	22.6%	10.8%	3.9%	.283	5.55	17.2%	6.1%	286	+0.84	2.86	516	77
Chase Silseth R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SP-	3.80	23.8%	10.8%	2.4%	.264	4.24	20.6%	8.1%	122	+0.44	3.30	332	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	6.0	120	23.5%	8.1%	1.29	4.30
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Kenta Maeda ('24)	4.9	122	25.9%	6.9%	1.30	4.17
Joe Musgrove ('24)	5.3	117	23.9%	6.0%	1.13	3.73
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Jordan Montgomery ('24)	4.3	124	21.4%	6.9%	1.07	4.01