David Sandlin
P
Charlotte Knights
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.6 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 97
ERA4.24
FIP4.24
K%21.2%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 122 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Statcast · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p8296.8
Whiff%
p3723.4%
K%
p6525.0%
xwOBA vs
p570.305
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Royals | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.52 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Royals | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.10 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 67 | 271 | 87 | 18 | 9 | 100% | 4.8 | 24.8% | 6.5% | 18.3% | 3.7% | 3.51 | 3.89 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 67 | 271 | 87 | 18 | 9 | 100% | 4.8 | 32.1% | 6.6% | 25.5% | 3.3% | 3.51 | 3.06 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 18 | 57 | 247 | 82 | 18 | 14 | 100% | 3.2 | 26.1% | 8.2% | 17.8% | 6.5% | 5.34 | 5.54 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 18 | 57 | 247 | 82 | 18 | 14 | 100% | 3.2 | 33.2% | 7.3% | 25.9% | 5.7% | 5.34 | 4.36 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 14 | 106 | 457 | 107 | 40 | 10 | 44% | 3.3 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 4.50 | 3.90 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 14 | 106 | 457 | 107 | 40 | 10 | 44% | 3.3 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 2.2% | 4.50 | 3.44 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 14 | 13 | 58 | 247 | 60 | 31 | 6 | 93% | 4.1 | 21.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 3.43 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 58 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.24 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 58 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.27 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 122 | 521 | 118 | 59 | 14 | — | — | 22.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 2.7% | 3.86 | 4.29 | +1.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 84 | 355 | 118 | 59 | 14 | — | — | 33.2% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 4.0% | 5.64 | 4.60 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 21 | 21 | 126 | 532 | 118 | 53 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.66 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 21 | 21 | 124 | 524 | 116 | 52 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 4.65 | 4.66 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 20 | 20 | 120 | 508 | 112 | 50 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.73 | +0.9 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 20 | 20 | 120 | 507 | 113 | 51 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.69 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 20 | 20 | 118 | 498 | 111 | 49 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.69 | +1.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 114 | 481 | 106 | 48 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 4.76 | +0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 77 | 76 | 436 | 1840 | 407 | 185 | 62 | 99% | 5.7 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 4.70 | 4.37 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 85 | 28 | 99% | 5.6 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 4.70 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 79 | 60 | 290 | 1229 | 275 | 111 | 43 | 76% | 3.7 | 22.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 3.5% | 4.19 | 4.29 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 41 | 200 | 849 | 190 | 76 | 30 | 76% | 3.7 | 22.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 3.5% | 4.19 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| David Sandlin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 21.2% | 9.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.68 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 370 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.77 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .309 | 3.63 | 21.4% | 13.2% | 123 | -0.14 | 1.87 | 232 | 80 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 79 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 78 |
| Buck Farmer R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.47 | 19.5% | 8.7% | 3.5% | .309 | 3.81 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 309 | -0.66 | 3.05 | 907 | 77 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 77 |
| Kyle Dowdy R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.89 | 18.7% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .344 | 4.91 | 18.4% | 4.5% | 125 | +0.02 | 2.81 | 606 | 76 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 13.2% | 3.7% | .319 | 4.17 | 23.5% | 13.9% | 196 | -0.99 | 4.00 | 512 | 76 |
| Angel Araiza R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | .287 | 3.95 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 193 | -0.60 | 3.53 | 289 | 76 |
| Brett Daniels R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 22.3% | 13.0% | 3.1% | .357 | 4.75 | 18.9% | 2.6% | 77 | +0.20 | 3.98 | 270 | 76 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .303 | 4.01 | 16.6% | 4.2% | 20 | -0.61 | 4.01 | 214 | 75 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 75 |
| Cole Sands R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.60 | 21.3% | 8.9% | 4.0% | .358 | 3.05 | 25.5% | 19.0% | 196 | -1.55 | 2.28 | 473 | 75 |
| Garrett Stallings R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .327 | 4.15 | 17.0% | 8.9% | 243 | -0.09 | 3.20 | 595 | 74 |
| Jackson Kowar R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.28 | 20.1% | 12.0% | 4.3% | .356 | 4.71 | 20.4% | 6.0% | 104 | -0.57 | 3.95 | 489 | 74 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.41 | 21.0% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .273 | 4.29 | 23.1% | 14.9% | 172 | -0.12 | 3.36 | 432 | 74 |
| Keaton Winn R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.02 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.33 | 19.7% | 11.9% | 111 | +0.31 | 3.13 | 446 | 74 |
| Ben Casparius R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.82 | 24.0% | 12.9% | 2.0% | .268 | 3.49 | 21.3% | 15.0% | 78 | -0.33 | 3.49 | 364 | 74 |
| Forrest Snow R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 73 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 73 |
| AJ Blubaugh R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.54 | 21.5% | 12.5% | 3.0% | .276 | 4.11 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 60 | -0.43 | 1.59 | 429 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 114 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 1.26 | 4.65 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Kyle Wright ('23) | 3 | 83 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 1.12 | 3.97 |