Steven Zobac
P
Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
AA
peak 0.5 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 40 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
K%18.1%
BB%6.7%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP40
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 75 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 18 | 91 | 374 | 98 | 24 | 5 | 82% | 4.1 | 19.7% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 1.5% | 3.47 | 3.22 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 18 | 91 | 374 | 98 | 24 | 5 | 82% | 4.1 | 26.2% | 6.4% | 19.8% | 1.3% | 3.47 | 2.45 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 23 | 126 | 517 | 123 | 28 | 7 | 92% | 5.0 | 18.8% | 6.1% | 12.7% | 1.9% | 3.64 | 3.32 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 23 | 126 | 517 | 123 | 28 | 7 | 92% | 5.0 | 23.8% | 5.4% | 18.4% | 1.4% | 3.64 | 2.54 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 45 | 211 | 45 | 16 | 10 | 100% | 3.2 | 17.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 7.25 | 5.38 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 45 | 211 | 45 | 16 | 10 | 100% | 3.2 | 21.3% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 7.25 | 5.07 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 12 | 12 | 35 | 137 | 36 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 2.9 | 19.2% | 13.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.11 | 5.96 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | KC | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.1% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | KC | 3 | 3 | 16 | 68 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 100% | 5.3 | 18.1% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | KC | — | — | 75 | 306 | 67 | 25 | 9 | — | — | 21.8% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 5.17 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | KC | — | — | 16 | 68 | 12 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 18.1% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.09 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | KC | 10 | 10 | 60 | 251 | 47 | 17 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.8% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | KC | 10 | 10 | 59 | 247 | 47 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.1% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | KC | 6 | 6 | 39 | 165 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 100% | 6.5 | 18.8% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | KC | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 36 | 14 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.1% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 18 | 99 | 419 | 79 | 29 | 13 | 100% | 5.5 | 18.8% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.07 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 159 | 58 | 26 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.8% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 73 | 67 | 296 | 1239 | 233 | 96 | 33 | 92% | 4.1 | 18.8% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 4.19 | 3.94 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 45 | 200 | 836 | 157 | 65 | 22 | 92% | 4.1 | 18.8% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 4.19 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Steven Zobac (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 18.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.44 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 118 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 76 |
| Angel Araiza R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | .287 | 3.95 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 193 | -0.60 | 3.53 | 289 | 76 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.39 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.65 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.26 | 3.67 | 509 | 75 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 1.6% | .286 | 5.51 | 25.3% | 9.1% | 58 | +1.96 | 3.29 | 142 | 74 |
| Connor McCullough R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.20 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | .217 | 3.62 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 64 | -1.58 | 3.62 | 222 | 74 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 74 |
| Jeffrey Passantino R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.13 | 18.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | .298 | 4.58 | 14.8% | 8.1% | 41 | -0.55 | 2.02 | 242 | 73 |
| Seth Shuman R 2025 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.58 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .281 | 5.48 | 16.5% | 10.7% | 155 | +1.90 | 3.05 | 338 | 73 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 73 |
| Garrett McMillan R 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.54 | 18.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 118 | 73 |
| Zach Peek R 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.40 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 1.5% | .295 | 3.70 | 19.9% | 8.3% | 69 | +0.30 | 3.40 | 233 | 72 |
| Ryan Watson R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.26 | 18.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | .342 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 5.4% | 98 | +1.59 | 4.26 | 165 | 72 |
| Austin Gordon R 2024 · 5.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.46 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 4.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.70 | 159 | 72 |
| Deivi Villafana R 2024 · 4.22 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.22 | 14.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 109 | 71 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 17.5% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .296 | 3.59 | 20.5% | 9.5% | 36 | -0.73 | 3.59 | 327 | 71 |
| Josh Winder R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.4% | 11.9% | 106 | -0.97 | 2.66 | 426 | 71 |
| Dylan Burns R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.06 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .300 | 4.86 | 11.6% | -2.4% | 41 | +0.80 | 4.06 | 120 | 71 |
| Noah Gotsis R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.38 | 16.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% | .296 | 4.26 | 15.9% | 8.6% | 90 | +0.88 | 3.38 | 138 | 71 |
| Brooks Hall R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.03 | 14.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | .291 | 3.94 | 14.0% | 7.0% | 153 | -0.09 | 3.46 | 274 | 71 |
| Levi Wells R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 19.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 192 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 53 | 18.7% | 6.9% | 1.18 | 4.45 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |