Kevin Alcántara

Kevin AlcántaraRF Iowa Cubs

Age 24 R/R 6'6" / 188 lbs AAA Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION266 act + 177 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .297 / .405

PA177

HR7

K%34

BB%8

BABIP318

ISO175

MLB%34%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT38

Whiff%

906.8%

xwOBA

490.307

POWER58

Avg EV

5889.7

Bat Spd

6873.2

EYE33

Chase%

9018.6%

SPEED58

Sprint

4727.4

DEFENSE58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$3M	+$1M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$9M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Yankees East	—	174	164	29	5	2	1	5	52	4	5	3	177	220	250	470	73	250	30	3	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	GCL Yankees East	—	174	161	41	8	3	1	8	36	4	5	3	255	306	360	667	106	320	21	5	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	138	127	31	3	4	3	9	53	0	5	0	244	294	402	696	157	389	38	7	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	138	119	41	4	5	5	17	36	0	5	0	345	426	588	1.015	244	456	26	12	434	190	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	495	450	102	16	4	14	33	183	6	14	3	227	288	373	662	147	340	37	7	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	495	428	117	19	6	15	55	123	6	14	3	273	364	451	815	178	345	25	11	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	3 teams	—	526	489	103	19	2	9	26	183	5	18	5	211	258	313	571	102	310	35	5	250	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	3 teams	—	526	473	132	33	4	18	42	134	5	18	5	279	344	480	824	201	349	25	8	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	473	433	104	17	0	14	35	160	3	14	4	240	301	376	678	136	345	34	7	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	473	421	117	21	0	14	47	123	3	14	4	278	355	428	782	150	360	26	10	349	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	430	394	90	20	0	11	33	157	1	10	4	228	290	363	653	135	346	37	8	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	430	379	101	26	0	17	48	128	1	10	4	266	350	470	820	203	356	30	11	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	CHC	—	266	243	54	10	0	14	22	99	1	4	2	222	289	436	726	214	308	37	8	311	96	-1	+0	+0	-3	+8	0.4
YTD	24	AAA	CHC	—	266	233	63	13	0	17	32	83	1	4	2	270	361	545	906	275	346	31	12	395	160	+18	+0	+0	-3	+8	2.3
ROS	24	AAA	CHC	34%	177	160	37	7	0	7	14	60	1	3	1	231	297	405	702	175	311	34	8	304	91	-2	+0	+1	-2	+5	0.2
ROS	24	MLB	CHC	34%	60	55	12	2	0	2	5	20	0	1	0	218	283	364	647	145	312	33	8	303	90	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
FULL	24	AAA	CHC	—	326	298	66	12	0	16	27	119	1	5	2	221	288	423	711	201	307	37	8	309	95	-2	+0	+0	-3	+9	0.4
TOT	24	AAA	CHC	—	443	403	91	17	0	21	36	159	2	7	3	226	292	424	716	198	312	36	8	308	94	-3	+0	+1	-5	+13	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CHC	46%	420	381	88	17	1	16	34	137	2	7	3	231	297	407	704	176	309	33	8	310	95	-2	+0	+2	-4	+12	0.7
2028	26	MLB	CHC	52%	441	400	93	18	1	17	36	140	2	8	3	233	299	410	709	177	308	32	8	313	98	-1	+0	+2	-5	+12	0.9
2029	27	MLB	CHC	53%	442	399	93	18	1	17	37	139	3	8	3	233	303	411	714	178	306	31	8	314	98	-1	+0	+2	-5	+13	0.9
2027	25	MLB	CHC	46%	193	175	41	8	0	8	15	63	1	3	1	234	298	417	716	183	310	33	8	308	94	-1	+0	+1	-2	+5	0.3
2028	26	MLB	CHC	52%	227	206	47	9	0	9	18	72	1	4	2	228	293	403	696	175	309	32	8	311	96	-1	+0	+1	-2	+6	0.4
2029	27	MLB	CHC	53%	234	212	49	10	0	9	19	73	1	4	2	231	297	406	703	175	308	31	8	311	96	-1	+0	+1	-3	+7	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	714	648	149	29	0	28	57	228	3	12	5	230	295	404	700	174	306	32	8	310	95	-4	+0	+3	-8	+20	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	135	26	0	25	52	208	3	11	5	229	295	400	695	171	306	32	8	310	95	-4	+0	+2	-7	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	3716	3397	770	140	15	109	262	1264	27	92	29	227	287	373	660	146	323	34	7	289	79	-88	+7	+6	-34	+105	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	135	24	3	19	46	221	5	16	5	227	288	374	662	146	324	34	7	289	79	-15	+1	+1	-6	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Yankees East	—	174	161	41	8	3	1	8	36	4	5	3	255	306	360	667	106	320	21	5	299	87	-3	-0	—	—	+5	0.2
2021	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	138	119	41	4	5	5	17	36	0	5	0	345	426	588	1.015	244	456	26	12	434	190	+14	+1	—	—	+4	1.9
2022	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	495	428	117	19	6	15	55	123	6	14	3	273	364	451	815	178	345	25	11	359	133	+18	+2	—	—	+14	3.5
2023	21	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	21	16	4	1	0	1	3	7	1	0	0	250	400	500	900	250	333	33	14	381	150	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	408	371	106	25	3	12	31	97	2	15	4	286	344	466	810	181	353	24	8	355	130	+14	+1	—	—	+12	2.7
2023	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	97	86	22	7	1	5	8	30	2	3	1	256	333	535	868	279	327	31	8	373	144	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	148	130	38	8	0	5	17	43	1	7	1	292	378	469	848	177	402	29	11	378	147	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.3
2024	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	325	291	79	13	0	9	30	80	2	7	3	271	344	409	753	137	343	25	9	337	116	+6	+0	—	—	+9	1.6
2025	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	430	379	101	26	0	17	48	128	1	10	4	266	350	470	820	203	356	30	11	362	135	+17	+0	—	—	+12	3.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4
#4Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	763	29	14	233	295	405	-8	+0	1.0	1.0
	/162	664	25	12	233	295	405	-7.1	+0.2	0.9	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Alcántara (OGILVIE)	24	35→38	55→58	58	33	226/292/424	198	312	21	7	36%	8%	94	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Davis Schneider 2023 · AAA	24	40→43	51→60	53→50	46	206/288/365	158	297	19	13	35%	10%	82	+0.5	218/317/412	194	287	24	10	31%	12%	107	+2.2	212/321/414	202	270	25	9	30%	13%	108	+1.7
●Christopher Morel 2023 · MLB	24	42→46	53→60	49→50	41	219/283/394	175	305	21	15	34%	8%	88	+0.9	225/299/428	203	289	27	11	31%	9%	104	+2.0	219/298/426	206	274	28	10	30%	9%	99	+1.4
✕Clint Frazier 2019 · MLB	24	46→45	50→55	52→50	43	232/291/395	163	302	16	11	28%	7%	91	+1.1	230/302/399	169	295	19	7	27%	8%	97	+1.5	219/303/387	168	279	19	5	27%	9%	91	+0.6
●Trayce Thompson 2015 · AAA	24	36→46	48→65	52→50	38	189/251/332	142	278	15	16	36%	7%	58	-1.2	212/266/359	147	278	16	11	29%	7%	71	-0.3	211/299/435	223	292	31	7	37%	10%	103	+1.1
✕Nelson Velázquez 2023 · MLB	24	40→38	54→60	53→50	37	208/268/384	176	312	22	17	40%	7%	79	+0.3	213/276/406	193	274	27	11	32%	7%	89	+0.9	206/270/403	197	248	29	10	30%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	42→43	52→55	56→55	41	217/280/383	166	298	20	23	34%	7%	84	+0.6	203/276/341	138	281	16	17	32%	8%	72	-0.2	188/269/315	127	256	15	16	31%	9%	59	-0.7
✕Justin Maxwell 2008 · MLB	24	42→44	54→60	54→60	39	222/282/401	179	302	23	20	34%	6%	89	+1.0	219/294/375	156	303	18	28	32%	9%	88	+0.9	223/297/433	210	304	27	17	34%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Keon Broxton 2015 · AA	25	43→48	50→55	54→60	38	219/270/374	156	313	19	16	36%	6%	77	+0.1	227/294/395	168	342	18	32	36%	8%	92	+1.2	223/298/398	174	337	19	38	37%	9%	93	+1.0
✕Wladimir Balentien 2008 · AAA	24	42→45	52→55	49→50	42	222/279/388	166	288	21	12	30%	7%	84	+0.6	223/282/394	171	274	20	8	26%	7%	88	+0.9	219/280/398	179	263	21	7	25%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	43→45	49→55	53→55	42	219/285/370	151	290	16	19	30%	7%	82	+0.5	213/277/349	136	287	15	21	30%	7%	73	-0.1	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Ryan Cordell 2016 · AA	24	46→42	48→50	55→50	40	231/277/375	145	296	16	15	28%	5%	80	+0.4	213/258/354	141	278	16	14	29%	5%	66	-0.6	198/242/334	136	256	16	14	29%	5%	53	-0.8
✕Joe Benson 2013 · MLB	25	41→48	52→60	50	42	215/281/389	174	287	19	15	32%	7%	85	+0.7	209/274/331	122	288	11	13	30%	7%	67	-0.5	207/277/319	112	282	9	13	28%	7%	64	-0.5
●Corey Brown 2011 · AAA	25	45→49	52→60	57→50	40	227/285/398	171	319	20	14	34%	7%	89	+1.0	225/283/399	174	317	21	12	34%	7%	89	+1.0	218/278/401	183	304	23	12	35%	7%	85	+0.6
●Tyler Fitzgerald 2023 · AA	25	37→47	52→60	54→55	34	193/259/354	161	299	21	14	41%	6%	68	-0.5	235/293/409	174	322	21	21	32%	6%	96	+1.5	241/301/414	173	319	20	23	30%	7%	98	+1.3
✕Alex Castellanos 2012 · AA	25	46→49	50→55	53→50	38	232/284/396	164	311	16	13	30%	5%	89	+0.9	210/275/359	149	291	16	16	32%	6%	76	+0.0	198/258/327	129	294	12	8	35%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Franklin Barreto 2020 · MLB	24	42→48	52→55	53→50	38	216/274/384	169	310	20	13	36%	6%	82	+0.5	194/257/327	133	311	15	16	40%	7%	59	-1.1	126/203/233	107	203	15	17	45%	8%	11	-1.4
✕John Rave 2023 · AAA	25	43→44	50→55	54→55	43	218/288/365	147	310	19	18	35%	9%	82	+0.5	217/283/362	145	296	16	16	30%	8%	79	+0.3	220/292/381	161	277	17	23	26%	9%	84	+0.5
●Mickey Moniak 2022 · MLB	24	38→48	49→60	53→50	38	202/246/354	152	265	16	9	30%	5%	62	-0.9	229/268/411	182	306	22	11	32%	4%	85	+0.7	239/278/433	194	299	24	11	28%	4%	93	+0.9
✕Jon Gaston 2011 · AA	24	42	53→55	54→50	41	218/276/395	177	285	19	10	31%	7%	85	+0.7	207/251/336	129	285	12	13	31%	5%	58	-1.2	191/220/301	110	261	8	14	29%	3%	33	-2.2
✕Ryan Rua 2014 · AA	24	37→47	53→50	52→50	41	202/263/378	176	252	21	10	29%	6%	76	+0.1	232/287/373	141	299	16	8	27%	6%	84	+0.6	241/298/373	132	311	15	9	26%	6%	84	+0.4