Kevin AlcántaraRF
Iowa Cubs
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 24
R/R
6'6" / 188 lbs
AAA
BB +5%HR -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.7 · 2028
wRC+†77
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .277 / .355
PA134
HR4
K%34
BB%7
MLB%40%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
32↗36
PWR
53↗59
SPD
60↘58
FLD
52↗58
EYE
48↘32
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2027
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2032
First FA Year 2033
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2027 | |||
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $1M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $2M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.6M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $1M | -$0.1M |
| Totals | $7M | $15M | +$8M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 174 | 164 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 52 | 4 | 5 | 3 | .177 | .220 | .250 | .470 | .073 | .250 | 30 | 3 | .198 | 10 | -18 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +5 | -1.5 |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 138 | 128 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 53 | 0 | 5 | 0 | .242 | .287 | .398 | .685 | .156 | .384 | 38 | 6 | .307 | 93 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 495 | 449 | 99 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 177 | 6 | 14 | 3 | .220 | .284 | .359 | .643 | .138 | .325 | 36 | 7 | .280 | 72 | -15 | +2 | +0 | -5 | +14 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | 3 teams | 526 | 487 | 112 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 167 | 5 | 18 | 5 | .230 | .279 | .353 | .632 | .123 | .321 | 32 | 5 | .272 | 66 | -20 | +2 | +0 | -6 | +15 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | 2 teams | 473 | 434 | 103 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 34 | 159 | 3 | 14 | 4 | .237 | .297 | .366 | .664 | .129 | .341 | 34 | 7 | .292 | 82 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +13 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 430 | 394 | 88 | 20 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 156 | 1 | 10 | 4 | .223 | .285 | .365 | .651 | .142 | .333 | 36 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -11 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +12 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 86 | 78 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .154 | .233 | .423 | .656 | .269 | .176 | 44 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CHC | 48 | 44 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .205 | .271 | .386 | .657 | .182 | .291 | 35 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | CHC | 134 | 122 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .172 | .246 | .410 | .656 | .238 | .220 | 41 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 56% | CHC | 369 | 333 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 102 | 2 | 8 | 3 | .219 | .290 | .396 | .686 | .177 | .268 | 28 | 8 | .306 | 92 | -3 | +0 | +1 | -4 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 74% | CHC | 406 | 365 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 35 | 110 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .225 | .298 | .408 | .706 | .184 | .271 | 27 | 9 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 89% | CHC | 419 | 377 | 84 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 36 | 113 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .223 | .296 | .401 | .696 | .178 | .272 | 27 | 9 | .311 | 97 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 95% | CHC | 424 | 381 | 85 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 115 | 3 | 8 | 3 | .223 | .297 | .399 | .696 | .176 | .272 | 27 | 9 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 420 | 377 | 84 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 115 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .223 | .297 | .401 | .698 | .178 | .272 | 27 | 9 | .309 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 414 | 371 | 82 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 115 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .221 | .297 | .399 | .696 | .178 | .270 | 28 | 9 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 401 | 360 | 79 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 35 | 113 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .219 | .294 | .394 | .688 | .175 | .268 | 28 | 9 | .302 | 89 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 384 | 345 | 73 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 34 | 110 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .212 | .286 | .377 | .663 | .165 | .267 | 29 | 9 | .297 | 85 | -6 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 355 | 319 | 66 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 104 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .207 | .281 | .361 | .642 | .154 | .265 | 29 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -8 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 311 | 279 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .201 | .276 | .348 | .624 | .147 | .263 | 30 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -9 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +9 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6187 | 5607 | 1235 | 239 | 19 | 200 | 486 | 1872 | 45 | 121 | 37 | .220 | .288 | .377 | .664 | .156 | .290 | 30 | 8 | .294 | 83 | -119 | +9 | -11 | -60 | +175 | -0.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 589 | 130 | 25 | 2 | 21 | 51 | 197 | 5 | 13 | 4 | .221 | .288 | .377 | .665 | .156 | .291 | 30 | 8 | .294 | 83 | -13 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +18 | -0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 174 | 161 | 41 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 4 | 5 | 3 | .255 | .306 | .360 | .667 | .106 | .320 | 21 | 5 | .299 | 87 | -3 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 138 | 119 | 41 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 0 | 5 | 0 | .345 | .426 | .588 | 1.015 | .244 | .456 | 26 | 12 | .434 | 190 | +14 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.9 |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 495 | 428 | 117 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 123 | 6 | 14 | 3 | .273 | .364 | .451 | .815 | .178 | .345 | 25 | 11 | .359 | 133 | +18 | +2 | — | — | +14 | 3.5 |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .400 | .500 | .900 | .250 | .333 | 33 | 14 | .381 | 150 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 408 | 371 | 106 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 97 | 2 | 15 | 4 | .286 | .344 | .466 | .810 | .181 | .353 | 24 | 8 | .355 | 130 | +14 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 2.7 |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | 97 | 86 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .256 | .333 | .535 | .868 | .279 | .327 | 31 | 8 | .373 | 144 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 148 | 130 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 1 | 7 | 1 | .292 | .378 | .469 | .848 | .177 | .402 | 29 | 11 | .378 | 147 | +8 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 325 | 291 | 79 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 80 | 2 | 7 | 3 | .271 | .344 | .409 | .753 | .137 | .343 | 25 | 9 | .337 | 116 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 1.6 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 430 | 379 | 101 | 26 | 0 | 17 | 48 | 128 | 1 | 10 | 4 | .266 | .350 | .470 | .820 | .203 | .356 | 30 | 11 | .362 | 135 | +17 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 3.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Kevin Alcántara (OGILVIE) | 24 | 32→36 | 53→59 | 60→58 | 32 | .216/.277/.355 | .139 | .310 | 4 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Davis Schneider 2023 · AAA |
24 | 41→44 | 50→55 | 53→50 | 45 | .206/.286/.363 | .157 | .300 | 18 | 12 | 36% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .219/.316/.410 | .191 | .291 | 23 | 10 | 31% | 11% | 106 | +2.2 | .213/.322/.409 | .196 | .275 | 24 | 9 | 30% | 12% | 106 | +1.6 |
|
●Trayce Thompson 2015 · AAA |
24 | 36→46 | 48→65 | 52→50 | 39 | .191/.253/.336 | .145 | .274 | 16 | 16 | 36% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .211/.266/.360 | .149 | .274 | 16 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .209/.298/.431 | .221 | .291 | 31 | 7 | 37% | 10% | 102 | +1.1 |
|
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA |
23 | 38→46 | 48→60 | 53→50 | 36 | .199/.247/.340 | .141 | .285 | 16 | 15 | 35% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .223/.291/.421 | .198 | .297 | 25 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .224/.302/.431 | .208 | .280 | 28 | 10 | 30% | 9% | 102 | +1.8 |
|
✕Romy Gonzalez 2022 · MLB |
25 | 43→44 | 50→55 | 52→55 | 38 | .218/.270/.369 | .151 | .310 | 19 | 18 | 35% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .227/.271/.382 | .155 | .322 | 19 | 19 | 34% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .258/.302/.412 | .153 | .342 | 17 | 16 | 28% | 5% | 96 | +0.7 |
|
✕Nelson Velázquez 2023 · MLB |
24 | 40→38 | 54→60 | 52→50 | 37 | .208/.266/.387 | .178 | .310 | 23 | 17 | 39% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .209/.272/.395 | .186 | .271 | 26 | 12 | 32% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .200/.266/.385 | .185 | .241 | 27 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
●Aristides Aquino 2018 · AA |
24 | 37→40 | 47→65 | 49→50 | 35 | .194/.235/.333 | .138 | .262 | 15 | 8 | 32% | 4% | 51 | -1.7 | .214/.263/.413 | .199 | .270 | 28 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .218/.283/.452 | .234 | .267 | 35 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
✕Jose Siri 2019 · AA |
24 | 40→50 | 48→60 | 58→55 | 33 | .206/.243/.354 | .148 | .296 | 16 | 22 | 36% | 4% | 60 | -1.0 | .205/.250/.336 | .131 | .323 | 15 | 22 | 39% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .227/.276/.431 | .204 | .317 | 27 | 25 | 36% | 5% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Justin Maxwell 2008 · MLB |
24 | 42→45 | 55→60 | 54→60 | 39 | .221/.279/.401 | .180 | .298 | 24 | 19 | 34% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .219/.293/.380 | .161 | .300 | 19 | 27 | 32% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .221/.295/.429 | .208 | .301 | 26 | 17 | 34% | 9% | 97 | +0.7 |
|
✕Shay Whitcomb 2023 · AA |
24 | 38→44 | 48→55 | 54→55 | 32 | .193/.241/.327 | .134 | .309 | 17 | 19 | 42% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .203/.258/.366 | .163 | .282 | 22 | 18 | 35% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .204/.266/.379 | .174 | .263 | 25 | 19 | 32% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Daz Cameron 2021 · MLB |
24 | 41→45 | 44→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .202/.272/.323 | .122 | .293 | 10 | 16 | 33% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .212/.275/.347 | .135 | .290 | 14 | 20 | 30% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .220/.291/.388 | .168 | .274 | 20 | 25 | 27% | 8% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA |
24 | 43→44 | 54→55 | 56→55 | 42 | .224/.287/.400 | .176 | .302 | 22 | 22 | 33% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .204/.276/.344 | .140 | .280 | 16 | 17 | 31% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .184/.266/.306 | .121 | .251 | 14 | 16 | 31% | 9% | 55 | -0.9 |
|
●Will Benson 2022 · AAA |
24 | 35→45 | 52→55 | 53→55 | 44 | .184/.270/.354 | .170 | .283 | 20 | 15 | 40% | 10% | 73 | -0.1 | .220/.318/.395 | .175 | .317 | 18 | 21 | 33% | 12% | 102 | +1.9 | .221/.322/.401 | .180 | .313 | 18 | 26 | 32% | 12% | 102 | +1.4 |
|
●Tyler Fitzgerald 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→48 | 51→55 | 53→55 | 34 | .195/.259/.352 | .157 | .307 | 20 | 14 | 41% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .227/.286/.397 | .170 | .317 | 20 | 21 | 33% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .234/.294/.402 | .168 | .313 | 20 | 23 | 31% | 7% | 93 | +1.0 |
|
✕Brandon Wood 2009 · MLB |
24 | 40→45 | 55→65 | 50 | 40 | .217/.271/.401 | .184 | .280 | 24 | 11 | 32% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .209/.255/.359 | .150 | .264 | 20 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .196/.241/.325 | .130 | .246 | 17 | 1 | 28% | 5% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
●David Villar 2022 · AA |
25 | 43→42 | 52→60 | 48→40 | 38 | .218/.283/.380 | .161 | .312 | 20 | 6 | 35% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .219/.303/.409 | .190 | .291 | 25 | 5 | 32% | 9% | 101 | +1.8 | .206/.295/.384 | .178 | .272 | 23 | 3 | 32% | 9% | 88 | +0.8 |
|
●Brandon Dixon 2016 · AA |
24 | 39→44 | 46→60 | 50→55 | 33 | .203/.233/.327 | .124 | .285 | 14 | 14 | 34% | 4% | 48 | -1.9 | .215/.254/.359 | .144 | .305 | 17 | 16 | 34% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .240/.284/.448 | .208 | .318 | 27 | 12 | 33% | 5% | 101 | +1.0 |
|
●Jo Adell 2023 · MLB |
24 | 40→44 | 54→65 | 47→50 | 35 | .212/.262/.389 | .176 | .300 | 22 | 9 | 36% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .217/.279/.423 | .206 | .277 | 28 | 12 | 32% | 7% | 95 | +1.4 | .218/.285/.446 | .228 | .252 | 34 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
✕Jabari Blash 2014 · AA |
25 | 41→40 | 51→60 | 47→50 | 46 | .209/.295/.369 | .159 | .303 | 19 | 11 | 35% | 10% | 87 | +0.8 | .207/.293/.398 | .191 | .284 | 24 | 9 | 35% | 9% | 94 | +1.3 | .201/.308/.395 | .194 | .284 | 25 | 5 | 36% | 11% | 96 | +1.0 |
|
✕Aaron Palensky 2023 · AA |
24 | 42→32 | 48→55 | 48→55 | 42 | .203/.283/.350 | .147 | .312 | 14 | 10 | 37% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .201/.287/.362 | .161 | .274 | 18 | 19 | 32% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .184/.279/.346 | .163 | .237 | 19 | 25 | 30% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
●Lane Thomas 2020 · MLB |
24 | 42→51 | 50→55 | 48→55 | 40 | .216/.275/.369 | .153 | .296 | 18 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .227/.296/.389 | .162 | .298 | 18 | 13 | 28% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .248/.312/.427 | .179 | .308 | 21 | 13 | 25% | 7% | 107 | +2.0 |