Gavin Logan

C Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 27 L/R 5'10" / 212 lbs AA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1712ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424A+ARI176.182/.328/.3363427—.118/.224/.209
202525AAA/AA/A+ARI243.233/.339/.4178059—.186/.264/.311
202626AAARI233.215/.348/.44513372—.174/.278/.343
2027PROJMLE27MLBARI3.208/.293/.36700840.0
2028PROJ33% MLB28MLBARI60.208/.292/.36521830.1
2029PROJ46% MLB29MLBARI95.208/.291/.36131820.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO84
BB%82
Chase%71
wOBA66
K%51
wRC+41
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsIsan Díaz (age 27) · Drew Ellis (age 27) · Zack Short (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†84
AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .293 / .367
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%9
BABIP268
ISO167
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 24 / POW 49
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT24
scouting grade only
POWER49
scouting grade only
EYE54
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202222 A+Hillsboro Hops — 4334 8300 8110 10 235381324704 88333 2619 325 65 — — — — — —
202222 ROKACL D-backs Red — 2521 6200 460 00 286400381781 95400 2416 359 48 — — — — — —
202323 A+Hillsboro Hops — 206167 24412 35623 22 144302216518 72212 3017 257 15 — — — — — —
202323 AVisalia Rawhide — 8066 17414 12282 01 258388530918 273382 3515 402 75 — — — — — —
202424 A+Hillsboro Hops — 176143 26923 25566 42 182328336663 154267 3214 305 27 — — — — — —
202525 AAAReno Aces — 4841 15303 3162 00 3664356591.093 293500 336 454 158 — — — — — —
202525 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles — 6658 8114 5271 00 138219397615 259148 418 261 -2 — — — — — —
202525 A+Hillsboro Hops — 129107 25801 21351 00 234364336701 103338 2716 327 53 — — — — — —
202626 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles — 233191 415013 33576 31 215348445793 230230 2414 351 72 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202222 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 4336 7200 6140 10 194310250560 56294 3314 264 65 — — — — — —
202222 ROK MLEACL D-backs Red — 2522 4100 290 00 182240227467 45310 368 239 48 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 206178 20312 24853 22 112229174403 62193 4112 191 15 — — — — — —
202323 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 8070 13313 8372 01 186287386673 200318 4610 279 75 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 176153 18612 15786 42 118224209433 92205 449 208 27 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLEReno Aces — 4842 13202 2192 00 310370500870 190451 404 401 158 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 6660 6112 3341 00 100156250406 150121 525 165 -2 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 129114 21701 14471 00 184279272551 88302 3611 247 53 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 233201 354010 23696 31 174278343622 169196 3010 274 72 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLE2 teams — 6859 12400 8230 10 203299271570 68324 3412 255 59 — — — — — —
202222 A+ RAW2 teams — 6855 14500 12170 10 255388345734 91359 2518 337 59 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLE2 teams — 286248 32624 321225 23 129242218460 89228 4311 216 32 — — — — — —
202323 A+ RAW2 teams — 286233 41826 47905 23 176326305631 129254 3116 297 32 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 176153 18612 15786 42 118224209433 92213 449 208 27 — — — — — —
202424 A+ RAWHillsboro Hops — 176143 26923 25566 42 182328336663 154267 3214 305 27 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLE3 teams — 243215 401015 201004 00 186268312579 126312 418 255 59 — — — — — —
202525 A+ RAW3 teams — 243206 481218 29784 00 233339417756 184328 3212 334 59 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 233201 354010 23696 31 174278343622 169203 3010 274 72 — — — — — —
202626 AA RAWAmarillo Sod Poodles — 233191 415013 33576 31 215348445793 230230 2414 351 72 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLE2 teams — 6860 12400 8230 10 200299267565 67300 3412 255 59 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLE2 teams — 286247 32624 321225 23 130242219461 89228 4311 216 32 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 176153 18612 15786 42 118224209433 92205 449 208 27 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLE3 teams — 243217 401015 201004 00 184268309577 124282 418 255 59 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 233202 354010 23696 31 173278342620 168196 3010 274 72 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 176153 18612 15786 42 118224209433 92205 449 208 27 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLE3 teams — 243217 401015 201004 00 184268309577 124282 418 255 59 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 233202 354010 23696 31 173278342620 168196 3010 274 72 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLEARI 2% 283251 50919 25835 41 203289362651 159259 299 292 84 -5 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXARI 2% 33 0000 010 00 208293367659 159268 330 296 84 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLEARI 33% 179158 33616 16523 21 204288360648 156260 299 291 83 -4 +0 -1 +3 +4 0.3
202929 MLB MLEARI 46% 206183 38717 18603 11 203287356643 153260 299 289 82 -4 -0 -1 +4 +4 0.2
202828 MLB CTXARI 33% 6054 11202 5181 10 208292365657 157269 308 295 83 -1 +0 -0 +1 +1 0.1
202929 MLB CTXARI 46% 9585 18403 8282 10 208291361652 153269 298 293 82 -2 +0 -1 +2 +2 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 155139 29605 13463 20 209290360650 151273 308 293 60 -3 +0 -1 +3 +3 0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650583 12125021 5519313 80 208291358649 151271 308 293 60 -14 +2 -4 +12 +14 1.0
Career— MLE — 15401349 23548739 14554830 159 174269307576 133254 369 258 60 -11 -0 -2 +10 +12 0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650569 9920316 6123113 64 174269304573 130255 369 258 60 -13 -0 -3 +12 +14 1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 233 PAwOBA .343 → .274 (−69)K% 24.5% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.46%÷1.000×1.220——29.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.16%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9889.80%
HBP% /PA2.58%—×0.870—×0.9882.21%
Singles /BIP17.16%÷1.000×0.920×0.974×0.98815.20%
Doubles /BIP3.73%÷1.000×0.840×0.974×0.9883.02%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940×0.974×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP9.70%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9887.67%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .343 → .274; ISO .230 → .185; BABIP .230 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Hillsboro Hops · 129 PAwOBA .320 → .247 (−73)K% 27.1% → 36.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.13%÷1.002×1.350——36.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.28%÷1.044×0.710—×0.97810.83%
HBP% /PA0.78%—×0.810—×0.9780.61%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.012×0.910×1.013×0.97819.78%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷0.908×0.830×1.013×0.97810.06%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.820×1.013×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP1.39%÷0.968×0.830—×0.9781.16%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 102, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .320 → .247; ISO .103 → .085; BABIP .338 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 66 PAwOBA .254 → .165 (−89)K% 40.9% → 51.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.91%÷0.972×1.220——51.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.58%÷0.994×0.700—×0.9985.32%
HBP% /PA1.52%—×0.870—×0.9981.32%
Singles /BIP6.45%÷1.041×0.920—×0.9985.69%
Doubles /BIP3.23%÷1.119×0.840—×0.9982.42%
Triples /BIP3.23%÷0.985×0.940—×0.9983.07%
Home runs /BIP12.90%÷1.333×0.800—×0.9987.73%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 108, 2B 124, 3B 97, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .254 → .165; ISO .259 → .152; BABIP .148 → .121. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAReno Aces · 48 PAwOBA .460 → .401 (−59)K% 33.3% → 39.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷1.025×1.200——39.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.25%÷0.964×0.690—×1.0334.62%
HBP% /PA4.17%—×0.940—×1.0334.05%
Singles /BIP36.00%÷0.994×0.930—×1.03334.78%
Doubles /BIP12.00%÷1.069×0.830—×1.0339.63%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.902×0.970—×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP12.00%÷0.904×0.700—×1.0339.60%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .460 → .401; ISO .293 → .235; BABIP .500 → .451. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Hillsboro Hops · 176 PAwOBA .299 → .208 (−92)K% 31.8% → 44.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.82%÷0.964×1.350——44.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.64%÷1.086×0.710—×0.9888.81%
HBP% /PA3.41%—×0.810—×0.9882.73%
Singles /BIP13.79%÷1.049×0.910×0.950×0.98811.23%
Doubles /BIP10.34%÷1.066×0.830×0.950×0.9887.56%
Triples /BIP2.30%÷1.150×0.820×0.950×0.9881.54%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷0.875×0.830—×0.9883.23%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 110, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 93, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .299 → .208; ISO .154 → .110; BABIP .267 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Hillsboro Hops · 206 PAwOBA .253 → .191 (−62)K% 30.1% → 41.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.10%÷0.987×1.350——41.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.99%÷1.038×0.710—×0.99811.60%
HBP% /PA1.46%—×0.810—×0.9981.18%
Singles /BIP16.19%÷0.980×0.910×0.999×0.99814.98%
Doubles /BIP3.81%÷0.947×0.830×0.999×0.9983.33%
Triples /BIP0.95%÷0.900×0.820×0.999×0.9980.86%
Home runs /BIP1.90%÷0.952×0.830—×0.9981.66%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .253 → .191; ISO .072 → .057; BABIP .212 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AVisalia Rawhide · 80 PAwOBA .392 → .279 (−113)K% 35.0% → 46.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.00%÷1.019×1.360——46.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.00%÷0.987×0.690—×0.99010.38%
HBP% /PA2.50%—×0.780—×0.9901.93%
Singles /BIP21.05%÷1.060×0.920—×0.99018.09%
Doubles /BIP10.53%÷1.029×0.830—×0.9908.41%
Triples /BIP2.63%÷0.900×0.910—×0.9902.63%
Home runs /BIP10.53%÷1.003×0.800—×0.9908.31%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .392 → .279; ISO .273 → .192; BABIP .382 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Hillsboro Hops · 43 PAwOBA .325 → .264 (−61)K% 25.6% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.58%÷1.046×1.350——33.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.60%÷0.974×0.710—×1.01213.72%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP21.74%÷0.965×0.910—×1.01220.75%
Doubles /BIP13.04%÷1.100×0.830—×1.0129.96%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.006×0.820—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.848×0.830—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 93, 2B 120, 3B 101, K 109, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .325 → .264; ISO .088 → .067; BABIP .333 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).