Gavin Logan — OGILVIE

Gavin LoganC Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 26 L/R 5'10" / 212 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION165 act + 110 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.163 / .248 / .286

PA110

HR3

K%36

BB%8

BABIP232

ISO122

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	68	59	11	3	0	0	8	23	0	1	0	186	284	237	521	51	297	34	12	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	68	55	14	5	0	0	12	17	0	1	0	255	388	345	734	91	359	25	18	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	2 teams	—	286	251	33	6	2	5	29	125	5	2	3	131	235	231	466	100	230	44	10	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	2 teams	—	286	233	41	8	2	6	47	90	5	2	3	176	326	305	631	129	254	31	16	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	176	155	17	5	1	3	13	84	6	4	2	110	207	213	420	103	200	48	7	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	176	143	26	9	2	3	25	56	6	4	2	182	328	336	663	154	267	32	14	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	3 teams	—	243	217	38	10	1	5	18	105	4	0	0	175	251	300	551	124	303	43	7	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	3 teams	—	243	206	48	12	1	8	29	78	4	0	0	233	339	417	756	184	328	32	12	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	ARI	—	165	142	25	3	0	9	15	57	5	2	1	176	278	387	665	211	208	35	9	283	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
YTD	26	AA	ARI	—	165	136	28	4	0	10	21	44	5	2	1	206	333	456	789	250	217	27	13	345	122	+4	+0	+0	+3	+5	1.2
ROS	26	AA	ARI	2%	110	98	16	3	0	3	9	40	2	1	0	163	248	286	533	122	244	36	8	261	58	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
ROS	26	MLB	ARI	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						246	50	0	248	48	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AA	ARI	—	167	144	25	3	0	9	15	58	5	2	1	174	274	382	656	208	205	35	9	283	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
TOT	26	AA	ARI	—	275	240	41	6	0	12	24	97	7	3	1	171	266	346	612	175	218	35	9	274	68	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	ARI	27%	292	261	46	9	1	9	24	103	5	3	1	176	259	322	580	146	250	35	8	267	62	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2028	28	MLB	ARI	40%	332	295	54	11	1	10	28	115	6	3	1	183	267	329	596	146	253	35	8	270	65	-13	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.2
2029	29	MLB	ARI	45%	348	310	57	11	1	11	29	119	6	3	1	184	267	332	599	148	255	34	8	271	66	-14	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.1
2027	27	MLB	ARI	27%	78	71	13	3	0	3	6	28	1	1	0	183	256	352	609	169	252	36	8	256	54	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	ARI	40%	132	118	21	4	0	4	11	46	2	1	0	178	260	314	573	136	256	35	8	260	57	-6	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	29	MLB	ARI	45%	156	139	25	5	0	5	13	53	3	1	0	180	265	324	588	144	257	34	8	261	58	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	368	330	59	12	0	12	30	128	6	3	0	179	260	324	584	145	245	35	8	259	57	-18	+1	-1	+7	+10	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	104	21	0	21	53	226	11	5	0	178	260	322	583	144	244	35	8	259	57	-32	+1	-2	+12	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	1855	1646	272	58	7	46	158	714	34	17	8	165	252	293	545	128	252	38	9	248	48	-109	+0	-2	+33	+53	-2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	94	20	2	16	55	250	12	6	3	163	250	288	538	125	248	38	8	248	48	-38	+0	-1	+12	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	43	34	8	3	0	0	8	11	0	1	0	235	381	324	704	88	333	26	19	325	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	22	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	25	21	6	2	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	286	400	381	781	95	400	24	16	359	133	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	206	167	24	4	1	2	35	62	3	2	2	144	302	216	518	72	212	30	17	257	55	-11	-0	—	—	+6	-0.5
2023	23	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	80	66	17	4	1	4	12	28	2	0	1	258	388	530	918	273	382	35	15	402	166	+6	-0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	24	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	176	143	26	9	2	3	25	56	6	4	2	182	328	336	663	154	267	32	14	305	92	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
2025	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	48	41	15	3	0	3	3	16	2	0	0	366	435	659	1.093	293	500	33	6	454	206	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	25	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	66	58	8	1	1	4	5	27	1	0	0	138	219	397	615	259	148	41	8	261	58	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	25	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	129	107	25	8	0	1	21	35	1	0	0	234	364	336	701	103	338	27	16	327	109	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	371	11	3	184	265	331	+7	+4	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	20	5	184	265	331	+11.9	+7.2	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Logan (OGILVIE)	26	20	46	45	49	171/266/346	175	218	12	3	35%	9%	68	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ben Rortvedt 2023 · MLB	25	38	47→45	46→40	38	196/255/325	129	280	16	4	35%	6%	58	-1.2	208/286/325	117	284	13	5	29%	9%	72	-0.2	198/285/294	97	267	10	2	28%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	35	45	47→30	43	183/250/307	124	260	13	4	34%	8%	51	-1.7	187/258/294	107	293	10	5	37%	8%	51	-1.7	118/199/170	52	253	3	0	50%	9%	-6	-1.3
✕Patrick Dorrian 2022 · AAA	26	40→39	46→55	47→45	40	198/263/328	131	302	14	6	38%	8%	63	-0.9	197/262/350	153	299	19	6	38%	7%	68	-0.5	181/248/332	150	266	20	5	39%	7%	54	-0.8
✕Andy Yerzy 2023 · AA	25	33	49→50	49→40	43	183/264/328	145	254	18	5	35%	9%	63	-0.8	197/268/326	129	278	16	7	33%	8%	64	-0.8	164/234/276	112	269	17	3	44%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	39→41	43→45	47→50	39	191/254/300	109	301	11	6	39%	7%	51	-1.7	203/285/337	134	323	15	9	38%	10%	74	-0.1	193/282/326	133	300	16	9	38%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→60	36	176/240/269	93	284	8	11	39%	6%	37	-2.6	186/269/308	122	285	12	21	36%	9%	60	-1.0	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	38	46→50	47→30	44	198/261/319	121	270	14	4	32%	8%	59	-1.1	219/286/363	144	306	18	4	32%	8%	81	+0.4	211/283/356	145	291	19	1	33%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	36→38	45	47→40	37	189/244/308	119	264	14	4	33%	5%	49	-1.8	215/272/313	98	325	9	8	35%	5%	62	-0.9	241/300/316	75	381	6	5	36%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	35→27	50	43→40	41	191/254/334	143	251	19	5	32%	7%	60	-1.0	195/273/339	144	246	19	5	28%	8%	70	-0.3	200/276/347	147	231	17	4	22%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Taylor Gushue 2019 · AA	25	33	45→50	42→30	39	179/236/296	116	244	14	2	32%	6%	42	-2.3	212/261/345	133	295	15	3	32%	6%	65	-0.7	204/266/342	138	281	16	0	32%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Aaron Shackelford 2023 · AAA	26	33→31	51→50	50→45	35	184/238/343	159	273	20	8	40%	6%	56	-1.3	189/255/331	142	292	17	10	39%	7%	60	-1.0	163/249/281	118	246	13	10	37%	8%	43	-1.6
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA	26	37	45	44→30	40	191/250/309	118	275	13	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	208/275/344	136	298	17	5	34%	8%	72	-0.2	192/268/324	132	267	19	2	34%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	38→36	40→50	42→30	40	186/254/273	87	268	8	2	32%	6%	44	-2.1	190/242/301	111	279	11	4	34%	5%	46	-2.0	167/210/286	119	245	13	1	36%	4%	27	-2.5
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB	27	37	47→50	47→30	40	193/259/325	132	276	15	4	35%	7%	60	-1.0	204/259/342	138	283	16	7	32%	6%	64	-0.8	170/221/358	188	197	25	0	30%	5%	50	-0.3
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→29	46→50	50	43	180/253/311	131	257	14	12	35%	8%	54	-1.4	199/273/346	147	278	18	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	173/257/338	165	221	24	12	34%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Jakson Reetz 2022 · AAA	26	37→31	44→60	45	39	185/266/298	113	281	12	5	36%	7%	57	-1.2	203/280/385	182	264	23	5	32%	6%	85	+0.7	196/276/392	196	242	25	4	30%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Dom Nuñez 2021 · MLB	26	37→44	48→45	46→45	44	193/268/331	138	261	17	8	32%	8%	66	-0.6	177/267/303	126	256	13	5	33%	10%	59	-1.1	135/237/231	96	217	10	3	39%	11%	27	-1.2
✕Kellin Deglan 2018 · AA	26	37→36	45→50	42→40	32	188/236/305	116	303	14	5	42%	5%	44	-2.1	201/259/320	119	323	12	5	39%	6%	59	-1.1	174/241/288	114	278	13	2	40%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	41	43→45	45→55	45	199/286/310	111	301	11	8	35%	9%	68	-0.5	224/301/327	103	295	10	18	26%	8%	78	+0.2	228/306/322	93	290	9	25	23%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Evan Skoug 2022 · A	26	32	46→45	45→40	39	173/245/301	128	266	15	5	39%	8%	48	-1.9	192/276/330	138	293	15	5	37%	8%	69	-0.4	166/263/310	143	252	16	2	38%	9%	57	-0.4