Kristian Robinson

Kristian RobinsonLF Reno Aces

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 190 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION324 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .299 / .323

PA216

HR4

SB9

K%38

BB%10

BABIP333

ISO116

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.1M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.2M		$0.6M	+$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	256	233	44	8	0	5	16	97	4	12	8	189	253	288	541	99	291	38	6	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	256	222	62	12	0	7	27	67	4	12	8	279	368	428	796	149	364	26	11	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	A	Kane County Cougars	—	102	95	17	3	1	5	5	42	2	3	2	179	235	389	625	211	250	41	5	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	A	Kane County Cougars	—	102	92	20	3	1	5	8	30	2	3	2	217	294	435	729	217	263	29	8	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	4 teams	—	272	242	50	6	3	11	20	114	9	23	7	207	292	393	684	186	331	42	7	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	4 teams	—	272	233	66	8	4	14	29	86	9	23	7	283	384	532	916	249	388	32	11	400	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	498	442	80	14	1	8	49	222	5	19	6	181	270	271	542	90	336	45	10	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	498	420	97	17	2	12	71	172	5	19	6	231	349	367	715	136	357	35	14	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	512	447	85	14	5	11	55	191	5	34	8	190	286	318	604	128	296	37	11	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	512	425	108	21	5	17	77	144	5	34	8	254	375	447	822	193	338	28	15	365	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	ARI	—	324	282	61	7	4	5	32	121	6	14	4	216	309	323	632	106	352	37	10	285	76	-9	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.2
YTD	25	AAA	ARI	—	324	269	72	9	5	7	45	94	6	14	4	268	384	416	801	149	380	29	14	359	133	+12	+1	+0	-3	+9	1.9
ROS	25	AAA	ARI	10%	216	189	39	6	2	4	22	81	3	9	2	206	299	323	622	116	328	38	10	280	73	-7	+1	+1	-2	+6	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB	ARI	10%	22	20	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	200	273	250	523	50	331	36	9	272	66	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
FULL	25	AAA	ARI	—	346	302	65	8	4	5	34	129	6	15	4	215	307	318	625	103	351	37	10	284	76	-10	+1	+0	-4	+10	-0.2
TOT	25	AAA	ARI	—	540	471	100	13	6	9	54	202	9	23	6	212	305	323	628	110	345	37	10	283	75	-15	+2	+1	-6	+15	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ARI	28%	365	321	68	10	3	8	36	132	5	13	4	212	301	336	638	125	325	36	10	290	80	-8	+1	+1	-4	+10	0.0
2028	27	MLB	ARI	36%	388	341	73	11	3	9	39	136	5	14	4	214	304	343	647	129	322	35	10	292	82	-8	+1	+1	-4	+11	0.1
2029	28	MLB	ARI	41%	401	353	75	12	3	9	40	139	5	14	4	212	302	340	641	127	319	35	10	293	82	-8	+1	+0	-4	+11	0.1
2027	26	MLB	ARI	28%	101	89	19	3	1	2	10	36	1	4	1	213	300	337	637	124	328	36	10	282	74	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	ARI	36%	139	122	26	4	1	3	14	49	2	5	1	213	304	336	640	123	324	35	10	285	76	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2029	28	MLB	ARI	41%	164	145	31	5	1	4	16	57	2	6	2	214	301	345	645	131	322	35	10	285	77	-4	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	426	376	80	13	3	9	42	150	5	16	4	213	300	335	635	122	323	35	10	284	75	-12	+2	+1	-5	+12	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	123	20	5	14	64	229	8	24	6	214	302	340	642	125	324	35	10	284	75	-18	+2	+1	-7	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	3010	2663	531	84	21	70	282	1154	43	141	45	199	286	326	612	126	316	38	9	273	67	-112	+10	+3	-32	+85	-4.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	115	18	5	15	61	249	9	30	10	200	287	327	614	127	317	38	9	273	67	-24	+2	+1	-7	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	256	222	62	12	0	7	27	67	4	12	8	279	368	428	796	149	364	26	11	354	129	+8	-1	—	—	+7	1.5
2019	18	A	Kane County Cougars	—	102	92	20	3	1	5	8	30	2	3	2	217	294	435	729	217	263	29	8	322	105	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	17	16	4	1	0	2	1	7	0	0	1	250	294	688	982	438	286	41	6	415	175	+1	-0	—	—	+0	0.2
2023	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	39	34	9	0	0	2	4	13	1	2	3	265	359	441	800	176	368	33	10	360	133	+1	-1	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	189	156	45	6	3	9	24	58	8	20	3	288	410	538	948	250	400	31	13	414	175	+16	+3	—	—	+5	2.5
2023	22	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	27	27	8	1	1	1	0	8	0	1	0	296	296	519	815	222	389	30	0	352	128	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	419	351	75	13	1	11	63	150	3	10	4	214	338	350	689	137	333	36	15	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+12	1.3
2024	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	79	69	22	4	1	1	8	22	2	9	2	319	405	449	854	130	457	28	10	384	152	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2025	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	178	145	38	8	2	6	31	43	1	10	0	262	395	469	864	207	330	24	17	383	152	+10	+2	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	334	280	70	13	3	11	46	101	4	24	8	250	364	436	799	186	343	30	14	354	129	+11	+2	—	—	+9	2.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	436	10	16	213	299	340	-5	+2	-0.1	-0.0
	/162	664	15	24	213	299	340	-7.1	+3.0	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kristian Robinson (OGILVIE)	25	30	50	55	40	212/305/323	110	345	9	23	37%	10%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	42	195/273/320	125	283	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	201/277/315	114	267	11	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	164/253/261	97	214	9	20	27%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→50	54→60	37	201/257/327	126	300	13	21	36%	6%	59	-1.1	206/282/327	121	313	11	26	35%	7%	70	-0.3	189/280/319	130	291	11	39	35%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Pedro León 2023 · AAA	25	39→44	48→55	53→55	45	191/295/337	145	304	16	31	39%	10%	80	+0.4	218/290/385	167	318	20	24	36%	7%	89	+1.0	221/285/392	171	317	22	26	36%	6%	85	+0.5
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA	25	38→33	50→55	56→55	36	199/252/348	149	299	18	20	39%	6%	63	-0.9	198/244/367	169	274	22	18	36%	5%	65	-0.7	186/231/364	178	245	24	19	35%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	38	45→50	51→50	45	194/270/315	121	262	12	11	30%	8%	63	-0.9	214/301/367	153	292	18	6	31%	9%	89	+1.0	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Stone Garrett 2021 · AA	25	40→37	48→55	51→50	31	207/244/351	144	307	16	15	38%	3%	60	-1.0	215/257/384	169	296	22	15	34%	5%	75	-0.0	219/280/389	170	298	21	11	33%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Daz Cameron 2023 · MLB	26	42→45	45→55	55	41	209/269/337	128	291	13	20	32%	6%	67	-0.5	218/286/368	150	283	17	22	28%	8%	82	+0.5	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	37→34	44→45	56→60	39	177/263/294	117	312	12	24	43%	9%	55	-1.4	190/273/300	110	292	10	29	36%	8%	59	-1.1	177/263/281	104	261	10	34	33%	8%	49	-0.7
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	33→28	45	49→50	42	177/246/290	113	244	14	18	33%	7%	46	-2.0	206/279/324	118	280	13	12	29%	9%	68	-0.5	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Joe Suozzi 2023 · A	25	40	44→45	53→50	33	190/259/304	115	324	12	14	42%	6%	55	-1.4	214/285/312	98	340	10	10	37%	7%	68	-0.5	232/302/319	88	351	10	8	34%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Garrett Whitley 2022 · AAA	25	39→36	50	50→55	39	193/273/351	158	310	17	15	41%	8%	73	-0.1	193/274/325	132	323	14	18	41%	9%	66	-0.6	169/268/299	130	291	14	26	43%	11%	54	-0.8
✕Jordan Brewer 2023 · AA	25	41	42→45	55	39	192/272/292	100	316	10	19	39%	8%	58	-1.2	204/271/316	112	283	10	15	30%	7%	63	-0.9	199/265/312	114	264	10	16	27%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Aaron Palensky 2023 · AA	24	42→33	47→50	48→55	43	203/289/352	149	317	13	10	37%	9%	80	+0.4	202/289/357	155	277	16	20	31%	9%	82	+0.5	184/280/346	163	239	18	25	30%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Melky Mesa 2012 · AA	25	41→43	49→55	50→55	35	205/264/355	150	315	16	18	39%	6%	69	-0.4	218/263/375	157	311	20	17	35%	4%	75	-0.0	213/253/374	161	294	21	17	35%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Ryan Kreidler 2023 · MLB	25	41→44	48→50	52→55	44	208/287/345	137	294	16	17	33%	8%	77	+0.1	192/272/329	137	274	17	20	34%	8%	67	-0.5	185/267/314	129	265	14	19	33%	9%	58	-0.7
✕Shay Whitcomb 2023 · AA	24	36→44	47→60	54→55	31	185/232/312	127	310	16	19	44%	5%	45	-2.1	208/262/381	173	285	24	18	35%	6%	76	+0.1	214/280/392	178	274	24	24	31%	7%	84	+0.4
✕Cory Vaughn 2014 · AA	25	41	45	53→50	42	203/278/323	120	288	13	14	33%	8%	68	-0.5	187/255/294	107	275	11	13	34%	7%	50	-1.7	158/228/255	96	233	10	12	35%	6%	26	-1.8
✕Romy Gonzalez 2022 · MLB	25	43→41	50	52→55	37	218/267/370	152	309	19	19	35%	6%	75	-0.0	222/264/367	145	315	17	20	34%	5%	72	-0.2	253/296/402	149	335	16	16	28%	5%	92	+0.6