Kristian Robinson

Kristian RobinsonRF Reno Aces

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 190 lbs AAA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION481 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP335

ISO121

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	256	222	62	12	0	7	27	67	4	12	8	279	368	428	796	149	364	26	11	354	126	+8	-1	—	—	+6	1.3
2019	18	A	Kane County Cougars	—	102	92	20	3	1	5	8	30	2	3	2	217	294	435	729	217	263	29	8	322	104	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	17	16	4	1	0	2	1	7	0	0	1	250	294	688	982	438	286	41	6	415	167	+1	-0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	39	34	9	0	0	2	4	13	1	2	3	265	359	441	800	176	368	33	10	360	129	+1	-1	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	189	156	45	6	3	9	24	58	8	20	3	288	410	538	948	250	400	31	13	414	167	+15	+3	—	—	+4	2.2
2023	22	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	27	27	8	1	1	1	0	8	0	1	0	296	296	519	815	222	389	30	0	352	124	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	419	351	75	13	1	11	63	150	3	10	4	214	338	350	689	137	333	36	15	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+9	1.0
2024	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	79	69	22	4	1	1	8	22	2	9	2	319	405	449	854	130	457	28	10	384	146	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	178	145	38	8	2	6	31	43	1	10	0	262	395	469	864	207	330	24	17	383	146	+10	+2	—	—	+4	1.6
2025	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	334	280	70	13	3	11	46	101	4	24	8	250	364	436	799	186	343	30	14	354	126	+10	+2	—	—	+7	2.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	256	233	44	8	0	5	16	97	4	12	8	189	253	288	541	99	280	38	6	237	47	-16	-1	—	—	+6	-1.2
2019	18	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	102	95	16	2	1	4	5	41	2	3	2	168	225	337	562	168	232	40	5	238	47	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	22	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	17	16	3	1	0	1	1	9	0	0	1	188	235	438	673	250	218	53	6	221	36	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	39	36	6	0	0	1	2	18	1	2	3	167	231	250	481	83	322	46	5	246	53	-2	-1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	189	163	37	5	2	8	17	76	8	20	3	227	330	429	759	202	352	40	9	323	105	+1	+3	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	27	27	6	1	1	1	0	11	0	1	0	222	222	444	667	222	293	41	0	215	32	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	419	372	68	12	1	7	42	180	3	10	4	183	271	277	548	94	320	43	10	247	53	-23	+0	—	—	+9	-1.4
2025	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	178	153	33	6	2	5	23	54	1	10	0	216	322	379	701	163	296	30	13	312	97	-1	+2	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	334	295	57	10	3	6	31	127	4	24	8	193	279	308	587	115	297	38	9	263	64	-14	+2	—	—	+7	-0.6
2018	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	256	233	44	8	0	5	16	97	4	12	8	189	253	288	541	99	291	38	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	—	256	222	62	12	0	7	27	67	4	12	8	279	368	428	796	149	364	26	11	354	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	102	95	16	2	1	4	5	41	2	3	2	168	225	337	562	168	240	40	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	A RAW	Kane County Cougars	—	102	92	20	3	1	5	8	30	2	3	2	217	294	435	729	217	263	29	8	322	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	4 teams	—	272	242	51	6	3	11	20	115	9	23	7	211	295	397	692	186	342	42	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	4 teams	—	272	233	66	8	4	14	29	86	9	23	7	283	384	532	916	249	388	32	11	400	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	498	441	80	14	1	8	50	214	5	19	6	181	272	272	544	91	326	43	10	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	498	420	97	17	2	12	71	172	5	19	6	231	349	367	715	136	357	35	14	327	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	512	448	90	16	5	11	54	181	5	34	8	201	294	333	626	132	303	35	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	512	425	108	21	5	17	77	144	5	34	8	254	375	447	822	193	338	28	15	365	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	256	234	44	8	0	5	16	97	4	12	8	188	253	286	539	98	280	38	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	102	94	16	2	1	4	5	41	2	3	2	170	225	340	566	170	232	40	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	4 teams	—	272	241	51	6	3	11	20	115	9	23	7	212	295	398	694	187	333	42	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	498	440	80	14	1	8	50	214	5	19	6	182	272	273	545	91	320	43	10	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	512	448	90	16	5	11	54	181	5	34	8	201	294	333	626	132	297	35	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	4 teams	—	272	241	51	6	3	11	20	115	9	23	7	212	295	398	694	187	333	42	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	498	440	80	14	1	8	50	214	5	19	6	182	272	273	545	91	320	43	10	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	512	448	90	16	5	11	54	181	5	34	8	201	294	333	626	132	297	35	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	ARI	—	481	422	93	13	4	10	47	176	6	22	5	220	307	341	649	121	346	37	10	289	82	-10	+2	+0	-5	+10	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA RAW	ARI	—	481	402	109	16	5	14	66	136	6	22	5	271	381	440	821	169	371	28	14	364	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AAA MLE	ARI	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		328	33	11	287	80	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	25	MLB CTX	ARI	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						335	0	0	281	80	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	ARI	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	281	82	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AAA MLE	ARI	—	490	430	94	13	4	10	48	179	6	22	5	219	306	337	643	119	343	37	10	289	82	-11	+2	+0	-5	+11	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	28%	365	322	71	11	3	9	36	128	4	14	3	220	307	357	664	137	324	35	10	294	85	-6	+2	+2	-4	+8	0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	ARI	36%	388	343	76	12	3	10	38	132	4	15	4	222	306	362	668	140	320	34	10	297	87	-6	+1	+2	-4	+8	0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	ARI	41%	401	354	78	12	3	10	40	135	4	14	3	220	307	356	662	136	318	34	10	297	87	-6	+2	+1	-4	+9	0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	ARI	43%	400	354	77	12	3	10	39	134	4	13	3	218	302	353	655	136	316	34	10	295	86	-7	+1	+0	-4	+9	-0.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	ARI	44%	398	352	75	12	2	9	39	134	4	12	3	213	299	335	634	122	314	34	10	292	84	-8	+1	-0	-4	+9	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	28%	101	89	19	3	1	2	10	35	1	4	1	213	300	337	637	124	330	35	10	289	85	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	ARI	36%	139	122	27	5	1	3	14	47	2	5	1	221	312	352	664	131	327	34	10	291	87	-2	+1	+1	-1	+3	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	ARI	41%	164	145	32	5	1	4	16	55	2	6	1	221	307	352	658	131	324	34	10	291	87	-3	+1	+0	-2	+4	0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	ARI	43%	171	150	33	6	1	4	17	57	2	6	1	220	308	353	661	133	322	33	10	289	86	-3	+1	+0	-2	+4	0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	ARI	44%	175	154	34	6	1	4	17	59	2	5	1	221	306	351	657	130	320	34	10	286	84	-3	+1	-0	-2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	751	661	145	25	5	17	74	253	9	26	5	219	306	349	656	130	323	34	10	289	76	-13	+3	+2	-8	+16	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	126	22	4	15	64	219	8	23	4	220	307	351	659	131	325	34	10	289	76	-11	+3	+1	-7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3601	3192	659	105	24	87	338	1314	45	159	47	206	291	336	628	130	316	36	9	280	76	-33	+7	+5	-21	+42	0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	119	19	4	16	61	237	8	29	8	207	291	337	628	130	315	36	9	280	76	-11	+2	+2	-7	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.2	782	19	27	218	301	350	-8	+4	0.2	0.2
/162	664	16	23	-7.1	+3.4	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kristian Robinson (OGILVIE)	25	30	50	55	40	210/296/329	120	328	7	13	36%	10%	80	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	44	198/278/323	125	278	13	16	32%	8%	72	-0.7	198/274/306	108	267	10	16	28%	8%	65	-1.2	157/242/244	87	210	7	20	27%	8%	37	-1.4
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	43→45	47→50	54→55	43	214/282/352	138	289	14	19	30%	7%	79	-0.2	212/275/341	129	288	13	21	30%	7%	74	-0.5	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	37	201/256/323	123	294	12	21	35%	6%	63	-1.4	207/285/328	121	308	10	26	34%	8%	75	-0.5	192/286/323	131	289	10	39	34%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	37→35	45→50	51→55	39	190/251/306	117	268	13	16	34%	6%	57	-1.8	204/278/330	126	297	13	15	34%	8%	73	-0.6	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Zac Cook 2023 · AA	25	37	48→55	50	33	181/275/318	137	311	16	15	43%	6%	71	-0.8	194/273/318	124	328	14	17	43%	5%	70	-0.9	140/224/245	105	252	15	29	48%	4%	32	-0.8
✕Pedro León 2023 · AAA	25	39→47	47→50	53→55	45	190/292/330	139	296	15	31	38%	10%	79	-0.2	212/286/364	152	311	18	24	36%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/366	150	316	19	25	36%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Stone Garrett 2021 · AA	25	40→39	46→60	51→50	31	203/242/331	128	301	14	15	37%	4%	59	-1.7	221/263/393	172	296	22	15	33%	5%	82	-0.0	221/282/389	168	300	20	11	32%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	194/257/310	116	274	9	24	32%	6%	60	-1.6	221/275/344	123	302	11	17	29%	5%	74	-0.5	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Garrett Whitley 2022 · AAA	25	39→37	48→50	50→55	40	191/272/337	146	307	15	15	40%	8%	73	-0.6	195/276/319	124	318	13	18	39%	9%	70	-0.8	173/272/292	120	289	12	26	40%	11%	59	-1.0
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	39	44→50	51→50	46	195/270/310	115	258	11	11	28%	8%	65	-1.2	209/297/348	139	287	16	6	31%	9%	84	+0.2	201/298/342	142	277	17	3	32%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Ryan Kreidler 2023 · MLB	25	41→44	46→45	52→55	44	206/284/334	128	293	14	17	33%	8%	76	-0.4	187/269/305	118	273	13	20	34%	9%	64	-1.3	182/264/296	114	262	10	19	32%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	185/248/306	121	260	15	19	34%	7%	56	-1.9	181/262/305	124	259	14	22	34%	8%	62	-1.4	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA	25	38→34	52→55	56→55	37	202/257/363	161	296	21	20	38%	6%	72	-0.7	199/247/360	161	273	20	18	34%	6%	68	-1.0	187/237/352	165	264	21	15	37%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Romy Gonzalez 2022 · MLB	25	44	49→50	52→55	39	222/275/368	146	313	18	19	34%	6%	80	-0.2	225/269/372	147	317	17	20	33%	5%	78	-0.3	277/323/436	159	352	16	16	25%	6%	111	+0.9
✕Aaron Palensky 2023 · AA	24	42→33	47→50	48→55	43	202/286/346	144	315	13	10	38%	9%	80	-0.2	200/287/349	149	273	16	20	31%	9%	81	-0.1	182/278/336	154	236	17	25	29%	9%	73	-0.3
●Davis Schneider 2023 · AAA	24	40→43	49→55	53→50	46	203/284/353	150	293	17	13	35%	10%	80	-0.1	215/314/395	180	286	21	10	30%	12%	101	+1.4	209/318/396	187	271	23	9	30%	12%	102	+1.1
✕Shay Whitcomb 2023 · AA	24	38→44	48→55	54→55	33	194/242/327	133	306	16	19	41%	5%	58	-1.7	207/262/369	162	282	22	18	34%	6%	76	-0.4	212/276/372	160	270	22	23	29%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Melky Mesa 2012 · AA	25	42→44	47→50	51→55	36	205/265/345	139	310	14	18	37%	6%	71	-0.8	214/259/355	141	304	16	17	34%	4%	72	-0.7	208/249/352	144	288	18	17	34%	4%	63	-0.8
✕Cory Vaughn 2014 · AA	25	41→42	45	53→50	43	205/281/329	124	284	13	14	31%	8%	74	-0.6	189/257/296	107	273	11	13	33%	7%	57	-1.8	162/232/259	97	233	10	12	34%	7%	37	-1.8
✕John Rave 2023 · AAA	25	44→47	48→50	54→55	44	218/287/350	133	308	16	18	33%	8%	81	-0.1	216/282/348	132	295	14	16	30%	8%	78	-0.3	222/295/374	153	277	16	24	25%	9%	86	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps