Johanneiker Leon

C DSL Padres Gold

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Padres Go…	146	.220/.338/.301	1	4	20	—	.140/.234/.178
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	256	.200/.269/.272	2	6	55	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	73	.205/.276/.287	1	2	61	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	168	.209/.282/.300	2	5	66	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed67

Chase%48

Z-Con%37

BB%33

ISO31

wOBA20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsPablo Aliendo (age 18) · Jorge Alcantara (age 18) · Keiberg Camacaro (age 17)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 122 proj PA

wRC+55

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .267 / .270

PA122

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	146	123	27	5	1	1	19	43	3	4	0	220	338	301	639	81	325	29	13	299	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	146	129	18	3	1	0	13	52	3	4	0	140	234	178	413	39	224	36	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	146	129	18	3	1	0	13	52	3	4	0	140	234	178	413	39	231	36	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	146	123	27	5	1	1	19	43	3	4	0	220	338	301	639	81	325	29	13	299	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	146	129	18	3	1	0	13	52	3	4	0	140	234	178	413	39	224	36	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	146	129	18	3	1	0	13	52	3	4	0	140	234	178	413	39	224	36	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	256	232	47	8	2	2	19	78	3	6	2	200	269	272	542	73	288	30	7	249	55	-14	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	211	190	39	6	2	2	16	63	3	6	2	205	276	287	563	82	290	30	8	258	61	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	346	311	66	11	3	4	27	101	5	10	3	209	282	300	581	90	292	29	8	266	66	-14	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.0
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	447	403	85	14	3	6	35	129	6	13	5	213	286	311	597	98	293	29	8	272	70	-16	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	519	466	101	17	4	8	41	147	7	15	5	216	290	321	611	105	294	28	8	277	74	-16	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	467	102	17	4	9	41	146	7	15	5	219	293	330	622	110	295	28	8	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	467	103	17	4	9	41	145	7	15	5	220	294	333	627	113	296	28	8	284	78	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	467	104	17	4	10	41	145	7	15	5	221	294	336	630	115	296	28	8	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	467	104	17	4	10	41	145	7	15	5	221	295	337	632	116	295	28	8	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	60%	520	466	103	17	4	10	42	146	7	15	6	220	294	334	628	114	295	28	8	284	78	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	62%	520	466	101	17	3	9	42	147	7	14	6	218	291	330	621	112	294	28	8	281	76	-15	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	63%	520	467	101	17	3	9	41	149	7	14	6	216	289	323	612	108	292	29	8	277	74	-16	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	63%	520	467	98	16	3	8	41	150	7	14	6	212	285	315	600	103	290	29	8	273	71	-18	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.1
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	65%	504	454	95	15	3	8	39	148	6	13	7	208	280	305	585	97	287	29	8	267	67	-20	-0	-3	+9	+11	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	73	66	14	2	1	1	6	22	1	2	1	205	276	287	563	82	290	30	8	258	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	168	151	31	5	1	2	13	49	2	5	2	209	282	300	581	90	292	29	8	266	66	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	242	218	46	8	2	3	19	70	3	7	2	213	286	311	597	98	293	29	8	272	70	-9	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	265	58	10	2	5	23	83	4	9	3	216	290	321	611	105	294	28	8	277	74	-9	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	299	269	59	10	2	5	24	84	4	9	3	219	293	330	622	110	295	28	8	282	77	-8	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	266	58	10	2	5	24	83	4	9	3	220	294	333	627	113	296	28	8	284	78	-8	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	265	58	10	2	5	24	82	4	9	3	221	294	336	630	115	296	28	8	285	79	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	265	59	10	2	6	23	82	4	8	3	221	295	337	632	116	295	28	8	285	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	60%	311	279	61	10	2	6	25	87	4	9	3	220	294	334	628	114	295	28	8	284	78	-8	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	62%	321	288	63	10	2	6	26	91	4	9	4	218	291	330	621	112	294	28	8	281	76	-9	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.4
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	63%	327	294	64	11	2	6	26	94	4	9	4	216	289	323	612	108	292	29	8	277	74	-10	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	63%	330	297	62	10	2	5	26	95	4	9	4	212	285	315	600	103	290	29	8	273	71	-11	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.0
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	65%	328	296	62	10	2	5	25	96	4	8	5	208	280	305	585	97	287	29	8	267	67	-13	-0	-2	+6	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3578	3219	695	116	24	60	284	1018	46	102	40	216	289	323	612	107	294	28	8	278	72	-110	+4	-4	+64	+78	3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	126	21	4	11	52	185	8	19	7	215	288	321	610	106	293	28	8	278	72	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6455	5798	1243	205	46	103	510	1850	87	181	67	214	288	319	607	105	294	29	8	275	72	-198	+9	-7	+113	+137	5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	126	21	5	10	51	186	9	18	7	216	289	320	609	104	296	29	8	275	72	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Luke Sewell'21-'42 * career totals — 16 seasons, 6,041 PA	9.1	6,041	20	65	231*	294*	343*	+106	-1	4.5	6.0
/162	664	2	7	+11.6	-0.1	0.5	pk7: 8
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.6	3,700	61	103	217	286	323	+66	+32	5.7	5.1
/162	664	11	19	+11.9	+5.7	1.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johanneiker Leon (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	198/267/270	72	288	1	3	30%	8%	55	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pablo Aliendo 2019 · A	18	41	36→50	54→45	38	190/251/263	73	299	3	12	35%	6%	47	-2.6	179/260/245	66	274	4	11	33%	8%	47	-2.5	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Keiberg Camacaro 2024 · A	17	37	38→40	49→60	41	178/262/262	84	282	5	12	36%	8%	52	-2.2	178/283/253	75	253	4	14	28%	10%	59	-1.7	159/287/230	71	209	5	23	24%	12%	55	-0.5
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Alejandro Selen 2007 · A	18	38	35→50	51→30	44	178/255/240	62	263	2	11	30%	8%	44	-2.8	195/253/267	72	248	4	7	22%	6%	49	-2.4	220/256/360	140	315	15	1	34%	3%	68	-0.4
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	35	36→55	47→40	42	171/238/236	65	267	3	6	35%	8%	36	-3.4	187/255/285	98	291	9	5	36%	8%	53	-2.1	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	41	35→40	45	44	190/263/252	62	283	3	5	32%	8%	49	-2.4	198/278/298	100	289	10	5	32%	9%	65	-1.2	191/283/288	97	272	12	4	31%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	40	36→45	51→60	50	186/273/253	67	253	2	13	25%	9%	54	-2.0	202/271/287	85	305	6	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	41	37→40	49→45	44	196/271/269	73	275	4	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	203/293/278	75	310	5	6	33%	9%	68	-1.0	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Dashyll Tejeda 2024 · A	18	38	35→40	52→60	45	178/263/238	59	271	3	17	32%	9%	47	-2.6	195/280/265	70	269	4	38	26%	9%	59	-1.7	186/279/257	71	263	5	49	28%	10%	55	-0.7
✕Andres Regnault 2017 · A	18	35	35→45	50→45	42	164/241/219	54	269	2	6	37%	8%	34	-3.5	194/261/280	86	254	7	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	190/260/287	96	229	10	6	21%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	40	36→50	45	37	191/233/259	68	269	3	6	30%	5%	38	-3.2	213/252/332	119	284	13	5	29%	5%	62	-1.4	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Joseph Tailor 2024 · A	18	40	36→45	53→50	39	191/248/254	63	287	4	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	179/264/266	87	264	6	13	33%	6%	54	-2.0	141/246/232	90	206	6	17	32%	6%	38	-0.9
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2

Johanneiker Leon

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps