Keiberg Camacaro
SS DSL Giants Black| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Giants Or… | 133 | .225/.402/.314 | 0 | 4 | 45 | — | .147/.295/.193 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKDSL Giants Bl… | 118 | .169/.373/.247 | 1 | 7 | 19 | — | .093/.254/.124 |
| 2026 | 19 | ROKDSL Giants Bl… | 219 | .333/.477/.536 | 7 | 29 | 81 | — | .211/.336/.328 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBSF | 329 | .214/.299/.306 | 4 | 8 | 74 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBSF | 56 | .215/.300/.313 | 1 | 1 | 79 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBSF | 127 | .218/.303/.323 | 2 | 3 | 83 | 0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 41
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 16 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | — | 198 | 164 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 60 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 226 | 352 | 396 | 748 | 171 | 324 | 30 | 12 | 337 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | — | 133 | 102 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 402 | 314 | 715 | 88 | 307 | 21 | 17 | 341 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | — | 118 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 169 | 373 | 247 | 620 | 79 | 237 | 25 | 20 | 310 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | — | 219 | 168 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 333 | 477 | 536 | 1.012 | 202 | 371 | 16 | 17 | 439 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 16 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 198 | 171 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 72 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 140 | 250 | 228 | 478 | 88 | 207 | 36 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 133 | 109 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 147 | 295 | 193 | 488 | 46 | 204 | 26 | 11 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 118 | 97 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 35 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 254 | 124 | 378 | 31 | 147 | 30 | 14 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 219 | 180 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 41 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 211 | 336 | 328 | 664 | 117 | 229 | 19 | 12 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 16 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 198 | 171 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 72 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 140 | 250 | 228 | 478 | 88 | 222 | 36 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 16 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Black | — | 198 | 164 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 60 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 226 | 352 | 396 | 748 | 171 | 324 | 30 | 12 | 337 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 133 | 109 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 147 | 295 | 193 | 488 | 46 | 211 | 26 | 11 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Orange | — | 133 | 102 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 402 | 314 | 715 | 88 | 307 | 21 | 17 | 341 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 118 | 97 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 35 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 254 | 124 | 378 | 31 | 145 | 30 | 14 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Black | — | 118 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 169 | 373 | 247 | 620 | 79 | 237 | 25 | 20 | 310 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 219 | 180 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 41 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 211 | 336 | 328 | 664 | 117 | 243 | 19 | 12 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Black | — | 219 | 168 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 333 | 477 | 536 | 1.012 | 202 | 371 | 16 | 17 | 439 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 16 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 198 | 171 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 72 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 140 | 250 | 228 | 478 | 88 | 207 | 36 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 133 | 109 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 147 | 295 | 193 | 488 | 46 | 204 | 26 | 11 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 118 | 96 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 35 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 94 | 254 | 125 | 379 | 31 | 147 | 30 | 14 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 219 | 183 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 41 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 208 | 336 | 322 | 659 | 115 | 229 | 19 | 12 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 133 | 109 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 147 | 295 | 193 | 488 | 46 | 204 | 26 | 11 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 118 | 96 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 35 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 94 | 254 | 125 | 379 | 31 | 147 | 30 | 14 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 219 | 183 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 41 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 208 | 336 | 322 | 659 | 115 | 229 | 19 | 12 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | SF | 0% | 329 | 290 | 63 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 85 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 214 | 299 | 306 | 605 | 92 | 285 | 26 | 9 | 278 | 74 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | SF | 34% | 162 | 143 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 303 | 320 | 623 | 102 | 287 | 25 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | SF | 48% | 263 | 233 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 66 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 222 | 306 | 331 | 637 | 109 | 288 | 25 | 9 | 290 | 83 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | SF | 54% | 356 | 315 | 71 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 88 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 224 | 309 | 340 | 648 | 115 | 289 | 25 | 9 | 294 | 85 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | SF | 55% | 416 | 368 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 102 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 227 | 310 | 346 | 656 | 119 | 290 | 25 | 9 | 297 | 87 | -6 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | SF | 56% | 450 | 399 | 91 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 110 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 228 | 311 | 350 | 661 | 122 | 290 | 24 | 9 | 299 | 89 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | SF | 56% | 467 | 415 | 94 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 114 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 228 | 311 | 350 | 661 | 122 | 290 | 24 | 9 | 299 | 89 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | SF | 55% | 473 | 420 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 116 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 227 | 310 | 348 | 658 | 121 | 289 | 25 | 9 | 298 | 88 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | SF | 55% | 470 | 417 | 93 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 117 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 225 | 308 | 343 | 651 | 118 | 289 | 25 | 9 | 295 | 86 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | SF | 53% | 462 | 410 | 91 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 116 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 223 | 306 | 337 | 643 | 114 | 287 | 25 | 9 | 292 | 84 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | SF | 53% | 451 | 400 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 115 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 220 | 302 | 330 | 632 | 110 | 286 | 25 | 9 | 287 | 81 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | SF | 52% | 436 | 388 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 113 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 216 | 298 | 320 | 618 | 104 | 283 | 26 | 9 | 282 | 77 | -12 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +9 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | SF | 34% | 56 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 300 | 313 | 613 | 98 | 283 | 25 | 9 | 281 | 79 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | SF | 48% | 127 | 112 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 303 | 323 | 626 | 105 | 284 | 25 | 9 | 286 | 83 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | SF | 54% | 193 | 170 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 48 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 221 | 305 | 331 | 637 | 111 | 285 | 25 | 9 | 290 | 85 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | SF | 55% | 231 | 204 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 57 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 223 | 307 | 337 | 644 | 114 | 286 | 25 | 9 | 293 | 87 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | SF | 56% | 252 | 223 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 62 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 224 | 308 | 341 | 649 | 117 | 286 | 25 | 9 | 294 | 89 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | SF | 56% | 263 | 233 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 64 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 224 | 307 | 341 | 649 | 117 | 286 | 24 | 9 | 294 | 89 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | SF | 55% | 262 | 232 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 65 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 307 | 339 | 645 | 116 | 285 | 25 | 9 | 293 | 88 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | SF | 55% | 258 | 229 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 64 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 221 | 305 | 335 | 639 | 113 | 285 | 25 | 9 | 290 | 86 | -4 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | SF | 53% | 247 | 219 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 62 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 219 | 302 | 329 | 631 | 110 | 284 | 25 | 9 | 287 | 84 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | SF | 53% | 237 | 211 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 60 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 216 | 299 | 322 | 621 | 105 | 282 | 25 | 9 | 283 | 81 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | SF | 52% | 227 | 202 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 59 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 213 | 294 | 313 | 607 | 100 | 280 | 26 | 9 | 278 | 77 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2353 | 2085 | 461 | 82 | 17 | 40 | 213 | 587 | 36 | 58 | 12 | 221 | 304 | 334 | 638 | 113 | 287 | 25 | 9 | 289 | 80 | -43 | +7 | -4 | +25 | +51 | 3.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 576 | 128 | 23 | 5 | 11 | 59 | 162 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 222 | 305 | 337 | 642 | 115 | 288 | 25 | 9 | 289 | 80 | -12 | +2 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5191 | 4568 | 981 | 172 | 36 | 86 | 484 | 1310 | 100 | 167 | 41 | 215 | 304 | 325 | 628 | 110 | 280 | 25 | 9 | 286 | 80 | -84 | +12 | -7 | +48 | +98 | 6.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 572 | 124 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 61 | 164 | 13 | 21 | 5 | 217 | 307 | 330 | 637 | 114 | 282 | 25 | 9 | 286 | 80 | -12 | +2 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 DSLDSL Giants Black · 219 PAwOBA .439 → .288 (−150)K% 15.5% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 11.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.65% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 2.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.972 | ×0.985 | 17.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.972 | ×0.985 | 4.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.972 | ×0.985 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 2.42% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .439 → .288; ISO .202 → .111; BABIP .371 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Giants Black · 118 PAwOBA .304 → .197 (−107)K% 24.6% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.58% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.34% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 13.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.24% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 2.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.33% | ÷1.014 | ×0.680 | ×0.956 | ×0.995 | 11.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.014 | ×0.600 | ×0.956 | ×0.995 | 1.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷0.974 | ×0.600 | ×0.956 | ×0.995 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.022 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.76% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 101, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .304 → .197; ISO .079 → .044; BABIP .237 → .147. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Giants Orange · 133 PAwOBA .334 → .235 (−99)K% 21.1% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 11.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.02% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 4.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷0.972 | ×0.680 | ×0.982 | ×1.008 | 14.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷0.982 | ×0.600 | ×0.982 | ×1.008 | 4.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.971 | ×0.600 | ×0.982 | ×1.008 | 1.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.914 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 94, 2B 96, 3B 94, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .334 → .235; ISO .088 → .057; BABIP .307 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Giants Black · 198 PAwOBA .332 → .211 (−121)K% 30.3% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.30% | ÷1.020 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.62% | ÷1.002 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 3.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.19% | ÷0.970 | ×0.680 | ×0.981 | ×1.022 | 14.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.028 | ×0.600 | ×0.981 | ×1.022 | 4.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.981 | ×1.022 | 2.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.118 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 1.65% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 94, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 104, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .332 → .211; ISO .171 → .085; BABIP .324 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).