Joseph Tailor

2B FCL Marlins

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKMIA	217	.280/.419/.531	7	13	68	—	.182/.318/.331
2025	19	ROKMIA	115	.133/.261/.153	0	8	-18	—	.087/.183/.097
2026	20	ROKMIA	36	.194/.306/.355	1	0	21	—	.156/.250/.312
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBMIA	146	.201/.273/.295	2	3	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBMIA	28	.200/.273/.298	0	1	68	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Speed44

Z-Con%36

K%31

Whiff%29

BB%28

Chase%9

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 30 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .271 / .292

PA30

HR0

K%30

BB%6

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	158	139	33	2	1	2	13	43	3	12	2	237	316	309	625	72	323	27	8	285	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	217	175	49	9	7	7	19	52	23	13	6	280	419	531	951	251	362	24	9	420	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	115	98	13	2	0	0	12	29	5	8	4	133	261	153	414	20	188	25	10	214	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	36	31	6	0	1	1	3	10	2	0	1	194	306	355	660	161	250	28	8	302	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	158	143	24	1	1	1	9	53	3	12	2	168	232	210	442	42	236	34	6	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	217	181	33	5	5	4	13	63	23	13	6	182	318	331	649	149	236	29	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	115	103	9	1	0	0	7	42	5	8	4	87	183	97	280	10	149	37	6	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	36	32	5	0	1	1	2	14	2	0	1	156	250	312	562	156	197	39	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	158	143	24	1	1	1	9	53	3	12	2	168	232	210	442	42	253	34	6	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	158	139	33	2	1	2	13	43	3	12	2	237	316	309	625	72	323	27	8	285	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	217	181	33	5	5	4	13	63	23	13	6	182	318	331	649	149	254	29	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	217	175	49	9	7	7	19	52	23	13	6	280	419	531	951	251	362	24	9	420	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	115	103	9	1	0	0	7	42	5	8	4	87	183	97	280	10	148	37	6	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	115	98	13	2	0	0	12	29	5	8	4	133	261	153	414	20	188	25	10	214	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	36	32	5	0	1	1	2	14	2	0	1	156	250	312	562	156	235	39	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	36	31	6	0	1	1	3	10	2	0	1	194	306	355	660	161	250	28	8	302	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	158	145	24	1	1	1	9	53	3	12	2	166	232	207	439	41	236	34	6	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	217	179	33	5	5	4	13	63	23	13	6	184	318	335	653	151	236	29	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	115	102	9	1	0	0	7	42	5	8	4	88	183	98	281	10	149	37	6	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	36	32	5	0	1	1	2	14	2	0	1	156	250	312	562	156	197	39	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	217	179	33	5	5	4	13	63	23	13	6	184	318	335	653	151	236	29	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	115	102	9	1	0	0	7	42	5	8	4	88	183	98	281	10	149	37	6	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	36	32	5	0	1	1	2	14	2	0	1	156	250	312	562	156	197	39	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	146	132	27	4	2	2	9	43	4	3	1	201	273	295	568	93	283	29	6	259	62	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	82	75	16	3	1	1	5	24	2	2	0	207	279	312	591	105	285	29	6	269	68	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	28	25	5	1	0	0	2	8	1	1	0	200	273	298	571	98	276	29	7	261	68	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	28	25	5	1	0	0	2	8	1	1	0	200	286	240	526	40	294	29	7	261	37	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	116	23	0	0	46	186	23	23	0	200	285	240	524	40	294	29	7	261	37	-25	+5	+0	+2	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	638	561	92	11	8	7	38	205	36	36	13	164	261	250	511	86	242	32	6	223	37	-4	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	93	11	8	7	39	209	37	37	13	163	261	247	508	84	240	32	6	223	37	-26	+3	+0	+2	+14	-0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Marlins · 36 PAwOBA .295 → .199 (−96)K% 27.8% → 40.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.78%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	40.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.995	5.14%
HBP% /PA	5.56%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	3.98%
Singles /BIP	19.05%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.995	15.54%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Triples /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.995	3.41%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.995	3.70%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .295 → .199; ISO .161 → .106; BABIP .250 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Marlins · 115 PAwOBA .209 → .141 (−69)K% 25.2% → 36.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.22%	÷0.985	×1.440	—	—	36.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.43%	÷1.030	×0.620	—	×1.008	6.33%
HBP% /PA	4.35%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	3.15%
Singles /BIP	15.94%	÷0.992	×0.820	×0.975	×1.008	12.94%
Doubles /BIP	2.90%	÷1.048	×0.720	×0.975	×1.008	1.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.146	×0.720	×0.975	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.910	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 129, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .209 → .141; ISO .020 → .012; BABIP .188 → .149. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Marlins · 217 PAwOBA .409 → .268 (−141)K% 24.0% → 29.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.96%	÷1.004	×1.220	—	—	29.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.76%	÷0.997	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.19%
HBP% /PA	10.60%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	7.47%
Singles /BIP	21.14%	÷0.976	×0.680	×1.008	×1.008	14.96%
Doubles /BIP	7.32%	÷1.059	×0.600	×1.008	×1.008	4.21%
Triples /BIP	5.69%	÷0.933	×0.600	×1.008	×1.008	3.72%
Home runs /BIP	5.69%	÷0.940	×0.470	—	×1.008	2.87%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 95, 2B 112, 3B 87, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .409 → .268; ISO .251 → .144; BABIP .362 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Miami · 158 PAwOBA .281 → .194 (−87)K% 27.2% → 33.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.22%	÷0.992	×1.220	—	—	33.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.23%	÷1.030	×0.700	—	×1.022	5.72%
HBP% /PA	1.90%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	1.36%
Singles /BIP	29.17%	÷0.957	×0.680	×1.037	×1.022	21.97%
Doubles /BIP	2.08%	÷1.039	×0.600	×1.037	×1.022	1.28%
Triples /BIP	1.04%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.037	×1.022	0.58%
Home runs /BIP	2.08%	÷0.948	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.06%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 91, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .281 → .194; ISO .072 → .038; BABIP .323 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).