Yordany De Los Santos
SS Greensboro Grasshoppers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A/ROKPIT | 317 | .297/.374/.430 | 6 | 34 | 69 | — | .232/.291/.332 |
| 2025 | 20 | APIT | 512 | .249/.315/.388 | 11 | 51 | 51 | — | .200/.250/.306 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+/APIT | 426 | .260/.332/.483 | 19 | 45 | 72 | — | .209/.263/.387 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBPIT | 1 | .187/.239/.315 | 0 | 0 | 56 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBPIT | 136 | .193/.247/.331 | 4 | 7 | 63 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBPIT | 206 | .198/.253/.342 | 6 | 11 | 68 | -0.0 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | — | 234 | 190 | 49 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 45 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 258 | 382 | 363 | 745 | 105 | 320 | 19 | 14 | 336 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 153 | 125 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 60 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 184 | 325 | 256 | 581 | 72 | 338 | 39 | 14 | 278 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Pirates | — | 78 | 66 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 318 | 408 | 455 | 862 | 136 | 357 | 14 | 9 | 379 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 101 | 87 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 195 | 300 | 264 | 564 | 69 | 250 | 22 | 13 | 265 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Pirates | — | 216 | 192 | 66 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 4 | 24 | 6 | 344 | 408 | 505 | 914 | 161 | 409 | 18 | 8 | 399 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 512 | 461 | 115 | 27 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 137 | 4 | 51 | 14 | 249 | 315 | 388 | 703 | 139 | 326 | 27 | 8 | 312 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 404 | 360 | 94 | 26 | 1 | 17 | 31 | 118 | 9 | 45 | 16 | 261 | 335 | 481 | 816 | 219 | 338 | 29 | 8 | 356 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 22 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 273 | 524 | 797 | 286 | 200 | 18 | 5 | 344 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Gold | — | 234 | 198 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 57 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 162 | 272 | 217 | 489 | 56 | 205 | 24 | 10 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 153 | 131 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 79 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 153 | 265 | 214 | 479 | 61 | 342 | 52 | 10 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 78 | 69 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 246 | 316 | 348 | 664 | 101 | 290 | 22 | 5 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 101 | 91 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 176 | 250 | 231 | 481 | 55 | 245 | 31 | 9 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 216 | 198 | 51 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 54 | 4 | 24 | 6 | 258 | 310 | 379 | 689 | 121 | 325 | 25 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 512 | 474 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 186 | 4 | 51 | 14 | 200 | 250 | 306 | 555 | 105 | 296 | 36 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 404 | 372 | 77 | 20 | 1 | 14 | 19 | 155 | 9 | 45 | 16 | 207 | 263 | 379 | 642 | 172 | 298 | 38 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 22 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 273 | 524 | 797 | 286 | 182 | 23 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Gold | — | 234 | 198 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 57 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 162 | 272 | 217 | 489 | 56 | 218 | 24 | 10 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL PIT Gold | — | 234 | 190 | 49 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 45 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 258 | 382 | 363 | 745 | 105 | 320 | 19 | 14 | 336 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 199 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 95 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 186 | 286 | 261 | 548 | 75 | 333 | 41 | 9 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 231 | 191 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 71 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 230 | 352 | 325 | 677 | 94 | 347 | 31 | 13 | 312 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 289 | 67 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 85 | 4 | 34 | 6 | 232 | 291 | 332 | 623 | 100 | 310 | 27 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 317 | 279 | 83 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 61 | 4 | 34 | 6 | 297 | 374 | 430 | 804 | 133 | 362 | 19 | 9 | 357 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 512 | 474 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 186 | 4 | 51 | 14 | 200 | 250 | 306 | 555 | 105 | 302 | 36 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 512 | 461 | 115 | 27 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 137 | 4 | 51 | 14 | 249 | 315 | 388 | 703 | 139 | 326 | 27 | 8 | 312 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 426 | 393 | 82 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 20 | 160 | 9 | 45 | 16 | 209 | 263 | 387 | 650 | 178 | 300 | 38 | 5 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 426 | 381 | 99 | 26 | 1 | 19 | 32 | 122 | 9 | 45 | 16 | 260 | 332 | 483 | 815 | 223 | 329 | 29 | 8 | 355 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Gold | — | 234 | 202 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 57 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 158 | 272 | 213 | 485 | 54 | 205 | 24 | 10 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 201 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 95 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 184 | 286 | 259 | 545 | 75 | 324 | 41 | 9 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 290 | 67 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 85 | 4 | 34 | 6 | 231 | 291 | 331 | 622 | 100 | 300 | 27 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 512 | 476 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 186 | 4 | 51 | 14 | 200 | 250 | 305 | 554 | 105 | 296 | 36 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 426 | 394 | 82 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 20 | 160 | 9 | 45 | 16 | 208 | 263 | 386 | 649 | 178 | 292 | 38 | 5 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 290 | 67 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 85 | 4 | 34 | 6 | 231 | 291 | 331 | 622 | 100 | 300 | 27 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 512 | 476 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 186 | 4 | 51 | 14 | 200 | 250 | 305 | 554 | 105 | 296 | 36 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 426 | 394 | 82 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 20 | 160 | 9 | 45 | 16 | 208 | 263 | 386 | 649 | 178 | 292 | 38 | 5 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | PIT | 0% | 536 | 497 | 95 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 183 | 6 | 29 | 9 | 188 | 240 | 321 | 561 | 133 | 260 | 34 | 5 | 250 | 56 | -28 | +2 | -2 | +6 | +12 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | PIT | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 239 | 315 | 554 | 128 | 261 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 56 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | PIT | 35% | 394 | 365 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 21 | 131 | 5 | 22 | 7 | 194 | 248 | 338 | 586 | 143 | 262 | 33 | 5 | 261 | 63 | -18 | +2 | -1 | +4 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | PIT | 46% | 445 | 412 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 144 | 5 | 24 | 7 | 199 | 254 | 349 | 604 | 150 | 265 | 32 | 6 | 268 | 68 | -17 | +2 | -0 | +5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | PIT | 52% | 473 | 437 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 150 | 5 | 26 | 8 | 203 | 259 | 356 | 615 | 153 | 266 | 32 | 6 | 273 | 71 | -16 | +2 | +1 | +5 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | PIT | 54% | 488 | 449 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 16 | 30 | 153 | 6 | 26 | 8 | 205 | 262 | 359 | 621 | 154 | 268 | 31 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -16 | +2 | +1 | +5 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | PIT | 54% | 492 | 453 | 94 | 19 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 153 | 5 | 26 | 8 | 206 | 264 | 359 | 623 | 153 | 269 | 31 | 6 | 277 | 74 | -15 | +2 | +1 | +5 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | PIT | 58% | 488 | 450 | 91 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 30 | 152 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 204 | 263 | 355 | 617 | 150 | 268 | 31 | 6 | 275 | 72 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | PIT | 55% | 479 | 442 | 89 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 29 | 151 | 5 | 20 | 7 | 202 | 260 | 349 | 609 | 147 | 266 | 32 | 6 | 271 | 70 | -17 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | PIT | 58% | 467 | 431 | 85 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 149 | 5 | 16 | 6 | 199 | 256 | 342 | 598 | 143 | 265 | 32 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -19 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | PIT | 35% | 136 | 126 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 193 | 247 | 331 | 578 | 138 | 263 | 33 | 5 | 258 | 63 | -6 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | PIT | 46% | 206 | 190 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 67 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 198 | 253 | 342 | 595 | 144 | 266 | 33 | 6 | 265 | 68 | -8 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | PIT | 52% | 244 | 225 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 78 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 201 | 258 | 348 | 606 | 147 | 267 | 32 | 6 | 270 | 71 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | PIT | 54% | 265 | 244 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 83 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 203 | 261 | 351 | 612 | 148 | 268 | 31 | 6 | 273 | 73 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | PIT | 54% | 267 | 245 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 83 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 204 | 263 | 351 | 615 | 147 | 269 | 31 | 6 | 274 | 74 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | PIT | 58% | 285 | 262 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 89 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 203 | 261 | 347 | 609 | 145 | 268 | 31 | 6 | 271 | 72 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | PIT | 55% | 266 | 245 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 84 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 201 | 259 | 342 | 600 | 141 | 267 | 32 | 6 | 268 | 70 | -10 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | PIT | 58% | 273 | 251 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 87 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 198 | 255 | 335 | 590 | 137 | 266 | 32 | 6 | 264 | 67 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1942 | 1788 | 360 | 76 | 7 | 56 | 117 | 616 | 22 | 94 | 28 | 201 | 259 | 346 | 605 | 144 | 270 | 32 | 6 | 268 | 66 | -69 | +8 | -0 | +21 | +42 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 598 | 120 | 25 | 2 | 19 | 39 | 206 | 7 | 31 | 9 | 201 | 257 | 344 | 602 | 144 | 269 | 32 | 6 | 268 | 66 | -23 | +3 | -0 | +7 | +14 | 0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5656 | 5187 | 1045 | 212 | 21 | 155 | 345 | 1838 | 73 | 360 | 106 | 201 | 261 | 340 | 601 | 139 | 276 | 32 | 6 | 265 | 66 | -145 | +14 | -2 | +42 | +85 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 120 | 24 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 211 | 8 | 41 | 12 | 201 | 261 | 339 | 600 | 138 | 275 | 32 | 6 | 265 | 66 | -24 | +2 | -0 | +7 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 404 PAwOBA .349 → .274 (−74)K% 29.2% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.21% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 38.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 4.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.23% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.031 | ×1.027 | 19.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.031 | ×1.027 | 8.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.031 | ×1.027 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 6.35% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .349 → .274; ISO .219 → .178; BABIP .338 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ABradenton Marauders · 22 PAwOBA .334 → .265 (−69)K% 18.2% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 16.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 9.55% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .334 → .265; ISO .286 → .216; BABIP .200 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ABradenton Marauders · 512 PAwOBA .307 → .243 (−63)K% 26.8% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.81% | ÷1.052 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.15% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×1.030 | 22.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.084 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×1.030 | 6.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.952 | ×0.910 | ×1.001 | ×1.030 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.40% | ÷0.932 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 3.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .307 → .243; ISO .139 → .108; BABIP .326 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Pirates · 216 PAwOBA .391 → .295 (−96)K% 18.1% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.06% | ÷1.032 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.87% | ÷0.964 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.03% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | ×0.981 | ×1.008 | 25.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.23% | ÷0.917 | ×0.720 | ×0.981 | ×1.008 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.61% | ÷0.978 | ×0.720 | ×0.981 | ×1.008 | 1.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.27% | ÷0.921 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 2.79% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 96, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .391 → .295; ISO .161 → .125; BABIP .409 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ABradenton Marauders · 101 PAwOBA .259 → .215 (−44)K% 21.8% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.78% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.87% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 9.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×1.045 | 20.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.62% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×1.042 | ×1.045 | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.910 | ×1.042 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.046 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 1.23% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 125, 3B 110, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .259 → .215; ISO .069 → .052; BABIP .250 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ABradenton Marauders · 153 PAwOBA .274 → .218 (−55)K% 39.2% → 51.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.22% | ÷1.037 | ×1.360 | — | — | 51.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.38% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.61% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.15% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×1.050 | 27.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×1.050 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.033 | ×1.050 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.971 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.33% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 92, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .274 → .218; ISO .072 → .055; BABIP .338 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Pirates · 78 PAwOBA .379 → .292 (−87)K% 14.1% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.10% | ÷0.949 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.97% | ÷1.002 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 5.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 2.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.45% | ÷0.984 | ×0.820 | ×1.003 | ×1.022 | 21.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.91% | ÷1.026 | ×0.720 | ×1.003 | ×1.022 | 7.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.966 | ×0.720 | ×1.003 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 1.57% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .379 → .292; ISO .136 → .104; BABIP .357 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL PIT Gold · 234 PAwOBA .337 → .229 (−108)K% 19.2% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.68% | ÷0.956 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 10.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.07% | ÷1.004 | ×0.680 | ×0.969 | ×1.022 | 14.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.007 | ×0.600 | ×0.969 | ×1.022 | 6.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.091 | ×0.600 | ×0.969 | ×1.022 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.111 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.30% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 101, 2B 101, 3B 118, K 94, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .337 → .229; ISO .105 → .061; BABIP .320 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).