Daniel Mateo — OGILVIE

Daniel MateoCF Frisco RoughRiders

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 209 proj PA

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .226 / .288

PA17

HR0

K%29

BB%3

ISO96

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	162	143	42	6	3	0	13	28	3	14	5	294	365	378	742	84	356	17	8	331	110	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2021	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	146	136	37	7	0	2	9	41	0	11	4	272	317	368	685	96	372	28	6	307	94	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	63	55	18	3	3	1	6	9	1	8	4	327	403	545	949	218	370	14	10	407	162	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	36	32	8	0	1	1	3	13	1	1	1	250	333	406	740	156	389	36	8	332	111	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	407	376	103	9	5	11	21	99	5	42	12	274	321	412	733	138	339	24	5	323	105	+2	+4	—	—	+9	1.5
2023	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	452	433	112	16	9	10	9	102	3	30	13	259	279	406	685	148	312	23	2	297	87	-7	+1	—	—	+10	0.4
2024	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	208	193	31	4	0	5	13	51	2	10	3	161	221	259	480	98	190	25	6	221	36	-16	+1	—	—	+5	-1.1
2024	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	49	42	11	2	0	0	5	17	1	3	1	262	354	310	664	48	423	35	10	305	92	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	162	148	31	4	2	0	8	40	3	14	5	209	264	264	528	54	270	25	5	233	44	-11	+1	—	—	+4	-0.7
2021	20	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	146	139	29	5	0	1	6	55	0	11	4	209	241	266	508	58	337	38	4	235	45	-10	+1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	63	58	14	2	2	1	3	13	1	8	4	241	290	397	687	155	286	21	5	293	84	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	36	33	6	0	1	1	2	17	1	1	1	182	250	333	583	152	343	47	6	232	43	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	21	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	407	384	86	7	3	10	13	139	5	42	12	224	259	336	595	112	306	34	3	255	59	-20	+4	—	—	+9	-0.8
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	452	436	93	13	7	8	6	140	3	30	13	213	229	330	559	117	280	31	1	237	47	-29	+1	—	—	+10	-1.9
2024	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	208	197	26	3	0	3	9	62	2	10	3	132	178	193	371	61	174	30	4	171	2	-24	+1	—	—	+5	-1.9
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	49	44	8	1	0	0	3	23	1	3	1	182	250	205	455	23	372	47	6	226	39	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	162	148	31	4	2	0	8	40	3	14	5	209	264	264	528	54	279	25	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 1	—	162	143	42	6	3	0	13	28	3	14	5	294	365	378	742	84	356	17	8	331	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	209	197	43	7	2	2	9	68	1	19	8	218	256	305	561	86	318	33	4	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	209	191	55	10	3	3	15	50	1	19	8	288	343	419	762	131	371	24	7	337	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	443	417	91	7	4	10	15	156	6	43	13	218	256	326	582	108	316	35	3	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	443	408	111	9	6	12	24	112	6	43	13	272	322	412	734	140	343	25	5	324	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	452	436	93	13	7	8	6	140	3	30	13	213	229	330	559	117	289	31	1	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	452	433	112	16	9	10	9	102	3	30	13	259	279	406	685	148	312	23	2	297	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	257	241	35	5	0	3	12	85	3	13	4	145	195	203	399	58	208	33	5	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	257	235	42	6	0	5	18	68	3	13	4	179	246	268	514	89	227	26	7	237	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	162	150	31	4	2	0	8	40	3	14	5	207	264	260	524	53	270	25	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	209	197	43	7	2	2	9	68	1	19	8	218	256	305	561	86	322	33	4	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	443	419	91	7	4	10	15	156	6	43	13	217	256	325	580	107	309	35	3	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	452	440	93	13	7	8	6	140	3	30	13	211	229	327	556	116	280	31	1	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	257	240	35	5	0	3	12	85	3	13	4	146	195	204	399	58	212	33	5	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	452	440	93	13	7	8	6	140	3	30	13	211	229	327	556	116	280	31	1	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	257	240	35	5	0	3	12	85	3	13	4	146	195	204	399	58	212	33	5	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	TEX	2%	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	188	235	250	485	62	261	29	6	231	43	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	31%	256	242	49	8	2	5	10	73	2	8	3	202	240	314	554	112	265	29	4	243	51	-15	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.8
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	42%	310	290	59	10	2	6	14	88	3	9	3	203	248	314	561	110	267	28	5	249	55	-17	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.8
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	31%	79	75	16	3	0	2	3	23	1	2	1	213	253	333	586	120	266	29	4	240	51	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	42%	130	122	25	4	1	3	6	37	1	4	1	205	248	328	576	123	268	28	5	247	55	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	209	197	41	7	1	5	9	60	2	6	2	208	250	330	580	122	271	29	4	244	47	-12	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	613	128	22	3	16	28	187	6	19	6	209	250	333	583	124	271	29	4	244	47	-36	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2106	1987	404	55	19	34	75	655	21	137	49	203	240	301	541	98	281	31	4	237	47	-33	+1	+0	+2	+13	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	613	124	17	6	10	23	202	6	42	15	202	238	299	536	96	280	31	4	237	47	-37	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	214	4	6	203	241	311	+1	+2	-0.5	-0.2
/162	664	12	20	+2.4	+7.8	-1.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Mateo (OGILVIE)	25	35	39	57	37	193/226/288	95	261	3	7	29%	3%	43	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕T.J. Steele 2012 · AA	25	40→35	42→45	53→50	33	203/230/312	109	277	9	17	30%	3%	49	-2.4	203/241/307	104	284	9	15	31%	4%	53	-2.1	179/216/258	78	257	6	13	32%	3%	28	-1.1
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	40	39→45	53→55	40	192/251/280	87	274	5	16	31%	6%	50	-2.3	188/266/297	109	283	10	16	35%	8%	61	-1.5	173/257/288	115	272	12	16	38%	8%	54	-1.2
✕Isaac Galloway 2015 · AA	25	39→42	40→45	52→55	31	192/220/285	93	288	7	16	35%	3%	38	-3.2	208/242/306	98	287	9	21	30%	4%	53	-2.1	209/257/350	142	277	17	25	31%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Sergio Garcia 2016 · AAA	25	42	41→45	48→60	35	210/238/301	91	285	9	19	30%	4%	49	-2.4	227/259/339	112	301	10	17	27%	4%	66	-1.1	233/262/344	112	307	10	19	27%	3%	66	-0.5
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	45	54→55	37	199/248/318	119	278	13	18	33%	5%	59	-1.7	188/245/293	105	275	11	22	34%	6%	52	-2.2	171/232/261	89	254	9	26	35%	5%	37	-1.5
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	41	189/253/285	96	258	8	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/270/318	113	284	10	14	30%	6%	67	-1.1	179/250/307	128	258	11	20	33%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Mylz Jones 2019 · AA	25	45→48	40	49→55	36	218/244/308	89	285	8	17	26%	3%	53	-2.1	199/238/297	98	263	9	16	27%	4%	49	-2.4	176/219/268	92	223	9	21	26%	4%	32	-2.2
✕Casio Grider 2013 · A	25	41→40	38→40	56→55	37	195/251/283	88	286	4	18	32%	5%	51	-2.2	202/259/288	86	306	6	23	34%	6%	55	-1.9	194/253/273	79	299	5	30	34%	5%	46	-1.4
✕Mike Jarvis 2023 · AAA	25	37	45	58→60	39	190/251/311	121	255	12	23	30%	5%	59	-1.7	177/233/278	101	241	10	27	30%	5%	43	-2.8	141/199/199	58	219	6	35	36%	6%	11	-1.6
✕Logan Landon 2018 · AA	25	44→43	43→45	53→50	40	217/265/325	109	298	11	16	30%	6%	65	-1.2	201/252/314	113	284	13	15	32%	6%	59	-1.7	185/236/291	107	259	13	15	33%	6%	45	-1.5
✕Todd Hankins 2016 · AA	25	44→47	40	52→55	39	212/261/304	91	296	7	21	30%	5%	59	-1.7	206/250/291	85	296	7	20	31%	5%	52	-2.2	199/244/277	77	289	6	22	32%	5%	44	-1.7
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	38	186/229/264	78	254	7	15	29%	5%	38	-3.2	203/241/302	99	289	8	11	31%	4%	51	-2.3	193/216/293	100	272	7	9	31%	2%	36	-1.1
✕Jose Vinicio 2018 · AAA	25	45→30	38→40	50→55	35	218/241/297	78	290	5	13	27%	3%	49	-2.4	211/240/300	89	296	7	14	30%	3%	49	-2.4	201/220/275	73	285	5	16	31%	2%	34	-1.8
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	39→41	42→45	47→50	39	194/249/297	103	281	10	12	34%	6%	54	-2.0	198/251/298	100	305	9	13	36%	6%	55	-2.0	203/255/298	95	293	7	9	31%	6%	54	-1.3
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	40	40	50	38	196/250/283	87	289	8	15	33%	6%	51	-2.3	205/260/298	93	305	8	12	33%	6%	57	-1.8	147/203/184	38	244	3	8	39%	6%	9	-1.0
✕Jalen Miller 2021 · AA	24	40→43	44→45	49→50	41	202/250/313	111	258	12	16	26%	6%	57	-1.8	197/257/324	127	268	13	14	30%	7%	63	-1.3	181/247/311	130	244	14	14	31%	7%	53	-1.1
✕Granden Goetzman 2018 · AAA	25	44	40→45	57→55	39	215/254/312	97	286	7	24	27%	5%	58	-1.7	205/248/331	126	277	12	11	29%	5%	61	-1.5	185/229/321	136	245	14	3	30%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Jack López 2018 · AAA	25	42→46	39→45	48→55	37	206/243/281	75	273	7	16	27%	4%	47	-2.5	213/246/304	91	294	10	15	30%	3%	53	-2.1	217/254/307	90	298	9	18	29%	3%	55	-1.2
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps