Leanders Matos

SS DSL Brewers Gold

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Brewers G…	228	.346/.462/.589	10	19	80	—	.208/.307/.330
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	338	.239/.312/.348	5	8	88	0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLB—	120	.242/.316/.359	2	3	92	0.3
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLB—	242	.244/.320/.367	5	6	95	0.7

Next 3 projected WAR 1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%97

wOBA94

wRC+93

ISO92

K%85

Whiff%84

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsRonald Torreyes (age 18) · Addison Russell (age 19) · Jose Tabata (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 197 proj PA

wRC+88

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .309 / .345

PA197

HR3

SB5

K%23

BB%9

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$88M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 65 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT65

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$7M
2036	Arb-1	$6M	+1.7	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-2	$9M	+1.5	$6M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$12M	+1.2	$4M	+$0.4M
Totals		$30M		$41M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	228	185	64	11	2	10	37	32	3	19	4	346	462	589	1.051	243	370	14	16	453	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	228	197	41	7	1	5	25	39	3	19	4	208	307	330	637	122	228	17	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	228	197	41	7	1	5	25	39	3	19	4	208	307	330	637	122	231	17	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	228	185	64	11	2	10	37	32	3	19	4	346	462	589	1.051	243	370	14	16	453	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	228	198	41	7	1	5	25	39	3	19	4	207	307	328	635	121	228	17	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	228	198	41	7	1	5	25	39	3	19	4	207	307	328	635	121	228	17	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	338	303	72	12	3	5	29	78	3	8	1	239	312	348	660	110	301	23	9	298	88	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	43%	277	248	60	10	2	5	24	63	3	7	2	242	316	359	675	117	302	23	9	304	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	61%	398	355	87	14	3	8	35	90	5	10	3	244	320	367	687	123	303	23	9	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.2
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	68%	487	435	107	18	4	10	43	109	6	13	3	246	322	375	697	129	304	22	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.6
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	71%	550	490	121	20	4	12	48	123	7	14	4	248	324	381	705	133	304	22	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.9
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	72%	593	529	131	22	4	14	52	132	7	15	4	249	325	385	710	136	304	22	9	318	101	+1	+1	+0	+6	+13	2.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	72%	617	550	137	23	5	14	54	137	8	16	4	250	326	388	714	138	305	22	9	319	102	+2	+2	+0	+7	+13	2.4
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	71%	628	560	141	24	5	15	55	139	8	16	4	250	326	389	716	139	305	22	9	320	103	+2	+2	+0	+7	+14	2.5
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	71%	635	566	142	24	5	15	56	141	8	16	4	250	326	390	716	140	305	22	9	320	103	+2	+2	+0	+7	+14	2.5
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	70%	634	565	142	24	5	15	56	142	8	16	4	249	325	387	713	138	305	22	9	319	102	+2	+2	+0	+7	+14	2.4
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	69%	630	562	140	23	5	15	56	142	7	15	4	248	324	383	707	135	304	23	9	316	100	+0	+1	-1	+7	+14	2.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	67%	620	554	136	23	4	14	54	141	7	14	4	246	321	377	698	131	303	23	9	313	98	-1	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.9
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	66%	609	544	132	22	4	13	53	141	7	13	5	243	318	370	687	127	302	23	9	309	95	-4	+1	-2	+7	+13	1.5
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	71%	595	533	128	21	4	12	51	140	6	11	5	239	313	360	674	121	299	24	9	303	91	-6	+0	-3	+6	+13	1.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	68%	576	516	121	19	4	11	49	138	6	10	7	234	307	348	656	114	296	24	9	296	86	-9	-1	-4	+6	+12	0.5
2042	33	MLB MLE	—	73%	546	491	111	17	3	9	45	134	5	9	10	228	300	334	635	106	292	25	8	287	81	-13	-2	-4	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	43%	120	108	26	4	1	2	10	27	1	3	1	242	316	359	675	117	302	22	8	304	92	-1	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.3
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	61%	242	216	53	9	2	5	21	55	3	6	2	244	320	367	687	123	303	23	9	309	95	-1	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.7
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	68%	332	296	73	12	3	7	29	74	4	9	2	246	322	375	697	129	304	22	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+4	+7	1.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	71%	391	349	86	14	3	9	34	87	5	10	3	248	324	381	705	133	304	22	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.4
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	72%	429	383	95	16	3	10	38	95	5	11	3	249	325	385	710	136	304	22	9	318	101	+1	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	72%	441	394	98	17	3	10	39	98	5	11	3	250	326	388	714	138	305	22	9	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	71%	447	399	100	17	3	11	39	99	6	11	3	250	326	389	716	139	305	22	9	320	103	+1	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	71%	451	402	101	17	3	11	40	100	6	11	3	250	326	390	716	140	305	22	9	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	70%	441	394	97	16	3	10	39	98	5	11	3	249	325	387	713	138	305	22	9	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	69%	433	387	96	16	3	10	38	98	5	10	3	248	324	383	707	135	304	23	9	316	100	+0	+1	-0	+5	+9	1.5
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	67%	415	371	91	15	3	9	36	95	5	9	3	246	321	377	698	131	303	23	9	313	98	-1	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.2
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	66%	401	359	87	14	3	9	35	93	4	8	3	243	318	370	687	127	302	23	9	309	95	-2	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.0
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	71%	422	378	90	15	3	8	36	99	5	8	4	239	313	360	674	121	299	23	9	303	91	-4	+0	-2	+5	+9	0.7
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	68%	393	353	82	13	3	7	33	94	4	7	5	234	307	348	656	114	296	24	8	296	86	-6	-1	-2	+4	+9	0.3
2042	33	MLB CTX	—	73%	396	356	81	13	2	7	33	97	4	6	7	228	300	334	635	106	292	24	8	287	81	-9	-2	-3	+4	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5754	5145	1256	208	41	125	500	1309	67	131	48	244	319	373	693	129	302	23	9	312	96	-20	+7	-10	+62	+125	16.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	142	23	5	14	56	148	8	15	5	244	319	373	693	129	303	23	9	312	96	-2	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	8820	7871	1920	318	64	190	773	1996	103	219	72	244	320	373	693	129	302	23	9	311	96	-33	+13	-15	+92	+186	24.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	141	23	5	14	57	147	8	16	5	243	319	372	692	129	301	23	9	311	96	-3	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tim Andersonlast yr '25 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,139 PA	6.2	4,139	98	122	276	307	407	+44	+48	21.6	22.0
/162	664	16	20	+7.0	+7.7	3.5	pk7: 22
#2Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#3Cass Michaels'43-'54 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,020 PA	7.6	5,020	53	64	253*	328*	381*	+25	+43	20.2	19.2
/162	664	7	8	+3.3	+5.7	2.7	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	9.0	5,950	128	138	246	317	375	+64	+33	21.4	17.4
/162	664	14	15	+7.1	+3.7	2.4	pk7: 13
#4Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#5Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leanders Matos (OGILVIE)	18	60→65	43→48	57→62	65	236/309/345	109	301	3	5	23%	9%	88	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronald Torreyes 2011 · A	18	57→59	42→45	52→50	47	268/318/394	126	285	6	14	9%	4%	101	+1.4	271/315/368	97	293	5	11	9%	4%	94	+0.9	271/315/361	90	292	4	9	8%	4%	89	+0.4
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	55→52	47→55	59→50	43	262/316/407	145	351	12	16	28%	7%	103	+1.6	243/307/405	162	320	16	12	28%	7%	101	+1.4	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
●Jose Tabata 2007 · A	18	54→62	41→45	51→55	44	257/313/356	99	323	8	16	22%	6%	91	+0.6	271/321/361	90	336	7	14	20%	5%	95	+0.9	284/341/385	101	328	6	26	14%	7%	107	+1.5
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→61	41→50	49→50	60	240/338/346	106	301	8	10	21%	13%	98	+1.2	254/339/391	137	339	12	14	26%	11%	109	+2.0	249/334/388	139	323	13	15	25%	11%	105	+1.7
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
✕Luis Matos 2021 · A	19	51→58	44→50	53→50	45	249/309/372	124	290	10	14	18%	5%	94	+0.9	242/288/368	126	279	13	13	18%	5%	84	+0.2	246/298/398	152	258	18	13	13%	6%	95	+0.7
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→51	41→60	55→50	47	222/293/320	98	273	8	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	223/272/331	108	291	10	16	26%	6%	70	-0.9	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→56	46→45	52→40	49	227/301/367	141	268	12	6	20%	8%	90	+0.6	245/312/360	115	307	10	3	22%	7%	92	+0.7	256/329/366	110	321	8	2	21%	8%	96	+0.9
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Walker Jenkins 2024 · A	19	53	45→50	53→55	45	257/305/391	134	308	11	11	20%	6%	95	+1.0	245/323/376	131	300	11	17	21%	9%	99	+1.3	248/332/390	141	301	14	20	21%	10%	103	+1.0
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→54	39→55	52→50	46	240/297/334	93	309	5	8	23%	7%	80	-0.2	252/306/371	119	311	10	8	21%	7%	91	+0.7	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→53	47→45	52→55	43	223/289/361	138	311	13	9	31%	8%	84	+0.1	221/332/349	128	309	12	16	29%	12%	98	+1.2	226/338/346	120	294	12	19	24%	12%	96	+0.9
✕Colt Emerson 2024 · A	19	56→51	43→45	54→50	49	261/343/383	122	348	9	14	26%	9%	109	+2.0	239/321/362	123	313	11	13	25%	9%	96	+1.0	231/311/363	132	302	13	14	26%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	49→54	43→60	51→55	43	237/286/361	125	297	8	12	23%	6%	82	-0.0	245/290/348	103	287	6	12	16%	5%	80	-0.2	243/299/456	214	281	25	12	23%	5%	111	+1.2
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8

Leanders Matos

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps