Player 837824 DSL Cubs Blue
Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION112 act + 187 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .303 / .313
PA187
HR2
SB11
K%23
BB%10
BABIP287
ISO90
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +1.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -5.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-5POSREP: +8.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.20.00.10.20.30.30.426283032
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD ROKCHC 11297 22212 12200 176 227312330642 103256 1811 296 85 -2 +1 +0 -2 +3 0.0
YTD ROKCHC 11288 27322 21140 176 307440455895 148333 1219 393 159 +7 +1 +0 -2 +3 1.0
ROS ROKCHC 0% 187166 37522 18431 113 223303313616 90282 2310 282 74 -5 +1 +0 -3 +5 -0.3
ROS MLBCHC 0% 01 0000 000 00 283 280 72 +0 -0
FULL ROKCHC 11298 22212 12200 176 224312327638 102253 1811 296 85 -2 +1 +0 -2 +3 0.0
TOT ROKCHC 299263 59734 30631 289 224306319626 95275 2110 287 78 -7 +2 +0 -5 +8 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBCHC 0% 301267 62935 29692 122 232312345657 112286 2310 289 79 -7 +2 +0 -5 +9 -0.2
202825 MLBCHC 0% 399356 821247 38922 153 230308346654 115286 2310 292 82 -8 +2 +0 -7 +11 -0.2
202925 MLBCHC 0% 465415 941448 441073 173 227305337643 111286 239 295 84 -9 +2 +0 -8 +13 -0.1
203025 MLBCHC 0% 509453 10515510 481173 194 232310353663 121286 239 296 85 -9 +2 +0 -9 +14 -0.1
203125 MLBCHC 0% 540481 11016510 511243 204 229307345652 116286 239 297 85 -9 +2 +0 -10 +15 -0.1
203225 MLBCHC 0% 562500 11517511 531294 214 230309350659 120286 239 298 86 -9 +3 +0 -10 +16 -0.0
202725 MLBCHC 0% 01 0000 000 00 287 286 77 +0 -0
202825 MLBCHC 0% 01 0000 000 00 287 289 80 +0 -0
202925 MLBCHC 0% 01 0000 000 00 287 291 81 +0 -0
203025 MLBCHC 0% 01 0000 000 00 287 293 82 +0 -0
203125 MLBCHC 0% 01 0000 000 00 287 293 83 +0 -0
203225 MLBCHC 0% 01 0000 000 00 287 294 83 +0 -0
▸ Career Totals
Career 29632638 605882853 28168118 11523 229308344652 115287 239 294 83 -56 +14 +0 -53 +84 -1.1
/ 162G 650579 13319612 621494 255 230309345654 116287 2310 294 83 -12 +3 +0 -12 +18 -0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#3Damian Jacksonlast yr '06
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA
61,9302195248324354-6-53.63.6
/162664733-1.9-1.61.2pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#5Eric Young Jr.last yr '18
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA
91,92513161245312332-11-81.21.7
/162664456-3.9-2.70.4pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,07554114230305344-35+01.11.2
/1626641225-7.6+0.00.2pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Player 837824 (OGILVIE) 25 224/306/319 95275 428 21% 10% 78 -0.2
Shawn Payne
2014 · A
25 48→58 41→45 57→55 49 227/299/329 102287 724 22% 8% 77 +0.1 216/285/323 107294 816 27% 8% 69 -0.4 207/282/31711028781728%8%64-0.5
Nate Eaton
2022 · A
25 40→49 40→50 55→60 44 195/262/286 91267 719 29% 7% 50 -1.7 218/272/351 133286 1528 28% 6% 72 -0.2 219/272/357138284142727%5%70-0.2
Allen Córdoba
2021 · A
25 48→53 41→45 53→55 40 231/281/330 100302 720 26% 5% 69 -0.4 233/301/351 118292 1016 23% 6% 84 +0.6 231/305/357125285111822%6%86+0.3
Justin Dean
2021 · A
24 47→49 43→45 58→65 44 222/293/335 113314 1023 31% 8% 76 +0.1 203/280/315 112322 1127 37% 8% 66 -0.6 232/303/3218934464832%8%73-0.1
Jared Oliva
2019 · A
23 46→45 42→50 56→65 43 219/288/328 109304 824 29% 7% 72 -0.2 218/277/322 104307 825 30% 6% 66 -0.6 227/296/370142284155524%7%82+0.3
Daniel Lyons
2010 · A
25 44→48 40→45 51→50 50 209/293/306 97268 715 23% 9% 69 -0.4 198/286/274 76275 412 27% 9% 59 -1.1 173/276/2235024921128%10%41-1.4
Jonathan Davis
2017 · A
25 40→50 46→45 54→55 44 199/284/331 132279 1321 32% 8% 72 -0.2 219/298/335 116289 1019 26% 8% 79 +0.3 221/302/335114287102025%8%78+0.2
Dylan Moore
2017 · A
24 44→47 43→50 55→65 47 214/294/334 120273 1023 24% 8% 77 +0.1 206/272/327 121267 1118 26% 7% 66 -0.6 210/332/386176289164130%12%104+1.0
Adalberto Santos
2012 · A
24 49→53 42→45 60→55 48 238/296/355 118285 821 19% 7% 82 +0.5 249/310/347 98316 720 22% 7% 85 +0.7 253/316/3439032862123%8%84+0.3
Tyler Saladino
2014 · AAA
25 42→47 40→45 55 47 206/277/296 90272 823 26% 8% 59 -1.1 239/290/343 104296 923 21% 6% 76 +0.1 256/300/368112305112519%5%85+0.4
Cade Gotta
2017 · AA
25 45→51 41→45 56→55 42 220/264/324 103281 821 24% 5% 60 -1.0 235/287/337 102301 729 23% 7% 73 -0.1 241/300/34310230763622%8%78+0.1
Jack Dunn
2022 · A
25 50→47 39→40 54→55 47 236/300/319 83304 615 23% 8% 74 -0.1 220/304/299 79290 618 24% 10% 72 -0.2 210/305/2877727272123%11%68-0.4
Michael Gigliotti
2022 · A
26 45 43→40 54→55 45 217/293/331 114301 920 29% 8% 76 +0.0 209/307/325 116287 1120 28% 10% 81 +0.4 198/306/304106267102427%11%74-0.0
Phillip Ervin
2016 · AA
24 43→50 43→50 54→55 47 210/282/326 116268 1020 25% 8% 69 -0.4 217/288/344 127270 1325 24% 7% 77 +0.1 232/296/372140294142125%7%84+0.5
Danny Muno
2013 · A
24 47→53 40→45 54→50 50 222/301/315 92294 618 25% 10% 74 -0.1 232/313/341 109298 1012 24% 10% 86 +0.8 230/312/334104293101123%9%81+0.3
Nick Podkul
2021 · A
24 43 38→50 52→50 48 205/281/287 81278 514 26% 8% 59 -1.1 205/289/343 138278 168 30% 9% 78 +0.2 208/303/36715928421332%10%85+0.3
Ryan LaMarre
2014 · AA
25 48→54 39→45 52→60 45 228/289/316 88294 723 24% 6% 69 -0.4 223/275/327 104302 1017 28% 6% 66 -0.6 234/305/370135335132332%7%86+0.4
José Caballero
2021 · A
24 45 43→45 52→70 46 221/293/334 113279 1025 24% 7% 76 +0.1 224/326/350 126288 1335 25% 11% 95 +1.4 225/318/339114299106326%9%86+0.5
Jeremy Rathjen
2014 · A
24 44→41 42→50 51→50 47 214/288/323 109274 917 24% 8% 72 -0.2 210/270/352 142276 1611 29% 7% 72 -0.2 199/257/35916125521731%6%64-0.4
Brad McElroy
2011 · A
25 45→55 41→45 55 45 217/281/320 103284 817 26% 7% 67 -0.5 228/288/316 88297 521 23% 6% 69 -0.4 236/298/3127630442922%6%69-0.2