Kenneth Melendez

C DSL NYY Bombers

Age 17 R/R ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	16	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	126	.214/.379/.286	0	4	29	—	.133/.266/.181
2027PROJ0% MLB	17	MLBNYY	236	.209/.289/.284	1	5	65	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	18	MLBNYY	68	.212/.292/.296	1	2	69	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	19	MLBNYY	165	.217/.298/.310	2	4	74	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%75

Chase%61

Speed59

Whiff%47

Z-Con%43

K%41

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJonathan Martinez (age 17) · Keiberg Camacaro (age 17) · Tyler Rodriguez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 106 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .287 / .282

PA106

HR1

K%27

BB%9

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$33M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	16	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	126	98	21	5	1	0	24	29	2	4	2	214	379	286	665	71	296	23	19	316	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	126	105	14	3	1	0	17	35	2	4	2	133	266	181	447	48	185	28	13	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	126	105	14	3	1	0	17	35	2	4	2	133	266	181	447	48	194	28	13	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	16	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	126	98	21	5	1	0	24	29	2	4	2	214	379	286	665	71	296	23	19	316	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	126	106	14	3	1	0	17	35	2	4	2	132	266	179	445	47	185	28	13	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	126	106	14	3	1	0	17	35	2	4	2	132	266	179	445	47	185	28	13	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	17	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	236	210	44	8	2	1	22	63	2	5	1	209	289	284	573	75	288	27	9	264	65	-10	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	18	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	199	177	39	7	2	2	18	53	2	5	1	212	292	295	587	83	289	27	9	270	69	-7	+1	+0	+4	+4	0.1
2029	19	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	340	302	65	12	3	3	31	89	4	9	3	216	298	307	605	91	291	26	9	277	74	-11	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2030	20	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	449	399	89	16	4	6	41	116	6	12	4	220	302	319	621	99	293	26	9	283	78	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2031	21	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	520	460	102	18	4	7	48	133	7	14	5	223	305	329	634	106	294	26	9	289	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2032	22	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	520	460	104	19	4	8	48	132	7	14	5	226	308	338	645	112	295	25	9	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	23	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	520	460	106	19	4	9	48	131	7	14	5	227	309	342	651	114	296	25	9	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	24	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	520	460	106	19	4	9	48	131	7	14	5	229	310	345	655	117	296	25	9	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2035	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	520	460	106	19	4	9	48	131	7	14	5	229	311	347	658	118	297	25	9	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2036	26	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	520	460	107	19	4	10	48	131	7	14	5	229	311	349	660	120	296	25	9	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2037	27	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	520	460	105	19	4	9	48	132	7	14	5	228	310	346	656	118	296	25	9	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2038	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	520	461	104	18	4	9	48	133	6	13	5	226	308	341	649	115	295	26	9	294	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2039	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	520	461	104	18	4	9	48	134	6	13	5	224	305	335	640	111	293	26	9	290	83	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2040	30	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	520	462	102	18	4	8	47	136	6	13	6	220	301	327	628	106	291	26	9	286	79	-13	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.6
2041	31	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	504	448	97	17	3	7	45	134	6	11	7	216	296	317	613	101	288	27	9	280	75	-15	-1	-3	+9	+11	0.2
2042	32	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	489	438	92	16	3	6	43	132	5	11	9	211	290	304	594	94	284	27	9	272	70	-17	-1	-4	+9	+11	-0.3
2028	18	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	68	61	13	2	1	1	6	18	1	2	0	212	292	296	589	84	289	26	9	270	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	19	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	165	147	32	6	1	2	15	43	2	4	1	217	298	310	608	93	291	26	9	278	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	20	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	244	217	47	8	2	3	22	63	3	7	2	221	302	322	624	101	293	26	9	285	78	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	21	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	294	261	57	10	2	4	27	75	4	8	3	224	306	333	638	109	294	26	9	290	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	22	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	299	266	60	11	2	5	27	76	4	8	3	227	308	342	650	115	295	25	9	295	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	23	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	301	266	61	11	2	5	28	76	4	8	3	228	310	346	656	118	296	25	9	297	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.7
2034	24	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	297	264	60	11	2	5	27	75	4	8	3	230	311	350	661	120	296	25	9	299	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	25	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	295	262	61	11	2	6	27	74	4	8	3	230	312	352	664	122	297	25	9	300	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2036	26	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	294	261	60	10	2	6	27	74	4	8	3	230	312	354	665	123	296	25	9	300	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2037	27	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	289	256	59	10	2	6	27	73	4	8	3	229	311	351	661	122	296	25	9	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2038	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	286	254	57	10	2	5	26	73	4	7	3	227	309	346	654	119	295	26	9	296	85	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2039	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	278	248	56	10	2	5	25	72	3	7	3	225	306	339	645	115	293	26	9	292	83	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2040	30	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	274	244	54	9	2	5	25	72	3	7	3	221	302	331	633	110	291	26	9	287	79	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2041	31	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	263	234	51	9	2	4	24	70	3	6	4	217	297	320	617	104	288	27	9	281	75	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2042	32	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	275	246	53	9	2	4	24	74	3	6	5	211	291	308	598	96	284	27	9	273	70	-10	-1	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3922	3487	781	137	28	66	357	1008	50	102	42	224	305	336	641	112	294	26	9	291	81	-84	+4	-6	+70	+85	7.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	130	23	5	11	59	167	8	17	7	225	305	339	644	114	296	26	9	291	81	-14	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7413	6567	1463	261	57	112	684	1911	93	191	78	223	305	331	636	108	295	26	9	287	81	-160	+7	-10	+130	+158	12.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	129	23	5	10	60	168	8	17	7	224	306	333	639	109	296	26	9	287	81	-14	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.1	4,029	62	103	224	302	333	+72	+36	10.1	8.4
/162	664	10	17	+11.9	+5.9	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kenneth Melendez (OGILVIE)	17	—	—	—	—	207/287/282	75	288	1	2	27%	9%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Keiberg Camacaro 2024 · A	17	37	38→40	49→60	41	178/262/262	84	282	5	12	36%	8%	52	-2.2	178/283/253	75	253	4	14	28%	10%	59	-1.7	159/287/230	71	209	5	23	24%	12%	55	-0.5
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	42→51	37→50	51→55	58	197/311/267	70	262	5	9	24%	13%	72	-0.7	215/290/330	115	309	10	14	31%	9%	77	-0.3	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	43→50	38→50	51→65	51	204/279/286	82	265	5	10	24%	9%	62	-1.4	201/264/285	84	268	5	34	25%	7%	56	-1.9	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Angel Cepeda 2024 · A	18	45→43	37→45	52→55	46	205/294/283	79	301	4	9	30%	9%	68	-1.0	205/276/298	93	338	8	17	38%	7%	64	-1.3	200/276/300	101	335	10	19	40%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	40	36→45	51→60	50	186/273/253	67	253	2	13	25%	9%	54	-2.0	202/271/287	85	305	6	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6

Kenneth Melendez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps