Jonathan Martinez2B Hill City Howlers
Age 19 S/R 5'9" / 131 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION148 act + 98 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .274 / .274
PA98
HR1
SB5
K%35
BB%10
BABIP290
ISO91
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -12.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: +3.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +7.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.50.70.80.90.90.90.80.6+$40M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 37
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER37
scouting grade only
EYE61
scouting grade only
SPEED70
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.9$2M+$2M
2034Arb-1$2M+0.9$2M+$1M
2035Arb-2$3M+0.8$2M+$0.6M
2036Arb-3$3M+0.6$1M+$0.1M
Totals $10M $11M +$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202316 ROKDSL Guardians Red 179154 22420 18617 164 143263195457 52237 3410 222 28
202316 ROKDSL Guardians Red 179142 35632 30417 164 246402373775 127333 2317 360 134
202417 ROKACL Guardians 7563 10300 9252 72 159284206490 48256 3312 244 45
202417 ROKACL Guardians 7557 14500 15172 72 246419333752 88341 2320 353 129
202518 ROKACL Guardians 129116 25420 8352 163 216278284562 69298 276 249 49
202518 ROKACL Guardians 129111 32531 13262 163 288373414787 126356 2010 347 123
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ACLE 148129 23412 18741 171 178284271555 93396 5012 259 56 -7 +3 +0 +1 +4 0.0
YTD19 ACLE 148118 30622 29521 171 254405390795 136438 3520 366 138 +6 +3 +0 +1 +4 1.4
ROS19 ACLE 0% 9887 16311 10351 51 183274274547 91291 3510 253 52 -5 +1 +0 +0 +3 -0.2
ROS19 MLBCLE 0% 01 0000 000 00 291 246 46 +0 +0
FULL19 ACLE 148130 23412 18741 171 177284269553 92389 5012 259 56 -7 +3 +0 +1 +4 0.0
TOT19 ACLE 246216 39723 281092 222 180280272552 92344 4411 257 55 -13 +4 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBCLE 34% 285252 49924 28953 101 194283294576 99296 3310 269 64 -12 +2 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
202821 MLBCLE 48% 397350 731437 391285 132 209297326623 117297 3210 279 72 -13 +2 +0 +1 +11 0.2
202922 MLBCLE 54% 474418 871639 471506 152 208297325623 117298 3210 285 76 -13 +2 +0 +2 +13 0.5
203023 MLBCLE 57% 523460 9718311 521636 162 211299335634 124298 3110 289 79 -12 +2 +0 +2 +15 0.7
203124 MLBCLE 57% 555488 10419412 551727 172 213302342644 129299 3110 291 81 -12 +3 +0 +2 +16 0.8
203225 MLBCLE 57% 572503 10820412 571777 182 215303342645 127299 3110 292 81 -12 +3 +0 +2 +16 0.9
203326 MLBCLE 56% 580510 10820412 581797 183 212301337638 125299 3110 292 82 -12 +2 +0 +2 +16 0.9
203427 MLBCLE 55% 581510 10820412 591807 183 212302337639 125299 3110 292 82 -12 +2 +0 +2 +16 0.9
203528 MLBCLE 55% 577506 10720412 591807 172 211302338640 126298 3110 291 81 -12 +3 -1 +2 +16 0.8
203629 MLBCLE 53% 567497 10419312 581787 162 209301332633 123297 3110 289 79 -13 +2 -1 +2 +16 0.6
203730 MLBCLE 57% 556487 10119311 571767 152 207299326626 119296 3210 286 77 -14 +2 -2 +2 +16 0.4
203831 MLBCLE 60% 542475 9818311 561736 142 206298326624 120293 3210 282 74 -16 +2 -3 +2 +15 0.1
202720 MLBCLE 34% 9887 17311 10331 30 195286287573 92297 3410 261 58 -5 +1 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
202821 MLBCLE 48% 192169 35713 19622 61 207295314608 107298 3210 270 65 -8 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
202922 MLBCLE 54% 257227 48925 25813 81 211298335633 123298 3210 276 70 -9 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.1
203023 MLBCLE 57% 296261 551026 29924 91 211299333633 123299 3110 280 72 -9 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.2
203124 MLBCLE 57% 314276 591127 31974 101 214302344646 130299 3110 282 74 -9 +2 +0 +1 +9 0.2
203225 MLBCLE 57% 323284 601127 321004 101 211300338638 127300 3110 283 75 -9 +2 +0 +1 +9 0.3
203326 MLBCLE 56% 328288 621227 331014 101 215305344648 128299 3110 283 75 -9 +2 +0 +1 +9 0.3
203427 MLBCLE 55% 322282 601127 331004 101 213304340645 128299 3110 283 75 -9 +2 +0 +1 +9 0.3
203528 MLBCLE 55% 317278 591127 32994 91 212303342644 129298 3110 282 74 -9 +1 -0 +1 +9 0.2
203629 MLBCLE 53% 303265 551026 31954 91 208300328628 121297 3110 280 73 -9 +1 -1 +1 +9 0.1
203730 MLBCLE 57% 317278 581126 321004 91 209299327627 119296 3210 277 71 -11 +1 -1 +1 +9 -0.0
203831 MLBCLE 60% 323283 581126 331034 81 205297322618 117293 3210 274 68 -12 +1 -2 +1 +9 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 33902979 6261172268 340106342 10111 210300333633 123299 3110 279 72 -108 +16 -4 +12 +96 1.2
/ 162G 650571 11922413 652048 192 208298329627 121296 3110 279 72 -21 +3 -1 +2 +18 0.2
Career 66905876 121722645126 670210787 23135 207298325623 118296 3110 284 75 -185 +32 -7 +24 +190 5.4
/ 162G 650571 11822412 652058 223 207296322618 116297 3210 284 75 -18 +3 -1 +2 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202316 ROKDSL Guardians Red 179142 35632 30417 164 246402373775 127333 2317 360 134 +7 +2 +5 1.4
202417 ROKACL Guardians 7557 14500 15172 72 246419333752 88341 2320 353 129 +2 +1 +2 0.5
202518 ROKACL Guardians 129111 32531 13262 163 288373414787 126356 2010 347 123 +3 +2 +4 0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#3Jace Petersonlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA
102,7534277228318337+4+55.36.0
/1626641019+1.0+1.31.3pk7: 7
#4Chris Owingslast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA
92,4203578239286365+13-03.74.5
/1626641021+3.6-0.11.0pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,54671106210296332+13+73.43.3
/1626641320+2.4+1.30.6pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jonathan Martinez (OGILVIE) 19 20→25 32→37 65→70 61 180/280/272 92344 322 44% 11% 55 -0.1
Jodaneli Carvajal
2010 · A
18 43 38→30 62→55 43 207/259/290 83274 420 25% 6% 50 -1.8 213/265/278 65272 217 21% 6% 48 -1.9 212/263/2685626721820%5%42-0.8
Dalton Pompey
2012 · A
19 39→49 41→45 56→55 45 193/266/287 94270 917 30% 8% 53 -1.5 217/281/315 98303 721 28% 8% 66 -0.6 259/316/35910033172922%7%87+0.7
Roberto Caro
2015 · A
21 45→38 38→40 63→60 49 212/292/308 96281 321 24% 9% 69 -0.4 201/272/280 79302 216 31% 8% 53 -1.5 212/285/2927932822633%8%59-0.5
Ernesto Manzanillo
2008 · A
19 43 39→40 58→50 45 204/276/291 87296 615 31% 8% 57 -1.2 219/285/316 97323 614 31% 8% 67 -0.5 224/266/3159132451131%5%56-0.5
Jose Acosta
2019 · A
19 39 37→45 53→55 47 185/259/257 72250 414 26% 8% 42 -2.3 225/287/323 98318 619 29% 7% 70 -0.3 201/262/323122304122136%6%57-0.6
Alberto Figuereo
2019 · A
19 45 35→30 61→60 47 209/277/273 64266 125 21% 7% 53 -1.5 205/263/266 61283 214 26% 6% 45 -2.1 195/238/226312680926%4%20-0.7
Jeremy Arocho
2018 · A
19 43→46 38→30 53→60 41 203/260/286 83285 412 29% 6% 49 -1.8 223/283/291 68291 211 22% 7% 59 -1.1 217/330/2614529713424%14%71-0.2
Carlos Willoughby
2009 · A
20 49→42 34→40 59→60 50 223/307/278 55297 125 23% 9% 68 -0.5 226/305/299 73287 226 20% 8% 72 -0.2 217/294/2907427222719%8%62-0.6
Ian Lewis Jr.
2023 · A
20 46→41 40→45 57→60 42 218/276/313 95301 717 29% 7% 63 -0.9 213/275/311 98289 722 27% 7% 63 -0.9 205/269/314109262103425%7%58-0.7
Johan Mieses
2015 · A
20 43→33 42→55 60→50 42 208/261/317 109274 822 26% 6% 57 -1.2 191/237/342 151271 188 36% 5% 55 -1.4 195/270/37718223727730%7%75-0.0
Pedro Toribio
2010 · A
20 42 36→40 55→60 47 199/265/272 73259 317 23% 8% 47 -1.9 229/276/321 92283 423 20% 6% 64 -0.8 258/292/37011230943117%4%81+0.1
Alen Hanson
2012 · A
19 46→51 39→50 58→60 44 218/271/315 96273 419 21% 6% 61 -1.0 232/280/372 140293 1120 24% 6% 79 +0.3 252/286/391139300123020%4%83+0.4
Jett Williams
2023 · A
19 45→46 41→45 56→55 43 214/285/313 99288 714 27% 7% 68 -0.5 203/314/320 117299 923 31% 12% 83 +0.6 201/310/335134289102630%12%81+0.3
Charlie Culberson
2008 · A
19 45→49 37→45 60→50 41 210/271/293 83300 418 30% 6% 56 -1.3 213/257/291 78286 511 26% 4% 49 -1.8 254/306/42216832418926%6%98+0.7
Luis Barahona
2013 · A
19 40 35→30 53→50 43 190/243/255 65258 113 26% 6% 33 -2.9 217/273/280 63297 212 26% 7% 53 -1.5 233/290/2824931301724%6%57-0.5
Juan Mosquera
2007 · A
19 38 35→30 49→55 44 180/246/238 57263 315 31% 8% 30 -3.1 201/290/246 45281 114 26% 10% 53 -1.5 210/308/2372728001722%11%56-0.4
Emmanuel Morel
2016 · A
19 45 35→30 53→55 49 207/286/270 62293 217 28% 9% 56 -1.3 187/257/246 59306 215 36% 8% 38 -2.6 139/207/1733425101741%7%-4-1.2
Gilbert Gomez
2011 · A
19 40→35 37→40 54→50 44 191/258/270 80263 418 28% 7% 45 -2.1 201/265/282 81295 59 31% 7% 50 -1.7 191/271/264742963733%9%45-1.3
Jose Astudillo
2023 · A
19 44 37→30 54→50 47 207/264/281 74251 314 19% 6% 50 -1.8 245/295/318 73283 314 14% 5% 72 -0.2 293/336/3909732081910%4%104+0.6
Gabriel Ovalle
2015 · A
20 36 35→40 57→60 41 173/225/241 68239 115 27% 6% 22 -3.7 188/252/246 58261 115 26% 7% 35 -2.8 179/270/2163722403218%9%34-0.9