Jonathan Martinez

2B Hill City Howlers
Age 20 S/R 5'9" / 131 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1529ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKCLE75.246/.419/.3330755—.177/.311/.226
202518ROKCLE129.288/.373/.41411655—.216/.278/.310
202619ACLE253.250/.440/.37833387—.199/.345/.291
2027PROJMLE20MLBCLE363.181/.297/.26741166-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBCLE70.188/.302/.2861272-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBCLE150.194/.306/.30125770.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Chase%99
BB%98
Speed94
wRC+87
wOBA86
ISO48
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 7.0, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 85%
CompsJonatan Clase (age 20) · Roberto Caro (age 21) · Johan Mieses (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 149 proj PA
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .294 / .265
PA149
HR2
SB5
K%32
BB%13
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.30.30.30.20.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 38
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER38
scouting grade only
EYE72
scouting grade only
SPEED74
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2035Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-2$1M———
2037Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $3M $3M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202316 ROKDSL Guardians Red — 179142 35632 30417 164 246402373775 127333 2317 360 38 — — — — — —
202417 ROKACL Guardians — 7557 14500 15172 72 246419333752 88341 2320 353 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Guardians — 129111 32531 13262 163 288373414787 126356 2010 347 55 — — — — — —
202619 AHill City Howlers — 253188 471123 61783 333 250440378818 128407 3124 381 87 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202316 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Red — 179152 22420 20517 164 145274197471 53208 2811 224 38 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 7562 11300 10252 72 177311226537 48272 3313 250 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 129116 25421 8362 163 216278310588 95279 286 249 55 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHill City Howlers — 253206 41922 431063 333 199345291637 92390 4217 297 87 — — — — — —
202316 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Red — 179152 22420 20517 164 145274197471 53218 2811 224 38 — — — — — —
202316 ROK RAWDSL Guardians Red — 179142 35632 30417 164 246402373775 127333 2317 360 38 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 7562 11300 10252 72 177311226537 48289 3313 250 55 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 7557 14500 15172 72 246419333752 88341 2320 353 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 129116 25421 8362 163 216278310588 95293 286 249 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 129111 32531 13262 163 288373414787 126356 2010 347 55 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHill City Howlers — 253206 41922 431063 333 199345291637 92394 4217 297 87 — — — — — —
202619 A RAWHill City Howlers — 253188 471123 61783 333 250440378818 128407 3124 381 87 — — — — — —
202316 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Red — 179150 22420 20517 164 147274200474 53208 2811 224 38 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 7563 11300 10252 72 175311222533 48272 3313 250 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 129118 25421 8362 163 212278305583 93279 286 249 55 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHill City Howlers — 253205 41922 431063 333 200345293638 93390 4217 297 87 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 7563 11300 10252 72 175311222533 48272 3313 250 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 129118 25421 8362 163 212278305583 93279 286 249 55 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHill City Howlers — 253205 41922 431063 333 200345293638 93390 4217 297 87 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECLE 0% 363309 561124 471164 112 181297267564 86270 3213 266 66 -15 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECLE 34% 203173 32613 26632 71 188302287590 99273 3113 275 72 -7 +1 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
202922 MLB MLECLE 48% 310265 521025 39943 102 194306302609 108275 3013 282 77 -8 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.1
203023 MLB MLECLE 54% 390334 661327 491164 132 199309314623 115276 3013 287 81 -9 +2 +0 +1 +8 0.3
203124 MLB MLECLE 55% 440377 771529 551295 143 202311322633 120278 2912 291 83 -9 +2 +0 +2 +10 0.4
203225 MLB MLECLE 56% 467402 8316210 571355 153 205312328640 123279 2912 293 85 -9 +2 +0 +2 +10 0.5
203326 MLB MLECLE 56% 481414 8516310 591395 163 205312327639 122279 2912 293 84 -9 +2 +0 +2 +10 0.5
203427 MLB MLECLE 55% 485417 8416210 601415 153 204311324635 121278 2912 292 83 -10 +2 +0 +2 +11 0.5
203528 MLB MLECLE 55% 482415 831629 591415 143 202309319628 118277 2912 289 82 -11 +2 -1 +2 +10 0.3
203629 MLB MLECLE 53% 472406 801529 581395 132 199306313619 114275 2912 285 79 -12 +2 -1 +2 +10 0.1
203730 MLB MLECLE 53% 460397 781528 561374 122 196302305607 109273 3012 280 76 -13 +2 -2 +2 +10 -0.2
202821 MLB CTXCLE 34% 7060 11201 9221 20 188302286588 98273 3113 275 72 -2 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.0
202922 MLB CTXCLE 48% 150128 25512 19452 51 194306301607 107275 3013 282 77 -4 +1 +0 +1 +3 0.0
203023 MLB CTXCLE 54% 212181 36714 27632 71 199309312621 114276 3013 287 81 -5 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.1
203124 MLB CTXCLE 55% 244209 42815 30713 81 202311321632 118278 2912 291 83 -5 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.3
203225 MLB CTXCLE 56% 261224 46915 32753 91 205312326638 121279 2912 293 85 -5 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.3
203326 MLB CTXCLE 56% 271233 48916 33783 92 205312326638 121279 2912 293 84 -5 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.3
203427 MLB CTXCLE 55% 268230 46915 33783 92 204311323634 119278 2912 291 83 -5 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.3
203528 MLB CTXCLE 55% 264227 46915 32773 81 202309318627 117277 2912 288 82 -6 +1 -0 +1 +6 0.2
203629 MLB CTXCLE 53% 252216 43815 31743 71 199306312618 113275 2912 285 79 -6 +1 -1 +1 +5 0.0
203730 MLB CTXCLE 53% 242209 41814 29722 61 196302304606 108273 3012 280 76 -7 +1 -1 +1 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22341917 38474942 27565525 7011 200309314623 114278 2912 288 78 -50 +10 -2 +8 +48 1.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650558 11222312 801917 203 201309315624 115279 2912 288 78 -15 +3 -1 +2 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 49754263 8431632785 618149959 20637 198308308616 111280 3012 284 78 -101 +17 -4 +15 +94 2.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650557 11021411 811968 275 197308309617 111280 3012 284 78 -15 +3 -1 +2 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHill City Howlers · 253 PAwOBA .375 → .297 (−77)K% 30.8% → 41.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.83%÷1.000×1.360——41.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA24.11%÷1.000×0.690—×1.03017.14%
HBP% /PA1.19%—×0.780—×1.0300.95%
Singles /BIP28.18%÷1.000×0.920×1.041×1.03027.79%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.830×1.041×1.0308.90%
Triples /BIP1.82%÷1.000×0.910×1.041×1.0301.77%
Home runs /BIP2.73%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0302.25%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .375 → .297; ISO .128 → .103; BABIP .407 → .390. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Guardians · 129 PAwOBA .346 → .249 (−97)K% 20.2% → 27.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.16%÷1.041×1.440——27.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.08%÷1.018×0.620—×1.0086.18%
HBP% /PA1.55%—×0.720—×1.0081.12%
Singles /BIP27.06%÷0.985×0.820×0.975×1.00822.11%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷0.982×0.720×0.975×1.0084.23%
Triples /BIP3.53%÷1.075×0.720×0.975×1.0082.32%
Home runs /BIP1.18%÷1.388×0.780—×1.0080.67%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 97, 2B 96, 3B 115, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .346 → .249; ISO .126 → .082; BABIP .356 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Guardians · 75 PAwOBA .351 → .250 (−100)K% 22.7% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.67%÷0.988×1.440——33.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷0.998×0.620—×1.02212.71%
HBP% /PA2.67%—×0.720—×1.0221.96%
Singles /BIP22.50%÷0.982×0.820—×1.02219.20%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.054×0.720—×1.0228.73%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.935×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.984×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 87, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .351 → .250; ISO .088 → .060; BABIP .341 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Guardians Red · 179 PAwOBA .350 → .224 (−126)K% 22.9% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.91%÷0.984×1.220——28.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.20%÷1.015×0.700—×1.02211.42%
HBP% /PA3.91%—×0.700—×1.0222.80%
Singles /BIP23.76%÷1.060×0.680×0.970×1.02215.12%
Doubles /BIP5.94%÷0.987×0.600×0.970×1.0223.58%
Triples /BIP2.97%÷0.900×0.600×0.970×1.0221.96%
Home runs /BIP1.98%÷2.400×0.470—×1.0220.40%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 380, 1B 112, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .350 → .224; ISO .127 → .063; BABIP .333 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).