Keiner Delgado
2B Altoona Curve| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | APIT | 381 | .231/.318/.347 | 8 | 25 | 45 | — | .190/.261/.277 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+PIT | 514 | .243/.371/.389 | 14 | 24 | 71 | — | .206/.296/.321 |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 556 | .247/.352/.374 | 13 | 30 | 87 | — | .239/.319/.346 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBPIT | 4 | .204/.286/.305 | 0 | 0 | 71 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 24 | MLBPIT | 112 | .208/.290/.315 | 2 | 4 | 74 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ35% MLB | 25 | MLBPIT | 184 | .210/.292/.322 | 4 | 7 | 77 | 0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 238 | 168 | 52 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 28 | 10 | 34 | 8 | 310 | 508 | 506 | 1.014 | 196 | 353 | 12 | 24 | 451 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 239 | 198 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 36 | 7 | 293 | 414 | 485 | 899 | 192 | 314 | 13 | 15 | 401 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 381 | 337 | 78 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 83 | 10 | 25 | 6 | 231 | 318 | 347 | 666 | 116 | 285 | 22 | 9 | 304 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 514 | 424 | 103 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 73 | 112 | 13 | 24 | 2 | 243 | 371 | 389 | 760 | 146 | 298 | 22 | 14 | 346 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 75 | 63 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 222 | 347 | 302 | 648 | 79 | 271 | 19 | 13 | 307 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 453 | 384 | 96 | 19 | 0 | 11 | 53 | 92 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 250 | 351 | 385 | 736 | 135 | 297 | 20 | 12 | 329 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 28 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 393 | 391 | 784 | 130 | 263 | 11 | 18 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 238 | 184 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 35 | 10 | 34 | 8 | 185 | 364 | 283 | 647 | 98 | 211 | 15 | 18 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 239 | 211 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 47 | 5 | 36 | 7 | 213 | 305 | 332 | 637 | 118 | 248 | 20 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 381 | 347 | 66 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 116 | 10 | 25 | 6 | 190 | 261 | 277 | 537 | 86 | 258 | 30 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 514 | 452 | 93 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 148 | 13 | 24 | 2 | 206 | 296 | 321 | 617 | 115 | 269 | 29 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 75 | 66 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 212 | 307 | 288 | 595 | 76 | 263 | 23 | 9 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 453 | 399 | 97 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 112 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 243 | 321 | 356 | 677 | 113 | 303 | 25 | 9 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 238 | 184 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 35 | 10 | 34 | 8 | 185 | 364 | 283 | 647 | 98 | 220 | 15 | 18 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 238 | 168 | 52 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 28 | 10 | 34 | 8 | 310 | 508 | 506 | 1.014 | 196 | 353 | 12 | 24 | 451 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 239 | 211 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 47 | 5 | 36 | 7 | 213 | 305 | 332 | 637 | 118 | 252 | 20 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Yankees | — | 239 | 198 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 36 | 7 | 293 | 414 | 485 | 899 | 192 | 314 | 13 | 15 | 401 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 381 | 347 | 66 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 116 | 10 | 25 | 6 | 190 | 261 | 277 | 537 | 86 | 267 | 30 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 381 | 337 | 78 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 83 | 10 | 25 | 6 | 231 | 318 | 347 | 666 | 116 | 285 | 22 | 9 | 304 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 514 | 452 | 93 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 148 | 13 | 24 | 2 | 206 | 296 | 321 | 617 | 115 | 276 | 29 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 514 | 424 | 103 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 73 | 112 | 13 | 24 | 2 | 243 | 371 | 389 | 760 | 146 | 298 | 22 | 14 | 346 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 556 | 491 | 117 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 136 | 9 | 30 | 8 | 238 | 318 | 342 | 660 | 104 | 306 | 24 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 556 | 470 | 116 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 68 | 109 | 9 | 30 | 8 | 247 | 352 | 374 | 727 | 128 | 292 | 20 | 12 | 328 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 238 | 184 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 35 | 10 | 34 | 8 | 185 | 364 | 283 | 647 | 98 | 211 | 15 | 18 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 239 | 209 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 47 | 5 | 36 | 7 | 215 | 305 | 335 | 640 | 120 | 248 | 20 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 381 | 345 | 66 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 116 | 10 | 25 | 6 | 191 | 261 | 278 | 539 | 87 | 258 | 30 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 514 | 451 | 93 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 148 | 13 | 24 | 2 | 206 | 296 | 322 | 618 | 115 | 269 | 29 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 556 | 494 | 117 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 136 | 9 | 30 | 8 | 237 | 318 | 340 | 658 | 103 | 297 | 24 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 381 | 345 | 66 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 116 | 10 | 25 | 6 | 191 | 261 | 278 | 539 | 87 | 258 | 30 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 514 | 451 | 93 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 148 | 13 | 24 | 2 | 206 | 296 | 322 | 618 | 115 | 269 | 29 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 556 | 494 | 117 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 136 | 9 | 30 | 8 | 237 | 318 | 340 | 658 | 103 | 297 | 24 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | PIT | 2% | 620 | 552 | 113 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 53 | 149 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 205 | 286 | 310 | 596 | 105 | 255 | 24 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -22 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +13 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | PIT | 2% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 286 | 305 | 591 | 101 | 256 | 25 | 0 | 271 | 71 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | PIT | 23% | 487 | 434 | 90 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 116 | 8 | 18 | 4 | 209 | 290 | 320 | 610 | 111 | 258 | 24 | 9 | 278 | 74 | -15 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | PIT | 35% | 525 | 466 | 99 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 124 | 8 | 19 | 4 | 211 | 293 | 327 | 619 | 115 | 260 | 24 | 9 | 282 | 77 | -14 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | PIT | 42% | 547 | 486 | 103 | 18 | 1 | 12 | 48 | 129 | 8 | 19 | 5 | 213 | 294 | 330 | 625 | 118 | 261 | 24 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -14 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | PIT | 45% | 555 | 494 | 105 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 48 | 131 | 8 | 19 | 5 | 213 | 295 | 332 | 626 | 118 | 262 | 24 | 9 | 284 | 79 | -14 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | PIT | 47% | 555 | 494 | 105 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 48 | 132 | 8 | 17 | 4 | 213 | 294 | 331 | 625 | 118 | 263 | 24 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -14 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | PIT | 46% | 545 | 485 | 102 | 18 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 131 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 211 | 291 | 324 | 615 | 114 | 261 | 24 | 9 | 280 | 76 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | PIT | 46% | 534 | 476 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 130 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 208 | 287 | 316 | 604 | 109 | 259 | 24 | 9 | 275 | 72 | -18 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | PIT | 23% | 112 | 99 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 208 | 290 | 315 | 605 | 107 | 258 | 24 | 9 | 276 | 74 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | PIT | 35% | 184 | 163 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 43 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 210 | 292 | 322 | 614 | 111 | 260 | 23 | 9 | 280 | 77 | -5 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | PIT | 42% | 230 | 204 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 54 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 212 | 293 | 325 | 619 | 114 | 262 | 23 | 9 | 282 | 78 | -6 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | PIT | 45% | 249 | 221 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 59 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 212 | 294 | 327 | 620 | 114 | 263 | 24 | 9 | 282 | 79 | -6 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | PIT | 47% | 258 | 230 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 61 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 212 | 293 | 326 | 619 | 114 | 263 | 24 | 9 | 282 | 78 | -7 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | PIT | 46% | 253 | 225 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 61 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 210 | 290 | 320 | 610 | 110 | 262 | 24 | 9 | 278 | 76 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | PIT | 46% | 247 | 221 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 60 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 207 | 287 | 312 | 598 | 105 | 260 | 24 | 9 | 273 | 72 | -8 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1533 | 1363 | 286 | 54 | 0 | 31 | 133 | 365 | 24 | 47 | 12 | 210 | 291 | 318 | 609 | 108 | 262 | 24 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -43 | +5 | +3 | +5 | +33 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 121 | 23 | 0 | 13 | 56 | 155 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 209 | 290 | 317 | 607 | 107 | 262 | 24 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -18 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5886 | 5207 | 1097 | 193 | 14 | 118 | 524 | 1426 | 105 | 274 | 62 | 211 | 296 | 321 | 617 | 110 | 265 | 24 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -113 | +13 | +8 | +14 | +86 | 0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 121 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 58 | 157 | 12 | 30 | 7 | 210 | 296 | 322 | 618 | 111 | 265 | 24 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -18 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAltoona Curve · 453 PAwOBA .325 → .299 (−26)K% 20.3% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.31% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 8.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.043 | ×1.042 | 23.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.043 | ×1.042 | 6.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.043 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 3.06% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .325 → .299; ISO .135 → .118; BABIP .297 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 75 PAwOBA .300 → .263 (−37)K% 18.7% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 9.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 2.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.018 | ×1.050 | 22.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×1.050 | 3.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .300 → .263; ISO .079 → .063; BABIP .271 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 514 PAwOBA .337 → .273 (−64)K% 21.8% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.79% | ÷0.994 | ×1.310 | — | — | 28.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.81% | ÷0.980 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 8.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.53% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 2.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.44% | ÷0.950 | ×0.870 | ×0.998 | ×1.027 | 21.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | ×0.998 | ×1.027 | 4.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.025 | ×0.850 | ×0.998 | ×1.027 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.49% | ÷1.048 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 3.87% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .337 → .273; ISO .146 → .123; BABIP .298 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ABradenton Marauders · 381 PAwOBA .297 → .234 (−63)K% 21.8% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.78% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.66% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.62% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.44% | ÷0.977 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×1.030 | 21.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.33% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×1.030 | 3.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.052 | ×0.910 | ×0.976 | ×1.030 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.15% | ÷1.046 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.48% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 125, 3B 110, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .297 → .234; ISO .116 → .084; BABIP .285 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Yankees · 239 PAwOBA .391 → .276 (−116)K% 13.0% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.97% | ÷0.951 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.06% | ÷0.995 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 9.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.09% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.16% | ÷0.994 | ×0.820 | ×1.021 | ×1.008 | 18.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.19% | ÷1.106 | ×0.720 | ×1.021 | ×1.008 | 4.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×1.021 | ×1.008 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.79% | ÷1.383 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 2.72% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 177, 1B 99, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .391 → .276; ISO .192 → .117; BABIP .314 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 238 PAwOBA .445 → .298 (−147)K% 11.8% → 14.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.982 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 24.37% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 17.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.20% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.71% | ÷0.994 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 13.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.43% | ÷1.101 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.986 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 1.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.14% | ÷1.195 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.85% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 97, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .445 → .298; ISO .196 → .109; BABIP .353 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .