Jacob Berry — OGILVIE

Jacob Berry3B Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 25 S/R 5'11" / 212 lbs AAA HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION293 act + 195 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .300 / .327

PA195

HR3

SB9

K%21

BB%8

BABIP274

ISO103

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Arb-2	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$8M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	166	144	28	5	0	3	11	44	8	1	1	194	288	292	580	97	250	27	7	255	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	166	141	35	7	0	3	14	29	8	1	1	248	350	362	711	113	286	17	8	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	544	509	93	19	7	10	20	148	9	10	3	183	227	306	533	124	232	27	4	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	544	498	118	28	9	11	31	118	9	10	3	237	294	396	689	159	285	22	6	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	528	491	101	18	2	9	27	126	7	14	2	206	257	305	563	100	256	24	5	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	528	477	114	22	2	11	41	105	7	14	2	239	309	363	671	124	283	20	8	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	553	500	102	25	1	10	37	129	9	29	10	204	271	318	589	114	251	23	7	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	553	476	127	28	1	10	61	104	9	29	10	267	361	393	754	126	318	19	11	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	MIA	—	293	250	56	13	0	4	31	52	5	18	7	224	322	324	646	100	259	18	11	290	80	-7	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.4
YTD	25	AAA	MIA	—	293	235	59	15	0	4	46	43	5	18	7	251	385	366	751	115	282	15	16	340	118	+6	+1	+0	+1	+8	1.6
ROS	25	AAA	MIA	10%	195	174	39	9	0	3	16	41	3	9	3	224	300	327	627	103	268	21	8	285	76	-5	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
ROS	25	MLB	MIA	10%	20	18	4	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	222	300	278	578	56	263	20	10	270	65	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	25	AAA	MIA	—	313	268	60	14	0	4	33	56	5	19	7	224	320	321	641	97	260	18	11	289	79	-7	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.4
TOT	25	AAA	MIA	—	488	424	95	22	0	7	47	93	8	27	10	224	313	325	638	101	265	19	10	288	79	-12	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIA	35%	521	464	105	23	1	10	44	109	8	22	7	226	304	345	649	119	271	21	8	291	81	-11	+2	+0	+2	+15	0.7
2028	27	MLB	MIA	44%	535	476	107	23	1	10	46	113	8	23	8	225	304	340	644	116	272	21	9	294	83	-10	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.8
2029	28	MLB	MIA	49%	540	481	108	23	1	11	46	115	8	22	7	225	303	345	648	121	272	21	9	294	83	-10	+2	-1	+2	+15	0.8
2030	29	MLB	MIA	50%	539	480	108	23	1	11	47	116	7	20	7	225	303	346	649	121	272	22	9	293	82	-11	+1	-1	+2	+15	0.6
2031	30	MLB	MIA	51%	534	476	106	23	1	10	46	116	7	18	6	223	301	338	639	116	271	22	9	290	80	-12	+1	-2	+2	+15	0.4
2032	31	MLB	MIA	51%	528	470	104	22	1	10	46	116	7	15	5	221	300	336	636	115	268	22	9	286	77	-14	+1	-3	+2	+15	0.1
2033	32	MLB	MIA	51%	520	463	100	21	1	9	45	117	7	13	4	216	295	324	619	108	265	22	9	280	73	-16	+1	-4	+2	+15	-0.2
2027	26	MLB	MIA	35%	181	161	35	8	0	3	15	38	3	8	3	217	296	323	619	106	266	21	8	276	70	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	MIA	44%	236	211	47	10	1	4	20	50	3	10	3	223	299	336	636	114	267	21	8	279	72	-8	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2029	28	MLB	MIA	49%	264	235	52	11	1	5	23	56	4	11	4	221	302	340	642	119	268	21	9	280	72	-8	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.0
2030	29	MLB	MIA	50%	269	240	53	11	1	5	23	58	4	10	3	221	300	338	637	117	267	22	9	279	71	-9	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.0
2031	30	MLB	MIA	51%	270	241	53	11	1	5	23	59	4	9	3	220	299	336	635	116	266	22	9	276	69	-9	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
2032	31	MLB	MIA	51%	269	240	51	11	0	5	23	59	4	8	3	212	292	321	613	108	264	22	9	272	66	-10	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.3
2033	32	MLB	MIA	51%	266	237	49	10	0	4	23	60	4	6	2	207	288	300	587	93	260	23	9	267	62	-11	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1775	1583	344	73	4	31	152	384	26	63	21	217	296	327	624	110	266	22	9	275	69	-62	+4	-5	+6	+50	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	125	27	1	11	56	141	10	23	8	216	297	322	619	107	265	22	9	275	69	-23	+1	-2	+2	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	5703	5128	1101	234	17	106	431	1290	88	196	63	215	287	329	616	114	264	23	8	276	70	-196	+14	-10	+20	+162	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	126	27	2	12	49	147	10	22	7	216	288	330	618	115	265	23	8	276	70	-22	+2	-1	+2	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	148	125	33	7	0	3	13	23	7	1	1	264	366	392	758	128	294	16	9	340	118	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.7
2022	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	18	16	2	0	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	125	222	125	347		200	33	6	180	-4	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	123	113	28	5	1	5	9	26	0	5	0	248	303	442	746	195	277	21	7	326	108	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	345	317	72	19	7	4	16	70	8	5	1	227	282	369	651	142	275	20	5	287	78	-9	+1	—	—	+10	0.2
2023	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	76	68	18	4	1	2	6	22	1	0	2	265	333	441	775	176	356	29	8	339	118	+2	-1	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	23	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	103	91	22	4	1	2	10	18	0	2	0	242	317	374	690	132	274	17	10	305	92	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	425	386	92	18	1	9	31	87	7	12	2	238	307	360	667	122	285	20	7	302	89	-5	+2	—	—	+12	0.8
2025	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	469	406	106	28	1	8	49	87	8	27	8	261	352	394	746	133	310	19	10	334	114	+7	+2	—	—	+13	2.3
2025	24	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	84	70	21	0	0	2	12	17	1	2	2	300	410	386	795	86	365	20	14	363	136	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#4Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,787	34	63	224	298	340	+6	+2	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	12	23	224	298	340	+2.4	+0.6	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Berry (OGILVIE)	25	55	45	60	50	224/313/325	101	265	7	27	19%	10%	79	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Taylor Walls 2021 · AA	25	48→54	45	53→60	48	232/294/360	128	291	11	21	24%	8%	82	+0.5	204/293/328	124	272	12	19	27%	11%	76	+0.0	191/290/313	122	250	12	22	27%	12%	69	-0.3
✕Wilmer Difo 2017 · MLB	25	50→54	40→45	57→55	43	242/283/339	97	292	7	26	20%	5%	72	-0.2	237/293/335	98	292	8	17	20%	7%	75	-0.0	237/301/337	100	298	8	11	22%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Alen Hanson 2018 · MLB	25	47→51	43→50	59→60	42	233/269/350	118	279	10	30	21%	5%	69	-0.4	232/270/365	133	288	13	19	24%	5%	74	-0.1	239/276/379	141	297	12	18	23%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Kristopher Negrón 2011 · AAA	25	48→51	42→45	56→55	44	232/294/336	104	296	9	22	24%	6%	77	+0.1	201/251/301	100	272	9	18	29%	5%	50	-1.8	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2018 · MLB	25	49→59	39→45	52→55	45	235/288/323	88	299	6	21	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/292/331	103	311	9	16	28%	8%	75	-0.0	234/297/344	110	309	11	17	26%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Trevor Crowe 2009 · AAA	25	53→55	42→45	54→55	49	253/311/370	117	307	8	23	20%	7%	92	+1.2	243/296/342	99	294	6	23	18%	7%	78	+0.2	239/294/322	82	289	3	25	17%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Nate Tenbrink 2012 · AA	25	46→51	46→50	57→50	45	225/291/359	134	291	12	17	26%	8%	82	+0.5	227/296/377	150	329	16	13	33%	8%	89	+0.9	226/297/380	155	340	17	11	36%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Eric Patterson 2008 · AAA	25	50→55	44→50	57→60	46	244/293/369	125	295	11	25	21%	6%	84	+0.6	241/294/373	132	304	11	30	23%	7%	85	+0.7	239/296/379	140	306	11	36	24%	7%	85	+0.5
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2023 · MLB	24	48→51	43→45	58→60	44	235/288/354	119	298	9	27	24%	6%	79	+0.3	239/301/343	104	323	7	31	26%	8%	81	+0.4	240/313/341	101	332	7	39	27%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Tyler Saladino 2015 · AAA	26	48→47	41→45	55	46	232/291/332	100	294	8	20	23%	7%	74	-0.1	237/286/339	102	291	9	22	21%	6%	73	-0.1	225/286/324	99	288	10	17	24%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Alex Sanchez 2002 · MLB	25	47→57	44→40	56→65	50	227/289/351	124	268	10	23	19%	8%	79	+0.3	276/318/355	79	321	3	42	14%	6%	90	+1.0	289/324/358	68	334	2	47	13%	5%	91	+0.8
✕Oscar Castaneda 2008 · AAA	25	50	42→40	55	42	243/299/350	107	304	10	20	23%	5%	82	+0.5	222/283/303	81	279	6	11	21%	6%	63	-0.8	202/270/243	41	257	0	4	20%	7%	39	-0.5
✕Rosell Herrera 2018 · AAA	25	51→60	38→45	55	45	240/292/322	82	311	5	24	24%	7%	71	-0.3	232/286/342	110	295	7	15	23%	6%	74	-0.1	232/286/351	119	289	7	11	21%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Kyle Isbel 2022 · MLB	25	45→53	48→50	56→55	44	227/289/370	143	286	15	20	26%	7%	84	+0.6	231/286/374	143	286	13	16	23%	6%	83	+0.6	242/292/371	130	288	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.4
●Jason Pridie 2009 · AAA	25	48→54	45→50	57→55	37	238/268/367	129	306	11	19	26%	4%	72	-0.2	232/267/344	112	293	10	20	24%	4%	66	-0.6	243/290/391	148	303	17	19	25%	6%	86	+0.7
✕Shelby Ford 2009 · AA	24	50→51	43→50	59→50	42	238/287/367	129	295	7	17	22%	5%	81	+0.4	207/252/314	107	267	9	11	25%	4%	53	-1.5	187/233/280	93	240	9	10	26%	4%	34	-1.8
✕Brian Specht 2006 · AAA	25	48	47→50	51→55	45	238/289/379	140	285	13	18	22%	6%	85	+0.7	230/283/363	133	292	14	19	25%	7%	79	+0.3	207/266/316	108	269	13	34	27%	7%	55	-0.2
✕Josh Rojas 2019 · AAA	25	44→54	43→50	54→55	47	215/272/336	121	264	9	21	22%	7%	67	-0.5	235/304/374	139	292	13	21	23%	9%	91	+1.1	250/329/393	142	309	13	22	22%	10%	102	+1.8
✕Garrett Hampson 2021 · MLB	26	45→54	43→45	58→60	44	222/276/335	114	290	11	24	27%	7%	69	-0.4	217/279/327	110	285	9	21	26%	8%	68	-0.5	244/308/328	85	331	3	22	25%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Leo Rivas 2023 · AAA	25	44→54	40	53→65	46	213/282/304	90	289	8	20	28%	8%	63	-0.8	232/329/331	99	311	9	36	25%	12%	91	+1.1	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2