Collin Burns
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A+Aberdeen Iron… | 344 | .269/.339/.392 | 6 | 13 | 70 | — | .234/.284/.334 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA/A+/ROK3 orgs | 174 | .207/.308/.273 | 1 | 13 | 29 | — | .170/.244/.232 |
| 2024 | 24 | AABowie Baysox | 371 | .218/.295/.318 | 5 | 15 | 42 | — | .198/.257/.271 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 80 | 68 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 279 | 372 | 309 | 681 | 29 | 345 | 19 | 10 | 313 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Orioles Orange | — | 16 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 429 | 500 | 571 | 1.071 | 143 | 462 | 6 | 6 | 476 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 344 | 309 | 83 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 57 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 269 | 339 | 392 | 731 | 123 | 310 | 17 | 8 | 328 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 38 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 206 | 270 | 235 | 506 | 29 | 269 | 21 | 8 | 232 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 95 | 83 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 265 | 358 | 373 | 731 | 108 | 339 | 21 | 11 | 334 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | FCL Orioles | — | 41 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 61 | 225 | 61 | 286 | 83 | 24 | 12 | 165 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 371 | 330 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 81 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 218 | 295 | 318 | 613 | 100 | 272 | 22 | 8 | 278 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 80 | 71 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 268 | 333 | 296 | 629 | 28 | 329 | 25 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles Orange | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 375 | 357 | 732 | 71 | 358 | 6 | 6 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 344 | 320 | 75 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 75 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 234 | 284 | 334 | 618 | 100 | 286 | 22 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 38 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 200 | 243 | 229 | 472 | 29 | 271 | 26 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 95 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 218 | 284 | 322 | 606 | 103 | 293 | 28 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 41 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 150 | 29 | 179 | 64 | 37 | 7 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 371 | 339 | 67 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 102 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 198 | 257 | 271 | 528 | 74 | 261 | 27 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 96 | 85 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 271 | 340 | 306 | 646 | 35 | 348 | 22 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 96 | 82 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 305 | 394 | 354 | 747 | 49 | 368 | 17 | 9 | 340 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 344 | 320 | 75 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 75 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 234 | 284 | 334 | 618 | 100 | 289 | 22 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 344 | 309 | 83 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 57 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 269 | 339 | 392 | 731 | 123 | 310 | 17 | 8 | 328 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 174 | 157 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 51 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 172 | 244 | 229 | 473 | 57 | 245 | 29 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 174 | 150 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 38 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 207 | 308 | 273 | 581 | 67 | 268 | 22 | 10 | 272 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 371 | 339 | 67 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 102 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 198 | 257 | 271 | 528 | 74 | 271 | 27 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Bowie Baysox | — | 371 | 330 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 81 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 218 | 295 | 318 | 613 | 100 | 272 | 22 | 8 | 278 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 96 | 87 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 264 | 340 | 299 | 639 | 34 | 334 | 22 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 344 | 319 | 75 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 75 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 235 | 284 | 335 | 619 | 100 | 286 | 22 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 174 | 157 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 51 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 172 | 244 | 229 | 473 | 57 | 234 | 29 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 371 | 341 | 67 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 102 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 196 | 257 | 270 | 527 | 73 | 261 | 27 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 371 | 341 | 67 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 102 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 196 | 257 | 270 | 527 | 73 | 261 | 27 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 985 | 901 | 192 | 32 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 249 | 20 | 45 | 11 | 213 | 272 | 290 | 562 | 77 | 282 | 25 | 5 | 247 | 54 | -54 | +5 | +0 | +11 | +21 | -1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 126 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 164 | 13 | 30 | 7 | 212 | 271 | 287 | 558 | 76 | 279 | 25 | 5 | 247 | 54 | -36 | +3 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AABowie Baysox · 371 PAwOBA .272 → .231 (−41)K% 21.8% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.83% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.82% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.88% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | ×1.026 | ×1.012 | 20.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.062 | ×0.860 | ×1.026 | ×1.012 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.135 | ×0.950 | ×1.026 | ×1.012 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.01% | ÷1.249 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.27% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 127, K 94, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .272 → .231; ISO .100 → .073; BABIP .272 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 95 PAwOBA .326 → .257 (−68)K% 21.1% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷0.986 | ×1.310 | — | — | 27.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.982 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.11% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.98% | ÷1.037 | ×0.870 | ×1.026 | ×0.998 | 23.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.17% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | ×1.026 | ×0.998 | 2.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.17% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.026 | ×0.998 | 3.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.53% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .326 → .257; ISO .108 → .097; BABIP .339 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Orioles · 41 PAwOBA .166 → .106 (−60)K% 24.4% → 36.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.39% | ÷0.972 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.20% | ÷1.056 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 6.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 3.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.025 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 6.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 92, 3B 98, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .166 → .106; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .083 → .064. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABowie Baysox · 38 PAwOBA .226 → .210 (−16)K% 21.1% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷0.965 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 23.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.046 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 3.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.208 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 93, 2B 109, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .226 → .210; ISO .029 → .025; BABIP .269 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 344 PAwOBA .321 → .272 (−49)K% 16.6% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.57% | ÷0.991 | ×1.310 | — | — | 21.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.56% | ÷0.966 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.74% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.62% | ÷0.980 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 21.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷0.955 | ×0.780 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 6.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.964 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.029 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.06% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 93, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .321 → .272; ISO .123 → .105; BABIP .310 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 80 PAwOBA .313 → .275 (−38)K% 18.8% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.027 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.08% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×1.015 | 31.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.77% | ÷1.055 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×1.015 | 3.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 107, K 105, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .313 → .275; ISO .029 → .024; BABIP .345 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Orioles Orange · 16 PAwOBA .464 → .352 (−112)K% 6.2% → 9.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 9.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 3.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 4.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 24.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 10.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .464 → .352; ISO .143 → .103; BABIP .462 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).