Collin BurnsSS
Bowie Baysox
Age 26
L/R
5'11" / 187 lbs
AA
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.1 · 2028
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .271 / .310
PA250
HR4
SB6
K%28
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
37→37
PWR
34→34
SPD
55→55
EYE
40→40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-0.1M | $-12M | -$12M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 96 | 85 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 3 | .271 | .340 | .306 | .646 | .035 | .348 | 22 | 6 | .286 | 77 | -2 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 344 | 320 | 74 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 75 | 6 | 13 | 3 | .231 | .281 | .331 | .612 | .100 | .285 | 22 | 5 | .269 | 64 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | 3 teams | 174 | 157 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 52 | 4 | 13 | 0 | .172 | .244 | .229 | .473 | .057 | .248 | 30 | 6 | .210 | 19 | -16 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 371 | 339 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 107 | 7 | 15 | 5 | .186 | .246 | .251 | .497 | .065 | .260 | 29 | 5 | .226 | 31 | -29 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +11 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 250 | 228 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 69 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .211 | .274 | .311 | .586 | .101 | .278 | 28 | 7 | .265 | 61 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 11% | BAL | 269 | 244 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 73 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .213 | .281 | .328 | .609 | .115 | .280 | 27 | 7 | .271 | 66 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 22% | BAL | 319 | 289 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 86 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .215 | .282 | .329 | .610 | .114 | .281 | 27 | 7 | .274 | 68 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 34% | BAL | 344 | 312 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 93 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .212 | .279 | .321 | .599 | .109 | .280 | 27 | 7 | .274 | 68 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 44% | BAL | 359 | 325 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 98 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .212 | .281 | .320 | .601 | .108 | .279 | 27 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -13 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 58% | BAL | 357 | 324 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 99 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .207 | .274 | .312 | .586 | .105 | .278 | 28 | 7 | .269 | 64 | -15 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 76% | BAL | 347 | 315 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 98 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .210 | .276 | .317 | .594 | .108 | .276 | 28 | 7 | .264 | 60 | -16 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 93% | BAL | 322 | 292 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 93 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .205 | .273 | .308 | .581 | .103 | .275 | 29 | 7 | .259 | 56 | -16 | +1 | -4 | +3 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 281 | 256 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .195 | .262 | .285 | .547 | .090 | .273 | 30 | 7 | .253 | 52 | -15 | +1 | -5 | +3 | +8 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3833 | 3486 | 727 | 129 | 20 | 57 | 257 | 1048 | 55 | 97 | 20 | .209 | .274 | .306 | .580 | .098 | .279 | 27 | 7 | .261 | 58 | -181 | +11 | -20 | +41 | +109 | -4.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 591 | 123 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 178 | 9 | 16 | 3 | .208 | .273 | .306 | .580 | .098 | .278 | 27 | 7 | .261 | 58 | -31 | +2 | -3 | +7 | +18 | -0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 80 | 68 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 2 | .279 | .372 | .309 | .681 | .029 | .345 | 19 | 10 | .313 | 97 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Orioles Orange | 16 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .429 | .500 | .571 | 1.071 | .143 | .462 | 6 | 6 | .476 | 223 | +2 | -0 | — | — | +0 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 344 | 309 | 83 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 57 | 6 | 13 | 3 | .269 | .339 | .392 | .731 | .123 | .310 | 17 | 8 | .328 | 110 | +4 | +1 | — | — | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 38 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .206 | .270 | .235 | .506 | .029 | .269 | 21 | 8 | .232 | 36 | -3 | +1 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 95 | 83 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 0 | .265 | .358 | .373 | .731 | .108 | .339 | 21 | 11 | .334 | 114 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 41 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .061 | .225 | .061 | .286 | .000 | .083 | 24 | 12 | .165 | -15 | -5 | +1 | — | — | +1 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 371 | 330 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 81 | 7 | 15 | 5 | .218 | .295 | .318 | .613 | .100 | .272 | 22 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -12 | +1 | — | — | +11 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Collin Burns (OGILVIE) | 26 | 37 | 34 | 55 | 40 | .207/.271/.310 | .102 | .278 | 4 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 61 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA |
25 | 39→29 | 40→45 | 50→55 | 38 | .192/.256/.284 | .092 | .277 | 8 | 12 | 32% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .179/.255/.283 | .104 | .283 | 9 | 15 | 37% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .181/.273/.314 | .132 | .266 | 14 | 28 | 35% | 10% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→36 | 41→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .191/.255/.290 | .099 | .266 | 9 | 14 | 31% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .203/.269/.317 | .114 | .286 | 10 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .179/.252/.313 | .134 | .265 | 12 | 20 | 35% | 6% | 50 | -0.4 |
|
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA |
26 | 39→37 | 39→40 | 55 | 38 | .191/.239/.275 | .083 | .270 | 6 | 17 | 31% | 5% | 37 | -2.7 | .225/.279/.359 | .134 | .278 | 17 | 11 | 25% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .233/.280/.381 | .148 | .251 | 24 | 6 | 19% | 6% | 82 | +0.1 |
|
✕Adam Heisler 2014 · AAA |
26 | 44→45 | 38→40 | 54→55 | 45 | .211/.270/.295 | .084 | .276 | 5 | 19 | 25% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .222/.278/.320 | .098 | .290 | 7 | 16 | 24% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .240/.283/.355 | .115 | .295 | 6 | 17 | 20% | 5% | 70 | -0.1 |
|
✕Thomas Milone 2021 · AA |
26 | 48→46 | 41→45 | 56→55 | 41 | .228/.279/.337 | .110 | .312 | 7 | 16 | 28% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .227/.293/.351 | .124 | .339 | 11 | 16 | 33% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .219/.290/.342 | .123 | .335 | 12 | 17 | 35% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA |
26 | 45 | 42→45 | 51→50 | 41 | .218/.268/.325 | .106 | .285 | 9 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .227/.274/.372 | .145 | .296 | 16 | 18 | 28% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .222/.267/.379 | .157 | .284 | 19 | 22 | 29% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Daniel Lockhart 2019 · AA |
26 | 39→40 | 40→45 | 52→50 | 42 | .193/.241/.289 | .096 | .253 | 8 | 10 | 26% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .204/.256/.310 | .106 | .270 | 10 | 9 | 27% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .188/.239/.287 | .099 | .238 | 11 | 5 | 26% | 5% | 38 | -1.2 |
|
✕Michael Gigliotti 2022 · A |
26 | 45 | 41→40 | 54→55 | 44 | .216/.285/.318 | .103 | .296 | 8 | 21 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .208/.306/.322 | .114 | .289 | 11 | 21 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .196/.305/.296 | .100 | .267 | 9 | 24 | 27% | 11% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jason Christian 2012 · AA |
25 | 44 | 40 | 54→55 | 40 | .214/.260/.304 | .091 | .296 | 8 | 16 | 30% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .207/.263/.282 | .075 | .298 | 4 | 11 | 30% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .193/.267/.220 | .027 | .264 | 0 | 5 | 24% | 8% | 33 | -1.0 |
|
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA |
26 | 37 | 39→45 | 50→55 | 40 | .183/.248/.270 | .087 | .268 | 6 | 14 | 32% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .194/.274/.324 | .130 | .304 | 14 | 16 | 38% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .179/.266/.318 | .140 | .290 | 17 | 19 | 41% | 9% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA |
25 | 41 | 42→45 | 48→55 | 46 | .197/.276/.303 | .106 | .284 | 9 | 9 | 32% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.297/.325 | .110 | .300 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.305/.326 | .104 | .296 | 11 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Drew Jackson 2019 · AA |
26 | 42→45 | 44→45 | 50→55 | 43 | .210/.281/.323 | .113 | .279 | 11 | 17 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .198/.276/.314 | .116 | .288 | 12 | 20 | 33% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .181/.268/.277 | .096 | .287 | 10 | 25 | 37% | 9% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕JJ Muno 2021 · A |
27 | 42 | 40 | 52→60 | 41 | .200/.273/.289 | .089 | .289 | 7 | 16 | 31% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .196/.281/.293 | .097 | .286 | 9 | 25 | 33% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .177/.271/.264 | .087 | .263 | 9 | 35 | 33% | 7% | 48 | -0.9 |
|
✕Wes Darvill 2018 · AA |
26 | 40 | 40 | 48→45 | 45 | .195/.254/.285 | .090 | .251 | 8 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .204/.253/.296 | .092 | .290 | 8 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .167/.210/.223 | .056 | .238 | 6 | 0 | 31% | 5% | 7 | -1.3 |
|
✕Jax Biggers 2023 · AA |
26 | 45→49 | 39→45 | 51→50 | 44 | .216/.262/.306 | .089 | .267 | 6 | 14 | 21% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .210/.284/.307 | .097 | .282 | 8 | 14 | 26% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .198/.285/.282 | .084 | .273 | 7 | 14 | 28% | 10% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕LJ Talley 2023 · AAA |
26 | 45→47 | 46→45 | 53→50 | 44 | .227/.283/.352 | .125 | .283 | 13 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .220/.284/.338 | .118 | .280 | 12 | 12 | 25% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .188/.271/.281 | .093 | .237 | 10 | 12 | 24% | 10% | 50 | -0.6 |
|
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA |
26 | 44→43 | 44→40 | 55→50 | 41 | .215/.277/.335 | .120 | .309 | 11 | 19 | 33% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.295/.313 | .097 | .331 | 7 | 15 | 34% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.298/.290 | .083 | .327 | 6 | 17 | 34% | 10% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2023 · AAA |
25 | 42→43 | 42→40 | 53→50 | 47 | .203/.276/.304 | .102 | .285 | 9 | 12 | 31% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .206/.288/.308 | .102 | .305 | 9 | 15 | 32% | 10% | 68 | -0.5 | .196/.288/.293 | .097 | .294 | 9 | 17 | 33% | 11% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA |
26 | 44 | 40 | 54→55 | 38 | .209/.258/.302 | .093 | .306 | 7 | 22 | 33% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .219/.277/.326 | .107 | .317 | 11 | 16 | 32% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .205/.263/.288 | .083 | .295 | 11 | 13 | 33% | 6% | 49 | -0.5 |
|
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA |
25 | 40→41 | 43→45 | 53→55 | 44 | .197/.262/.307 | .110 | .269 | 10 | 17 | 30% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .203/.267/.307 | .104 | .282 | 9 | 19 | 29% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .189/.253/.289 | .100 | .259 | 8 | 25 | 29% | 7% | 44 | -1.6 |