Ian Lewis Jr. — OGILVIE

Ian Lewis Jr.SS Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 23 S/R 5'11" / 185 lbs AA HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION224 act + 149 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .256 / .301

PA149

HR3

SB11

K%22

BB%7

BABIP227

ISO110

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	161	153	35	7	3	2	7	34	1	9	4	229	267	353	620	124	282	21	4	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	161	149	45	10	5	3	11	24	1	9	4	302	354	497	851	195	344	15	7	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	213	191	41	5	2	2	16	68	3	16	1	215	286	293	579	79	315	32	8	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	213	185	49	7	3	2	22	45	3	16	1	265	352	368	720	103	333	21	10	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	477	434	86	17	4	5	33	129	5	33	10	198	263	290	553	92	268	27	7	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	477	423	95	19	6	5	44	98	5	33	10	225	305	333	638	109	280	21	9	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	283	256	62	14	3	5	20	64	4	32	8	242	307	379	686	137	300	23	7	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	283	248	69	14	3	6	28	46	4	32	8	278	361	431	792	153	317	16	10	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	MIA	—	224	203	38	4	1	7	16	48	1	24	5	187	250	320	570	133	208	21	7	246	46	-14	+3	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
YTD	23	AA	MIA	—	224	195	40	5	1	7	24	37	1	24	5	205	295	349	644	144	217	17	11	288	79	-5	+3	+0	+2	+6	0.6
ROS	23	AA	MIA	2%	149	136	26	4	1	3	11	33	1	11	2	191	256	301	557	110	225	22	7	254	53	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	MIA	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						221	33	0	244	45	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	MIA	—	227	206	38	4	1	7	16	49	1	24	5	184	247	316	562	131	205	22	7	246	46	-14	+3	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
TOT	23	AA	MIA	—	373	339	64	8	2	10	27	81	2	35	7	189	252	312	565	124	216	22	7	249	49	-22	+4	+0	+4	+11	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIA	31%	387	352	70	12	2	9	29	84	3	24	5	199	266	321	587	122	234	22	7	268	63	-16	+3	+0	+4	+11	0.2
2028	25	MLB	MIA	45%	427	388	79	14	2	11	32	93	4	26	6	204	271	335	606	131	239	22	7	276	70	-15	+3	+0	+5	+12	0.5
2029	26	MLB	MIA	51%	451	409	85	15	2	13	35	98	4	28	6	208	277	350	626	142	241	22	8	281	73	-14	+3	+0	+5	+13	0.7
2030	27	MLB	MIA	53%	458	415	86	15	2	13	36	100	4	28	6	207	277	347	624	140	242	22	8	282	74	-13	+3	+0	+5	+13	0.8
2031	28	MLB	MIA	53%	458	415	86	15	2	13	36	101	4	27	6	207	277	347	624	140	242	22	8	281	73	-14	+3	-1	+5	+13	0.7
2027	24	MLB	MIA	31%	120	109	22	4	1	3	9	26	1	7	2	202	269	339	608	138	230	22	8	258	55	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	MIA	45%	190	172	35	6	1	5	14	41	2	12	3	203	271	337	608	134	235	22	7	266	61	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	26	MLB	MIA	51%	230	208	42	7	1	6	18	50	2	14	3	202	272	332	604	130	237	22	8	270	65	-9	+2	+0	+2	+7	0.1
2030	27	MLB	MIA	53%	241	218	45	8	1	7	19	53	2	15	3	206	276	349	625	142	238	22	8	271	66	-9	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2031	28	MLB	MIA	53%	244	221	45	8	1	7	19	54	2	14	3	204	273	344	617	140	238	22	8	270	65	-10	+2	-0	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1028	931	189	33	5	28	79	225	9	62	14	203	272	339	611	136	236	22	8	268	63	-43	+7	-0	+11	+29	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	120	21	3	18	50	142	6	39	9	204	273	341	615	138	236	22	8	268	63	-27	+4	-0	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	3464	3149	656	118	23	76	255	804	33	234	54	208	275	333	607	124	253	23	7	272	67	-130	+25	-1	+37	+98	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	122	22	4	14	48	151	6	44	10	206	273	328	602	122	251	23	7	272	67	-24	+5	-0	+7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	161	149	45	10	5	3	11	24	1	9	4	302	354	497	851	195	344	15	7	373	143	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2022	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	213	185	49	7	3	2	22	45	3	16	1	265	352	368	720	103	333	21	10	324	106	+1	+3	—	—	+6	1.1
2023	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	477	423	95	19	6	5	44	98	5	33	10	225	305	333	638	109	280	21	9	289	79	-11	+3	—	—	+14	0.5
2025	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	116	105	33	8	1	0	8	17	1	19	3	314	368	410	778	95	367	15	7	344	122	+3	+3	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	167	143	36	6	2	6	20	29	3	13	5	252	355	448	803	196	275	17	12	356	131	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Billy Hamiltonlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,202 PA	7	3,202	23	295	240	294	328	+11	+78	11.2	11.2
	/162	664	5	61	240	294	328	+2.4	+16.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#4Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,031	28	63	208	274	347	+11	+6	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	18	40	208	274	347	+7.1	+3.9	0.9	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ian Lewis Jr. (OGILVIE)	23	45	50	60	45	189/252/312	124	216	10	35	22%	7%	49	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Tucker 2019 · AA	23	45→46	40→45	56→55	45	217/278/311	93	285	6	26	25%	7%	63	-0.9	217/277/331	114	284	9	15	25%	7%	68	-0.5	211/274/331	120	275	10	12	26%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Alen Hanson 2016 · AAA	23	46→51	45→50	59→60	40	229/262/356	127	280	11	25	23%	4%	67	-0.5	241/276/370	129	291	11	28	21%	4%	77	+0.1	252/286/391	139	300	12	30	20%	4%	83	+0.4
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	42→41	42→50	65→70	46	207/269/319	112	274	8	36	27%	8%	62	-0.9	208/276/333	125	274	13	50	28%	8%	69	-0.4	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	63→65	42	210/257/316	106	264	9	35	24%	5%	56	-1.3	242/284/347	105	305	8	37	22%	5%	74	-0.1	253/294/353	100	318	7	41	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Andrew Romine 2009 · A	23	47→56	37→45	57→55	46	224/278/300	76	277	4	28	20%	6%	60	-1.0	240/294/310	70	302	3	22	20%	7%	69	-0.4	243/301/335	91	300	7	19	20%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Lolo Sanchez 2022 · A	23	44→43	44→45	53→55	47	218/289/334	117	261	11	23	21%	7%	75	-0.0	201/273/289	88	246	9	13	21%	8%	56	-1.3	181/257/245	64	221	7	9	20%	8%	35	-1.1
✕Lucas Montero 2009 · A	24	46→50	42→40	60→55	47	226/285/327	101	279	9	32	22%	7%	70	-0.3	224/289/310	86	303	5	24	26%	8%	67	-0.5	228/296/308	80	314	4	24	27%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Felix Valerio 2023 · AA	22	41→46	44→45	53→55	48	205/275/321	115	245	12	23	21%	8%	66	-0.6	202/264/305	103	268	10	16	27%	7%	56	-1.3	190/252/280	90	261	8	13	29%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Wilmer Difo 2015 · A	23	50→54	44→45	56→55	45	247/288/364	117	282	11	23	17%	5%	81	+0.4	245/285/346	101	301	8	23	20%	5%	74	-0.1	237/301/337	100	298	8	11	22%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jacob May 2015 · A	23	48→55	39→40	59→60	43	231/278/328	97	296	5	26	23%	6%	67	-0.5	232/272/306	74	313	3	29	25%	5%	58	-1.2	228/268/289	61	315	2	33	27%	4%	48	-1.3
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	48	40	65→60	45	228/274/334	105	272	6	27	18%	6%	66	-0.6	250/279/329	79	309	3	23	19%	4%	66	-0.6	280/299/338	58	344	0	29	18%	2%	72	-0.1
✕Adam Engel 2015 · A	23	46→48	41→50	57→60	39	221/273/319	98	300	8	25	28%	5%	63	-0.8	202/259/302	100	296	7	30	32%	6%	53	-1.5	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Darnell Sweeney 2014 · A	23	47→48	43→50	59→55	40	228/275/350	122	313	9	26	29%	6%	72	-0.2	222/276/346	124	302	11	19	28%	7%	71	-0.3	215/271/335	120	286	11	18	28%	7%	64	-0.7
✕Jorge Mateo 2018 · AA	23	39→46	44→50	63→65	36	197/241/326	129	286	10	34	34%	5%	51	-1.7	198/238/314	116	291	8	24	34%	4%	46	-2.0	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Elliot Johnson 2006 · AA	22	46→53	44→45	59→60	39	226/272/343	117	302	11	28	28%	5%	69	-0.4	220/265/346	126	301	12	18	30%	5%	66	-0.6	234/287/347	113	305	11	30	26%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39	44→45	59→60	43	191/272/302	111	287	11	31	35%	8%	60	-1.0	201/274/322	121	279	12	35	31%	8%	66	-0.6	195/268/315	120	262	12	40	29%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	45	52→65	39	191/248/311	120	257	14	21	31%	6%	51	-1.7	219/287/347	128	293	11	39	27%	8%	77	+0.1	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Vidal Bruján 2021 · AA	23	51→58	41→45	60→65	48	243/301/349	105	291	8	34	19%	7%	82	+0.5	223/280/337	114	267	11	36	20%	7%	71	-0.3	214/288/314	100	265	7	24	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2019 · A	24	44→52	42→45	58→65	40	218/269/322	105	278	10	35	25%	5%	63	-0.9	215/268/316	101	286	10	38	27%	5%	60	-1.0	198/256/298	99	269	11	46	29%	5%	48	-1.0
✕Tito Polo 2017 · A	22	44→50	43→45	54→60	40	219/274/325	105	281	11	25	26%	5%	66	-0.6	222/274/329	107	300	9	28	28%	5%	66	-0.6	220/270/324	104	303	7	34	28%	5%	59	-0.4