Brayan Mendez

OF DSL Astros Blue

Age 18 R/R ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	29	.333/.500/.905	2	1	124	—	.217/.357/.565
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBHOU	139	.217/.306/.398	3	2	97	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBHOU	46	.225/.313/.410	1	1	100	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBHOU	139	.228/.316/.414	3	2	102	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAlfredo Duno (age 18) · Daniel Robertson (age 19) · Tyrone Taylor (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj PA

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .303 / .395

PA44

HR1

K%28

BB%11

ISO181

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$33M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	29	21	7	4	1	2	7	7	0	1	0	333	500	905	1.405	571	385	24	24	545	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	29	23	5	3	1	1	5	9	0	1	0	217	357	565	922	348	215	31	17	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	29	23	5	3	1	1	5	9	0	1	0	217	357	565	922	348	286	31	17	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	29	21	7	4	1	2	7	7	0	1	0	333	500	905	1.405	571	385	24	24	545	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	29	24	5	3	1	1	5	9	0	1	0	208	357	542	899	333	215	31	17	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	29	24	5	3	1	1	5	9	0	1	0	208	357	542	899	333	215	31	17	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	139	122	26	9	2	3	15	39	1	2	0	217	306	398	704	181	291	28	11	312	97	-0	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	135	119	26	9	2	3	14	37	1	2	1	221	310	402	712	182	292	27	10	315	100	-0	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	286	251	56	18	5	6	30	77	3	4	2	224	313	406	719	183	294	27	10	318	102	+1	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	403	354	79	25	6	9	42	107	4	6	2	226	315	410	724	184	295	27	10	321	103	+1	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.8
2031	22	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	487	428	97	30	7	11	51	128	5	8	3	228	316	412	728	184	295	26	10	322	104	+2	+0	+0	-3	+11	1.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	544	478	110	33	8	13	56	142	5	8	3	230	317	414	731	184	296	26	10	324	105	+3	+0	+0	-3	+12	1.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	581	510	118	36	8	14	60	151	6	9	4	231	318	416	734	185	297	26	10	324	106	+4	+0	+0	-3	+13	1.4
2034	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	603	530	123	37	9	15	62	157	6	9	4	231	318	416	734	185	297	26	10	325	106	+4	+0	+0	-4	+13	1.4
2035	26	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	615	541	125	38	9	15	63	160	6	9	4	231	318	416	734	185	296	26	10	325	106	+4	+0	+0	-4	+13	1.4
2036	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	617	542	125	38	9	15	64	162	6	8	4	229	317	413	730	184	296	26	10	323	105	+4	+0	+0	-4	+13	1.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	614	540	123	38	9	14	63	162	6	7	3	227	315	409	723	181	295	26	10	320	103	+2	+0	-1	-4	+13	1.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	605	533	120	37	8	14	62	162	5	4	3	225	312	402	714	178	293	27	10	317	100	+0	-0	-1	-4	+13	0.8
2039	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	595	524	116	36	8	13	61	161	5	2	2	222	308	395	703	173	291	27	10	312	97	-2	-0	-2	-4	+13	0.5
2040	31	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	582	513	112	35	8	12	59	160	5	2	2	217	303	385	688	167	288	27	10	306	93	-5	-0	-3	-3	+13	0.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	564	499	107	33	8	11	56	157	4	2	1	212	297	371	668	160	283	28	10	298	88	-8	+0	-4	-3	+12	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	46	41	9	3	1	1	5	13	0	1	0	225	313	410	723	185	300	28	11	320	100	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	139	122	27	9	2	3	15	38	1	2	1	228	316	414	730	186	301	27	11	323	102	+0	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	219	192	44	15	3	5	23	58	2	3	1	230	319	417	735	186	302	26	11	325	103	+1	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.5
2031	22	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	276	242	56	18	4	6	29	73	3	4	2	232	320	419	739	187	302	26	11	326	104	+1	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	313	275	64	20	5	7	32	82	3	5	2	234	321	421	742	187	303	26	10	328	105	+2	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	331	291	69	22	5	8	34	86	3	5	2	235	322	422	744	187	304	26	10	329	106	+2	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	342	301	70	22	5	8	35	89	3	5	2	235	322	423	745	188	304	26	10	329	106	+2	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.8
2035	26	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	348	306	72	23	5	8	36	91	3	5	2	235	322	423	744	188	303	26	10	329	106	+2	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	342	301	70	22	5	8	35	90	3	5	2	234	321	420	741	186	303	26	10	327	105	+2	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.8
2037	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	337	296	69	22	5	8	35	89	3	4	2	232	319	415	734	184	301	26	10	324	103	+1	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	324	285	66	21	5	7	33	87	3	2	1	229	316	409	725	180	300	27	10	321	100	+0	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	313	275	62	20	4	7	32	85	3	1	1	226	312	401	713	175	298	27	10	316	97	-1	-0	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2040	31	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	304	268	59	19	4	6	31	83	2	1	1	221	307	391	698	170	294	27	10	310	93	-2	-0	-1	-2	+7	0.1
2041	32	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	293	260	56	18	4	5	29	82	2	1	1	216	300	378	678	162	289	28	10	302	88	-4	-0	-2	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3927	3455	793	254	57	87	404	1046	34	44	20	230	316	412	728	182	301	27	10	322	101	+7	+1	-6	-24	+85	6.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	130	42	9	14	67	173	6	7	3	227	315	406	721	178	298	27	10	322	101	+1	+0	-1	-4	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7304	6424	1451	449	106	167	753	1944	67	82	38	226	314	407	720	181	295	27	10	318	101	+11	+1	-10	-44	+158	11.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	129	40	9	15	67	173	6	7	3	226	313	406	719	180	295	27	10	318	101	+1	+0	-1	-4	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Taylorlast yr '25 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,909 PA	5.9	3,909	110	91	248	327	419	-9	+4	15.9	16.4
/162	664	19	15	-1.6	+0.6	2.7	pk7: 17
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Willie Kirkland'58-'66 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	148	52	237*	302*	437*	-37	-0	8.1	8.5
/162	664	25	9	-6.3	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.0	3,970	90	45	227	310	407	-24	+0	9.4	8.1
/162	664	15	8	-4.0	+0.0	1.6	pk7: 7
#4Leroy Stanton'70-'78 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,883 PA	4.3	2,883	77	36	245*	314*	430*	-33	-1	6.5	7.8
/162	664	18	8	-7.7	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 9
#5Jimmy Walsh'12-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,100 PA	3.2	2,100	6	92	232*	326*	393*	-12	+5	5.0	5.0
/162	664	2	29	-3.9	+1.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Mendez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	216/303/395	179	291	1	1	28%	11%	97	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→56	46→45	52→40	49	227/301/367	141	268	12	6	20%	8%	90	+0.6	245/312/360	115	307	10	3	22%	7%	92	+0.7	256/329/366	110	321	8	2	21%	8%	96	+0.9
✕Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	49→54	43→60	51→55	43	237/286/361	125	297	8	12	23%	6%	82	-0.0	245/290/348	103	287	6	12	16%	5%	80	-0.2	243/299/456	214	281	25	12	23%	5%	111	+1.2
●Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	40→48	47→60	45→50	59	199/314/345	145	242	13	7	22%	13%	91	+0.6	215/297/369	154	311	16	6	33%	9%	89	+0.5	222/305/421	199	281	26	11	30%	10%	104	+1.3
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→53	47→45	52→55	43	223/289/361	138	311	13	9	31%	8%	84	+0.1	221/332/349	128	309	12	16	29%	12%	98	+1.2	226/338/346	120	294	12	19	24%	12%	96	+0.9
✕Walker Jenkins 2024 · A	19	53	45→50	53→55	45	257/305/391	134	308	11	11	20%	6%	95	+1.0	245/323/376	131	300	11	17	21%	9%	99	+1.3	248/332/390	141	301	14	20	21%	10%	103	+1.0
●Coby Mayo 2022 · A	20	49→48	49→60	55→45	47	243/314/397	154	308	17	13	26%	8%	101	+1.4	228/301/402	174	307	20	6	31%	8%	98	+1.2	225/308/413	188	297	21	4	30%	9%	101	+1.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2015 · A	19	45→42	49→55	53→50	48	225/303/385	160	297	15	8	28%	9%	95	+0.9	190/276/321	131	274	13	8	33%	10%	70	-0.8	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	55→52	47→55	59→50	43	262/316/407	145	351	12	16	28%	7%	103	+1.6	243/307/405	162	320	16	12	28%	7%	101	+1.4	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
●Sal Stewart 2024 · A	20	49→53	43→55	48→50	55	236/321/346	110	286	11	10	21%	11%	92	+0.7	249/321/397	148	298	16	12	21%	9%	104	+1.6	255/323/425	170	297	21	13	21%	8%	109	+1.8
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	51→61	47→60	53→55	40	248/291/391	143	329	13	8	28%	6%	91	+0.6	275/321/431	156	344	13	17	23%	6%	111	+2.1	296/338/473	177	346	22	13	20%	5%	129	+3.8
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2023 · A	19	47→57	43→50	49→45	44	228/296/339	111	277	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	253/309/380	127	305	13	7	21%	5%	95	+1.0	266/321/397	132	318	13	6	20%	5%	101	+1.1
✕Malcom Nuñez 2019 · A	18	48→47	49→45	51→45	49	239/309/391	152	277	16	6	20%	8%	98	+1.2	222/280/326	104	282	10	6	24%	6%	72	-0.7	231/300/352	121	297	15	4	26%	8%	82	+0.0
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2012 · A	19	46→56	44→50	49→45	42	228/282/343	116	302	12	4	28%	6%	76	-0.4	222/267/325	103	278	10	6	23%	6%	66	-1.1	255/309/403	148	298	17	1	20%	7%	101	+0.7
●Wil Myers 2010 · A	19	49→54	48→60	53→55	41	243/293/393	150	320	15	7	28%	6%	92	+0.7	247/317/397	150	321	15	8	26%	9%	102	+1.5	251/327/458	207	310	25	22	26%	10%	120	+2.7
✕Dorssys Paulino 2013 · A	18	49→50	46→45	56→45	42	242/283/384	142	306	12	11	25%	5%	86	+0.3	222/265/319	97	296	6	8	26%	5%	64	-1.3	242/297/349	107	319	9	8	26%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	49→51	44→50	48→55	46	237/306/359	122	312	12	12	27%	8%	89	+0.5	247/312/378	131	315	13	16	24%	7%	96	+1.0	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Marco Luciano 2021 · A	19	46→51	50	46→45	45	229/304/385	155	317	17	10	32%	8%	95	+1.0	213/279/361	148	307	18	5	35%	8%	80	-0.1	219/303/364	145	307	18	7	32%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Luis Matos 2021 · A	19	51→58	44→50	53→50	45	249/309/372	124	290	10	14	18%	5%	94	+0.9	242/288/368	126	279	13	13	18%	5%	84	+0.2	246/298/398	152	258	18	13	13%	6%	95	+0.7
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→51	41→60	55→50	47	222/293/320	98	273	8	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	223/272/331	108	291	10	16	26%	6%	70	-0.9	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4

Brayan Mendez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps