Player 837787 — OGILVIE

Player 8377871B FCL Braves

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION111 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .267 / .286

PA15

HR0

K%20

BB%7

BABIP297

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	ROK MLE	ATL	—	111	94	27	7	1	0	8	13	5	15	3	287	374	383	757	96	318	12	7	326	107	+1	+2	+0	-2	+2	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	ROK RAW	ATL	—	111	89	30	9	1	0	13	9	5	15	3	337	449	461	909	124	357	8	12	397	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	ROK MLE	ATL	0%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	214	267	286	552	71	297	20	7	291	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	ROK MLE	ATL	—	126	108	30	8	1	0	9	16	5	16	3	278	361	370	731	93	312	13	7	322	104	+1	+2	+0	-2	+3	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	251	226	54	12	2	2	18	51	5	10	1	239	309	336	646	97	294	20	7	293	84	-5	+2	+0	-4	+5	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	366	329	78	17	3	4	27	75	7	14	2	237	309	343	652	106	293	20	7	296	87	-6	+2	+0	-7	+8	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	443	399	96	21	3	6	33	91	8	17	2	241	311	353	665	113	293	21	7	299	88	-6	+3	+0	-8	+10	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	495	446	106	23	3	7	37	102	9	19	3	238	309	350	659	112	293	21	7	300	89	-6	+3	+0	-9	+11	-0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	531	476	115	25	4	8	40	109	10	21	3	242	314	361	675	120	293	21	8	301	90	-6	+3	+0	-9	+12	-0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	556	499	121	26	4	9	42	114	10	22	3	242	314	365	679	122	293	21	8	302	91	-6	+3	+0	-10	+12	-0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	575	516	124	27	4	9	43	118	11	22	3	240	312	360	673	120	292	21	7	303	91	-6	+3	+0	-10	+12	-0.1
2034	25	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	588	527	127	27	4	10	45	121	11	23	3	241	314	364	678	123	292	21	8	304	92	-6	+3	+0	-10	+13	0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	ATL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	294	—	—	278	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	ATL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	293	—	—	282	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	ATL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	293	—	—	285	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	ATL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	293	—	—	287	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	ATL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	293	—	—	288	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	293	—	—	289	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	ATL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	292	—	—	289	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	ATL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	292	—	—	290	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3820	3432	824	179	27	55	286	784	71	149	20	240	312	356	668	116	294	21	7	301	90	-47	+22	+0	-68	+83	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	140	30	5	9	49	133	12	25	3	240	312	354	666	115	294	20	8	301	90	-8	+4	+0	-12	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.1	4,054	57	157	240	308	355	-45	+0	4.0	4.0
/162	664	9	26	-7.4	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837787 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	236/308/327	91	297	2	14	20%	7%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	47→52	40→45	53→55	40	228/277/321	93	297	7	20	25%	5%	70	-0.9	229/299/337	108	283	9	16	21%	6%	82	+0.0	227/303/337	110	275	9	18	20%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Ryan LaMarre 2014 · AA	25	47→52	39→45	52→60	45	227/288/313	86	291	7	23	24%	6%	72	-0.7	219/273/317	98	296	9	17	28%	6%	67	-1.1	236/307/362	126	336	11	23	31%	7%	87	+0.2
●Alonzo Harris 2013 · A	24	48→52	40→50	55→60	43	230/275/324	95	288	7	21	22%	5%	69	-0.9	212/263/299	87	280	6	22	25%	6%	59	-1.7	235/293/404	169	279	20	36	23%	7%	93	+0.7
✕Dairon Blanco 2019 · A	26	51	37→45	61→70	41	236/281/322	85	322	3	20	27%	5%	70	-0.9	217/266/326	109	313	8	27	31%	6%	66	-1.1	267/328/397	130	350	13	90	26%	6%	104	+0.8
✕Tim Locastro 2016 · A	24	47→54	39→45	53→60	46	224/300/309	85	261	7	24	16%	6%	77	-0.3	237/300/329	92	277	6	22	16%	4%	80	-0.1	242/326/351	109	290	7	31	18%	5%	93	+0.6
✕Ed Lucas 2007 · A	25	50→56	38→45	51→50	45	239/287/320	80	298	5	16	21%	6%	72	-0.7	243/295/339	96	305	8	15	22%	7%	80	-0.2	249/314/362	113	308	11	15	22%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Shawn Payne 2014 · A	25	47→57	40	56→55	48	225/296/321	96	287	6	24	23%	8%	77	-0.3	213/283/315	102	293	7	16	28%	8%	71	-0.8	203/278/305	103	285	7	17	29%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Jon Matthews 2015 · A	24	52	37→40	55→60	44	241/301/318	77	324	5	22	26%	6%	77	-0.3	220/291/289	69	301	4	12	26%	8%	68	-1.0	171/266/197	25	238	0	6	25%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Michael Gigliotti 2021 · A	25	48	37→40	54→55	43	225/286/304	79	303	4	22	25%	6%	69	-0.9	208/299/322	114	290	10	21	29%	10%	79	-0.2	191/301/300	110	261	10	24	28%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Max Schuemann 2021 · A	24	44→48	39→45	49→60	42	209/272/300	91	281	5	17	26%	6%	63	-1.4	223/308/330	107	302	9	28	27%	8%	84	+0.2	221/319/328	107	303	11	22	28%	10%	86	+0.2
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→50	40→45	55→60	43	197/264/288	91	273	7	19	29%	7%	57	-1.8	216/270/336	120	285	13	28	28%	6%	71	-0.8	213/270/337	124	278	12	27	27%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Hunter Stovall 2022 · A	25	52→49	39→45	54→50	46	243/301/332	89	319	6	19	25%	7%	80	-0.1	232/280/333	101	293	8	15	23%	6%	73	-0.6	227/272/322	96	275	8	14	20%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	73	-0.6	199/284/276	77	275	4	12	27%	9%	63	-1.4	176/273/228	52	251	2	11	27%	10%	47	-1.5
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	44	38→50	53→50	48	207/282/291	84	275	5	14	25%	8%	65	-1.2	202/286/330	128	273	14	8	29%	9%	76	-0.4	201/298/342	142	277	17	3	32%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Taylor Motter 2014 · A	24	48→50	41→55	53→55	50	230/296/333	103	284	7	24	21%	8%	80	-0.2	231/281/350	119	272	12	18	19%	6%	78	-0.3	208/287/374	165	259	20	5	27%	10%	85	+0.1
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	50→48	38→40	53→55	47	235/298/314	79	300	6	15	23%	7%	76	-0.4	222/305/297	75	290	6	18	23%	10%	75	-0.5	213/306/284	71	274	6	21	22%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Archie Gilbert 2007 · A	24	49→57	37→45	55	46	231/288/307	76	271	4	24	16%	5%	70	-0.8	246/308/350	104	281	7	24	14%	7%	87	+0.4	254/318/364	110	285	10	28	14%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Matt Szczur 2014 · AA	25	53→57	38→45	53→55	48	251/303/340	89	300	5	21	18%	6%	83	+0.1	236/282/326	90	290	7	23	20%	5%	72	-0.7	239/313/365	126	285	12	15	20%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Cade Gotta 2017 · AA	25	46→52	42→45	56→55	42	225/269/333	108	283	8	21	23%	5%	69	-0.9	238/291/337	99	302	6	29	22%	7%	78	-0.3	244/303/339	95	309	5	36	21%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Sam Haggerty 2018 · A	24	43	38→50	58→65	45	203/270/293	90	292	4	25	30%	8%	60	-1.6	222/300/330	108	316	6	28	29%	9%	80	-0.1	252/331/392	139	317	11	42	22%	9%	102	+0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps