Player 837735 P DSL Rays
Age — —HP ROK peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION19 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST108
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.4%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP
K: +0.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -2.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +1.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.12 (32 IP)-0.1WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026—ROKDSL Rays531977208260%3.817.7%13.0%4.7%3.6%2.845.25-0.2
ROS—MLBTB2213561352100%6.723.4%9.2%14.1%3.0%4.334.33+0.0
2026 Total—MLBTB——3213333134——24.9%9.9%15.0%2.8%3.454.87-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLBTB3320842083100%6.723.7%9.0%14.8%3.0%4.284.25+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career—5319771410360%3.817.7%13.0%4.7%3.6%2.845.25-0.2
/ 200 IP—53322008111471053260%3.817.7%13.0%4.7%3.6%2.845.25+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 837735 (OGILVIE) —— 4.33 23.4%9.2%3.0%— — ——— — ———
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 — ——— — 4.42 102 82
Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 25.7%12.4%4.2%.296 3.43 18.7%10.3%40 -1.37 2.78 181 81
Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 81
Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 25 SP- 3.47 20.3%11.4%1.2%.286 3.51 23.2%10.9%71 +0.04 2.45 138 78
Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 78
Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 25 SP- 4.76 20.8%10.1%3.9%.380 4.51 19.3%7.9%101 -0.25 4.50 119 78
Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 20.8%12.2%3.5%.450 4.58 17.9%4.8%170 -0.22 3.80 187 77
Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP 25 SP- 3.81 19.2%5.7%2.9%.311 6.73 17.6%-0.7%51 +2.92 3.81 106 75
Noah Gotsis R 2026 · 3.38 FIP 25 SP- 3.38 16.5%6.5%1.5%.296 4.26 15.9%8.6%90 +0.88 3.38 138 74
Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SW 4.55 21.5%9.1%3.8%.316 2.73 28.3%20.8%219 -1.82 1.96 948 73
Daniel Federman R 2025 · 4.34 FIP 24 SP- 4.34 23.8%8.3%4.0%.311 — ——— — 4.34 119 72
Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP 24 SP- 4.16 17.4%6.6%3.1%.361 — ——— — 4.16 124 72
Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 24 SP- 4.82 24.7%13.5%3.8%.277 — ——— — 3.45 102 72
Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP 25 SP- 3.51 18.2%9.8%1.3%.285 4.69 16.5%5.1%59 +1.18 3.51 123 71
Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 17.3%8.2%2.9%.411 3.71 15.0%7.7%91 -0.57 3.71 126 70
Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 69
Greyfer Eregua R 2024 · 4.85 FIP 23 SP- 4.85 18.3%9.3%3.9%.317 — ——— — 3.73 126 69
Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP 25 SP- 5.50 21.0%12.2%4.8%.320 4.16 23.1%13.2%138 -1.34 3.45 292 69
Steven Bruce R 2026 · 3.70 FIP 25 SW 3.70 14.9%5.0%2.2%.300 3.62 15.0%9.8%94 -0.08 3.62 148 68
Brandt Thompson R 2025 · 4.35 FIP 24 SP- 4.35 19.9%11.0%2.8%.326 — ——— — 4.35 162 68