Carlos Martinez

C DSL CLE Goryl

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	173	.243/.365/.371	2	7	36	—	.152/.263/.221
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	283	.215/.285/.302	2	5	68	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	79	.220/.291/.316	1	2	73	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	175	.224/.296/.328	2	3	78	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%79

K%61

Whiff%60

ISO56

Chase%43

wOBA36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAlirio Ferrebus (age 18) · Eddys Leonard (age 18) · Luis Torrens (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 145 proj PA

wRC+68

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .283 / .300

PA145

HR1

K%25

BB%7

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$38M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	173	140	34	12	0	2	17	33	10	7	3	243	365	371	737	129	288	19	10	329	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	173	145	22	7	0	1	12	40	10	7	3	152	263	221	484	69	182	23	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	173	145	22	7	0	1	12	40	10	7	3	152	263	221	484	69	191	23	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	173	140	34	12	0	2	17	33	10	7	3	243	365	371	737	129	288	19	10	329	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	173	149	22	7	0	1	12	40	10	7	3	148	263	215	478	67	182	23	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	173	149	22	7	0	1	12	40	10	7	3	148	263	215	478	67	182	23	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	283	256	55	12	2	2	19	72	6	5	1	215	285	302	587	87	287	25	7	268	68	-11	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	231	208	45	10	1	2	16	58	5	4	1	220	291	316	607	96	289	25	7	276	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	361	325	73	16	2	5	25	89	8	7	2	224	296	328	624	104	291	25	7	283	78	-10	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	459	413	94	20	3	7	33	112	10	9	3	227	300	338	638	112	292	24	7	289	82	-10	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	466	108	23	3	9	38	126	11	10	4	230	303	347	650	118	293	24	7	294	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	466	109	23	3	10	38	125	11	10	4	232	305	355	660	123	294	24	7	298	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	466	109	23	3	10	38	125	11	10	4	233	307	359	665	126	295	24	7	300	89	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	466	109	23	3	10	38	125	11	10	4	234	307	361	669	128	295	24	7	301	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	466	110	23	3	11	38	125	11	10	4	234	307	363	670	129	294	24	7	301	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	466	108	22	3	10	38	126	11	10	4	233	306	360	667	127	294	24	7	300	89	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	466	108	22	3	10	38	127	11	9	4	231	304	356	660	125	293	24	7	297	87	-8	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	466	107	22	3	10	38	128	11	9	4	228	301	349	650	121	291	25	7	293	85	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	467	105	22	2	9	38	130	10	9	5	225	298	341	639	116	289	25	7	289	82	-11	-0	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	504	453	100	21	2	8	36	128	10	8	7	221	293	331	624	110	286	25	7	283	77	-14	-1	-3	+9	+11	0.2
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	56%	489	443	94	19	2	7	34	127	9	7	10	216	286	319	605	103	282	26	7	275	72	-16	-3	-4	+9	+11	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	79	72	15	3	0	1	5	20	2	2	0	220	291	316	607	96	289	25	6	276	73	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	175	157	35	8	1	2	12	43	4	3	1	224	296	328	624	104	291	25	7	283	78	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	249	223	51	11	1	4	18	61	6	5	2	227	300	338	638	112	292	24	7	289	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	265	61	13	2	5	21	71	6	6	2	230	303	347	650	118	293	24	7	294	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	299	269	63	13	2	6	22	72	6	6	2	232	305	355	660	123	294	24	7	298	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	266	63	13	2	6	22	71	6	6	2	233	307	359	665	126	295	24	7	300	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	265	63	13	2	6	22	71	6	6	2	234	307	361	669	128	295	24	7	301	90	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	264	62	13	2	6	22	71	6	6	2	234	307	363	670	129	294	24	7	301	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	289	260	61	12	2	6	21	70	6	5	2	233	306	360	667	127	294	24	7	300	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	286	257	60	12	2	6	21	70	6	5	2	231	304	356	660	125	293	24	7	297	87	-4	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	278	250	57	12	1	5	20	69	6	5	2	228	301	349	650	121	291	25	7	293	85	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	274	246	55	11	1	5	20	69	6	5	3	225	298	341	639	116	289	25	7	289	82	-6	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	263	237	52	11	1	4	19	67	5	4	4	221	293	331	624	110	286	25	7	283	77	-7	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	56%	275	249	53	11	1	4	19	71	5	4	6	216	286	319	605	103	282	26	7	275	72	-9	-2	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3646	3280	751	156	20	66	264	896	76	68	32	229	301	349	650	120	294	25	7	293	82	-69	+1	-6	+65	+79	7.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	135	28	4	12	47	160	14	12	6	231	303	354	657	123	296	25	7	293	82	-12	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7042	6313	1429	302	37	120	508	1728	153	132	64	226	300	343	643	117	290	25	7	290	82	-134	+1	-10	+123	+149	13.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	132	28	3	11	47	160	14	12	6	226	300	341	641	115	291	25	7	290	82	-13	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.7	3,791	66	69	229	298	347	+68	+32	10.0	8.5
/162	664	12	12	+11.9	+5.6	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	213/283/300	86	287	1	3	25%	7%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	37→41	41→55	44→45	47	183/257/274	91	240	9	9	26%	8%	52	-2.2	199/262/315	116	251	12	9	25%	7%	63	-1.3	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Deivy Grullón 2014 · A	18	46→45	38→55	48→30	44	218/266/297	79	275	4	4	22%	6%	59	-1.6	211/252/305	94	288	8	2	28%	5%	56	-1.9	236/277/397	161	310	22	0	31%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	43→50	38→50	51→65	51	204/279/286	82	265	5	10	24%	9%	62	-1.4	201/264/285	84	268	5	34	25%	7%	56	-1.9	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	44→49	37→55	49→50	45	205/273/280	75	288	3	12	28%	8%	59	-1.7	244/281/380	136	295	14	15	22%	4%	84	+0.2	251/287/411	161	323	17	11	27%	4%	94	+0.8
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Carlos Virahonda 2024 · A	18	43	38→55	44→45	42	202/279/289	86	248	3	7	19%	4%	64	-1.3	190/275/279	89	238	7	5	22%	6%	61	-1.5	195/286/306	111	240	12	4	23%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	41→44	36→45	47→60	40	191/267/265	74	269	3	8	28%	5%	55	-2.0	220/294/320	100	309	8	15	30%	6%	76	-0.4	227/301/338	110	318	10	20	30%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→44	36→50	50→45	44	203/264/273	70	257	3	6	22%	6%	54	-2.0	227/274/332	105	258	10	5	16%	5%	71	-0.8	232/277/359	127	262	15	5	18%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3

Carlos Martinez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps