Sergio Patino

C DSL Cubs Blue

Age 19 S/R ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Cubs Blue	114	.269/.382/.323	0	5	40	—	.186/.282/.227
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBCHC	224	.233/.300/.304	1	5	73	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCHC	64	.238/.307/.321	1	2	77	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCHC	156	.241/.310/.331	2	4	81	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%99

Whiff%97

Z-Con%88

Speed56

Chase%45

wOBA35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJuan Brito (age 19) · Aron Estrada (age 19) · Pedro Ramírez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 97 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .297 / .301

PA97

HR1

K%20

BB%7

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$39M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	114	93	25	3	1	0	13	7	4	5	2	269	382	323	704	54	278	6	11	320	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	114	97	18	2	1	0	9	9	4	5	2	186	282	227	509	41	182	8	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	114	97	18	2	1	0	9	9	4	5	2	186	282	227	509	41	196	8	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	114	93	25	3	1	0	13	7	4	5	2	269	382	323	704	54	278	6	11	320	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	114	100	18	2	1	0	9	9	4	5	2	180	282	220	502	40	182	8	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	114	100	18	2	1	0	9	9	4	5	2	180	282	220	502	40	182	8	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	224	203	47	7	2	1	16	44	3	5	1	233	300	304	604	71	288	20	7	276	73	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	186	167	41	6	2	2	14	36	3	5	1	236	304	316	620	80	290	19	8	282	77	-5	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	322	290	69	10	3	3	24	63	5	8	2	238	307	326	634	88	291	20	7	288	81	-7	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	421	380	90	13	3	5	31	83	7	11	3	240	310	335	645	95	292	20	7	292	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	487	439	107	16	4	7	37	96	8	13	3	242	312	343	655	101	293	20	8	296	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	520	467	114	17	4	8	40	103	8	14	4	244	314	350	664	106	293	20	8	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	520	467	114	17	4	8	40	103	8	13	4	244	314	352	666	108	294	20	8	301	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	520	467	114	17	4	9	40	103	8	13	4	244	314	354	668	109	293	20	8	301	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	520	467	113	17	4	8	40	104	8	13	4	243	313	351	664	108	293	20	8	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	520	467	113	17	4	8	40	105	8	13	4	241	311	346	657	105	292	20	8	297	87	-8	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	520	468	113	17	4	8	39	106	8	13	4	239	308	340	648	101	290	20	8	293	85	-10	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	520	469	110	16	4	7	39	108	7	12	4	236	304	332	636	96	289	21	8	288	81	-12	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2039	31	MLB MLE	CHC	60%	504	455	104	15	3	6	37	107	7	11	5	231	299	322	621	91	286	21	7	282	77	-14	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.4
2040	32	MLB MLE	CHC	61%	489	443	99	14	3	5	36	106	7	11	6	226	293	310	603	84	282	22	7	275	72	-16	-0	-4	+9	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	64	58	15	2	1	1	5	13	1	2	0	238	307	321	628	83	293	20	8	286	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	156	141	35	5	2	2	11	31	3	4	1	241	310	331	641	91	294	20	7	291	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	228	205	50	8	2	3	17	45	4	6	2	243	312	340	652	97	295	20	7	295	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	276	249	61	9	3	4	21	54	4	7	2	245	314	348	662	103	296	20	8	299	87	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	294	265	65	10	3	4	22	58	5	8	2	246	316	354	670	108	297	20	7	302	89	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2033	25	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	294	265	66	10	3	5	22	58	5	8	2	247	316	357	673	110	297	20	7	303	90	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	294	265	66	10	3	5	22	58	5	8	2	247	316	358	674	111	297	20	7	304	90	-3	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	288	260	64	10	3	4	22	57	4	7	2	245	315	355	670	110	296	20	8	302	89	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	285	257	63	10	3	4	22	57	4	7	2	244	313	350	663	107	295	20	8	299	87	-4	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	278	251	60	9	2	4	21	57	4	7	2	241	310	344	654	103	294	21	8	296	85	-5	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	297	269	64	10	2	4	22	62	4	7	2	238	306	336	642	98	292	21	7	291	81	-7	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	CHC	60%	300	271	63	9	2	4	22	63	4	7	3	233	301	326	627	92	289	21	7	285	77	-8	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	CHC	61%	300	271	62	9	2	3	22	65	4	6	4	228	295	314	609	86	285	22	7	277	72	-10	-0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3354	3027	734	111	31	47	251	678	51	84	26	242	311	346	657	104	297	20	7	295	83	-63	+6	-6	+60	+73	7.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	143	22	6	9	49	131	10	16	5	244	313	348	661	104	298	20	8	295	83	-12	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6260	5632	1340	197	48	85	473	1251	97	157	50	238	308	335	643	97	290	20	8	291	83	-116	+11	-10	+110	+133	13.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	139	20	5	9	49	130	10	16	5	238	307	335	642	97	289	20	8	291	83	-12	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#5Frankie Pytlak'32-'46 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,713 PA	4.1	2,713	7	56	256*	322*	361*	+48	-0	8.0	8.6
/162	664	2	14	+11.8	-0.1	2.0	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.2	3,451	48	85	240	306	339	+62	+32	9.8	8.4
/162	664	9	16	+11.9	+6.2	1.9	pk7: 7
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sergio Patino (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	231/297/301	71	288	1	2	20%	7%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Johnny Ascanio 2022 · A	19	48	36→40	50→45	50	221/309/292	71	287	2	15	22%	8%	76	-0.4	212/277/284	72	291	4	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	209/293/268	60	273	4	7	23%	9%	62	-0.8
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Brayan Rocchio 2021 · A	20	48→56	38→45	48→50	43	229/281/312	83	285	5	13	21%	5%	68	-1.0	235/295/363	128	298	12	14	24%	6%	86	+0.3	241/304/368	127	298	11	16	22%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Cole Tucker 2015 · A	19	45→51	37→45	50→55	45	212/276/286	75	285	5	13	26%	7%	61	-1.5	233/279/311	78	310	4	18	24%	6%	67	-1.1	230/292/338	108	300	7	25	24%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Héctor Sánchez 2009 · A	19	46→50	39→50	47→30	54	217/299/306	89	250	6	5	15%	9%	75	-0.5	233/288/332	99	284	8	3	20%	6%	76	-0.4	251/289/371	119	308	13	0	22%	4%	85	+0.1
✕Domingo Leyba 2015 · A	19	54→52	40→50	48→45	50	255/312/355	100	296	6	10	16%	7%	90	+0.6	228/268/312	84	282	6	7	20%	5%	63	-1.4	240/289/360	120	286	11	4	19%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	48	37→45	53→50	53	218/293/303	85	243	3	11	12%	7%	72	-0.7	240/312/325	85	281	5	9	16%	7%	84	+0.1	232/299/348	116	287	12	10	23%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Raywilly Gomez 2009 · A	19	48→53	35→40	49→40	55	218/294/284	66	247	1	8	12%	9%	68	-1.0	232/288/292	60	263	2	4	12%	7%	66	-1.1	258/323/313	55	295	2	2	12%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Brennen Davis 2019 · A	19	48→43	36→50	51→45	46	221/300/290	68	306	3	12	26%	8%	72	-0.7	233/303/375	142	314	15	8	29%	7%	93	+0.8	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Dario Laverde 2024 · A	19	46→34	37→40	52→30	50	214/292/297	83	279	3	11	23%	9%	70	-0.9	207/268/284	77	295	4	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	196/254/265	68	282	4	0	30%	6%	45	-1.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8

Sergio Patino

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps