Raywilly Gomez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 24 | AAPHI | 247 | .255/.328/.345 | 4 | 0 | 65 | — | .236/.283/.293 |
| 2015 | 25 | AASEA | 284 | .291/.387/.336 | 1 | 2 | 84 | — | .271/.340/.310 |
| 2016 | 26 | AABinghamton Me… | 37 | .182/.250/.242 | 0 | 0 | 12 | — | .176/.222/.235 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 18 | ROK | DSL Diamondbacks | — | 273 | 230 | 73 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 317 | 423 | 413 | 836 | 96 | 348 | 8 | 14 | 380 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | — | 236 | 202 | 61 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 302 | 382 | 366 | 748 | 64 | 321 | 6 | 11 | 331 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 434 | 390 | 107 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 274 | 340 | 338 | 678 | 64 | 298 | 9 | 8 | 308 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 345 | 300 | 82 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 355 | 377 | 732 | 103 | 294 | 10 | 11 | 326 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 261 | 224 | 61 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 272 | 363 | 330 | 694 | 58 | 300 | 9 | 11 | 316 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 92 | 68 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 353 | 516 | 485 | 1.002 | 132 | 421 | 13 | 24 | 447 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 247 | 220 | 56 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 328 | 345 | 673 | 91 | 268 | 10 | 9 | 304 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 284 | 244 | 71 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 291 | 387 | 336 | 723 | 45 | 324 | 10 | 13 | 334 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 37 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 250 | 242 | 492 | 61 | 214 | 14 | 8 | 224 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Diamondbacks | — | 273 | 242 | 53 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 219 | 305 | 277 | 582 | 58 | 243 | 10 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 236 | 212 | 55 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 311 | 307 | 618 | 47 | 273 | 8 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 434 | 402 | 99 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 54 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 295 | 301 | 596 | 55 | 275 | 12 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 345 | 311 | 74 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 299 | 325 | 624 | 87 | 255 | 13 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 261 | 233 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 258 | 324 | 309 | 633 | 52 | 283 | 11 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 92 | 78 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 308 | 407 | 410 | 817 | 103 | 375 | 17 | 13 | 370 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 247 | 229 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 283 | 293 | 575 | 57 | 261 | 12 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 284 | 255 | 69 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 271 | 340 | 310 | 650 | 39 | 303 | 12 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 37 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 189 | 16 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Diamondbacks | — | 273 | 242 | 53 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 219 | 305 | 277 | 582 | 58 | 244 | 10 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Diamondbacks | — | 273 | 230 | 73 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 317 | 423 | 413 | 836 | 96 | 348 | 8 | 14 | 380 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 236 | 212 | 55 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 311 | 307 | 618 | 47 | 284 | 8 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK RAW | Missoula Osprey | — | 236 | 202 | 61 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 302 | 382 | 366 | 748 | 64 | 321 | 6 | 11 | 331 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 434 | 402 | 99 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 54 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 295 | 301 | 596 | 55 | 278 | 12 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A RAW | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 434 | 390 | 107 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 274 | 340 | 338 | 678 | 64 | 298 | 9 | 8 | 308 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 345 | 311 | 74 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 299 | 325 | 624 | 87 | 264 | 13 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ RAW | Visalia Rawhide | — | 345 | 300 | 82 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 355 | 377 | 732 | 103 | 294 | 10 | 11 | 326 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 353 | 311 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 46 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 346 | 334 | 680 | 64 | 312 | 13 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 353 | 292 | 85 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 52 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 291 | 403 | 366 | 770 | 75 | 327 | 10 | 15 | 350 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 247 | 229 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 283 | 293 | 575 | 57 | 261 | 12 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 247 | 220 | 56 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 328 | 345 | 673 | 91 | 268 | 10 | 9 | 304 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 284 | 255 | 69 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 271 | 340 | 310 | 650 | 39 | 306 | 12 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 284 | 244 | 71 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 291 | 387 | 336 | 723 | 45 | 324 | 10 | 13 | 334 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 37 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 214 | 16 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA RAW | Binghamton Mets | — | 37 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 250 | 242 | 492 | 61 | 214 | 14 | 8 | 224 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Diamondbacks | — | 273 | 241 | 53 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 220 | 305 | 278 | 583 | 58 | 243 | 10 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 236 | 218 | 55 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 311 | 298 | 610 | 46 | 273 | 8 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 434 | 403 | 99 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 54 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 295 | 300 | 596 | 55 | 275 | 12 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 345 | 315 | 74 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 299 | 321 | 619 | 86 | 255 | 13 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 353 | 314 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 46 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 346 | 331 | 677 | 64 | 307 | 13 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 247 | 230 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 283 | 291 | 574 | 57 | 261 | 12 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 284 | 255 | 69 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 271 | 340 | 310 | 650 | 39 | 303 | 12 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 37 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 222 | 229 | 451 | 57 | 189 | 16 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2209 | 1996 | 494 | 75 | 8 | 9 | 169 | 260 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 247 | 310 | 307 | 617 | 59 | 278 | 12 | 8 | 275 | 72 | -73 | +1 | +0 | +39 | +48 | 1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 145 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 77 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 247 | 311 | 307 | 618 | 60 | 277 | 12 | 8 | 275 | 72 | -21 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AABinghamton Mets · 37 PAwOBA .218 → .186 (−32)K% 13.5% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.51% | ÷1.062 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.034 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 13.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.070 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 5.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.085 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 107, 2B 114, 3B 91, K 112, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .218 → .186; ISO .061 → .050; BABIP .214 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAArkansas Travelers · 284 PAwOBA .328 → .292 (−35)K% 9.9% → 11.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.86% | ÷1.047 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.38% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 9.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.70% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×0.998 | 27.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.033 | ×0.840 | ×1.036 | ×0.998 | 3.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.036 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.022 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.36% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 100, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .328 → .292; ISO .045 → .039; BABIP .324 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAReading Fightin Phils · 247 PAwOBA .296 → .264 (−32)K% 9.7% → 12.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.72% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.50% | ÷1.064 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.45% | ÷0.974 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 22.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.08% | ÷0.984 | ×0.860 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 3.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.950 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.317 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.22% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 95, 2B 97, 3B 85, K 95, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .296 → .264; ISO .091 → .067; BABIP .268 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAMobile BayBears · 261 PAwOBA .312 → .283 (−29)K% 9.2% → 11.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.20% | ÷0.993 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.49% | ÷0.994 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 8.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.035 | ×1.027 | 22.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.50% | ÷1.089 | ×0.910 | ×1.035 | ×1.027 | 5.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.880 | ×1.035 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.071 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 104, 2B 118, 3B 105, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .312 → .283; ISO .058 → .054; BABIP .300 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Visalia Rawhide · 92 PAwOBA .437 → .370 (−67)K% 13.0% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.981 | ×1.340 | — | — | 17.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.74% | ÷1.156 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 13.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.029 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 26.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.043 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 10.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.087 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.118 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 106, 2B 109, 3B 117, K 96, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .437 → .370; ISO .132 → .119; BABIP .421 → .375. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Visalia Rawhide · 345 PAwOBA .321 → .271 (−50)K% 10.1% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.021 | ×1.340 | — | — | 13.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.72% | ÷1.004 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.26% | ÷1.025 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 20.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.17% | ÷1.112 | ×0.820 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.51% | ÷1.044 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 1.35% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 105, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 104, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .321 → .271; ISO .103 → .086; BABIP .294 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ASouth Bend Silver Hawks · 434 PAwOBA .301 → .264 (−37)K% 9.0% → 12.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.99% | ÷0.977 | ×1.360 | — | — | 12.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.06% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.07% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 23.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.27% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 3.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.904 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.51% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .301 → .264; ISO .064 → .054; BABIP .298 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ROKMissoula Osprey · 236 PAwOBA .324 → .270 (−55)K% 5.5% → 7.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.51% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 7.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×1.008 | 6.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 23.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 2.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .324 → .270; ISO .064 → .052; BABIP .321 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).