Johnny Ascanio — OGILVIE

Johnny AscanioSS Dayton Dragons

Age 23 S/R 5'8" / 189 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION154 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.172 / .273 / .228

PA166

HR1

K%23

BB%10

BABIP226

ISO55

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	141	118	31	4	2	0	12	32	8	12	7	263	370	331	700	68	352	23	9	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	141	111	37	5	3	0	19	22	8	12	7	333	464	432	896	99	407	16	13	402	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	2 teams	—	125	114	24	2	1	0	9	41	1	5	2	211	274	246	520	35	324	33	7	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	2 teams	—	125	109	32	3	2	0	14	29	1	5	2	294	379	358	737	64	395	23	11	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	240	218	44	12	1	3	17	66	1	3	1	202	263	307	570	106	273	28	7	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	240	212	54	15	1	4	23	47	1	3	1	255	331	392	722	137	309	20	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	3 teams	—	446	393	77	12	0	3	32	102	7	13	5	196	269	249	518	53	253	23	7	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	3 teams	—	446	386	86	14	2	4	39	71	7	13	5	223	306	301	606	78	259	16	9	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	322	273	56	9	2	3	32	77	8	3	3	205	307	286	592	81	270	24	10	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	322	258	57	9	2	4	47	58	8	3	3	221	358	318	676	97	266	18	15	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	CIN	—	154	130	23	5	0	0	15	41	7	0	0	177	296	215	511	38	258	27	10	240	42	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
YTD	23	A+	CIN	—	154	123	25	6	0	0	22	31	7	0	0	203	355	252	607	49	272	20	14	295	84	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
ROS	23	A+	CIN	0%	166	145	25	5	0	1	16	39	4	1	1	172	273	228	500	55	234	23	10	246	47	-10	-0	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
ROS	23	MLB	CIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						236	0	0	229	34	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	CIN	—	155	131	23	5	0	0	15	41	7	0	0	176	294	214	508	38	256	26	10	240	42	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
TOT	23	A+	CIN	—	320	275	48	10	0	1	31	80	11	1	1	175	284	222	506	47	241	25	10	243	44	-20	-0	+0	+3	+9	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CIN	30%	391	342	65	12	1	5	37	91	9	4	1	190	286	275	561	85	241	23	9	261	58	-19	+0	+0	+4	+11	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	CIN	44%	432	379	74	14	1	7	41	100	9	4	2	195	289	293	582	98	245	23	9	270	65	-17	+0	+0	+5	+12	-0.0
2029	26	MLB	CIN	51%	457	400	81	15	2	8	44	105	10	4	2	203	297	310	607	107	248	23	10	275	69	-16	+0	+0	+5	+13	0.2
2030	27	MLB	CIN	52%	465	407	82	15	2	8	45	108	10	4	2	201	297	307	604	106	249	23	10	277	70	-16	+0	+0	+5	+13	0.2
2031	28	MLB	CIN	53%	467	408	82	15	2	8	46	109	10	4	2	201	297	306	604	105	248	23	10	276	69	-16	+0	-1	+5	+13	0.1
2032	29	MLB	CIN	53%	460	403	80	15	1	8	45	108	9	4	1	199	293	300	593	102	248	23	10	274	68	-17	+0	-1	+5	+13	0.0
2027	24	MLB	CIN	30%	119	104	20	4	0	2	11	28	3	1	0	192	288	288	577	96	243	24	9	247	47	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	CIN	44%	191	167	33	6	1	3	18	44	4	2	1	198	291	299	590	102	247	23	9	257	55	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	CIN	51%	232	203	41	8	1	4	22	54	5	2	1	202	296	310	606	108	250	23	9	263	59	-11	+0	+0	+2	+7	-0.2
2030	27	MLB	CIN	52%	244	213	43	8	1	4	24	56	5	2	1	202	298	305	603	103	251	23	10	264	60	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	CIN	53%	249	218	43	8	1	4	24	58	5	2	1	197	291	298	590	101	250	23	10	263	60	-11	+0	-0	+3	+7	-0.2
2032	29	MLB	CIN	53%	242	211	42	8	1	4	24	57	5	2	1	199	296	303	599	104	250	24	10	262	58	-11	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1278	1117	222	42	5	21	123	297	27	11	5	199	294	302	595	103	250	23	10	260	58	-61	+0	-1	+14	+36	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	113	21	3	11	63	151	14	6	3	199	295	305	600	106	249	23	10	260	58	-31	+0	-1	+7	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	4112	3600	721	130	15	54	376	978	86	61	29	200	291	290	581	89	257	24	9	265	61	-180	+1	-2	+44	+117	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	115	21	2	9	59	155	14	10	5	202	293	293	586	91	259	24	9	265	61	-28	+0	-0	+7	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	141	111	37	5	3	0	19	22	8	12	7	333	464	432	896	99	407	16	13	402	166	+10	-0	—	—	+4	1.4
2022	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	54	48	11	0	0	0	6	11	0	0	0	229	315	229	544		297	20	11	262	59	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	71	61	21	3	2	0	8	18	1	5	2	344	429	459	888	115	477	25	11	393	159	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	240	212	54	15	1	4	23	47	1	3	1	255	331	392	722	137	309	20	10	320	103	+1	+0	—	—	+7	0.8
2024	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	68	55	12	0	0	1	10	12	1	4	0	218	348	273	621	55	262	18	15	290	80	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	289	250	55	11	0	3	24	45	5	8	3	220	301	300	601	80	251	16	8	270	64	-12	+0	—	—	+8	-0.3
2024	21	INTL	Perth Heat	—	89	81	19	3	2	0	5	14	1	1	2	235	287	321	608	86	284	16	6	269	64	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	47	41	5	1	0	0	5	14	0	0	0	122	217	146	364	24	179	30	11	179	-5	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	275	217	52	8	2	4	42	44	8	3	3	240	382	350	732	111	281	16	15	332	113	+4	-1	—	—	+8	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,278	21	11	199	291	301	+14	+9	0.3	0.4
	/162	664	11	6	199	291	301	+7.1	+4.7	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johnny Ascanio (OGILVIE)	23	45	35	45	60	175/284/222	47	241	1	1	25%	10%	44	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Friis 2019 · A	23	45	38→40	46→50	52	213/277/297	84	248	5	9	16%	8%	59	-1.1	214/279/301	87	267	6	14	21%	8%	61	-1.0	211/278/287	76	267	4	21	21%	8%	55	-0.4
✕Frainyer Chavez 2022 · A	23	43→47	35→40	46→50	47	199/275/254	55	281	3	11	28%	9%	48	-1.9	207/271/278	71	290	5	13	28%	8%	52	-1.6	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Carlos Ramirez 2012 · A	23	42	38→40	47→45	48	203/268/279	77	249	6	8	21%	8%	51	-1.7	196/265/268	72	265	6	8	26%	8%	47	-1.9	143/229/152	10	209	0	6	28%	9%	1	-1.2
✕Sammy Diaz 2014 · A	23	47	37→40	49→50	49	220/277/286	67	256	4	8	16%	7%	56	-1.3	237/281/329	92	278	5	8	16%	6%	68	-0.5	247/284/344	97	281	2	5	12%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Michael Papierski 2019 · A	23	38→44	39→45	47→40	54	184/290/266	83	249	7	6	27%	12%	59	-1.1	192/281/280	88	271	9	4	30%	10%	59	-1.1	204/292/309	105	261	11	0	25%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Edson Garcia 2016 · AAA	23	46→49	38→40	45	51	217/280/299	82	251	6	10	16%	8%	61	-1.0	223/276/330	107	257	9	11	17%	5%	68	-0.5	215/275/333	118	258	10	9	20%	5%	66	-0.3
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	23	41→46	35→40	47→50	46	192/255/257	64	260	2	10	26%	8%	40	-2.4	204/256/289	85	277	5	8	27%	6%	48	-1.9	210/295/360	150	264	16	2	26%	10%	80	+0.1
✕Angelo Amendolare 2016 · AAA	23	47	37→30	44→50	51	220/293/292	73	263	4	7	18%	8%	66	-0.6	228/299/298	70	312	3	9	26%	8%	69	-0.4	241/317/283	43	341	0	10	26%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Rafael Ynoa 2010 · A	22	40→50	35→40	47→55	51	185/261/243	58	239	2	9	22%	9%	39	-2.5	234/285/310	76	281	5	17	18%	7%	66	-0.6	245/298/316	71	292	5	19	17%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Bryant Flete 2016 · AA	23	40→44	36→40	46→50	47	189/257/250	61	254	3	8	26%	8%	39	-2.5	206/258/286	80	278	5	6	26%	6%	48	-1.9	207/269/273	66	287	5	4	28%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Rey Navarro 2013 · AAA	23	47→50	40→45	46→50	45	224/265/315	90	256	7	9	16%	5%	58	-1.2	238/273/353	115	266	11	7	15%	4%	72	-0.2	241/272/359	118	267	12	5	15%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2007 · AAA	23	42	39→45	47→45	47	202/253/284	82	236	7	9	18%	6%	46	-2.0	221/289/333	112	276	12	6	23%	8%	74	-0.1	234/306/341	107	287	11	4	21%	8%	81	+0.2
✕L.T. Tolbert 2019 · A	23	45→53	37→40	45→40	48	211/268/286	75	257	4	6	19%	7%	53	-1.5	236/282/317	81	290	6	5	20%	5%	66	-0.6	251/293/325	73	302	7	3	19%	4%	71	-0.2
✕David Gonzalez 2017 · A	23	43→42	36→30	47→45	46	205/256/274	69	251	4	9	19%	6%	43	-2.2	195/248/262	67	235	4	10	18%	6%	37	-2.6	154/205/182	29	180	0	10	14%	5%	-2	-2.2
✕Fernando Flores 2015 · AAA	23	49	38→40	42→40	42	232/264/306	74	275	5	5	18%	4%	54	-1.4	246/276/334	88	292	7	4	18%	3%	67	-0.5	254/282/343	88	302	6	2	18%	3%	70	-0.2
✕Rafael Marchán 2021 · A	22	45	36→45	40	47	212/268/279	67	255	3	6	18%	6%	50	-1.7	204/263/280	76	242	5	4	17%	6%	50	-1.8	225/304/328	104	255	10	2	15%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A	24	43	39→40	49→55	44	209/265/293	84	274	6	7	25%	7%	53	-1.5	210/281/284	74	303	4	21	29%	8%	58	-1.2	201/279/263	62	296	3	27	30%	9%	50	-0.6
✕Richy Pedroza 2014 · A	23	47→52	36→40	43→50	55	217/300/290	73	263	2	6	17%	10%	68	-0.5	214/279/296	82	254	2	6	15%	7%	59	-1.1	224/297/284	60	274	2	18	17%	9%	61	-0.7
✕Yonathan Mendoza 2017 · AA	23	51	36→30	46→45	47	241/292/305	64	291	4	5	18%	6%	67	-0.5	240/288/296	56	293	4	6	18%	6%	63	-0.9	236/285/279	43	289	3	5	18%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Elio Sarmiento 2009 · A	23	42	38→45	46→45	42	205/256/282	77	258	6	4	23%	5%	46	-2.0	225/276/317	92	292	6	6	24%	6%	64	-0.8	232/282/333	101	300	6	5	23%	5%	67	-0.2