Elih Marrero — OGILVIE

Elih MarreroC Frisco RoughRiders

Age 29 S/R 5'7" / 185 lbs AA K +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.3 · 2026

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .276 / .337

PA170

HR4

K%30

BB%7

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

42→42

SPD

57→57

EYE

40→40

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-4M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	GCL Red Sox	100	89	19	2	1	0	8	20	1	0	0	.213	.286	.258	.544	.045	.268	20	8	.247	47	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2019	22	A+	Salem Red Sox	50	48	7	1	0	1	2	12	0	0	0	.146	.180	.229	.409	.083	.171	24	4	.184	-1	-6	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
2021	24	A+	Greenville Drive	206	181	44	11	1	1	18	51	2	14	3	.243	.318	.331	.650	.088	.323	25	9	.284	76	-6	+2	+0	+4	+6	0.6
2022	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	289	258	47	8	0	2	27	95	2	18	5	.182	.265	.236	.501	.054	.278	33	9	.226	31	-22	+2	+0	+5	+8	-0.8
2023	26	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	131	115	26	6	0	1	15	42	1	8	7	.226	.321	.304	.625	.078	.347	32	11	.284	76	-4	-1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2024	27	AA	2 teams	198	182	39	9	0	6	12	58	2	11	3	.214	.270	.363	.633	.148	.277	29	6	.274	68	-7	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2025	28	AA	2 teams	105	101	19	5	0	0	3	41	1	2	3	.188	.219	.238	.457	.050	.317	39	3	.198	10	-11	-1	+0	+2	+3	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	TEX	170	154	34	7	1	4	12	50	2	4	1	.221	.286	.357	.643	.136	.287	29	7	.277	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	30	MLB 9%	TEX	243	221	47	10	1	5	18	71	2	5	2	.213	.278	.335	.613	.122	.286	29	7	.279	72	-8	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.2
2028	31	MLB 19%	TEX	238	216	46	9	1	5	18	70	2	4	2	.213	.280	.333	.613	.120	.285	29	8	.278	71	-8	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.0
2029	32	MLB 29%	TEX	222	201	43	9	1	5	17	65	2	4	1	.214	.282	.343	.625	.129	.284	29	8	.276	69	-8	+0	-4	+4	+6	-0.1
2030	33	MLB 40%	TEX	194	176	37	7	1	4	14	58	2	3	1	.210	.276	.330	.606	.119	.283	30	7	.272	66	-7	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.2
2031	34	MLB 49%	TEX	154	141	29	6	1	3	11	47	1	2	1	.206	.268	.326	.594	.121	.281	31	7	.265	61	-7	+0	-5	+3	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			2300	2083	437	90	8	37	175	680	20	75	29	.210	.277	.314	.591	.104	.290	30	8	.264	60	-104	+3	-17	+41	+65	-1.2
/ 162G	—			650	589	122	25	2	10	49	192	6	21	8	.207	.275	.307	.582	.100	.286	30	8	.264	60	-29	+1	-5	+12	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	GCL Red Sox	100	83	24	3	1	0	14	14	1	0	0	.289	.398	.349	.747	.060	.338	14	14	.341	119	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2019	22	A+	Salem Red Sox	50	47	9	2	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	.191	.240	.298	.538	.106	.211	16	6	.243	44	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	24	A+	Greenville Drive	206	174	50	14	1	1	25	38	2	14	3	.287	.383	.397	.780	.109	.353	18	12	.346	123	+5	+2	—	—	+6	1.3
2022	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	289	246	51	10	0	2	39	74	2	18	5	.207	.321	.272	.593	.065	.287	26	13	.280	73	-9	+2	—	—	+8	0.1
2023	26	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	131	108	29	8	0	1	22	33	1	8	7	.269	.397	.370	.767	.102	.378	25	17	.355	130	+4	-1	—	—	+4	0.7
2024	27	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	15	13	2	1	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	.154	.267	.462	.728	.308	.250	53	7	.320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	27	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	183	164	44	12	0	6	16	39	1	11	3	.268	.337	.451	.788	.183	.317	21	9	.346	123	+5	+1	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	28	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	63	60	14	4	0	0	3	18	0	1	2	.233	.270	.300	.570	.067	.333	29	5	.258	56	-3	-1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	28	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	42	35	9	2	3	2	6	10	1	1	1	.257	.381	.657	1.038	.400	.304	24	14	.436	192	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elih Marrero (OGILVIE)	29	35	42	57	40	.211/.276/.337	.125	.287	4	4	30%	7%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tim Torres 2013 · AAA	29	46→50	43→45	53→55	44	.219/.285/.329	.110	.312	10	16	31%	8%	71	-0.3	.210/.268/.314	.104	.315	9	16	34%	7%	59	-1.1	.258/.326/.391	.133	.344	13	21	27%	9%	103	+0.8
✕Chris Herrmann 2017 · MLB	29	47→50	46→50	56→50	45	.230/.291/.367	.137	.295	12	10	26%	7%	84	+0.6	.219/.301/.371	.152	.285	18	8	28%	10%	89	+1.0	.214/.299/.358	.144	.307	16	0	33%	10%	82	+0.2
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→39	46→50	46→45	50	.191/.285/.319	.128	.261	14	9	31%	11%	70	-0.3	.189/.283/.313	.124	.261	14	10	31%	11%	68	-0.5	.168/.270/.287	.119	.228	14	8	31%	11%	54	-0.9
✕Jason Smith 2006 · MLB	29	42→35	47→55	51→50	38	.215/.250/.359	.145	.271	14	14	27%	4%	64	-0.8	.220/.260/.375	.155	.300	18	10	32%	5%	72	-0.2	.208/.246/.368	.159	.291	19	5	35%	4%	62	-0.5
✕Tim Lopes 2023 · MLB	29	41→51	46→45	50→55	41	.209/.264/.341	.131	.274	14	15	29%	6%	66	-0.6	.225/.293/.339	.114	.311	12	27	29%	8%	77	+0.1	.230/.306/.327	.098	.321	10	39	29%	10%	76	+0.0
✕Ronnie Merrill 2008 · AAA	29	44→48	44→45	46→50	44	.217/.271/.335	.118	.269	11	10	24%	6%	67	-0.5	.225/.288/.333	.108	.283	9	9	22%	8%	73	-0.1	.224/.294/.314	.090	.280	6	6	21%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	48→50	46→45	52	.214/.302/.352	.138	.267	16	9	26%	10%	85	+0.7	.227/.286/.383	.156	.291	20	6	28%	7%	86	+0.8	.222/.268/.379	.157	.279	21	4	29%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Mike Rose 2006 · MLB	29	44	45→50	50→40	45	.217/.278/.348	.131	.278	12	7	26%	7%	73	-0.1	.207/.268/.344	.137	.278	15	5	30%	7%	68	-0.5	.192/.253/.316	.123	.260	15	2	31%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Michael De La Cruz 2022 · AAA	29	46→45	48→40	49→50	46	.227/.294/.373	.146	.305	16	7	30%	8%	86	+0.8	.216/.284/.336	.120	.271	13	8	24%	8%	73	-0.1	.200/.271/.284	.084	.241	9	8	20%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	39→45	45	49→55	41	.197/.268/.316	.118	.283	13	17	34%	7%	62	-0.9	.210/.295/.327	.117	.326	12	25	36%	9%	76	+0.0	.199/.294/.308	.110	.316	12	32	37%	10%	68	-0.2
✕David Matranga 2006 · AAA	29	44	44→45	48→50	49	.215/.288/.336	.121	.269	10	13	24%	8%	75	-0.0	.203/.269/.324	.121	.266	14	11	28%	6%	64	-0.8	.212/.294/.334	.122	.284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Christian Lopes 2022 · AAA	29	43→51	47→45	48→50	46	.214/.294/.349	.135	.290	14	12	30%	8%	82	+0.5	.211/.284/.324	.113	.313	10	11	33%	8%	70	-0.3	.188/.264/.265	.077	.288	4	9	33%	8%	44	-0.8
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB	29	43→41	46→50	48→55	46	.214/.288/.346	.132	.297	14	8	31%	9%	78	+0.2	.211/.288/.354	.143	.274	16	12	28%	9%	79	+0.3	.202/.286/.351	.149	.254	18	16	27%	10%	76	+0.1
✕Bryan Holaday 2017 · MLB	29	45	43→45	43→40	41	.224/.271/.334	.110	.277	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.227/.279/.354	.127	.262	13	3	19%	5%	76	+0.0	.217/.286/.341	.124	.252	13	2	19%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Drew Stankiewicz 2022 · AAA	29	45→52	42→45	49→45	46	.217/.279/.327	.110	.292	8	9	28%	8%	68	-0.5	.203/.261/.342	.139	.289	15	9	33%	7%	65	-0.7	.175/.237/.317	.142	.244	17	8	35%	8%	46	-1.3
✕Brett Hayes 2013 · MLB	29	45	47→45	48→40	39	.225/.272/.364	.139	.305	15	5	31%	6%	75	-0.0	.203/.240/.353	.150	.259	19	5	29%	4%	59	-1.1	.165/.202/.301	.136	.201	17	2	29%	4%	26	-1.2
✕Tony Thomas 2015 · AAA	29	40→46	46→50	56→55	36	.203/.248/.338	.135	.289	12	15	34%	5%	58	-1.2	.210/.253/.342	.132	.318	12	11	36%	5%	61	-1.0	.203/.242/.337	.134	.313	12	7	38%	4%	52	-1.0
✕Zach Remillard 2023 · AAA	29	44→50	42→40	51→55	44	.216/.286/.318	.102	.292	10	18	28%	7%	69	-0.4	.210/.273/.302	.092	.282	8	18	27%	7%	59	-1.1	.192/.255/.272	.080	.256	7	19	26%	6%	41	-1.3
✕Alen Hanson 2021 · MLB	28	44→51	46→50	54→60	40	.224/.265/.356	.131	.277	13	17	24%	5%	69	-0.4	.227/.281/.352	.125	.289	11	14	24%	6%	75	-0.0	.240/.291/.377	.137	.306	6	16	22%	6%	81	+0.1
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	38→42	49→50	46→40	51	.195/.290/.346	.151	.268	16	6	32%	11%	79	+0.3	.210/.290/.356	.146	.319	16	6	36%	10%	81	+0.4	.203/.283/.339	.136	.319	15	4	38%	10%	71	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)