Dylan Guzman

SS DSL Cubs Blue

Age 19 S/R ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Cubs Blue	181	.236/.379/.347	1	20	40	—	.156/.266/.227
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBCHC	291	.223/.298/.311	2	9	74	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCHC	81	.230/.306/.331	1	3	79	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCHC	174	.234/.309/.342	2	6	83	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%94

Whiff%90

Speed88

Chase%86

Z-Con%83

BB%66

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsKevyn Castillo (age 19) · Juan Brito (age 19) · Aron Estrada (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 152 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .296 / .308

PA152

HR1

SB5

K%22

BB%9

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$38M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$13M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	181	144	34	7	3	1	32	20	1	20	10	236	379	347	726	111	260	11	18	330	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	181	154	24	4	2	1	22	24	1	20	10	156	266	227	493	71	168	13	12	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	181	154	24	4	2	1	22	24	1	20	10	156	266	227	493	71	173	13	12	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	181	144	34	7	3	1	32	20	1	20	10	236	379	347	726	111	260	11	18	330	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	181	156	24	4	2	1	22	24	1	20	10	154	266	224	490	71	168	13	12	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	181	156	24	4	2	1	22	24	1	20	10	154	266	224	490	71	168	13	12	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	291	261	58	10	3	2	26	64	2	9	1	223	298	311	609	87	286	22	9	277	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	235	210	48	8	3	2	21	52	2	8	1	227	303	324	627	97	288	22	9	285	79	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	360	322	74	13	4	4	32	79	3	13	2	231	307	336	642	105	289	22	9	291	83	-7	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	449	402	93	16	5	6	40	98	4	16	3	233	309	346	655	112	290	22	9	296	86	-7	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	508	453	107	19	5	8	45	110	5	18	3	236	312	354	666	118	291	22	9	300	89	-7	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	547	488	117	20	6	10	49	119	5	20	3	238	313	361	675	124	292	22	9	303	91	-6	+3	+0	+6	+12	1.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	570	509	122	21	6	11	51	124	5	20	4	238	314	364	678	126	292	22	9	305	92	-5	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	581	519	124	21	6	11	52	126	5	21	4	239	314	367	681	128	292	22	9	306	93	-5	+3	+0	+6	+13	1.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	584	522	124	21	6	11	52	128	5	21	4	238	313	364	677	126	292	22	9	304	92	-5	+3	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	581	519	123	21	6	11	52	128	5	20	4	236	312	360	671	124	291	22	9	302	90	-7	+2	-1	+6	+13	1.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	572	511	121	21	6	10	51	128	5	19	4	234	309	354	662	120	290	22	9	298	88	-8	+2	-1	+6	+12	1.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	562	502	116	20	5	9	50	127	5	18	4	231	305	346	652	115	288	23	9	294	85	-10	+2	-2	+6	+12	0.8
2039	31	MLB MLE	CHC	60%	549	492	111	19	5	8	48	127	4	17	4	227	301	337	638	110	286	23	9	288	81	-12	+2	-3	+6	+12	0.5
2040	32	MLB MLE	CHC	61%	531	476	106	18	5	7	46	125	4	16	4	222	295	325	620	103	282	24	9	281	76	-15	+2	-4	+6	+12	0.0
2041	33	MLB MLE	CHC	62%	501	451	97	16	4	6	42	121	3	15	5	216	288	311	599	95	278	24	8	272	70	-18	+1	-4	+5	+11	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	81	73	17	3	1	1	7	18	1	3	0	230	306	331	637	101	292	22	9	289	79	-2	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	174	155	36	6	2	2	15	38	2	6	1	234	309	342	652	109	293	22	9	294	83	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	244	218	51	9	3	3	22	53	2	9	2	236	312	352	664	116	294	22	9	299	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	288	257	61	11	3	4	26	63	3	10	2	238	314	360	674	121	295	22	9	303	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	309	275	67	12	4	5	28	67	3	11	2	240	316	367	683	126	296	22	9	306	91	-3	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	322	287	70	12	4	6	29	70	3	11	2	241	317	370	686	129	296	22	9	308	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	328	293	70	12	4	6	29	71	3	12	2	241	317	372	688	130	296	22	9	309	93	-3	+2	+0	+4	+7	1.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	324	289	70	12	4	6	29	71	3	11	2	240	316	369	685	129	296	22	9	307	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.9
2036	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	319	285	69	12	4	6	28	70	3	11	2	239	314	365	679	126	295	22	9	305	90	-4	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.8
2037	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	306	273	64	11	3	5	27	68	3	10	2	236	311	359	670	122	294	22	9	301	88	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	321	287	68	12	4	5	28	73	3	11	2	233	308	351	659	118	292	23	9	297	85	-6	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	CHC	60%	327	293	67	12	3	5	28	75	3	10	2	229	303	342	645	113	290	23	9	291	81	-7	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	CHC	61%	325	292	65	11	3	4	28	76	2	10	3	224	297	330	627	106	286	23	9	284	76	-9	+1	-2	+3	+7	-0.0
2041	33	MLB CTX	CHC	62%	313	282	61	10	3	4	26	75	2	9	3	218	290	316	606	98	282	24	8	275	70	-11	+1	-3	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3981	3559	836	145	45	62	350	888	36	134	27	235	310	353	663	118	294	22	9	298	85	-66	+16	-9	+43	+86	7.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	136	24	7	10	57	145	6	22	4	234	309	351	660	117	293	22	9	298	85	-11	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7463	6667	1537	263	76	116	666	1650	62	267	60	231	306	345	651	114	287	22	9	293	85	-123	+29	-15	+78	+158	13.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	134	23	7	10	58	144	5	23	5	231	306	346	652	115	288	22	9	293	85	-11	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
#2Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.2	4,133	66	140	233	304	348	+44	+27	10.3	8.8
/162	664	11	22	+7.1	+4.3	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dylan Guzman (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	221/296/308	87	286	1	5	22%	9%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	44→54	36→40	54→65	49	204/291/273	69	274	2	21	24%	9%	65	-1.2	201/291/278	77	291	4	13	29%	10%	65	-1.2	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
●Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→45	53→55	57	205/300/267	62	260	3	17	20%	11%	67	-1.1	222/307/301	79	287	4	15	22%	9%	77	-0.3	258/359/382	124	284	11	19	13%	13%	115	+2.4
✕Victor Acosta 2022 · A	18	42→45	39→40	55→50	50	198/293/292	94	262	5	20	25%	9%	70	-0.8	193/277/276	83	277	4	12	29%	8%	61	-1.5	188/274/265	77	265	4	13	28%	7%	55	-1.1
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	47	40→45	60→65	53	222/313/322	100	267	5	29	18%	9%	84	+0.1	234/309/354	120	293	11	18	23%	8%	90	+0.6	231/312/342	111	292	7	11	21%	9%	84	+0.0
✕Juan Matheus 2024 · A	20	42→46	38→45	53→55	59	192/312/281	89	273	4	21	28%	14%	76	-0.4	215/292/311	96	283	7	20	24%	9%	73	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	48→41	40→45	57→60	43	226/281/324	98	306	7	17	27%	6%	72	-0.7	215/273/311	96	289	7	22	26%	7%	65	-1.2	205/264/312	107	257	10	33	24%	7%	60	-0.9
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2009 · A	19	44→54	37→45	58→60	48	208/269/282	74	252	4	24	19%	7%	57	-1.8	242/293/325	83	287	5	28	16%	6%	75	-0.5	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	43→53	40→50	57→55	43	207/267/301	93	294	6	22	30%	7%	61	-1.5	237/294/369	132	297	12	21	23%	7%	86	+0.3	245/302/388	143	293	14	19	20%	7%	93	+0.8

Dylan Guzman

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps